06/01/2024
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
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Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
will run until November 30. The long-term averages for the number
of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3,
respectively.
The list of names for 2024 is as follows:
Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Alberto al-BAIR-toe Beryl BEHR-ril
Chris kris Debby DEH-bee
Ernesto er-NES-toh Francine fran-SEEN
Gordon GOR-duhn Helene heh-LEEN
Isaac EYE-zik Joyce joyss
Kirk kurk Leslie LEHZ-lee
Milton MIL-ton Nadine nay-DEEN
Oscar AHS-kur Patty PAT-ee
Rafael Rah-fah-EL Sara SAIR-uh
Tony TOH-nee Valerie VAH-lur-ee
William Will-yum
A full list of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone names and
pronunciations can be found at:
www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_pronounce_atlc.pdf
This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days. The
issuance times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT.
After the change to standard time in November, the issuance times
are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours for all
ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
changes or to modify watches or warnings.
NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for
disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose
the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to
land areas within 48 hours. For these land-threatening "potential
tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and
watch/warning products. Potential tropical cyclones share the
naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions,
being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One", "Two", "Three",
etc.).
The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel
watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between
intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by
radar. It is used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of a
special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be
issued at any time, can be found under WMO header WTNT61-65 KNHC,
and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.
All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at
https://www.hurricanes.gov. More information on NHC text and
graphical products can be found at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Product_Description.pdf. New and
updated products for the 2024 season can be found at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Updates_2024.pdf.
In 2024, NHC will expand its offering of Spanish language text
products to include all Public Advisories, the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion, the Tropical Cyclone Update, and Key Messages for the
Atlantic basin. These products will use AI techniques tested in
2023. Links to Spanish-language advisory products will be available
on hurricanes.gov. Information on headers for Spanish language
products can be found in the 2024 new and updated products for the
2024 season at document
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Updates_2024.pdf
You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at
https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via
X when select National Hurricane Center products are issued.
Information about our Atlantic X feed () is
available at https://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.php.
$$
Forecaster Berg
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