Radio Mike

04/12/2024

19/11/2022

NEW: Oxford mathematical model predicts route to the men's FIFA World Cup ⚽️🏆

The model - created by Oxford Mathematics researcher Joshua Bull - forecasts:

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Wales to go out in the group stages
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England to lose in the quarter-final
🇦🇷 Argentina vs Brazil in the semi-final
🇧🇷 Brazil to beat Belgium in the final

The model simulated the group stages one million times and took the most common outcomes.

The algorithm then simulated each knockout game 100,000 times.

The model has been created by analysing team rating data from http://eloratings.net, focusing on every first-team international game since 2018.

In this video, Joshua explains the model: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KjISuZ5o06Q

13/11/2022

26/08/2022

Not quite up and running with the new studio kit so here’s a pic of the real deal. No wonder he’s smiling!