WQRZ

12/18/2024

Help me spread the word about Hancock County Amateur Radio Association, Inc.. Together, we can make a difference.

12/13/2024

:)

⚡️Hey Louisiana!
Be on the look out for Tab in the sky.
The I HEAR THUNDER billboard is on Hwy 90 heading West between the Raceland Exit & Exit 182 heading towards Houma, La. You can see it on the east side of the highway when you’re heading west.
As you pass it let it be a reminder to go to your favorite streaming station and turn up I Hear Thunder record and enjoy the rest of your ride.

Pick up a copy of I Hear Thunder and other Tab Benoit titles at 🔗whiskeybayourecords.com

12/01/2024

Hip Pocket Records, introduced by Philco-Ford in 1967, were a line of compact, portable 4-inch flexi-discs made of plastic. Designed to appeal to teens and young adults seeking convenient music storage, they paved the way for modern digital players.

Key features included their small size, durability, and portability. Compatible with miniature record players and some standard turntables with adapters, they offered a unique listening experience. However, their limited capacity of 3-4 minutes per side, similar to 45 RPM singles, and the rise of more convenient formats like 8-track tapes and cassette tapes, led to their short-lived existence in the late 1960s. Today, they remain a sought-after collectible for music enthusiasts.

11/15/2024

ROCK FRIDAY!!!!! WQRZ WQRZ 103.5FM Katrina Radio http://107.209.39.140:8001/wqrz.mp3 MP3 STREAM 228-463-1035

11/14/2024

Waveland will have the first Safe Haven Baby Box in Hancock County. The Baby Box will be operating after the blessing of the Baby Box at noon on Tuesday, November 19.
What is a Safe Haven Baby Box?
Safe Haven Baby Boxes offer a compassionate and secure option for mothers in crisis who are unable to care for their newborns.
No need to RSVP.

11/14/2024

🌱🚜 Calling All Local Farmers! 🌱🚜

Tiger Nation, we’re excited to announce a new opportunity to partner with our local farming community! Mrs. Brittany Logue, our Child Nutrition Director, is looking to collaborate with farmers who offer both fresh produce AND quality meats, to bring more Farm to School options to Bay-Waveland School District.

This is a fantastic chance to share your fresh, local produce and meats with our students, supporting healthy, nutritious meals in our schools. If you’re interested or know a farmer who would love to join us in this initiative, please reach out to Mrs. Logue at [email protected].

Let’s work together to make a difference in our students’ lives and showcase the best of our local harvests!

🍅🌽🥕

10/31/2024

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea during the next day or two. Gradual
development is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could
form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts
generally northward or northwestward over the central or western
Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are
possible during the next several days across portions of the area
from Nicaragua southeastward and eastward to northern Colombia.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Northeastern Caribbean Sea and Greater Antilles:
A trough of low pressure near Puerto Rico is producing widespread
cloudiness and showers over the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, the
Virgin Islands, the northern Leeward Islands, and the adjacent
waters of the Atlantic and the northeastern Caribbean. Slow
development of this system is possible during the next 2-3 days as
it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. After that
time, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure
area over the Caribbean. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rains are possible during the next several days from the northern
Leeward Islands westward across Puerto Rico and Hispaniola to
eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

3. North Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms have developed near the center of a
storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located about 550 miles
west of the western Azores. However, any additional development into
a subtropical or tropical cyclone is expected to be slow to occur as
the system moves eastward during the next few days. Additional
information on this system is available in High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Beven

10/31/2024

We Hacked Brice's Page and Wqrz, WQRZ 103.5FM Katrina Radio, WQRG 96.3FM Diamondhead From 5 til 11PM 103.5FM Ghostly Trio Sounds - Tune In!! HA HA HA HA HA HA! http://107.209.39.140:8001/wqrz.mp3

10/28/2024

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 28 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days. Gradual development is
possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this
week or over the weekend while the system begins to drift northward
or northeastward over the southwestern and central Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Hagen/Adams

10/27/2024

BE CYBER SECURITY AWARE!!

Secure .gov websites use HTTPS A lock () or https:// means you’ve safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.

10/27/2024

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 27 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea in a few days. Some gradual development
is possible toward the end of the week and over the weekend when the
system begins to drift northward or northeastward over the
southwestern and south-central Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

10/27/2024

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 26 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea around the middle of next week. Some
gradual development of this system will be possible through the end
of next week while it meanders or drifts northeastward over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Berg

10/25/2024

https://www.paypal.com/fundraiser/charity/147018

10/25/2024

https://www.noaa.gov/education/NOAA-spooky-science

October is spooky season! Follow along with us as we celebrate all things spooky, odd, and spine-tingling in the ocean and atmosphere with NOAA Spooky Science! NOAA Education is ready for spooky season! (Image credit: NOAA Education/Kaleigh Ballantine) Download Image Use this chilling, creepy conten

10/24/2024

October 22, 2024 Phone: 228-374-5000
MDMR offering free 2024 ServSafe Course
BILOXI, Miss. – The Mississippi Department of Marine Resources (MDMR) Seafood Technology Bureau will host a free ServSafe course for seafood industry members.
The class, taught by Michael Bauer with Mike’s Food Safety Class, LLC., will be held on Monday, Nov. 25, from 8 a.m. - 5 p.m. with additional time for testing from 5 p.m. - 7 p.m., as needed. The class will be held at the Maritime and Seafood Industry Museum, located at 115 E. 1st St. in Biloxi.

The cost is free for Mississippi residents and $160 for out-of-state residents. A valid ID will be required on the day of the class.

Space is limited to the first 30 registrants. Advanced registration is encouraged and can be completed at dmr.ms.gov/2024servsafetraining/, by email at [email protected] or by calling Jillianne Craft in the Seafood Technology Bureau at (228) 523-4024.

ServSafe is a food safety training and certification program developed by the National Restaurant Association. It provides education on safe food handling practices to help prevent foodborne illnesses. The program covers topics such as food storage, preparation, sanitation and employee hygiene. Participants who complete the training and pass the exam receive a certification that is recognized across the food service industry. This certification is required for any business in Mississippi that prepares, holds, transports and/or serves food.

For more information, contact the Seafood Technology Bureau at (228) 374-5000 or [email protected]. This workshop is made possible through funding from the Mississippi Tidelands Trust Fund Program.

The Mississippi Department of Marine Resources is dedicated to enhancing, protecting and conserving marine interests of the state by managing all marine life, public trust wetlands, adjacent uplands and waterfront areas to provide for the optimal commercial, recreational, educational and economic uses of these resources consistent with environmental concerns and social changes. Visit the DMR online at dmr.ms.gov.

—END—

10/24/2024

24-45-CWS October 23, 2024 Phone: 228-374-5000
2019 Mississippi Bonnet Carré Spillway Fisheries Disaster Recovery Program financial assistance applications to reopen for new applicants

BILOXI, Miss. – The 2019 Mississippi Bonnet Carré Spillway Fisheries Disaster Recovery Program financial assistance applications for commercial fisheries, seafood dealers and charter boat participants will reopen Monday, October 28, 2024, at 8 a.m. on the Mississippi Department of Marine Resources (MDMR) website at dmr.ms.gov/2019bcrelief/ for new applicants only. Anyone who received funds in the previous opening of the direct financial assistance program is not eligible to receive funds from this current program.

Applicants must be a Mississippi resident, 18 years or older and have possessed a valid Mississippi resident commercial fishing or dealer 2019 calendar year license with MDMR documented landings, verified by MDMR through trip tickets during the following five historical years 2014-2018. To qualify as a dealer, applicants must have been in possession of an active dealer license in 2019, have purchased seafood from an active Mississippi commercial fisherman between 2014 and 2018 and records of these transactions must be present in the MDMR trip ticket database. Eligible Mississippi resident charter boat captains must be 18 years or older and possessed a valid Mississippi resident charter boat license for the 2019 calendar year and at least one of the previous five years (2014-2018). If applying as a firm or corporation, it must be domiciled in Mississippi and registered with the Mississippi Office of the Secretary of State.

Applications will be open for 30 days and will close Tuesday, November 26, 2024, at 11:59 p.m. No late applications will be considered and there will be no appeals if the deadline is missed. Funding allocation has been structured so that only applications submitted by the deadline will be considered.

The following information is required for the application process: contact information, valid email address, all applicable 2019 calendar year fishing license numbers, date of birth and social security number or employer ID tax number. A W-9 form, incorporated into the application, will also be required for payment, and retained by MDMR.

For assistance submitting an application, contact the MDMR at 228-374-5000. For questions regarding the status of an application or payment, or if an email with completed individual application information is not received, contact Traci Floyd at 228-523-4068 or [email protected].

The Mississippi Department of Marine Resources is dedicated to enhancing, protecting and conserving marine interests of the state by managing all marine life, public trust wetlands, adjacent uplands and waterfront areas to provide for the optimal commercial, recreational, educational and economic uses of these resources consistent with environmental concerns and social changes. Visit the DMR online at dmr.ms.gov.



—END—

10/23/2024

10/19/2024

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Nadine, located just inland over Belize, and has just issued a
special advisory upgrading Oscar to a hurricane, located just east
of the Turks and Caicos Islands.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Hurricane Oscar are issued under WMO
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Hurricane Oscar are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Papin
NNNN

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nadine Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024
100 PM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024
..NADINE MOVING INLAND ACROSS BELIZE.....HEAVY RAINS AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OCCURRING OVER PARTS
OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 88.5W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM WNW OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 65 MI...140 KM SSW OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Belize City, Belize to Cancun, Mexico, including Cozumel

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was
located inland near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 88.5 West.
Nadine is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h). A faster
westward motion is expected during the next day or so. On the
forecast track, Nadine is expected to move across Belize, northern
Guatemala, and southern Mexico through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is expected, and Nadine will likely dissipate by late
Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Nadine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml

RAINFALL: Widespread 4 to 8 inch rainfall amounts are expected with
Nadine across northern Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern
Mexican states from Quintana Roo westward to Veracruz. Isolated
areas of amounts exceeding 12 inches are also possible through late
Tuesday.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Storm Nadine, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
through this afternoon.

STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore
winds near and to the north of where the center moves inland.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

BULLETIN
Hurricane Oscar Special Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162024
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024
..RECON FINDS TINY OSCAR A HURRICANE.....HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND
SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.4N 70.6W
ABOUT 165 MI...260 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM E OF CAMAGUEY CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Bahamas has issued a Hurricane Warning
for the Turks and Caicos Islands and the Southeastern Bahamas.

The government of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Watch for the
provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, and Las Tunas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* Southeastern Bahamas

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cuban Provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, and Las Tunas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cuban Provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, and Las Tunas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cuba Provence of Camaguey

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Oscar was located
near latitude 21.4 North, longitude 70.6 West. Oscar is moving
toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion with a gradual
slowdown and turn to the west-southwest is forecast over the next
couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds based on aircraft data are near 80 mph (130
km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible
today before gradual weakening begins early next week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 5 miles (10 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles
(75 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure measured by dropsonde
observations is 989 mb (29.21 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Oscar can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT1.shtml

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area tonight, with tropical storm
conditions expected to begin this afternoon, making outside
preparations dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible in
the watch area on Sunday.

RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated amounts
of 6 inches, are expected across the Turks and Caicos, southeastern
Cuba, and the southeastern Bahamas through Tuesday.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Storm Oscar, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?rainqpf .

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding in the Turks and Caicos Islands, where
water levels are expected to be between 2 and 4 feet. Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi

10/19/2024

Coastal Flood Advisory
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
229 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024
Lower Plaquemines-Lower St. Bernard-Southeast St. Tammany-
Eastern Orleans-Southern Hancock-
229 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024..COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM CDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Minor coastal flooding of up to 1 foot above ground level
expected during high tide tonight.

* WHERE...In Louisiana, Lower Plaquemines, Lower St. Bernard,
Southeast St. Tammany and Eastern Orleans Parishes. In
Mississippi, Southern Hancock County.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 7 AM CDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only
isolated road closures expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

10/19/2024

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Fifteen, located over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

1. North of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms have become slightly better organized
since yesterday with a trough of low pressure located more than 100 miles north of Puerto Rico. Some gradual development is possible this weekend while it moves generally westward at around 15 mph, passing near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas. By early next week, further development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Hagen

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024
700 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024
..HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED WITH FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS
OF BELIZE AND SOUTHERN MEXICO THIS WEEKEND.....TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE ALSO IN EFFECT...

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 85.7W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Belize City, Belize to Tulum, Mexico

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
17.5 North, longitude 85.7 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the west is
expected tonight and Saturday while the system approaches the coast.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slow strengthening is forecast, and the disturbance is forecast
to become a tropical storm before making landfall tomorrow.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
NOAA buoy 42056 in the Yucatan Basin recently reported a sustained
wind of 31 mph (50 km/h) and a gust of 38 mph (61 km/h).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen can be found in
the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO
header WTNT45 KNHC and on the web at
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml

RAINFALL: Widespread 4-8 inch rainfall amounts are expected across
northern Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern states of Mexico
from Quintana Roo westward to Veracruz. Isolated areas of amounts
exceeding 12 inches are also possible through late Tuesday.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
on Saturday.

SURF: Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore flow
near and to the north of where the center moves inland.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024
400 PM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

The disturbance currently located in the northwestern Caribbean Sea
has continued to increase in organization today, with persistent
showers and thunderstorms occurring around a broad low-level
circulation. Buoys and satellite-derived surface wind measurements
indicate that the system has not yet become a tropical cyclone.
However, it is becoming more likely that the system could become a
tropical cyclone in the next day or so before it reaches the coast
of Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday.
Therefore, the disturbance is being designated as Potential
Tropical Cyclone Fifteen, with an initial intensity of 30 kt, and
Tropical Storm Watches have been issued for portions of Belize and
the Yucatan Peninsula.

The center location remains uncertain due to the broad size of the
circulation, and the initial estimate of the current motion is
300/6 kt. Steered by mid-level easterly flow, the system is
expected to turn westward tonight and reach the coast of Central
America on Saturday. Thereafter, it is expected to move inland
before dissipating on Sunday. The NHC forecast is close to the
simple and corrected consensus models.

Conditions are generally favorable for modest intensification, with
light vertical wind shear and warm sea-surface temperatures.
However, the disturbance has less than one day before it moves
inland. Some strengthening is possible before landfall, and the
official forecast indicates that the disturbance will reach low-end
tropical storm status prior to landfall and then weaken before
dissipating on Sunday.

Key Messages:

1. An area of low pressure in the northwestern Caribbean Sea is
expected to bring impacts from heavy rain, coastal flooding, and
high surf to portions of Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico
during the next day or two. Localized areas of flash flooding are
possible along the track of Potential Tropical Cyclone Fifteen as it
treks westward through southern Mexico, northern Guatemala, and
northern Belize.

2. Tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the
coasts of Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico within the
Tropical Storm Watch area beginning tonight through Saturday night.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 18/2100Z 17.5N 85.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 19/0600Z 17.5N 86.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 19/1800Z 17.3N 88.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
36H 20/0600Z 17.2N 90.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi

10/17/2024

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands remain
disorganized. Some slow development is possible during the next few
days as the disturbance moves quickly westward to west-northwestward
around 20 mph, passing near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on
Friday, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas on
Saturday. Strong upper-level winds should end the chances of
development by late in the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Western Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea are
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual
development is possible over the next couple of days before it moves
inland over Central America. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall is likely across portions of Central America and
southern Mexico through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi/Hadi

10/16/2024

From the Hancock County, MS Emergency Operations Center
October 16, 2024 8:40 AM WEATHER REPORT:
Here is an update concerning hazardous weather threats to the area...
Overview:
A cold front moved across the area bringing windy conditions over land and water areas, resulting in issuance of the following -
A Red Flag Warning over land
Gale Warning over water (Today from now through 3pm this afternoon)
Small Craft Advisory (Today from 3pm to tomorrow morning at 7am)
(Included for Situational Awareness) The NHC has two areas of interest highlighted in the tropics...Any subsequent development of these areas poses no threat to southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi.

Hazards:
The high winds and low humidities driving the Red Flag Warning contribute to the rapid growth and spread of outdoor burning.
The high winds over waters cause dangerous waves/seas that can capsize boats.

Confidence:
Confidence for wind related hazards is high.
Confidence in lack of tropical weather impacts is high.

Brian T. Adam
EMA Director

Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
413 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024
..CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...
A red flag warning has been issued for today due to a
combination of low relative humidity and winds of 15 mph with
higher gusts.

LAZ034>037-039-046>048-056>060-064>071-076>090-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-161715-
/O.CON.KLIX.FW.W.0002.241016T1300Z-241017T0000Z/
Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana-East Feliciana-St. Helena-Washington-
Iberville-West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Assumption-St. James-
St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St. Charles-
Upper St. Bernard-Upper Terrebonne-Lower Terrebonne-
Lower Lafourche-Coastal Jefferson Parish-Lower Plaquemines-
Lower St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-Southeast St. Tammany-
Western Orleans-Eastern Orleans-Northern St. Tammany-
Southwestern St. Tammany-Central Tangipahoa-Lower Tangipahoa-
Northern Livingston-Southern Livingston-Western Ascension-
Eastern Ascension-Upper Jefferson-Lower Jefferson-
Upper Plaquemines-Central Plaquemines-Wilkinson-Amite-Pike-
Walthall-Pearl River-Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
413 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024
..RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...

* AFFECTED AREA...Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana, East Feliciana,
St. Helena, Washington, Iberville, West Baton Rouge, East
Baton Rouge, Assumption, St. James, St. John The Baptist,
Upper Lafourche, St. Charles, Upper St. Bernard, Upper
Terrebonne, Lower Terrebonne, Lower Lafourche, Coastal
Jefferson Parish, Wilkinson, Lower Plaquemines, Amite, Lower
St. Bernard, Pike, Northern Tangipahoa, Walthall, Southeast
St. Tammany, Western Orleans, Pearl River, Eastern Orleans,
Northern St. Tammany, Southwestern St. Tammany, Hancock,
Central Tangipahoa, Harrison, Lower Tangipahoa, Jackson,
Northern Livingston, Southern Livingston, Western Ascension,
Eastern Ascension, Upper Jefferson, Lower Jefferson, Upper
Plaquemines and Central Plaquemines.

* WINDS...Northeast 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 20 to 25 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fire that develops will catch and spread
quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This
system is forecast to move generally westward to west-northwestward,
and environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual
development during the latter part of this week. A tropical
depression could form as the system moves near the Leeward and
Virgin Islands late this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Western Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are
associated with a broad area of low pressure. Some gradual
development is possible if the system stays over water while it
moves slowly northwestward towards Central America. Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across portions of
Central America later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Bucci/R. Zelinsky