03/14/2025
SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK LIKELY TONIGHT AND TOMORROW
There will be two rounds of severe weather, one tonight and one Saturday afternoon. For tonight, SPC has outlined an Enhanced risk, slight risk, and marginal risk for Alabama. The Enhanced risk covers most of the western half of Alabama with the exception of the far south western counties. A slight an marginal risk surround that area.
SPC has also outlined a HIGH and moderate risk for severe weather for Saturday afternoon, evening and into the over night hours. The HIGH risk covers a good portion of central and west Central Alabama including areas like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Gadsden, Anniston, Talladega, Marion, Jasper, Demopolis, Lindon, and extending into Mississippi. A moderate risk covers the rest of the state for this time frame.
ROUND ONE
The first round of strong to severe storms is expected to move into the state after 10pm this evening and affect mostly the northern and western half of the state. Storms should exit the state around 7am. All modes of severe weather will be possible with round one. Including damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes, some of those tornadoes could be strong, especially in the enhanced risk area.
ROUND TWO (THE MAIN EVENT)
Round two of storms are expected to form over Mississippi on Saturday morning and spread into Alabama. Storms are expected to move into the state around 11am and sweep across the state Saturday afternoon and into the evening and overnight hours. All modes of severe weather will be likely including strong damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes. Those tornadoes could be long track, strong to violent tornadoes, especially in the high risk area but strong tornadoes are possible statewide This has the potential to be an upper end tornado outbreak across the South Eastern United States.
CALL TO ACTION
Have a reliable way to receive warnings, weather radio, smart phone apps, and wireless emergency alerts are the best ways. Never rely on outdoor sirens especially if you are inside, you will not hear them and they will not wake you up. Know your tornado safety plan and where to go ahead of time so that you aren't scrambling to find where to go. DO NOT stay in a manufactured home if you are in a tornado warning polygon. Find substantial shelter. Stay tuned to your preferred local TV meteorologist for updates and coverage over the next couple days.
We all understand that storm anxiety is real, we are here to get you through these events. Be calm. You will get through this. Being informed is a big step to helping. This is spring in Alabama, days like this do happen and it's not overly uncommon. If you need anything or have questions, stay tuned for additional updates.
My next update is planned for Saturday morning after Round One once we have new surface observations after and prior to Round Two. We are planning on being in the field and streaming tomorrow, anyone can view these streams and they are not locked behind any type of membership or paywall. Helping the warning process and saving lives is the most important part of this.