Midwest Storm Hunters

10/27/2025

Watch as Category 5 Hurricane Melissa comes into view via visible satellite as the sunrise occurred this morning.

10/26/2025

As you likely have heard over the past few days Hurricane Melissa will bring devastating impacts to the Island of Jamaica early this week. Keep those in the path of this storm in your thoughts and prayers.

10/26/2025

Confirmed tornado near Lake Charles LA.

10/24/2025

One of the coldest mornings of the season so far for the upper Midwest into the Ohio River Valley region.

Where I am in west central Wisconsin its in the low 20s currently.

10/22/2025

Update on next weeks potential system. Over the last several ensemble runs next weeks system looks much less organized and less amplified. If this trend continues then a less impactful system would result for the Midwest. Storms (maybe some severe) would still be possible but likely much further south into the lower Mississippi Valley region. We'll keep monitoring trends through the weekend.

10/21/2025

LINK:
Check out this great video that CJ Ziegler Media put together of our chase back in May of this year in Kansas and Oklahoma.
It mainly focuses on the after dark tornado outbreak near and northeast of the Greensburg KS area.

In this video, we storm chase the tornado outbreak in Oklahoma and Kansas. We end up seeing way more than we bargained for while also missing out on making t...

10/21/2025

Update 10/23/25- this post is now outdated.

Next week could be busy around the Midwest. Decent agreement with some of the guidance shows potential for a strong low pressure system somewhere in the region. These types of systems in fall typically bring numerous impacts, including gusty winds, heavy rain, severe storms, and even snowfall to some areas.

Stay tuned for updates over the next several days.

10/18/2025

Severe storm potential today.

A large area of the central and south central US will see showers and thunderstorms today into tonight some of which could be severe with damaging winds (60-70mph), large hail(1.5") and a few tornadoes (

10/16/2025

Saturday severe threat update.

No surprises in the guidance and trends for our slight risk for severe storms on Saturday across the Mississippi River Valley/Ozarks regions. Uncertainty still exists on intensity and available instability leading to low forecast confidence.

A trough/cold front will be moving across the outlook area on Saturday afternoon. Ahead of this trough storms are likely to develop. The supercell potential could remain relatively short lived before storms congeal into a MCS or broken lines. The main hazard appears to be wind as of now, with the hail and tornado potential still uncertain with lingering discrepancies in model output and possibly lingering morning rain/storms. The model below (RRFS) tends to over convect in some situations but this run seems plausible with a broken line of storms by late afternoon.

I'll have another update by tomorrow or Saturday morning.

10/15/2025

Update for Saturday's severe storm potential.

Not many changes in the forecast for Saturday. The northern extent of the risk area has been trimmed some by the SPC. This is due to the better overlap of instability and shear a little further south.

Storm mode is still unknown. A quick transition to linear mode would lead to mainly a damaging wind/embedded tornado risk, while a supercellar mode early on would present all hazards before a linear storm mode becomes the dominant storm mode into the overnight.

Stay tuned.

10/13/2025

As discussed over this past weekend, severe storms this coming weekend are possible.

The SPC has issued a day 6 slight risk for parts of the Mid Mississippi River Valley into the Ozarks regions for Saturday.

All hazards appear possible at this time although the magnitude and intensity is still very uncertain right now. Keep checking for updates throughout the week on this severe potential.

10/11/2025

We finally have something to watch as we head towards next weekend (17th and beyond).

There's decent signal at this range for a large mid level trough to work it's way into the Midwest. While details a week out are always murky at best, there is some signal in the machine learning outputs that show potential for severe storms in the central US. Whether that will be the south central or north central US or somewhere in between is not yet known with varying model solutions. It will be tough to get quality moisture return in the upper Midwest but a stronger solution could aid in moisture further north.

Nevertheless we'll have to monitor at least a system or two late in the week into the weekend for potential impacts of storms/heavy rain/gusty winds and temperature swings. Typical fall weather patterns will soon arrive.