29/12/2024
Social Weather Stations Given a sponsor-authorized release of a commissioned survey item, SWS is disclosing pertinent survey results and technical details for the public’s benefit. The national Social Weather Survey of December 12-18, 2024 contained a question sponsored by Stratbase Consultancy on voter preference for senators. Stratbase provided the list of 70 names. The respondents were asked, “Narito po ang listahan ng mga pangalan ng mga kandidato para sa mga SENADOR NG PILIPINAS. Kung ang eleksiyon ay gaganapin ngayon, sino ang pinakamalamang ninyong iboboto bilang mga SENADOR NG PILIPINAS? Maaari po kayong pumili ng hanggang 12 pangalan? [Here is a list of names of candidates for SENATORS OF THE PHILIPPINES. If elections were to take place today, whom would you most probably vote for as SENATORS OF THE PHILIPPINES? You can mention up to 12 names].” The respondents were shown a showcard of 70
names to choose from, and they gave their answers orally. The list was in alphabetical order, and included nicknames, as practiced by the Commission on Elections on election day.
In a list of 70 names, Tulfo, Erwin (LAKAS) leads the list of 12 possible winners for Senator of the Philippines for the 2025 elections with 45% of intended votes. He is followed by B**g Revilla, Ramon, Jr. (LAKAS) in 2nd place (33%), Go, B**g Go (PDPLBN) and Cayetano, Pia (NP) are tied in 3rd-4th place with 32% each, Sotto, Tito (NPC) in 5th place (31%), Tulfo, Ben Bitag (IND) in 6th place (30%), Lacson, Ping (IND) in 7th place (27%), Pacquiao, Manny Pacman (PFP) and Revillame, Willie Wil (IND) are tied in 8th-9th place with 26% each, Binay, Abby (NPC) in 10th place (25%), and Lapid, Lito (NPC) in 11th place (23%). In contention for the 12th place are: Villar, Camille (NP), Dela Rosa, Bato (PDPLBN), and Marcos, Imee R. (NP) tied in 12th-14th place with 21% each, and Pangilinan, Kiko (LP) in 15th place (20%). 14% each, and Salvador, Phillip Ipe (PDPLBN) in 21st place (10%). Obtaining single-digit scores are: Singson, Manong Chavit (IND) (9%), Bosita, Bonifacio (IND) (8%), Marcoleta, Rodante (IND) (6%), Castro, Teacher France (MKBYN) (4%), Rodriguez, Atty. Vic (IND) (3%), Bondoc, Jimmy (PDPLBN) (3%), Arellano, Ernesto (KTPNAN) (2%), Aguilar, Cez (WPP) (2%), Ramos, Danilo (MKBYN) (2%), Chico, Raffy (PM) (2%), Querubin, Ariel Porfirio (NP) (2%), Casiño, Teddy (MKBYN) (2%), De Guzman, Ka Leody (PLM) (2%), Mendoza, Heidi (IND) (2%), Apolinario, Joel (PM) (2%), Quiboloy, Apollo (IND) (2%), Martinez, Eric (IND) (2%), Gonzales, Norberto (PDSP) (2%), Escobal, Arnel (PM) (1%), Cay, Laurel (K*K) (1%), Brosas, Arlene (MKBYN) (1%), Capuyan, Allen (PPP) (1%), Adonis, Jerome (MKBYN) (1%), Tapado, Michael B**gbong (PM) (1%), Maza, Liza (MKBYN) (1%), Matula, Atty. Sonny (WPP) (1%), Espiritu, Luke (PLM) (1%), Arcega, Gerald (PM) (1%), Valbuena, Mar Manibela (IND) (1%), D'Angelo, David (BUNYOG) (1%), Sahidulla, Nur-Ana (IND) (1%), Amir Hussin, Salipada (PM) (1%), Floranda, Mody Piston (MKBYN) (1%), Andamo, Nars Alyn (MKBYN) (1%), Lambino, Raul (PDPLBN) (1%), Arambulo, Ronnel (MKBYN) (1%), Lee, Manoy Wilbert (AKSYON) (1%), Palomares, Diego Jr. (PM) (1%), Verceles, Leandro (IND) (1%), Hinlo, Jayvee (PDPLBN) (1%), Cabonegro, Roy (DPP) (1%), Guigayuma, JB (K*K) (0.5%), Doringo, Nanay Mimi (MKBYN) (0.5%), Lamoste, Princedatu (WPP) (0.4%), Pagaragan, Super Mar (PM) (0.3%), Salih, Najar (PM) (0.3%), Olonan, Henry (WPP) (0.3%), Cuatchin, Shirly (WPP) (0.3%), and Lidasan, Amirah (MKBYN) (0.2%). Twelve percent were undecided or refused to give a name at the time of the survey.
Survey background
The Fourth Quarter Social Weather Survey was conducted from December 12-18, 2024, using face-to-face interviews of 2,097 registered voters (18 years old and above) nationwide: 342 in Metro Manila, 1,050 in Balance Luzon (or Luzon outside Metro Manila), 353 in the Visayas, and 352 in Mindanao. Face-to-face is the standard interviewing method for Social Weather Stations; the only exceptions were early in the pandemic when movement restrictions made face-to-face impossible and mobile phone interviews were conducted. Normal face-to-face field operations resumed in November 2020. The sampling error margins are ±2.1% for national percentages, ±5.3% for Metro Manila, ±3.0% for Balance Luzon, and ±5.2% each for the Visayas and Mindanao. The area estimates were weighted by the Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population projections for 2024 to obtain the national estimates. The survey results are shown in Table 1.
SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data processing, and analysis and does not outsource any of its survey operations.
