Weather 2020

01/16/2025

It will warm up ahead of this Arctic Blast. The next two days look pretty nice and it may reach 50 degrees in KC Friday before this Arctic front arrives Friday night. In Golden, CO I am forecasting 5 to 6 inches of snow by Saturday morning. For The Kansas City Chiefs game against the Texans it will be dry, breezy, and brutally cold. It won't be nearly as cold as last year's Miami game at Arrowhead, but it will be dangerously cold nonetheless. Wind chills will be below zero for the game with a kickoff temperature of 21 degrees.

01/14/2025

Here is a picture from one of the fires from six days ago, taken by David Schlossman's daughter looking out towards Sunset Boulevard. I just completed an in-depth Weather 20/20 Intelligence Report that discusses the LRC, how dry it has been out west, and a playbook of what to expect next. Here is the link: https://open.substack.com/pub/weather2020/p/ahead-of-the-storm-the-lrc-playbooks?r=183akg&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

01/12/2025

These fires have been happening in my home town. My relatives have not been affected, thank goodness. Here we go again. The NWS issued a warning a couple days before the fires began, and here is another one beginning Tuesday, a warning I have never seen, a PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation) High Fire Danger alert. It is part of this year's cycling weather pattern. These fires are almost always set by humans, so be on the lookout for arsonists. Our thoughts and prayers continue to go out to the victims of these fires.

01/10/2025

Snow on top of snow: Bands of snow are increasing. Snow has spread across the entire KC metro area in the past 30 minutes. Kansas City is having a rare snow on top of snow event. We are forecasting 1-3 inches across the area south of St. Joseph and centered over KC. Let me know what you are experiencing. Have the kids made any snow creatures, maybe a snowman? Share your pictures when you have a chance.

01/08/2025

Fire & Snow! Another winter storm is forming over the southern plains states with snow forecast to spread from near Dallas, TX, north across Oklahoma, into Kansas, with the northern edge near KC. More offshore downscoping winds will spread across Southern California where the horrific fires were yesterday. This is the forecast map valid Thursday night. That high pressure area near the western Wyoming/Idaho border has been in the perfect spot and strong enough to help create the bad fire conditions near Los Angeles. Areas just southeast of Kansas City will likely have some additional snow from this system. KC is on the northwestern edge of this possibility tomorrow night.

01/06/2025

Kansas City wakes up to a Winter Wonderland! The kids get a Snow Day! And it is 6 degrees at sunrise! 11.0” officially fell at KCI Airport with reports of a foot in many spots. Please share your pictures here with . Who wants more snow? There is another good chance Thursday night or Friday. I’m here in KC for FarmCon and presenting the LRC long range forecast for the planting-growing-harvest season ahead. Here is the sun rising over the winter scene from my hotel room. Thank you for sharing this storm with me.

01/05/2025

Blizzard Warning! We had a changeover to snow as this heavy band of precipitation moved into KC at 5 AM. A foot of snow is possible and this is not something we say in KC too often, perhaps once every 15 -20 years or so! Use your share pictures!

01/05/2025

Here is a picture of the solid ice in Overland Park, KS from Jeff Penner. It is very slick and hazardous - dangerous out there. The new data is in and some spots may end up with a foot or more of snow. as this Major Winter Storm tracks over KC. There are four phases to this storm. The first phase produced a solid layer of ice from freezing rain. The second phase has started from Midtown to Downtown KC and it is the Sleet phase and everything is now turning white. We will call this the frozen rain or ice pellet phase. The third phase of this storm will be called the snow phase. This will begin Sunday morning. And, the fourth phase will be the blowing snow/blizzard phase. There is a chance of thunderstorms in the morning as well, and this would increase snowfall rates.

01/03/2025

The new data came in this morning with a slightly different strength and track of this developing Major Winter Storm. I made some adjustments. We still have around four or five more model runs before the storm begins, and we will make adjustments. Timing: It will be dry through early Saturday. Light freezing drizzle and a mixture of light sleet (frozen rain or ice pellets), and some light snow will increase Saturday afternoon. The main show begins Saturday night into Sunday morning as heavier freezing rain (south), sleet, and snow increase with accumulations likely. Late Sunday morning through Sunday evening will be the main heavy snow event near Kansas City. I am on my way to KC tonight. I will check in later. Let us know if you have any questions.

01/03/2025

A Major Winter Storm is taking direct aim on Kansas City. This is a very rare winter storm and there will be major impacts. Freezing rain, which is liquid water that freezes on contact with surfaces below 32°, could accumulate up to 1/2" in areas south of Kansas City before it changes over to sleet and snow. This would lead to potential power outages from trees and power lines accumulating ice. Farther north near Kansas City we are forecasting some freezing rain and sleet, and then on Sunday it will changeover to very heavy snow. Thunderstorms with snow are possible which would increase snowfall rates to 2" per hour at times. There will also be wind with this storm causing blowing and drifting of the snow Sunday into Monday. Here is the latest snow forecast based on my analysis and the trends on the models. I will plan on doing a Facebook Live to answer your questions around 12:30 PM Central Time. Many of you know that I posted a couple weeks ago that a major winter storm would happen around January 5-7 as we knew enough about the LRC that I had high confidence, in fact I said back then there was a 90% probability of this happening and a 50% probability that KC would be impacted significantly. I am not boasting, I am trying to showcase that there is order in what other meteorologists around the world think is just chaos!

01/02/2025

All the morning data is in, and now the new data will be coming out soon. I will update you later on the trends on the models. This, as almost always, is another tricky winter storm prediction with varying impacts from location to location. Look for the update later today. Kansas City Magazine just published this article. Let me know what you think:

Former Kansas City meteorologist Gary Lezak talks about his latest enterprise: a long-range weather forecasting app.

01/02/2025

Gooooooood morning. Are the kids getting excited yet? The data is converging on a solution that will create a Major Winter Storm and the target is near Kansas City. While the Chiefs play in snow free Denver, CO, The Kansas City Chiefs fans will likely be experiencing a snowstorm on Sunday. There will be areas of freezing rain and sleet for part of the storm south of an Atchison, KS to Moberly, MO line, and then it will change over to snow. There are still a few questions. I will plan a Facebook live in the noon hour or so, and I will update the Weather 20/20 Youtube channel later today as well. The LRC Predicted This potential storm weeks ago to arrive January 5-7, and it is almost perfectly on schedule. Now, let's see how the new data rolls in today.

01/01/2025

Here is an in-depth analysis of this storm. Happy New Year! There are many possibilities for how this approaching storm will impact where you live. The trend today was a bit farther north , which would lead to more freezing rain and sleet which would cut into snow totals. BIG POINT: The trend today isn't as important as how it begins trending tomorrow. It could easily shift south and be stronger. In this Youtube video I show four snow predictions from the model. I will have my prediction by tomorrow.

12/28/2024

There is a significant risk of severe weather over the southern states today. Many of you have been following the LRC for over two decades and we know that this part of the cycling weather pattern will cycle back through many times in 2025. Remember, the rest of the scientific world out there does not realize that the weather pattern is cycling regularly and Weather 2020 has cracked the code. Remember this post as you know I will be referring to it when this part of the pattern produces severe weather many times in 2025. We know when and where signficant events will happen around the world. Take a look:

This year's cycling weather pattern is producing a major severe weather risk on this December 28, 2024. This part of the pattern will cycle back through man...

12/27/2024

Evening Natural Beauty looking southwest from Golden, CO

12/23/2024

🌧️⚡️🌨️ Ever since I was a little kid, I've been fascinated by the weather. Here's me at 7 or 8 years old, already obsessed with the wonders of weather. I used to stare out the window at clouds and was fascinated to the point I made up my own weather games and played them in my room, making up a region where I would draw a weather map and make forecasts and then I would act like I was on TV predicting the weather. Little did I know, this childhood curiosity would become my life’s work.

Fast forward to today, and that passion has evolved into something I'm thrilled to share with the world: the Global Predictor. This tool isn't just a product of my journey—it's a culmination of decades of learning, observing, and predicting. It's designed to help everyone, from event planners to adventurers, understand and plan for the weather like never before.

If you’ve ever been curious about the weather, or if you need to plan for an important day, a wedding, an event and up to 6 months in advance, the Global Predictor is here to guide you. Here is the link, and make sure you get the pro level so you get the full six months: https://www.weather2020.com/global-predictor-access-options This app has been predicting an Arctic blast around the first half of January for weeks already. Watch it verify with an accurate forecast and plan ahead through June right now.

12/13/2024

Hey Weather 20/20 fans, who has been following the LRC for over 20 years? Anyone? The KSHB blog stared around 21 to 22 years ago. And, the LRC got named in that first two year stretch. I issued the winter forecast today, and I think it was close to 50 slides long; yes a lot of work. There are two main phases to this year's LRC, and as many of you likely know, it is the entire pattern that is cycling regularly, not just one storm, one part of the patter, or these two phases that last weeks at a time, but the entire weather pattern. It is really complex, and the fact it is such a big puzzle, it seems like chaos until it all comes into focus. Just know that in all my years, since I discovered this in 1987 to this day, it is usually around the second week of December when it comes together. It is just now doing so. Here is the link to the full report if you want to become a premium member:

12/10/2024

I ended up with 0.17” liquid and 2.1” of snow! Sunny 😎 & 🌈 Rainbow The Weather Dogs are loving it! The Weather 2020 winter forecast comes out on Thursday! We will share the 2025 Winter Forecast Guide for premium customers at: https://weather2020.substack.com on Thursday. It is a fascinating new LRC!