13/11/2021
WHY UDA MIGHT NOT SWEEP ALL MURANGA SEATS.
This newspaper has been doing research to establish UDA popularity in Muranga County. It uncovered shocking details. Whereas politics is always on a flux, if elections were held today, UDA would not sweep all Muranga seats despite Dp William Ruto popularity.
It appears for the first time since multiparty elections, Muranga County ( and probably other Mt Kenya region) might vote for individuals. Our investigations revealed indeed both Hon Alice Wahome and Hon Ndindi Nyoro will be reelected. UDA is a major reelection factor. It also appears Senator Irungu Kangata might win gubernatorial seat with a landslide.
Whereas party is a factor fueling his popularity, we have ascertained there are other factors he posses beyond party. They include his numerous medical camps and national profile he accrued when he served as chief whip. There is likelihood UDA will win Mathioya seat but if only Mugo gets the ticket. But that is all. UDA candidate Muriu might be defeated in Gatanga. Though UDA MURIU is a sharp and rich lawyer with youthful looks ,it is said his Kieleweke incumbent has performed. Engineer Nduati is viewed by many as a polite and humble person unlike Muriu who is looks elitist. He is making good progress particularly after lauching bursary though and indeed his loss might be close or even he can overrun Nduati ultimately.
UDA does not have a formidable women rep candidate .That seat is for radio personality Waithera to lose , irrespective of party. Kigumo Mp Wangari ,despite publicly vouching for Raila openly, is currently leading in Kigumo. The same applies in Maragwa where Incumbent Wamaua, despite her poor interpersonal traits ,can be reelected. Both are being viewed positively in terms of performance. UDA candidates in both constituencies are weak. It was expected Munyoro would outshine Wangari in Kigumo but so far he is yet to ignite the ground in his favour. In Kangema ,despite his lacklustre performance due to age , Mp Kigano can only be ousted by Kihungi who is yet to declare his affiliation. UDA candidate Mukuha is rich and monied. However ,he is yet to cause ground reverberation.
For senate, UDA candidate Nyutu is fairly popular in Muranga South but he us unknown in North. Kieleweke Kembi can outshine him on name recognition though Kemsa Scandal and UDA factor might bring him down. If Nyutu rides on Kang'ata wave, he can win.All these factors make UDA strong only for the following seats :Governor ( Kang'ata); Mps Alice ,Ndindi and Mugo. Its 50.50 in Senate. It might lose with a slight margin in Gatanga and Kangema.
It might lose overwhelmingly in Maragwa and Kigumo
Next we will focus on Kiambu county.