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12/08/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/8:

Morning satellite shows mostly clear skies over the region. A strong cold front has moved through as of this morning, shifting winds to the northwest and ushering in the coldest air of the season thus far. Monday will feature partly sunny skies with highs only in the mid to upper 20s (25–30°F). With clear skies and favorable radiational cooling Monday night, temperatures will drop into the single digits across much of the area—bundle up! Conditions moderate slightly on Tuesday as clouds increase ahead of the next system, with highs reaching the mid-30s. A few snow showers are possible Tuesday night, though any accumulation appears unlikely outside of northern Litchfield County.

By Wednesday, a clipper system tracking north will bring more widespread rain and snow showers. Given the current projected track, impacts should remain minimal for most locations, though light accumulations cannot be ruled out in the higher elevations of the northwest hills. Confidence in details will improve with short-range guidance over the next 24–36 hours. Skies clear Thursday and much of Friday before another clipper approaches late Friday night into Saturday. While timing and impacts remain uncertain, this system currently represents the best chance for accumulating snow in the seven-day forecast. At this time, a light event (around 1–3 inches) appears most likely, but there is plenty of time to monitor its evolution. Overall, a cold and active pattern will persist into the weekend and beyond.

We have a shot at a dusting of snow tomorrow morning - what is causing this?
12/05/2025

We have a shot at a dusting of snow tomorrow morning - what is causing this?

If you live in Connecticut or nearby areas, you might notice some light snow showers late tonight into tomorrow morning. Closer to New York City, there’s even a chance of freezing drizzle. But what’s causing this? The answer lies in something called an inverted trough—a term that sounds compli...

12/05/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/5:

Morning satellite shows partly cloudy skies over the region. A throwback December stretch is upcoming with highs running about 10 degrees below for the period. It will be very cold today, with highs in the upper 20s to low 30s for most. Bundle up if you’re headed outside.

Stil watching the potential for snow showers to work into the region late tonight into early Saturday morning. While this activity may only amount to a dusting in some areas , it will be cold enough to support sticking if snow showers are persistent enough. Light treatments may be needed in some communities. Timing of snow showers roughly 5AM to 10AM. Temperatures moderate into the middle to upper 30s by Saturday afternoon and Sunday, before another clipper system approaches Sunday night. Snow showers are possible late Sunday night into Monday morning, and light accumulations cannot be ruled out at this time.

Monday will be the coldest day of the season, with single digit lows possible Monday night. Watching another clipper system coming in late Tuesday for some wintry impacts as well, although too far out for details at this time. Stay tuned!

12/04/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/4:

Morning satellite shows partly cloudy skies over the region.! A throwback December stretch is upcoming with highs running about 10 degrees below for the period. A few snow showers are possible this afternoon as a cold front moves through, but expecting minimal impacts and isolated coverage. This cold front will keep highs in the 20s on Friday as a cold airmass settles in. A period of light snow cannot be ruled out Friday into Saturday morning, but dry air in place may hinder chances for a widespread accumulation. Still, those with snow removal interests should keep an eye on the Friday night to Saturday morning timeframe, at least for light treatments.

Monday will be the coldest day of the season, with single digit lows possible Monday night. Watching a clipper system coming in late Tuesday for some wintry impacts as well, although too far out for details at this time. Stay tuned!

12/03/2025

Forecast Discussion 12/3:

Morning satellite shows partly cloudy skies over the region. Dry conditions will persist through midweek, with temperatures remaining well below seasonal averages. Highs on Wednesday and Thursday will only reach the middle to upper 30s, roughly 10 degrees colder than normal for early December. On Wednesday, high pressure over the Ohio Valley will gradually shift eastward, leaving the region between this system and a departing coastal low. Winds will ease by midday as the pressure gradient relaxes. Thursday will bring similar conditions, though a cold front will approach from the northwest and pass through during the afternoon. A few snow showers are possible during this period, although I am not bullish on accumulation.

Late in the week, much colder air will settle into the region. Friday will be particularly cold as a strong high-pressure system moves overhead. Highs will range from the upper 20s inland to the mid-30s along the coast. By Friday night, an area of low-pressure tracks to the south. Thermal profiles support light snow late Friday night into early Saturday morning, bringing snow showers into the region. Light accumulations are possible into Saturday morning (Coating to 2 inches), so please keep an eye on this threat. The remainder of the weekend appears partly sunny albeit chilly.

Early next week will feature very cold conditions, with highs Monday struggling to reach the upper 20s to lower 30s and lows dipping into the teens and 20s. Looking ahead to the 6–10 day period, the extended outlook continues to favor below-normal temperatures across the region. Ensemble guidance indicates a sustained trough over the eastern United States, supporting Arctic air intrusions. Highs will likely remain in the 20s and 30s, with overnight lows in the teens for inland areas.

11/29/2025

A winter system will impact the region Tuesday of next week, with rain/snow likely through CT. No need for hype, but school and travel impacts are possible with a track similar to the European model.

11/27/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/27:

Good morning and Happy Thanksgiving. Highs today will generally stay between 38 and 43 degrees for many, with a few coastal spots closer to 45 degrees. Expect a mix of sun and clouds as a colder airmass works overhead. Bundle up if you have plans today or tomorrow, as winds will combine with below average temperatures to create wind chills in the 20s and 30s. Thursday will be notably breezy with wind gusts to 30 mph. Friday will be downright windy with gusts closer to 40 mph.

The next system approaches Sunday, with rain showers likely Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. This storm will be a “warm” storm, with highs close to 50 degrees on Sunday. After this system, however, models have been bringing cold air back faster, with a chance of winter weather with a system coming in Tuesday.

As far as precipitation types, confidence is higher this morning on snow across the interior and wintery mix/rain along the shoreline. Snow removal companies and municipalities should keep a close eye on this during the next several updates, as all major models show a storm signal. Of course, deviations in track are expected at this range that will ultimately impact precipitation type. Please stay tuned.

11/25/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/25:

Morning satellite shows mostly cloudy skies across the region. A frontal system is approaching the area from the west, with a shield of shower activity stretching through the Ohio Valley. No changes to arrival time here in Southern New England, with showers expected to break out between 2PM and 5PM from west to east. The chance of scattered showers continues Tuesday night and through the day on Wednesday, though it will not be a washout.

A cold front comes through Wednesday night, ushering in a much colder airmass for Thanksgiving Day through Thanksgiving weekend. Highs will generally stay between 37 and 42 degrees for many, with a few coastal spots closer to 45 degrees. The coldest day looks to be Black Friday, when winds will keep wind chills in the 20s much of the day. The pattern does break into early next week as temperatures moderate back into the 50s. Thus far no significant chance for winter weather on the horizon, though continuing to watch the first and second week of December.

Our company CT Weather is in no way affiliated with this inaccurate, clickbait article. The article references the sourc...
11/22/2025

Our company CT Weather is in no way affiliated with this inaccurate, clickbait article. The article references the source of this misleading snow outlook as “CT Weather” but is referring only to a page by the same name. That page is not ran by a degreed meteorologist.

11/21/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/21:

Morning satellite imagery shows mostly cloudy skies across the region. Expect a mostly cloudy day across Southern New England today, with highs topping out right around 50 degrees. A frontal system will be approaching from our west. I decided to take any chance of showers out of the forecast today, although still cannot rule out a passing sprinkle. Most areas stay dry through the evening.

Models continue to have disagreement over the exact track of showers tonight. HRRR/European model keep shower activity further suppressed, mostly missing CT, while the NAM and GFS have steadier showers Saturday morning. I would lean towards European/HRRR for less activity but kept a few showers in the forecast Saturday AM. Either way, expecting skies to clear by late Saturday morning with seasonably cool and pleasant weather expected for the weekend. Temperatures moderate into the middle 50s by early next week.

Models continue to suggest a rain event late Tuesday into the Wednesday before Thanksgiving. Exact timing needs to be ironed out, but guidance is in good agreement for improving conditions by Thanksgiving morning. Behind this system we will see a much colder airmass, and a potential threat for more “winter-type” storms. Please keep an eye on the last weekend of November into early December.

11/19/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/19:

We are right on the edge of a system this morning that is producing some sprinkle and flurry activity across Southern areas. Any scattered rain and snow showers will taper off by mid to late morning, with skies clearing out around lunchtime today. It will remain seasonably cool with temperatures in the middle to upper 40s today, and not much change for your day tomorrow.

A frontal system approaches on Friday, with temperatures moderating to the 50s to go along with rain showers in the afternoon. Skies clear by Saturday morning with seasonably cool and pleasant weather expected for the weekend. Temperatures moderate into the middle 50s by early next week. Some models have hinted at a rain event for the Wednesday before Thanksgiving. More updates to come on this as we head closer.

11/17/2025

Forecast Discussion 11/17:

Happy Monday! It is a very chilly start to Monday morning, with wind chills still in the 20s across much of the area. There are even a few flurries on radar across Western zones. It will be cold and breezy throughout the remainder of the day, with highs struggling to get to 40 degrees across the interior. Winds will be less than yesterday, but still expecting gusts 25 to 30 mph.

A storm system is expected to slide to our south on Wednesday. It will remain partly to mostly sunny here in CT with seasonably cool temperatures in the 40s. A frontal system approaches on Friday, with temperatures moderating to the 50s to go along with rain showers in the afternoon. Skies clear by Saturday morning with seasonably cool and pleasant weather expected for the weekend.

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