CT Weather

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11/29/2025

A winter system will impact the region Tuesday of next week, with rain/snow likely through CT. No need for hype, but school and travel impacts are possible with a track similar to the European model.

11/27/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/27:

Good morning and Happy Thanksgiving. Highs today will generally stay between 38 and 43 degrees for many, with a few coastal spots closer to 45 degrees. Expect a mix of sun and clouds as a colder airmass works overhead. Bundle up if you have plans today or tomorrow, as winds will combine with below average temperatures to create wind chills in the 20s and 30s. Thursday will be notably breezy with wind gusts to 30 mph. Friday will be downright windy with gusts closer to 40 mph.

The next system approaches Sunday, with rain showers likely Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. This storm will be a “warm” storm, with highs close to 50 degrees on Sunday. After this system, however, models have been bringing cold air back faster, with a chance of winter weather with a system coming in Tuesday.

As far as precipitation types, confidence is higher this morning on snow across the interior and wintery mix/rain along the shoreline. Snow removal companies and municipalities should keep a close eye on this during the next several updates, as all major models show a storm signal. Of course, deviations in track are expected at this range that will ultimately impact precipitation type. Please stay tuned.

11/25/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/25:

Morning satellite shows mostly cloudy skies across the region. A frontal system is approaching the area from the west, with a shield of shower activity stretching through the Ohio Valley. No changes to arrival time here in Southern New England, with showers expected to break out between 2PM and 5PM from west to east. The chance of scattered showers continues Tuesday night and through the day on Wednesday, though it will not be a washout.

A cold front comes through Wednesday night, ushering in a much colder airmass for Thanksgiving Day through Thanksgiving weekend. Highs will generally stay between 37 and 42 degrees for many, with a few coastal spots closer to 45 degrees. The coldest day looks to be Black Friday, when winds will keep wind chills in the 20s much of the day. The pattern does break into early next week as temperatures moderate back into the 50s. Thus far no significant chance for winter weather on the horizon, though continuing to watch the first and second week of December.

Our company CT Weather is in no way affiliated with this inaccurate, clickbait article. The article references the sourc...
11/22/2025

Our company CT Weather is in no way affiliated with this inaccurate, clickbait article. The article references the source of this misleading snow outlook as “CT Weather” but is referring only to a page by the same name. That page is not ran by a degreed meteorologist.

11/21/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/21:

Morning satellite imagery shows mostly cloudy skies across the region. Expect a mostly cloudy day across Southern New England today, with highs topping out right around 50 degrees. A frontal system will be approaching from our west. I decided to take any chance of showers out of the forecast today, although still cannot rule out a passing sprinkle. Most areas stay dry through the evening.

Models continue to have disagreement over the exact track of showers tonight. HRRR/European model keep shower activity further suppressed, mostly missing CT, while the NAM and GFS have steadier showers Saturday morning. I would lean towards European/HRRR for less activity but kept a few showers in the forecast Saturday AM. Either way, expecting skies to clear by late Saturday morning with seasonably cool and pleasant weather expected for the weekend. Temperatures moderate into the middle 50s by early next week.

Models continue to suggest a rain event late Tuesday into the Wednesday before Thanksgiving. Exact timing needs to be ironed out, but guidance is in good agreement for improving conditions by Thanksgiving morning. Behind this system we will see a much colder airmass, and a potential threat for more “winter-type” storms. Please keep an eye on the last weekend of November into early December.

11/19/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/19:

We are right on the edge of a system this morning that is producing some sprinkle and flurry activity across Southern areas. Any scattered rain and snow showers will taper off by mid to late morning, with skies clearing out around lunchtime today. It will remain seasonably cool with temperatures in the middle to upper 40s today, and not much change for your day tomorrow.

A frontal system approaches on Friday, with temperatures moderating to the 50s to go along with rain showers in the afternoon. Skies clear by Saturday morning with seasonably cool and pleasant weather expected for the weekend. Temperatures moderate into the middle 50s by early next week. Some models have hinted at a rain event for the Wednesday before Thanksgiving. More updates to come on this as we head closer.

11/17/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/17:

Happy Monday! It is a very chilly start to Monday morning, with wind chills still in the 20s across much of the area. There are even a few flurries on radar across Western zones. It will be cold and breezy throughout the remainder of the day, with highs struggling to get to 40 degrees across the interior. Winds will be less than yesterday, but still expecting gusts 25 to 30 mph.

A storm system is expected to slide to our south on Wednesday. It will remain partly to mostly sunny here in CT with seasonably cool temperatures in the 40s. A frontal system approaches on Friday, with temperatures moderating to the 50s to go along with rain showers in the afternoon. Skies clear by Saturday morning with seasonably cool and pleasant weather expected for the weekend.

11/14/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/14:

Satellite imagery reveals clear skies over the region this morning. It is a chilly start to the day with most stations reporting morning lows 30 to 35 degrees. Mostly sunny skies this morning will give way to clouds gradually increasing this afternoon. There could be a stray shower or flurry in the hills but not expecting much activity. Today’s highs get to 45-50 degrees. With our cold airmass in place, lows dip down below freezing (25-30 degrees) tonight into Saturday morning.

Saturday will start mostly sunny, but clouds will again be on the increase during the afternoon. A low-pressure system will approach late Saturday, bringing a chance of showers Saturday evening into early Sunday morning. This does not look like a significant event, with only 0.25 to 0.50 inches of rain area wide. Most models move the bulk of the system out of the area by 6AM Sunday. Temperatures could briefly jump into the 50s Sunday morning, but cold air will funnel in behind the system with NW wind gusts 25 to 30 mph.

The long-range forecast is seasonably cool and quiet as we head into next week. Expect highs mainly in the 40s with partly to mostly sunny skies. The next storm system to watch will be Friday next week. This again looks like a lower impact rain event as of now.

11/13/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/13:

A cold front will sweep through this morning, flipping winds to the northwest and keeping things brisk with gusts up to 25 to 30 mph. Temperatures will stay on the chilly side, topping out in the middle to upper 40s. Expect a mix of sun and clouds for much of the day, but there is also the chance for a few brief showers as lingering energy spins overhead.

By Friday, high pressure finally starts to build in a bit stronger. It’ll still feel breezy, but nothing like earlier in the week. Highs will hover in the mid-40s to low 50s under plenty of sunshine.

No major changes to the medium-to-long range forecast. Expect seasonable temperatures with highs 45 to 50 degrees through Saturday. As far as sky cover, expect partly to mostly sunny skies during this interval. Low temperatures will hover in the upper 20s to middle 30s. A low pressure system will approach late Saturday bringing a chance of showers Saturday night into Sunday morning, but this does not look like a significant event. Most models move the bulk of the system out of the area by mid Sunday morning.

11/12/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/12:

Satellite and radar this morning show clouds and a few flurries around. It will not be as chilly as it was yesterday, but have the sweatshirt and jacket handy for your Wednesday, as highs will be in the middle to upper 40s under mostly cloudy skies.

Clouds will begin to clear this evening and overnight. This will create better conditions for viewing another potential Northern Lights event tonight, as a G4 Geomagnetic Storm Watch remains in effect. We received several reports of Northern Lights all the way down to the shoreline last night – likely the best event in our area since October 2024.

No major changes to the medium-to-long range forecast. Expect seasonable temperatures with highs 45 to 50 degrees through Saturday. As far as sky cover, expect partly to mostly sunny skies during this interval. Low temperatures will hover in the upper 20s to middle 30s. A low pressure system will approach late Saturday bringing a chance of showers Saturday night into Sunday morning, but this does not look like a significant event.

Northern Lights are going crazy tonight as we are experiencing G4 Geomagnetic Storm Conditions. 📸 Derek Broadmeyer
11/12/2025

Northern Lights are going crazy tonight as we are experiencing G4 Geomagnetic Storm Conditions.

📸 Derek Broadmeyer

Reports of naked eye Aurora are flooding in tonight. This is from Danbury.📸 Lisa Kaiser Bras
11/12/2025

Reports of naked eye Aurora are flooding in tonight. This is from Danbury.

📸 Lisa Kaiser Bras

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