Crown Weather Services

02/28/2025

Posted Late Friday Afternoon 2/28/2025: *** SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER IS A STRONG POSSIBILITY ALONG THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FROM SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI TO NORTHERN LOUISIANA & WESTERN MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT ***

I am watching the severe weather potential for Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night very closely and with quite a bit of concern.

A strong upper level trough of low pressure is expected to eject eastward into the southern United States from the Rocky Mountains by Tuesday. Out ahead of this upper level trough, there is expected to be the presence of a strong low-level jet stream along with very strong amounts of wind shear across the lower Mississippi Valley during the day on Tuesday. This looks to be a pretty classic early Spring severe weather setup that needs to be monitored extremely closely.

A squall line of strong to severe thunderstorms looks to develop by midday Tuesday across areas of the far eastern parts of the Southern Plains states. This squall line will push eastward reaching the Mississippi River from southern Missouri to eastern Louisiana and western Mississippi by late Tuesday afternoon where they will interact with a strong low-level wind shear environment. This means that tornadoes, some strong, will be a definite threat with this squall line. Supercells forming out ahead of the main squall line is a possibility and if this does occur, it would lead to a more significant tornado situation and is something that needs to be watched very closely.

I urge all interests across southeastern Missouri, central and eastern Arkansas, western Tennessee, northern and eastern Louisiana and northern and western Mississippi, especially where Tuesday is Mardi Gras with plenty of celebrations occurring.

02/27/2025

Posted Wednesday Evening 2/26/2025: *** SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY & ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN US NEXT WEEK ***

It appears that we will be keeping close tabs on the possibility of severe weather across the lower and middle Mississippi Valley as soon as Tuesday of next week. In fact, the Spring severe weather season could be shaping up to be a very active one across the Mississippi Valley, the Ohio Valley and across parts of the southeastern United States.

- TUESDAY'S SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES: Warm and quite humid air is expected to push northward from the Gulf into areas from eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley by Tuesday morning. There is uncertainty, however, as to how robust an eastward moving storm system will be pushing into the southern Plains States. A more amplified and stronger storm system would mean a more robust severe weather threat while a less amplified storm system would lead to some sort of severe weather threat from east Texas into the lower and middle Mississippi Valley.

That all said, there seems to be enough of a risk of severe weather across east Texas, central and northern Louisiana, central and southern Arkansas, much of Mississippi and western Tennessee to be concerned about & is something to keep close tabs on.

- WEDNESDAY'S SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES: The severe weather threat is expected to push into the southeastern United States during Wednesday in the form of an eastward moving squall line.

- AN ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS QUITE POSSIBLE THIS SPRING FROM THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES: There are some robust signals in the data that seem to suggest that we are not only in for a active Spring from the Mississippi Valley to the Southeastern United States, but that the severe weather season could get an early start this year.

A look at the longer range model guidance seems to suggest that there will be enhanced ridging of high pressure over the southeastern United States leading to quite a bit of moisture to be pulled northward from the Gulf into the southern and central United States.

This humid air mass looks to potentially combine with an active southern part of the jet stream leading to an active storm track. Plentiful amounts of wind shear, lots of rising air and high amounts of moisture looks to produce an active early start to the severe weather season. This all means that March and April could be particularly very busy in terms of severe weather across the Mississippi Valley, the Tennessee Valley, the Ohio Valley and the southeastern United States.

01/22/2025

Posted Early Wednesday Afternoon 1/22/2025: *** NORTHERN GULF COAST & SOUTHEAST US WINTER STORM IS NOW DONE & TEMPERATURES WARM UP IN EARNEST BY THIS WEEKEND ***

The historic winter storm that blanketed the northern Gulf Coast with record amounts of snowfall has exited and is now pushing into the open Atlantic.

The snowfall totals across the northern Gulf Coast and across parts of the coast of the southeastern United States are nothing but astonishing. These final snow totals include:

Texas:
La Porte: 6 Inches.
Beaumont: 5.2 Inches.
Southeast Houston: 4 Inches.

Louisiana:
Grand Coteau: 13.4 Inches.
Chalmette: 11.5 Inches.
Lafayette: 10.5 Inches.
Rayne: 10.5 Inches.
New Orleans: 10 inches.
Metairie: 10 Inches.
Baton Rouge: 8 Inches.
Lake Charles: 6 Inches.
Kenner: 4 Inches.

Mississippi:
Biloxi: 7.8 Inches.
Lumberton: 4 Inches.

Alabama:
Babbie: 11 Inches.
Spanish Fort: 9.5 Inches.
Orange Beach: 8.8 Inches.
Silverhill: 8.5 Inches.
Mobile: 7.5 Inches.

Florida:
Milton: 9.8 Inches.
Molino: 9.5 Inches.
Pace: 9 Inches.
Pensacola Beach: 7.5 Inches.
Crestview: 5.5 Inches.
Downtown Pensacola: 5 Inches.

Georgia:
Cordele: 9 Inches.
Palmyra: 7.8 Inches.
Attapulgus: 7 Inches.
Savannah: 3 Inches.
Covington: 1.3 Inches.

South Carolina:
Cross: 6 Inches.
Hanahan: 4 Inches.
Summerville: 3.5 Inches.
Gloverville: 1.4 Inches.
Johnston: 1.1 Inches.

North Carolina:
Kill Devlil Hills: 9 Inches.
Hatteras Island: 8 Inches.
Morehead City: 5 Inches.
Odgen: 4.5 Inches.
Raleigh: 1.1 Inches.

The satellite image of the northern Gulf Coast from this morning is something that you probably will not see again for many, many more years. All of the white on the satellite imagery from southeast Texas to Georgia is snow on the ground!!

The combination of the snow pack and the Arctic air in place led to some incredibly cold temperatures across the Deep South this morning. In fact, all time low temperature records were recorded in New Iberia, Lake Charles and Lafayette.

Low Temperatures This Morning Along The Northern Gulf Coast:

Louisiana:
New Iberia: 3 Degrees (All Time Record Low).
Lafayette: 5 Degrees (All Time Record Low).
Lake Charles: 8 Degrees (All Time Record Low).
Baton Rouge: 9 Degrees.
Slidell: 11 Degrees.
Houma: 15 Degrees.
Alexandria: 16 Degrees.
Monroe: 17 Degrees.
Shreveport: 19 Degrees.
New Orleans: 24 Degrees.

Mississippi:
McComb: 11 Degrees.
Jackson: 15 Degrees.
Biloxi: 17 Degrees.

Alabama:
Mobile: 10 Degrees.
Birmingham:11 Degrees.

While temperatures will be well below freezing again tonight as far south as the northern Gulf Coast, they are expected to warm up into the low to mid 40s on both Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon allowing for the snow to melt. Much of the snow should melt in earnest this weekend as high temperatures in the 50s and 60s are expected across the northern Gulf Coast into the southeastern United States.

01/22/2025

Posted at 9 pm EST/8 pm CST Tuesday Evening 1/21/2025: I’d like to thank everyone for all of the pictures you have sent me today of the historic winter storm across the northern Gulf Coast. I’ve been able to live vicariously through your pictures and videos of the snow – so thank you!!!

The snow totals from this storm have been nothing but amazing & they include:

Texas:
Southeast Houston: 4 Inches.
Beaumont: 5.2 Inches.

Louisiana:
Rayne: 10.5 Inches.
New Orleans: 9.8 inches, which is now a new record for the city (Old record was 8.2 inches in 1895).
Lafayette: 10.5 Inches.
Metairie: 9 Inches.
Lake Charles: 6 Inches.

Mississippi:
Biloxi: 7.8 Inches.
Lumberton: 4 Inches.

Alabama:
Silverhill: 8.5 Inches.
Mobile: 6.2 Inches.
Orange Beach, Alabama: 6.5 Inches.

Florida:
Molino: 9.5 Inches.
Milton: 8.8 Inches.
Pensacola: 7.6 Inches.

Some of these reports across southern Alabama and across the Panhandle of Florida are a couple of hours old & it’s still snowing in these areas.

Here is the forecast for the next several hours across areas that are still snowing:

Southern Alabama: Snow continues the next couple of hours and will end by 9 pm CST. Up to one more inch of snow is expected.

Western Panhandle Of Florida: Snow will continue for the next several hours and will come to an end around midnight tonight. Additional snow amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected.

Eastern Panhandle Of Florida: Rain will change to snow over the next couple of hours. The snow will then continue for a good part of the overnight hours before ending just before sunrise Wednesday morning. Total snow amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected.

North Florida: Rain changes to sleet by midnight. Sleet & snow then continues during the after midnight hours of tonight before ending just after sunrise Wednesday morning. Total snow and sleet amounts of 1 to 4 inches are expected.

Northeast Florida: Rain changes to sleet by around midnight tonight. Sleet & snow then continues during the after midnight hours of tonight into the early morning hours of Wednesday. Sleet & snow ends about mid-morning Wednesday morning. Total snow amounts of 1 to 3 inches is expected.

Southern & Southeastern Georgia: Snow and sleet will continue throughout much of tonight and will end from northwest to southeast during the early and mid-morning hours of Wednesday. Coastal areas of Georgia will be the last to see the snow end and that should occur about mid-morning Wednesday. Additional snow amounts of 4 to 6 more inches are expected.

Central & Eastern South Carolina: Snow continues throughout much of the rest of tonight and will begin to end from west to east around sunrise Wednesday morning. Coastal South Carolina will be the last to see the snow end and that will occur around mid-morning Wednesday. Additional snow amounts of 4 to 6 more inches are expected.

Central & Eastern North Carolina: Snow continues throughout much of the rest of tonight and will begin to end from west to east around sunrise Wednesday morning. Coastal North Carolina & The Outer Banks will be the last to see the snow end and that will occur around mid-morning Wednesday. Additional snow amounts of 3 to 5 more inches are expected.

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01/21/2025

Posted Late Tuesday Morning 1/21/2025: What an incredible and amazing look right now along the northern Gulf Coast where heavy snow is now occurring across all of southern Louisiana, southern Mississippi and southern Alabama. It will begin snowing in the western Florida Panhandle very shortly. This heavy snow is being accompanied by gusty winds leading to blizzard conditions in many areas along the northern Gulf Coast.

This is definitely going to be a winter storm for the record books for most. Get out there and enjoy this very rare snowfall. Post snow pictures from where you are along the Gulf Coast, I'd love to see them!!

01/20/2025

Posted Early Monday Afternoon 1/20/2025: *** A HISTORIC MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT AREAS OF THE GULF COAST FROM SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH SOUTHERN LOUISIANA, SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI, SOUTHERN ALABAMA, THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE, NORTH FLORIDA, SOUTHERN GEORGIA & THE COASTLINE OF THE CAROLINAS FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING ***

A historic, major, once in a generation winter storm is expected for many along the Gulf Coast, including areas from Houston through Lafayette, Gulfport, Mobile, Pensacola to Tallahassee.

An Arctic air mass has settled across the much of the southern and eastern United States and has set the stage for a very rare major winter storm for the Gulf Coast, as well as across parts of the Southeast Atlantic coast from northeast Florida to the coastal Carolinas.

An area of low pressure is expected to take shape over the western Gulf of Mexico late tonight and then move eastward across the northern Gulf of Mexico during the day on Tuesday. This low pressure system will cross north Florida on Tuesday night and head into the open Atlantic by Wednesday.

The energy and moisture with this low pressure system will crash into this Arctic air mass leading to the expectation of an expansive area of snow, sleet and freezing rain to affect much of the Gulf Coast from southeast Texas to the Florida Panhandle starting late tonight and continuing through Tuesday.

The transition line from snow to sleet and freezing rain looks to set up from south-central Texas eastward to coastal parts of Louisiana late tonight and Tuesday and then across the eastern Florida Panhandle to southern Georgia on Tuesday night.

North of this line, a swath of heavy snow is expected across southeast Texas, southern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, the western Florida Panhandle and southwestern Georgia starting during the predawn hours of Tuesday morning and then continuing through all day on Tuesday. Snowfall rates of up to 1 inch per hour can be expected at times during Tuesday across the entire area.

To the south of this line, freezing rain with ice amounts of one tenth to one quarter of an inch is expected on Tuesday night across the eastern Florida Panhandle, north Florida and southern Georgia.

Please take this winter storm seriously and avoid all travel from late tonight until Thursday morning. Many roads along the Gulf Coast from southeast Texas to the Panhandle of Florida will be impassable and extremely treacherous. Also, avoid travel from Tuesday afternoon to at least Thursday across north Florida and southern Georgia as roads will be impassable due to ice accumulations.

Widespread snow amounts of 3 to 6 inches with local amounts of 8 to 10 inches are expected in an area from Houston to Beaumont to Lake Charles to Baton Rouge to New Orleans to Gulfport. Those of you along the coastline of Louisiana including New Iberia, Morgan City and Houma are also expected to see significant snow amounts of at least 2 to 4 inches.

Further east, snow amounts of 1 to 3 inches can be expected across southern Alabama, the western Florida Panhandle and southwestern Georgia.

If some of the snowfall forecast numbers that I’m seeing right now verify, this winter storm could match or even rival the 1895 historic Gulf Coast winter storm.

The combination of cold and snow that will accompany this winter storm will be very dangerous. Travel is expected to be impossible and tree branches will likely snap from the weight of snow and ice. I urge you to stay home, keep yourself and your pets warm and keep your pipes protected so that they don’t burst from the freezing temperatures.

This storm’s impact is expected to last multiple days and this means that you may have to shelter in place from Tuesday until at least Thursday.

SOME OTHER THINGS TO REMEMBER:

- Plan to bring animals in or prepare a shelter for them to stay warm.
- Have in plan a place for the elderly and those who don’t have reliable access to stay warm.
- Check and protect pipes. Insulate pipes if possible.
- Open up sink cabinets to expose pipes to heated air.
- Disconnect hoses & turn off water to sprinklers.

01/19/2025

Posted Early Sunday Afternoon 1/19/2025: *** A HISTORIC MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR THE DEEP SOUTH IS EXPECTED FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY MORNING ***

A major and probably historic winter storm is expected to impact much of the Deep South states of eastern, central and southeastern Texas, all of Louisiana, central and southern Mississippi, central and southern Alabama, much of Georgia, the Florida Panhandle, north and northeast Florida and much of the Carolinas.

An area of low pressure is expected to take shape off of the lower Texas coast on Monday night. Gulf of Mexico moisture will push into an Arctic air mass leading to a icy mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain to occur across much of east, central and southeast Texas during late Monday night.

This low pressure system will then cross from west to east across the Gulf of Mexico during the day on Tuesday. Strong amounts of energy and quite a bit of moisture will push into the central Gulf Coast where that Arctic air mass will be located. Because of this, moderate to locally heavy snow is expected in an area from the northern suburbs of Houston eastward through southern Louisiana and southern Mississippi during the day on Tuesday. This snow will move into southern Alabama, the western Florida Panhandle and central Georgia by Tuesday evening.

A swath of freezing rain with significant amounts of ice is expected to move over northern Florida and southern Georgia during Tuesday night.

Snow is also expected along the Georgia and Carolina coastlines on Tuesday night, which will last until Wednesday morning.

This is likely to be an exceptionally rare snowfall for many across the Deep South. The most snow ever recorded in New Orleans in modern history was 2.7" back in 1963. Mobile hasn't seen more than about 3 inches of snow in living memory. This snowfall event is likely to rival those historic snowfalls & will probably be a generational winter storm for much of the Deep South.

Snow amounts of 3 to 6 inches are expected across an area from the eastern Houston suburbs through the Beaumont area through much of southern Louisiana, including Lake Charles, Lafayette, Baton Rouge and New Orleans through southern Mississippi, including Hattiesburg and Gulfport.

Snow amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected for many across the Deep South outside of the 3 to 6 inch snowfall area. Areas that are likely to receive 1 to 3 inches of snow accumulation include all of the Houston Metro, San Antonio, Austin, Jackson, Birmingham, Montgomery, Mobile, Pensacola, Tallahassee, Atlanta, Savannah, Charleston, Myrtle Beach and Wilmington.

Ice is also expected to be a huge problem for parts of north Florida and southeastern Georgia where one tenth to one quarter of an inch of ice from freezing rain is expected on Tuesday night. This is more than enough ice to lead to tree damage and widespread power outages.

I cannot emphasize enough how big of a deal this is going to be for those of you in the Deep South. This is going to be an extremely high-impact and extremely disruptive storm for the region.

DO NOT travel for at least several days (from early Tuesday morning until at least early Friday) due to the expectation of extremely hazardous road conditions for an extended period of time due to snow, ice and temperatures then remaining below freezing. Airport delays and cancellations are likely on Tuesday, Wednesday and maybe even Thursday.

01/18/2025

Posted Early Saturday Afternoon 1/18/2025: *** A MAJOR WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF EAST, CENTRAL & SOUTHEAST TEXAS, MUCH OF LOUISIANA, CENTRAL & SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI, CENTRAL & SOUTHERN ALABAMA, THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE, NORTH & NORTHEAST FLORIDA, MUCH OF GEORGIA & MUCH OF THE CAROLINAS FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY MORNING ***

A significant to major winter storm is expected across parts of the Deep South beginning late Monday night across eastern, central and southeastern Texas, then spreading across Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, the Florida Panhandle and north and northeast Florida on Tuesday. The Carolinas will then be impacted by this winter storm on Tuesday night. This storm will then exit into the Atlantic during Wednesday.

A corridor of heavy snow with amounts of 2 to possibly as much as 6-8 inches can be expected in the area near and north of I-10 and near and south of I-20.

Freezing rain with significant ice amounts of up to one tenth of an inch can be expected right along and just south of the I-10 corridor.

Major traffic and travel disruptions can be expected on areas roads across eastern, central and southeastern Texas, much of Louisiana, central and southern Mississippi, central and southern Alabama, the Florida Panhandle, northern and northeastern Florida, much of Georgia and much of the Carolinas. Flight cancellations and flight delays are also expected.

Tree damage and power outages are also likely with this winter storm, especially where significant ice accumulations are expected. These power outages could lead to a lack of heat in affected areas, which could prove to be a life threatening situation given the expectation of widespread sub-freezing temperatures along much of the Gulf Coast throughout much of the week.

TO SUM IT UP -

Some Cities In The Deep South That Will See Significant Snow Amounts Of 2 To 5 Inches With Local Amounts Of 6-8 Inches: Houston, Beaumont, Shreveport, Lake Charles, Lafayette, Baton Rouge, New Orleans, Jackson, Meridian, Hattiesburg, Gulfport, Birmingham, Montgomery, Mobile, Pensacola, Macon, Savannah, Charleston, Myrtle Beach, Wilmington, Raleigh & Charlotte.

Some Cities In The Deep South That Will Receive Significant Ice Amounts (Some Of These Places May See Both Significant Snow AND Ice Accumulations): Victoria, Houston, Beaumont, Lake Charles, Lafayette, New Orleans, Houma, Pensacola, Tallahassee, Jacksonville, Valdosta, Savannah, Charleston, Myrtle Beach & Wilmington.

12/29/2024

Posted Sunday Afternoon 12/29/2024: *** AN ARCTIC OUTBREAK WITH THE THREAT FOR WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL, SOUTHERN & EASTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE WEEK OF JANUARY 6TH ***

It looks like an Arctic air mass will invade much of the central, southern and eastern United States during the first full week of January. This Arctic air mass has the potential to bring some very cold weather as well as the possibility for some winter weather during the week of January 6th as far south as the Gulf Coast and north Florida.

The weather pattern setup by next weekend (January 4-5) looks to consist of an upper level trough of low pressure that will dig south and east into much of the eastern one-half of the United States. This upper level trough of low pressure will pull down a deep Arctic air mass into areas of the United States that are east of the Rocky Mountains. This has the very real potential to be a significant outbreak of cold air throughout the week of January 6.

Well below freezing temperatures are expected to reach as far south as the Gulf Coast and even as far south as Central Florida. Below zero temperatures could push as far south as the southern Appalachian mountains and the Tennessee River valley during the week of January 6.

The part that is much more uncertain is whether there will be any snow or ice that affects the Deep South and parts of the Gulf Coast. While snow is very rare along the Gulf Coast or in north Florida, it is not impossible and it has occurred a few times in the past. That said, even if we have a very cold air mass in place, everything needs to click into place exactly for a snowfall to occur across the Deep South, the Gulf Coast and across north Florida.

There is a window of opportunity from about January 5 to January 8 for a winter storm to affect much of the southern and eastern United States. While this is not a guarantee to happen, it is a time period that will need to be watched closely.

BOTTOM LINE IS THAT for about a one week period, it will really feel like winter across much of the central, southern and eastern United States and I’ll have many more updates on this as needed.

11/30/2024

*** A REVIEW OF HOW THE 2024 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON MATCHED UP TO WHAT I FORECASTED BACK IN MARCH ***

The 2024 Hurricane Season officially ends today. In all, we ended up with 18 named storms, 11 of those storms becoming hurricanes and 5 of those hurricanes becoming major hurricanes. It was a hyperactive and very impactful hurricane season. The Accumulated Cyclone Energy index (ACE) was 161.7, which is certainly a hyperactive season.

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season will certainly be remembered for the Appalachian flood disaster that Hurricane Helene brought. It will also be remembered by the serious impacts that Hurricane Milton brought to Florida shortly after Helene’s impact. I fully expect to see both Helene and Milton be retired as names in the post season. We cannot forget Beryl, which was a Caribbean Category 5 hurricane in early July.

The total damage from the 2024 Hurricane Season will likely exceed $150 billion in damages based on some reliable estimates I’ve seen.

HOW DID MY PRESEASON FORECAST DO? Back on March 13, I forecasted that the 2024 hurricane season would be an extraordinarily active hurricane season in terms of both number of storms and also in the amount of potential impacts across the Caribbean and along the US Coastline (especially the Gulf Coast). It did end up being an extremely impactful season, however, the number of storms fell short of what I forecasted.

THIS IS WHAT I FORECASTED BACK ON MARCH 13:
25 Named Storms (18 named storms, so I did not verify there).

12 Hurricanes (11 Hurricanes, so I pretty much verified).

6 Major Hurricanes (5 Major Hurricanes, so again, I pretty much verified).

Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE): 225 (161.7, which fell short of what I forecasted).

The reason why I forecasted such a busy season back in March was due to the combination of extremely warm ocean waters, the expectation of La Nina conditions and a overall favorable look for development in the Atlantic. Much of this did verify. The big surprise was how quiet the period from mid-August to early September was. While it threw a monkey wrench into the forecast, the extremely active late season hurricane activity certainly made up for that quiet period.

NOW, HOW DID MY IMPACT FORECAST DO? Back in March, I forecasted that I thought that the northwestern Caribbean, the northeastern Caribbean, the area from the Bahamas through the Florida Peninsula into the eastern Gulf of Mexico would be particularly at risk from hurricane activity during the 2024 season.

Overall, my forecasts of a very impactful season for the northwestern Caribbean, the eastern Gulf of Mexico and the Florida Peninsula verified very well. The activity over the northeastern Caribbean as well as across the Bahamas was much, much less than what I forecasted, which is, obviously, great news.

I did forecast a high risk for a tropical storm or hurricane impact across the northwestern and north-central Gulf Coast and we did have 2 hurricane landfalls, one on the middle and upper Texas coast and one in southeastern Louisiana.

I also did forecast a high risk of a tropical storm or hurricane impact along the coast from Georgia to the Mid-Atlantic States. This ended up not really verifying, although Debby did bring tropical storm conditions to the Georgia and South Carolina coastline.

From this point, I will shift my attention to monitoring the weather across the southern United States and the eastern United States. I’ll certainly be sending out updates over the next 6 months covering significant winter storms or significant severe weather events. I will also be starting to take a look at what the 2025 hurricane season may be like over the next few months and will send out my forecast probably during March or early April.

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11/13/2024

Posted Tuesday Evening 11/12/2024: *** A HURRICANE MIGHT FORM IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AS SOON AS THIS WEEKEND WITH A TRACK THAT MAY TAKE IT TOWARDS SOUTH FLORIDA & THE BAHAMAS NEXT WEEK ***

AND HERE WE GO AGAIN!!! It looks like newly designated Invest 99-L has the likelihood to develop into a tropical storm and then a hurricane as it heads westward into the Western Caribbean. The next name on the list is

Those of you reading this in the and the Peninsula need to monitor this system extremely closely. It could be a significant hurricane threat to you late this week and this weekend depending on how things unfold over the next few days.

AS FOR THOSE OF YOU IN FLORIDA & THE BAHAMAS: Next week could be extremely “interesting” in terms of a possible tropical storm or hurricane impact to South Florida & the Florida Keys as well as to the Bahamas. Invest 99-L is a system that’s going to have to be watched extremely closely if you are in South Florida, the Florida Keys & the Bahamas.

I just sent out a very comprehensive and detailed discussion on Invest 99-L that can be found at https://crownweather.com/a-hurricane-could-develop-in-the-western-caribbean-as-soon-as-this-weekend-with-a-track-that-may-take-it-towards-south-florida-next-week/ . You can read this discussion if you are a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber.

Not a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber? Become one now and track this system with us by going to the following link - https://crownweather.com/cws-plus/