538's Galen Druke breaks down the path to 270
FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast host Galen Druke details the pathways to victory for former Pres. Donald Trump and Vice Pres. Kamala Harris.
How Hurricanes Helene and Milton could affect the 2024 election
According to political scientists who have researched how those storms affected the election, voters react to them just as you'd expect: When the government does a good job with the disaster response, it helps the incumbent party, and when the government does a bad job, it hurts them.
So the question becomes, how do Americans think Pres. Joe Biden's administration is responding to this year's storms? While it's too early to know for sure, especially about Milton, polls so far indicate that Americans are split along party lines.
“I think this is in large part or at least partially because of some of the misinformation that Donald Trump has been spreading about money or about FEMA being out of money and money going to undocumented immigrants instead of to disaster victims, which is not true,” 538’s Nathaniel Rakich said.
Listen to the full episode: https://five-thirty-eight.visitlink.me/hJcSLA
Election Day is four weeks away
Election Day is four weeks from today, and Vice Pres. Kamala Harris and former Pres. Donald Trump are nearly neck-and-neck in the polls.
ABC News political director Rick Klein takes a look at the latest polling averages from FiveThirtyEight on Good Morning America and discusses how hurricane response efforts in key states could impact voting.
Read more: https://five-thirty-eight.visitlink.me/3PBfQh
Vance Performed Well In VP Debate. Will It Matter?
GOP vice presidential candidate JD Vance performed well during Tuesday night’s debate against his Democratic rival Tim Walz.
Will it matter?
On the latest edition of the 538 Politics Podcast, the crew reacts to the first and only vice presidential debate.
Listen to the full episode: https://five-thirty-eight.visitlink.me/32sETU
Will the “Taylor Swift effect” make any difference during the 2024 election?
After the singer endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, 538’s Galen Druke sat down with The New York Times' Ruth Igielnik to discuss whether presidential election polls have shifted in response to last week's debate — and whether high-profile endorsements shift the needle at all.
Listen to the full episode: https://five-thirty-eight.visitlink.me/ierVle
TONIGHT: Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are set to meet face-to-face for the ABC News Presidential Debate. Watch live at 9p ET on ABC, ABC News Live, Disney+ and Hulu.
Here's how to watch: https://trib.al/F983MT1
Explore The Ways Trump Or Harris Could Win The 2024 Election
What would happen if Donald Trump wins Nevada? If Kamala Harris wins Pennsylvania?
Use our new "what-if" interactive tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast.
Read more: https://five-thirty-eight.visitlink.me/IluQsR
While in Chicago for the Democratic National Convention, senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich sat down with three young voters to hear their perspective on the state of the race now that Kamala Harris is officially the Democratic nominee.
“For a long time, I felt like the Democratic Party was kind of out of touch with what the average American needed and wanted,” one voter told FiveThirtyEight.
How Gen Z’s meme culture could decide the 2024 election
Will the 2024 election be influenced more by viral memes and remixed pop songs than speeches and policies? With 40 million eligible Gen Z voters, online culture could shape our political landscape. 📲
https://trib.al/VYrajdp
What to expect on day four of the DNC
IT ALL COMES DOWN TO THIS: On the fourth and final day of the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Kamala Harris will officially accept her party’s nomination for president.
The historic evening will cap off a week of Democrats rallying around Harris and her VP pick, Tim Walz, with roughly two months to Election Day.
538’s Nathaniel Rakich breaks down what you need to know.
Follow live updates: https://five-thirty-eight.visitlink.me/LsG5P0
What to expect on day three of the DNC
On day three of the DNC, Democrats will try to match the energy after the Obamas “brought down the house” on Tuesday night, FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich says.
The big speakers of the night will be former Pres. Bill Clinton and Tim Walz, who will officially accept his party’s nomination for vice president.
Tonight’s theme: “A fight for our freedoms.”
Follow live updates from the Democratic National Convention: https://five-thirty-eight.visitlink.me/gLjUoT
What to expect on day two of the DNC
On day two of the Democratic National Convention, the big speakers are the Obamas. Both former President Barack Obama and former first lady Michelle Obama will address the crowd here in their home city of Chicago.
FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich is on the floor of the United Center with more about what to expect on Tuesday.
