Little Bear Creek Weather

02/11/2025

It’s going to be very chilly tonight and tomorrow! Stay warm!

🥶 We'll see some of the coldest overnight temperatures of the year so far this week, nearing some daily low temperature records for early February. Northerly winds will make conditions feel even colder, so bundle up and take extra precautions to stay warm!

02/08/2025

Alright, who got new snow overnight? Temps remained just cool enough for some areas to see mostly snow! We got about 1-2 more inches overnight here at my house in SE Lynnwood.

02/06/2025

February Weather Bingo - Twin Waterspouts!
So who had that one on their bingo card?!

Michael Snyder - managed to catch this incredible photo of a thunderstorm last night near Des Moines. The cell had just produced a lightning strike as it crossed Vashon Island. That means we got thundersnow with that cell as well, a relatively uncommon phenomenon. This system that passed through was incredibly dynamic and as it passed over the warmer waters of Puget sound, the environment was just right to produce these unique water spouts! You’ll have to look close at the photo to see them, but they are the darker tubes beneath the cloud deck!

What a great catch and cool to see. That cell had some excellent structure as well, as seen in the photo.

02/06/2025

Gorgeous snowfall out there for many this morning! Share your photos!

02/06/2025

Here’s the 24 hr snowfall reports for King and Snohomish counties. I am only listing those as most of you are within those counties but I can add additional info if requested.
..Snohomish County...
1 WSW Sultan 9.0 in 0715 AM 02/06 47.86N/121.82W
Arlington 16.3 ENE 7.2 in 0800 AM 02/06 48.28N/121.82W/317
3 ESE Mukilteo 6.5 in 0745 AM 02/06 47.92N/122.26W
1 W Maltby 5.7 in 0630 AM 02/06 47.81N/122.13W
1 NNW Harbour Pointe 5.3 in 0720 AM 02/06 47.90N/122.32W
Everett 6.6 SSE 5.0 in 0700 AM 02/06 47.87N/122.16W/485
2 SW Everett 5.0 in 0730 AM 02/06 47.95N/122.22W
Monroe 2.4 SE 4.3 in 0706 AM 02/06 47.84N/121.94W/530
Mill Creek 4.1 in 0645 AM 02/06 47.86N/122.21W
3 N Mill Creek 4.0 in 0645 AM 02/06 47.89N/122.21W
Harbour Pointe 4.0 in 0700 AM 02/06 47.89N/122.31W
Mill Creek 1.8 NE 3.9 in 0700 AM 02/06 47.88N/122.18W/450
Monroe 3.5 in 0630 AM 02/06 47.86N/121.99W
Brier 3.5 in 0745 AM 02/06 47.79N/122.27W
Monroe 3.7 SSW 3.5 in 0800 AM 02/06 47.81N/122.02W
1 SSW Everett 3.0 in 0640 AM 02/06 47.94N/122.21W
Lake Goodwin 3.0 in 0645 AM 02/06 48.14N/122.29W
Mountlake Terrace 3.0 in 0800 AM 02/06 47.79N/122.32W
North Marysville 1.3 WNW 1.5 in 0550 AM 02/06 48.11N/122.17W/81
Weallup Lake 1.9 WNW 1.5 in 0650 AM 02/06 48.12N/122.34W/439
Marysville 1.5 NE 0.6 in 0700 AM 02/06 48.07N/122.13W
..King County...
Redmond 3.7 N 8.0 in 0720 AM 02/06 47.73N/122.10W/466
2 NNE Kingsgate 6.0 in 0730 AM 02/06 47.76N/122.15W
1 W Snoqualmie 3.8 in 0730 AM 02/06 47.53N/121.84W
1 SW Kirkland 3.3 in 0730 AM 02/06 47.68N/122.20W
1 N Bothell 3.2 in 0715 AM 02/06 47.77N/122.20W
4 NW Hunts Point 3.0 in 0700 AM 02/06 47.68N/122.28W
1 ENE Renton 3.0 in 0730 AM 02/06 47.49N/122.18W
1 E Baring 3.0 in 0730 AM 02/06 47.77N/121.47W
4 SSW Sheridan Beach 2.5 in 0545 AM 02/06 47.69N/122.34W
Matthews Beach 0.4 NW 2.0 in 0700 AM 02/06 47.70N/122.28W/37
4 NNW Seattle 1.5 in 0700 AM 02/06 47.68N/122.38W
Lea Hill 2.0 N T in 0700 AM 02/06 47.36N/122.17W
Des Moines 2.3 NNW T in 0700 AM 02/06 47.43N/122.33W

02/06/2025

Temperatures for a lot of areas are running higher than what was expected for this evening - the surface low moving ashore is bringing along southerly winds with it, which are warmer winds. Our cold arctic air from the north is not quite strong enough to overcome it in many locations it appears - and that is likely to cut down on snow totals. Some areas might see heavy snow in stronger showers, which will cool the air and allow snow to stick but for many, light snow showers just won’t be enough.

Hate to be the bearer of bad news but this is the reality of snow forecasting here in Western WA, especially with marginal setups. Good for those who don’t like snow, bad for those who do.

02/05/2025

Here’s a look at what is expected into Thursday. Remember, some uncertainty remains in regards to snow totals for the area in the dashed circle.

02/05/2025

Please - please use caution on the roads if you have to be out!

02/05/2025

Be prepared for the afternoon and evening commute to be affected!

02/05/2025

Benjamin has a great analysis of current model run data and the visible satellite of the surface low. Stay tuned, this is very much a now casting situation!

02/05/2025

Hey all!

We have more snow inbound this afternoon - a Winter Weather Advisory is posted for most of the Puget sound for 1-2” of snow with some areas potentially receiving more. I am at work and trying to monitor the situation so I will post as I am able to.

Precipitation is currently moving up toward the main metro areas - please post here on what you are seeing! Include the time, location and what type of precipitation!

That would be super helpful as this next forecast will be a “nowcast” type situation!

02/05/2025

Some snow has fallen overnight and is impacting traffic on the major freeways.

If you must drive this morning, be prepared for snowy and icy roadways. Go slow and give lots of time to get to where you need to be. Ideally, if you can, stay home!

02/03/2025

2pm Update -

The US National Weather Service Seattle Washington just issued a Winter Weather Advisory that will be in effect from 5pm tonight until 10am tomorrow for up to 2 inches of snow.

Please note that the accumulations will be spotty again - much like we saw yesterday and today. These are showers - not stratiform, widespread precipitation. One area could get an inch and a mile away could get nothing. It is the unfortunate nature of the beast with this setup. A low offshore is spinning showers inland toward us, but is too far away for widespread precipitation coverage. Thus, some get the showers and some do not.

Another major factor tonight into tomorrow is the very cold air moving in - lows will be about 5 or so degrees colder than last night. Anything that falls or any moisture on the roads will hard freeze - tomorrow morning the commute is likely to be very icy and potentially dangerous.

You can find the exact details of the Winter Weather Advisory below - it covers the main Tacoma-Seattle-Everett metro areas as well as the east Puget Sound foothills.

02/03/2025

Beautiful!

02/03/2025

Good morning all!

Sorry for the lack of snow updates. Lots going on. I’ll be posting more this week.

In the meantime - snow showers continue to be possible for the Puget sound area through today. Light accumulations possible with the heavier showers but we are also seeing some melting out there. Roads are slick in spots so be cautious! Tonight a refreeze is likely and the potential for additional snow is there. Stay tuned!

01/31/2025

QUICK FRIDAY MORNING SNOW UPDATE:

A quick update while I have a few moments. I'll write a longer update this evening after work (stay tuned!)
* Today (Friday) is just rain
* Rain showers change to snow showers starting Saturday morning but light and scattered accumulations during the day with areas below 300 feet struggling to accumulate.
* Snow showers continue Sunday and into Monday
* Precipitation will be off and on scattered showers -- no big "wall of snow" that lasts hours; more like snows for 30 mins, moves on, then may be in a break for several minutes to hours.
* Snow totals will be highly variable depending on luck of the draw with showers but areas near sea level will struggle to get much accumulation.
* Greatest chances for 4+ inches are (strangely) the western Olympic Peninsula (Forks, Joyce, Quillayute), the Cascade foothills and Whatcom County -- Winter Storm Watch in effect there through Monday
* Overall for rest of region total accumulations look on the lighter side of about 1-2" as a general rule-- some areas more; some areas sadly less (especially near sea level-- heart of Seattle area is not looking like much). Just not a lot of moisture to work with.
* Better chances of sticking snow are Saturday evening/night and especially Sunday evening/night in darkness.
* During the days this weekend, temperatures will still reach mid-upper 30s between showers then drop to 32-34 during heavier snow showers, but should promote some melting between the showers.
* Temperatures at night will drop below freezing, icing up what does fall/melt (and promoting more sticking snow during showers.)
*Drying and cooling trend from Tuesday through the rest of the week with highs in low-mid 30s and lows in teens to low 20s. We will only have isolated to scattered showers by then but what would fall would be snow. Just not much. But will make for tricky morning commutes for much of the week.
* This is not looking like Snowmaeggon, SnoMG or SnoWAY! It should not be a crippling event, but roads may become tricky at times and visibility may suddenly drop during heavier snow showers that may quickly leave some fresh accumulation on roads so be mindful of that.
* You probably don't need to rush the store for bread and milk -- unless you want to hunt for eggs while you're at it :O

More later today!

12/26/2024

9:30 a.m. Update: Just made a new post but storm did come in farther south and little weaker than predicted. Still saw gusts of 51 mph at Tacoma Narrows and 49 mph at Sea-Tac Airport but was 5-10 mph under what was pegged. As mentioned in original forecast it was tricky with the storm track and the southerly tack, saved stronger winds from the Puget Sound region.

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6:30 am Thursday update: South winds are going to pick up soon in I-5 corridor and west winds down the Strait of Juan de Fuca. Forecast remains on track for strongest winds 50-55 mph from mainly King County and southern Snohomish County to the south.

THURSDAY MORNING WINDSTORM UPDATE:

BE READY — TIMING OF STRONGEST WINDS: 5-9 a.m. THURSDAY MORNING. Charge your stuff before going to bed tonight and have a non electrical alarm clock set (cell phone?) if you need to be up early Thursday juuuuust in case.

In a nutshell: It’s looking like this could be a decent windstorm or a large swath of the Puget Sound area Thursday morning, but it’ll be close. This is a really complex situation with the storm center now tracking over Western Washington instead of to our north which is really upping the level of difficulty. Because now small changes in tracks will mean a big difference of who gets the worst winds.

The worst area to be for strong wind is just to the south of the low center. Right now that’s looking like for I-5 area between the heart of Seattle/Bellevue and Tacoma/Olympia. Some of the latest hourly-updating models show potential gusts to reach 50-55 mph with areas near the water maybe pushing 60 mph. Snohomish County is right on the edge but there could still be a strong burst of wind as the low center passes through.

Again wind looks to start along the South and Central coast around 1-5 a.m., then suddenly ramp up around 5 a.m. in the South Sound, surging north through the I-5 corridor in the morning. If the storm track ends up a little farther north, this would push the peak winds more so between Seattle and Everett; a slightly more southerly track would keep the strongest winds south of Seattle. It will be close but everyone from Everett to Olympia should be ready just in case.

Attached as the graphic is the latest hourly model run (HRRR) as of 8 p.m. PT Wednesday showing peak predicted gusts through the entire event.

Also any readers on the eastern slopes of the Cascades so like Cle Elum, Wenatchee and Ellensburg —- be ready for strong winds over there too later in the morning.

I’ll be up early for updates Thursday.

12/26/2024

Wind coming in overnight for the Puget Sound area!