12/28/2025
This guy is saying 6-10 inches. I’m not so sure. What do you think?
Strap in. This is a big one for portions of Michigan.
A strong, dynamic low pressure system will move into Michigan during Sunday, rapidly intensifying into Monday. This will bring rain, a chance of storms, a lot of wind, and both synoptic snowfall and lake effect snowfall. For other forecasts, please scroll back on our page to find all of the other forecast for this system as this post will focus solely on expected snow accumulations.
UPPER PENINSULA:
Snow begins for the UP, primarily central and western UP around 3-4pm Sunday afternoon. Eastern UP may see snow showers during this time, but most of their precip will be a mix of snow, freezing rain, and rain.
Through midnight Sunday, snow will accumulate on the order of around 4-8” with locally higher amounts.
Overnight Sunday into Monday is where this system really ramps up. Heavy snow and intensifying wind will wreak havoc on localized areas in the northern and western portions of the Upper Peninsula. By sunrise Monday, winds could gust as high as 60-65mph, combining with moderate to heavy snowfall rates for several hours. This combination will cause legitimate blizzard conditions through most of Monday. By the time Monday night rolls around, 1-2 FEET of snow is expected with localized pockets of 30+ inches, perhaps near 3 feet of snow possible. This is highlighted in yellow areas. Snow will likely continue into Monday night/Tuesday morning, but our forecast stops Monday night, as confidence in Tuesdays accumulations drops to low levels.
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Elsewhere for the lower peninsula, Sunday will be mainly rain for us, with exception to very far northern lower where some snow may show through at times. 95% of the snow in the LP happens from Monday around 2-4am and continues all day Monday.
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LOWER MICHIGAN:
Lake effect snow will lead to accumulations on the order of 4-8” for much of west Michigan, with areas further east on the east side highlighted in 1-3” due to lake effect snow squalls/bands drifting further east. Some areas on the east side may only see a dusting, while others may see a few inches. This is comes down to how lake effect bands behave in the windy environment and really can’t be predicted precisely. We opted for a blanket of 1-3” as a result.
Elsewhere, along I-69 in south Michigan up to Mount Pleasant towards Oscoda, a narrow band of 2-5” of snow is forecasted.
Further north, lake effect snow kicks into a little higher gear, leading to a widespread 6-10” (locally higher totals definitely on the table) from Cadillac to Ga***rd to Rogers City and points northward.
As mentioned, the bulk of snow for the LP occurs during ALL of Monday. It is important to note that winds will be strong during this exact timeframe. This will lead to localized whiteout conditions which will make travel difficult, mainly for western and northern lower Michigan (as they see the most consistent snow bands) but at times, this could translate to the east side as well. So it’s best to be aware if you’re on the roads Monday, really anywhere in the state. Rapidly changing conditions are expected alongside high winds.
A final forecast update will be made tomorrow morning if needed. For information on wind, rain, storms, etc, please scroll back on our page through today. We posted several forecasts for you to review.
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-Ryan