Heavy rain now moving through the Forgotten coast. Once it clears Franklin county we should stay mostly dry the rest of tonight. Saturday will have low rain chances with showers or storms possible again by Sunday.
Storms producing tremendous rainfall, moving off to the east south east slowly, main threats, heavy rain, gusty, winds, frequent lightning, and flash flooding.
More rain moving in some of it heavy! Flash flooding occurring in Walton county. We should see thing become more isolated later this afternoon. Flash flooding is the main concern in isolated areas.
Scattered showers and storms around today. Heavy rain and isolated flash flooding are main concerns should see activity fade late this afternoon and evening to just scattered showers.
Severe threat is now low through Friday. Gusty winds out of the east south east 12-25 gust to 40 possible. Mostly scattered showers this afternoon and through tomorrow. A storm or two is possible with wind gusts the main concern if we see a strong storm.
Two bands have setup now these storms can produce very heavy rain and will have an isolated tornado risk as well. Act quickly if placed under a warning tropical tornados are usually very quick.
Watching a cluster of storm near Gulf county. Heavy rain and some weak rotation in this cluster of storms.
Bands of rain working into the panhandle. Heavy rain is moving into parts of the FL panhandle thankfully storms are still mostly offshore. Looking okay for now hopefully the stable conditions hold and we get lucky. Tornado threat still possible in theses bands though the morning, with highest risk right on the immediate coast.
Worst weather still looks like 4 AM to 10 AM. Tornado activity has been very low with this system so far. The unstable air and stronger storms have remained offshore even to our west. Let’s hope that continues through our areas as well.
We are waiting on the main band tomorrow morning for severe weather. Thankfully the unstable conditions have stayed offshore so far. After midnight we should see storms start to work back into the area after midnight the worst weather 4-10 am ct give or take.
Francine has made Landfall as a 100 mph Cat 2 in the Parish of Terrebonne south of Morgan city.
A Tornado Watch will be issued across the panhandle this evening and tonight. As the feeder bands start to progress to the north and through the area.
Francine is nearing landfall as a Cat 2 hurricane in central coastal LA. Feeder bands will start to move through the panhandle tonight.
The boundary between elevated precipitation (non-severe) and surface based ( possibly severe ) is still well offshore. This will work north today but showers out there now are just that shower. They can be heavy at times. Severe storms possible in an isolated capacity late this evening and more likely tomorrow morning.
Our weather focus comes not from the core but feeder band like this one developing to our south. As these band swing through that will bring our worst weather Francine the core stays well to our west.
Francine will continue to slowly work towards the coast of Louisiana today. Landfalling sometime this evening and moving north after landfall expected to be category 2 at land fall.
Updates to the forecast it looks likely the boundary stays offshore on Wednesday reducing potentially the severe risk until Thursday morning when the main feeder band swings through. 1-4 inches of rain expected wind 15-25 gust up to 35. Severe storm risk is low but around Wednesday and Thursday. Flash flooding and a tropical tornado (quick spin-ups) risk are the main severe concerns.
Showers possible this afternoon but boundary is still offshore. No threat of severe weather today or tonight.
Mid level and lower level dry air will battle with this system through landfall. This could keep the system from really ramping up. A weaker system drifts west with the low level low but the impactful weather the Rain/storms drift east with the shear. Forecast is for a Cat 2 or high end cat 1 at landfall tomorrow evening.
Another day of overrunning moisture this brings light showers to much of the area. Just some light drops to a passing shower along I-10. A few showers or a storm possible south of I-10 to hwy 20. Coastal areas south of hwy 20 have the best shot at being wet more than a passing shower or two.
