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12/22/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/22:

Satellite this morning shows mostly clear skies across the region. It is a chilly start to the work week, with current temperatures in the upper teens to low 20s across much of the region. It will remain mostly sunny today, but clouds will be on the increase tonight as a warm front moves into the region. Light snow will break out between 5AM and 7AM, with an initial burst of accumulation as temperatures hover in the upper 20s to low 30s, and ground temps remain cold. Air temperatures will slowly rise during the morning, and snow will have more trouble sticking and accumulating, especially to road surfaces. Any precipitation ends by early afternoon as flurries inland and perhaps even some plain drizzle at shoreline and valley locations. Overall, 1-2 inches of snow is on track across the interior, with a Coating to an Inch across the immediate shoreline.

The weather turns pleasant for Wednesday and Thursday, with partly to mostly sunny skies and seasonal temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Friday remains uncertain, with a low-pressure system approaching from the Great Lakes that may result in periods of snow, ice, and rain. Latest trends have been colder with this system, so watching closely as the potential for accumulating snow is increasing. Please keep an eye out for future updates.

12/19/2025

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for parts of NTYC and CT

12/19/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/19:

Radar shows rain and downpours moving into the region this morning. Rain will be heavy at times through the morning commute, with some urban and poor drainage flooding possible. Winds will continue to increase as well, with period of strong winds likely mid to late morning that are expected to lead to scattered power outages through the area. The peak of the rain and wind will be 8AM to 1PM for most. Wind gusts 45 to 55 mph are expected. A general 1 to 2 inches of rainfall is also expected.

A strong cold front then swings through later Friday afternoon with rapidly dropping temperatures and a surge of strong winds 40 to 50 mph region wide. Scattered rain and snow showers are also possible this evening. There will be a renewed risk of scattered power outages across the entire forecast area from about 5PM this evening until 12AM Saturday as NW winds surge. As far as black ice and refreeze, I would also watch for some black ice Friday night into Saturday morning. Temperatures are expected to drop below freezing between 10PM Friday and 1AM Saturday. The wind will likely aid in drying some surfaces, but any remaining moisture is expected to freeze solid.

At this point the weekend looks pleasant with seasonable temperatures, but we are eyeing late Monday night into Tuesday for our next shot at a clipper system and light snow accumulations, especially across the interior. A general coating to an inch looks like the mostly likely scenario right now

12/17/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/17:

Morning satellite shows mostly cloudy skies across the region. Today will be dry and noticeably milder, with highs in the lower 40s and a mix of sun and clouds. A weak cold front will pass early Wednesday night without precipitation. Overnight lows will still be cold (mid 20s) but not as frigid as previous nights. Skies remain partly sunny through the day on Thursday as our next storm system approaches.

The main weather event arrives late Thursday night into Friday morning in the form of a “Grinch Storm”. Expect periods of moderate heavy rain and strong winds, with gusts of 40 to 50 mph possible, especially along the coast. Around 1.0 to 1.5 inches of rain is currently forecast for this period. Thursday will be mild ahead of the system, but temperatures will drop sharply Friday after the cold front passes. Rain will taper off Friday afternoon, and some snow may mix in across interior areas before ending. Winds will remain strong through Friday morning before gradually diminishing Friday night as high pressure builds in. Friday night will be much colder, and dry conditions will return for the start of the weekend.

12/15/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/15:

Very cold air has moved into the region, with wind chills this morning near or below zero! After a few inches of snow yesterday, there are a smattering of school delays across shoreline regions. Patchy black ice is being reported again this morning. The cold air continues to work into the area today via NW winds, so highs are expected to stay below freezing under mostly sunny skies. A very weak wave moves in this evening, with some scattered snow shower activity. A dusting of snow is possible throughout CT, as the very cold airmass will allow anything that falls to accumulate.

The cold pattern continues into Tuesday, but then slowly breaks down through the rest of the week. Temperatures will moderate into the 40s by Wednesday, with a “warm storm” featuring periods of rain Thursday night into Friday morning. This stretch should melt any remaining snowpack by this weekend.

It’s a winter wonderland out there. This was sent in from New Milford!
12/14/2025

It’s a winter wonderland out there. This was sent in from New Milford!

We continue to note the little QPF bump on guidance this evening. Much of the state gets 2 to 3 inches - but isolated 4+...
12/14/2025

We continue to note the little QPF bump on guidance this evening. Much of the state gets 2 to 3 inches - but isolated 4+ certainly possible at the shoreline.

12/12/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/12:

Morning satellite shows mostly clear skies over the region. Expecting mostly sunny skies to continue through today. It will be cold and blustery again, though not as windy as it was yesterday. Temperatures will approach or slightly exceed freezing this afternoon, with westerly winds gusting around 25 mph. Shoreline areas may creep into the mid-30s.

All attention then turns to our next potential snow event Saturday night into Sunday. There is still some uncertainty with the exact track of the storm, but latest trends continue confidence in an area-wide snow event Saturday night into Sunday morning. Currently, a light event (around 1–3 inches) appears most likely, with the GFS model on the lower end, and some Euro/NAM ensembles showing more widespread 2–4-inch amounts, especially at the shoreline where there will be more moisture available. Either way, a light and fluffy all-snow event appears likely. Those with snow removal interests should be ready and geared up for snow late Saturday night into Sunday morning. Most likely timing appears to be between 10PM Saturday to 10AM Sunday.

The cold pattern continues, at least through early next week. Yet another clipper system could bring light snow or snow showers Monday night into Tuesday, but this does not appear like it will be a significant event. Some guidance is now moderating temperatures into the 40s or perhaps even 50s by late next week into next weekend.

12/11/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/11:

Morning satellite shows partly cloudy skies over the region. A few instances of black ice were reported in to is this morning, but overall, no major issues on the roadways. It will be cold and blustery today, with wind chills in the 20s for much of the day. Winds will gust 30 to 40 mph from midday today into this afternoon.

Skies clear Thursday and much of Friday before a system approaches late Saturday into Sunday. There is still some uncertainty with the exact track of the storm, but there is growing confidence in an area wide snow event Saturday night into Sunday morning. Currently, a light event (around 1–3 inches) appears most likely, with the GFS model on the lower end, and some Euro ensembles showing more widespread 2-4 inch amounts. We will continue to monitor this storm track closely, but those with snow removal interest should be ready for snow late Saturday night.

The cold pattern continues, at least through the seven day forecast. Yet another clipper system could bring light snow or snow showers Monday night into Tuesday. Stay tuned!

12/10/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/10:

Morning satellite shows partly cloudy skies over the region. Clouds will be on the increase as Wednesday progresses. A clipper system tracking north will bring more widespread rain and snow showers this afternoon. Given the current projected track, impacts should remain minimal for most locations, though light accumulations cannot be ruled out in the higher elevations of the northwest hills. Thinking a wet and slushy 1-2 inches for Litchfield County, especially in the higher elevations above 800 feet, with a slushy coating possible in valley areas and the hills Western CT hills north of I84. Elsewhere little to no snow accumulation is expected.

Colder air arrives by Thursday morning, with winds picking up out of the west. Not overly concerned with black ice tonight, as winds should dry up roads prior to temperatures dipping below freezing. Even so, a few areas of black ice are possible, especially on roads and driveways.

Skies clear Thursday and much of Friday before another clipper approaches late Friday night into Saturday and another system on Sunday. While timing and impacts remain uncertain, this Sunday system currently represents the best chance for accumulating snow in the seven-day forecast, as the Friday night into Saturday system looks to be suppressed to our south. Currently, a light event (around 1–3 inches) appears most likely, but there is plenty of time to monitor its evolution. Overall, a cold and active pattern will persist into the weekend and beyond.

12/09/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/9:

Morning satellite shows mostly clear skies over the region. Clouds will be on the increase as your Tuesday progresses, with winds shifting out of the south brining milder air. Highs will reach the low to mid-30s. A few snow showers are possible late Tuesday night, though any accumulation appears unlikely outside of perhaps an isolated dusting across the interior..

By Wednesday, a clipper system tracking north will bring more widespread rain and snow showers. Given the current projected track, impacts should remain minimal for most locations, though light accumulations cannot be ruled out in the higher elevations of the northwest hills. Thinking a general 1-2 inches for Litchfield County, especially in the higher elevations above 800 feet, with a slushy coating possible in the Western CT hills north of I84. Elsewhere little to no snow accumulation is expected.

Skies clear Thursday and much of Friday before another clipper approaches late Friday night into Saturday and another system on Sunday. While timing and impacts remain uncertain, this Sunday system currently represents the best chance for accumulating snow in the seven-day forecast, as the Friday night into Saturday system looks to be suppressed to our south. Currently, a light event (around 1–3 inches) appears most likely, but there is plenty of time to monitor its evolution. Overall, a cold and active pattern will persist into the weekend and beyond.

12/08/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/8:

Morning satellite shows mostly clear skies over the region. A strong cold front has moved through as of this morning, shifting winds to the northwest and ushering in the coldest air of the season thus far. Monday will feature partly sunny skies with highs only in the mid to upper 20s (25–30°F). With clear skies and favorable radiational cooling Monday night, temperatures will drop into the single digits across much of the area—bundle up! Conditions moderate slightly on Tuesday as clouds increase ahead of the next system, with highs reaching the mid-30s. A few snow showers are possible Tuesday night, though any accumulation appears unlikely outside of northern Litchfield County.

By Wednesday, a clipper system tracking north will bring more widespread rain and snow showers. Given the current projected track, impacts should remain minimal for most locations, though light accumulations cannot be ruled out in the higher elevations of the northwest hills. Confidence in details will improve with short-range guidance over the next 24–36 hours. Skies clear Thursday and much of Friday before another clipper approaches late Friday night into Saturday. While timing and impacts remain uncertain, this system currently represents the best chance for accumulating snow in the seven-day forecast. At this time, a light event (around 1–3 inches) appears most likely, but there is plenty of time to monitor its evolution. Overall, a cold and active pattern will persist into the weekend and beyond.

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