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The financial industry in Britain could face a staggering cost of approximately £30 billion ($38 billion) as a result of...
28/11/2024

The financial industry in Britain could face a staggering cost of approximately £30 billion ($38 billion) as a result of the ongoing investigation into historical motor finance sales practices, according to an assessment by the ratings agency Moody's. This figure was disclosed on Tuesday, reflecting the growing liabilities linked to the review, which has been conducted by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).

The investigation has been focused on practices related to motor finance agreements offered by banks and specialist lenders. At the center of the inquiry are concerns about undisclosed or "hidden" commissions, which were tied to financing deals for automobile purchases. The court's recent decision to uphold claimants' appeals has reportedly expanded the scope of the review, thereby increasing the potential liabilities for the involved financial institutions.

Financial Implications
Moody's has projected that redress costs could fall within a range of £8 billion to £21 billion. However, the ratings agency has cautioned that the court ruling could add an additional £9 billion to the total liability. In a worst-case scenario, this could bring the overall cost to £30 billion. This financial burden, if realized, would be a significant hit to the affected banks and lenders. The liabilities would arise primarily from the compensation claims that would need to be paid to consumers who were impacted by the undisclosed commission arrangements.

Regulatory Oversight and Consumer Protection
The FCA has been at the forefront of the investigation, aiming to ensure transparency and fairness in financial transactions. Its review of historical motor finance practices highlights the regulatory body’s commitment to holding institutions accountable for breaches in consumer trust. The investigation has also raised broader questions about the lending practices of financial institutions and their compliance with ethical standards. The focus on undisclosed commissions has underscored the need for greater transparency in financial agreements, particularly in sectors like motor finance, which often involves complex contractual arrangements.

Key policymakers within the European Central Bank (ECB) have expressed greater concern about the potential adverse effec...
28/11/2024

Key policymakers within the European Central Bank (ECB) have expressed greater concern about the potential adverse effects of anticipated U.S. trade tariffs on economic growth in the eurozone rather than on inflation. This sentiment was conveyed on Monday by Vice-President Luis de Guindos and Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel, who emphasized the risks posed by protectionist measures to output. Their concerns were later echoed by Claudia Buch, the ECB’s top banking supervisor.
Global investors and policymakers are closely monitoring the incoming trade policies of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who prioritized protectionism during his campaign. Many fear that these policies could lead to escalating trade tensions, with significant implications for global economic stability.

At an event in Frankfurt, de Guindos highlighted the evolving macroeconomic risks, stating that fears over high inflation have been superseded by concerns regarding economic growth. He pointed out that uncertainties surrounding global trade policies and geopolitical tensions have significantly clouded the eurozone’s growth outlook. He further warned that intensified trade tensions could lead to severe economic disruptions.

De Guindos’ remarks reflect growing apprehension that protectionist measures, if implemented, could disrupt the already fragile recovery in the euro area. Analysts have speculated that a new wave of trade disputes, particularly between the U.S. and China, could trigger retaliatory actions with widespread consequences for Europe.
In Tokyo, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel discussed the likely impact of U.S. tariffs, stating that while they might disrupt international trade, their influence on inflation is expected to remain limited. Nagel explained that global integration would need to decline significantly to exert noticeable inflationary pressures.

He added that in the event of heightened inflation due to geoeconomic fragmentation, the ECB and other central banks would counterbalance it through interest rate adjustments. This assurance highlighted the ECB’s readiness to employ monetary tools to stabilize prices amidst shifting trade dynamics.

In August, foreign investors significantly increased their investments in emerging market stocks and debt portfolios, po...
18/09/2024

In August, foreign investors significantly increased their investments in emerging market stocks and debt portfolios, positioning themselves in anticipation of an imminent rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve. According to data released by a banking trade group, a net $30.9 billion was directed into these markets during the month. This figure represented a slight decrease from July’s total but demonstrated a continued strong appetite for emerging market assets, fueled by expectations of monetary policy shifts in developed economies.

The bulk of the capital inflows, totaling $27.8 billion, was directed towards fixed income funds, excluding China, while $1.4 billion was funneled into Chinese debt. Despite this influx into Chinese debt, Chinese equities experienced a $1.5 billion outflow. In total, net inflows into emerging market stocks amounted to $1.7 billion. The contrasting performance of Chinese debt and equities highlighted differing investor sentiment towards various asset classes within the Chinese market.

Economist Jonathan Fortun from the Institute of International Finance (IIF) remarked that the anticipation of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts had already been priced into the market. Investors, as a result, were reallocating substantial amounts of capital into emerging market debt, expecting favorable returns. Fortun's statement emphasized that the expectation of lower interest rates in the U.S. was acting as a major catalyst for these investment flows into emerging markets.

The net total of $30.9 billion in August inflows was slightly lower than the $37.4 billion observed in July. However, it marked a dramatic improvement from the same period in the previous year when August 2023 saw a net outflow of $21 billion. This year-on-year shift reflected the growing confidence among foreign investors in emerging market assets, driven largely by the global economic outlook and changes in interest rate policies.

On Monday, the Canadian dollar showed a slight strengthening against its U.S. counterpart, largely influenced by a rebou...
17/09/2024

On Monday, the Canadian dollar showed a slight strengthening against its U.S. counterpart, largely influenced by a rebound on Wall Street. Despite this improvement, gains were limited due to anticipation of a forthcoming speech by Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem. Market participants expected that Macklem’s speech, scheduled for Tuesday, might offer insights into the future trajectory of interest rate cuts in Canada.

By the end of the trading day, the Canadian dollar had appreciated by 0.1%, trading at 1.3553 per U.S. dollar, which equated to approximately 73.78 U.S. cents. This small gain followed a two-week low for the loonie, which had hit 1.3582 to the U.S. dollar just a few days earlier. Analysts were cautious in interpreting the currency's recovery, noting that it was not driven by any significant developments in the Canadian economy itself.

Marc Chandler, the chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex LLC, remarked that the Canadian dollar's performance on Monday was more a result of external factors rather than internal economic improvements. He suggested that the recovery of the currency had more to do with global market conditions, particularly the resilience of the 1.36 exchange rate level and a rally in U.S. stock markets. Chandler indicated that the market was in a "risk-on mode," with investors willing to take on more risk amid the surge in U.S. equities, which had a positive knock-on effect on the Canadian dollar.

The rally in U.S. stock markets came after a challenging week in which major indexes had suffered significant losses. Investors' attention had shifted towards the size and timing of potential interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 2024. This shift in focus, coupled with the anticipation of a crucial inflation report scheduled for release on Wednesday, fueled the upward momentum in equities. These developments also indirectly supported the Canadian dollar, as Canada is a major producer of commodities like oil, which tend to benefit from improved investor sentiment.

In an ambitious move aimed at capturing a share of the growing in-person payment market, PayPal Holdings Inc. announced ...
11/09/2024

In an ambitious move aimed at capturing a share of the growing in-person payment market, PayPal Holdings Inc. announced plans to expand its presence in U.S. point-of-sale transactions. The strategy includes integrating its debit card with Apple’s mobile wallet and offering a 5% cashback reward program, as the online payments giant seeks to challenge the dominance of tech companies and traditional banks in the realm of in-store purchases. This shift represents a significant aspect of the company’s turnaround strategy, driven by its new CEO, Alex Chriss, who took the helm after joining from Intuit in 2022.

The announcement followed years of PayPal's dominance in online payments and its strong presence in peer-to-peer transactions through its Venmo app. However, the company had not previously made a concerted effort to encourage its customers to use PayPal products for in-person transactions. According to PayPal’s statement, the company had recognized the need to extend its services to include everyday, in-store purchases at locations like cafes, restaurants, and retail stores. Chriss was quoted as saying that while e-commerce had been one of the fastest-growing segments for consumer spending, it was no longer sufficient. PayPal now aims to position itself as a payment solution for every type of purchase, whether online or in person.

The move into point-of-sale payments has been bolstered by an attractive 5% cashback incentive for select purchases, applicable up to $1,000 per month. This cashback program will be complemented by additional rewards from popular brands such as DoorDash and Sephora, offering consumers even more incentive to use PayPal for everyday transactions. As per industry reports, the value of U.S. debit card payments has risen significantly in recent years, reaching $4.55 trillion in 2021, up from $2.47 trillion in 2015. PayPal’s decision to enter this growing market has been seen as a strategic move to capitalize on this trend.

On Thursday, the South African rand was reported to have extended its gains, as improved risk sentiment was observed fol...
10/09/2024

On Thursday, the South African rand was reported to have extended its gains, as improved risk sentiment was observed following increased speculation regarding a potential deeper interest rate cut by the United States later in the month. Analysts noted that by 1502 GMT, the rand was trading at 17.73 against the U.S. dollar, representing a 0.81% increase from its closing level on Wednesday.
The strengthening of the rand was attributed to a weaker dollar, which had been observed following a significant drop in U.S. job openings to a 3.5-year low in July. According to Andre Cilliers, a currency strategist at TreasuryONE, the decline in job openings had led to heightened expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This anticipation had contributed to a rise in risk sentiment and a subsequent retreat of the dollar.
Cilliers further explained that the improved risk sentiment and the dollar's retreat were linked to the market's hopes for a larger rate cut by the Federal Reserve. As a result of these developments, it was anticipated that the local currency, the rand, might continue to consolidate within the recent trading range of R17.70 to R18.00, particularly as traders awaited the upcoming U.S. payroll numbers.
It was noted that, similar to other currencies sensitive to global economic drivers, the rand often responds to factors such as U.S. monetary policy in addition to domestic influences. The recent movements in the rand were therefore seen as a reflection of both international and local economic conditions.
Domestically, it was reported that South Africa's current account deficit had narrowed in the second quarter. Central bank data indicated that the deficit had decreased to 0.9% of gross domestic product (GDP) from 1.5% of GDP in the first quarter. This improvement in the current account deficit was likely to have contributed to the positive sentiment towards the rand.

The British pound has recently reached a one-month high against the euro, driven by investor reactions to new inflation ...
03/09/2024

The British pound has recently reached a one-month high against the euro, driven by investor reactions to new inflation data from Germany and Spain. These figures have led to increased speculation regarding potential interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB). The inflation rates in several key German states fell during August, primarily due to a decline in energy prices, while Spain experienced its slowest inflation rate in a year. These developments have influenced currency markets, with the pound rising by 0.25% to 84.05 pence per euro, after reaching 84.00 pence, its strongest level since July 25.

In contrast, the pound's performance against the U.S. dollar remained relatively stable, trading at $1.3190. Earlier in the week, it had climbed to $1.3269, marking its highest value since March 22. The pound was also poised for a 3.2% increase in August, representing its largest monthly gain since November 2023. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar strengthened, and the euro weakened following the release of the inflation data.

The Bank of England's (BoE) cautious approach to monetary policy has played a significant role in supporting the pound's recent performance. The central bank had cut its Bank Rate during its August meeting, contributing to the currency's strength. Market analysts have speculated that the BoE is likely to implement just one more rate cut this year, anticipated to occur in November. This expectation is based on the belief that British inflation will remain above the target set by the BoE.

Attention is now turning to the upcoming budget announcement by UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, scheduled for the end of October. Economic analysts, including those from Citi, have projected that the budget will include a revenue-raising package of approximately 20 billion pounds ($26 billion). However, this fiscal strategy is expected to have a dampening effect on economic growth throughout the following year.

SoftBank, the prominent Japanese technology investment giant, has reportedly abandoned plans to collaborate with Intel o...
21/08/2024

SoftBank, the prominent Japanese technology investment giant, has reportedly abandoned plans to collaborate with Intel on developing an advanced artificial intelligence (AI) chip intended to challenge Nvidia's market dominance. According to a report by the Financial Times on Thursday, the decision to halt the partnership was driven by Intel's inability to meet the specific production requirements set by SoftBank. This development highlights the growing complexities in the highly competitive AI chip market, where technological and production capabilities are paramount.

The Collapse of the SoftBank-Intel Partnership

The planned collaboration between SoftBank and Intel was intended to create a powerful AI chip that could directly compete with Nvidia's industry-leading offerings. However, the partnership ultimately failed to materialize due to Intel's reported struggles in meeting the stringent stringent demands set forth by SoftBank. Sources familiar with the situation revealed that SoftBank had imposed rigorous requirements on Intel, particularly concerning production volume and speed, which Intel was unable to satisfy.

SoftBank's decision to terminate the talks has been attributed to its dissatisfaction with Intel's capabilities. The Japanese conglomerate, known for its strategic investments in cutting-edge technology, had high expectations for the collaboration. However, as the discussions progressed, it became apparent that Intel would be unable to deliver the necessary performance levels required for the AI chip, leading to the collapse of the partnership.

SoftBank's Shift Toward TSMC

Following the breakdown of talks with Intel, SoftBank has reportedly shifted its focus to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the world's largest contract chipmaker. TSMC has a well-established reputation for its advanced semiconductor manufacturing processes and has become a key player in the global chip supply chain. By engaging in discussions with TSMC, SoftBank appears to be seeking a more reliable partner to achieve its ambitious goals in the AI chip sector.

It was announced on Monday by Jefferies Financial Group (JEF.N) that Japan’s Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp (SMBC) had mor...
19/08/2024

It was announced on Monday by Jefferies Financial Group (JEF.N) that Japan’s Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp (SMBC) had more than doubled its stake in the U.S. investment bank, reaching 10.9%. This move signifies a deepening of the alliance between the two financial institutions, a partnership that dates back to 2021.

As part of the expanded relationship, Toru Nakashima, CEO of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG), SMBC’s parent company, has been appointed to Jefferies' board of directors. The U.S. bank revealed in a statement that this development aligns with SMBC's plans to increase its stake in Jefferies to as much as 15%, a move that was flagged last year.

Under the terms of the partnership, specific roles have been delineated between the two institutions. Jefferies' dealmakers are set to take the lead on mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and equity capital markets (ECM). In contrast, SMBC’s bankers will focus on corporate lending and the issuance of investment-grade debt. This arrangement allows both institutions to leverage their respective strengths in a collaborative effort to secure and execute significant deals.

According to Jefferies President Brian Friedman, there is an active and extensive pipeline of M&A, ECM, and leveraged financing activities that involve collaboration between SMBC and Jefferies. Friedman indicated to Reuters that a substantial number of deals have been completed, and more are in the pipeline, highlighting the efficacy of the partnership. The combination of SMBC’s robust balance sheet and its extensive international client roster has significantly enhanced Jefferies' ability to participate in overseas deals, providing the U.S. bank with access to a broader range of opportunities.

The strategic alliance between SMBC and Jefferies has already yielded meaningful results in the short few years since its inception. Nakashima expressed optimism in a statement, noting that the alliance has generated substantial opportunities for both institutions. This sentiment underscores the mutual benefits that the partnership has delivered, as well as the potential for future growth and collaboration.

The U.S. dollar experienced a significant rise on Thursday following the release of new U.S. labor market data, which in...
14/08/2024

The U.S. dollar experienced a significant rise on Thursday following the release of new U.S. labor market data, which indicated a sharper-than-expected decrease in unemployment benefit claims. This development helped to alleviate fears of an impending recession, providing a boost to the greenback across various currencies, particularly the yen. The yen had undergone a tumultuous week, marked by sharp fluctuations as investors grappled with the implications of Japanese monetary policy and the unwinding of popular carry trades.

The U.S. Labor Department reported that initial jobless claims fell to a seasonally adjusted 233,000 for the week ending August 3. This drop exceeded market expectations and suggested that concerns about a deteriorating labor market might have been overstated. The decline in claims was seen as a positive sign for the U.S. economy, bolstering the dollar's strength in the global currency markets.

The yen, however, faced a different trajectory. It was noted to have declined by 0.37%, settling at 147.205 per dollar after a substantial 1.6% slide on Wednesday. This decline followed comments from the Bank of Japan's Deputy Governor, Shinichi Uchida, who downplayed the likelihood of a near-term interest rate hike, a move that would typically strengthen the currency. The yen's volatility throughout the week had been significant, with the currency initially surging to a seven-month high of 141.675 per dollar before experiencing sharp declines.

The movement in the yen had a noticeable impact on the dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six major counterparts, including the yen. The index reached a weekly high, reflecting the dollar's broad-based strength, although it later eased slightly. By Thursday, the index had risen to 103.21, surpassing Monday's seven-month low of 102.15. Despite this gain, market participants remained cautious, anticipating continued volatility in the currency markets.

Lyft, the prominent ride-hailing company, witnessed a significant decline in its stock value on Wednesday, as shares dro...
13/08/2024

Lyft, the prominent ride-hailing company, witnessed a significant decline in its stock value on Wednesday, as shares dropped by 16% following a disappointing forecast for the critical summer quarter. This decline sparked concerns among investors about Lyft's ability to compete with its larger rival, Uber, in the fiercely competitive North American ride-hailing market.

The company’s shares reached an eight-month low, falling to $9.20 in early trading. This steep decline put Lyft on course to lose over $700 million in market value. The market reacted strongly to the forecast, which many interpreted as a sign that Lyft might be losing ground to Uber, which had reported strong financial results just a day earlier.

The competition between Lyft and Uber has been intense, with both companies striving to capture a larger share of the North American ride-hailing sector. Uber, with its global presence and diverse range of services, has been able to attract and retain customers by offering various subscription plans. These plans provide users with benefits such as discounted rides, priority services, and other perks that enhance customer loyalty. Lyft, on the other hand, has focused on maintaining competitive fares and implementing cost-cutting measures across the company to strengthen its position in the market.

Analysts have expressed concerns that Lyft may struggle to gain the market share that Uber has been able to secure. Mike Ramsey, a transportation analyst at Gartner, noted that while Lyft might face difficulties in matching Uber's success, the existence of a strong second competitor like Lyft is crucial for maintaining a balanced pricing structure in the industry. Without competition, there is a risk that Uber could dominate the market, potentially leading to higher prices for consumers.

Continental AG the German automotive parts supplier, reported results on Wednesday that exceeded market expectations, wh...
12/08/2024

Continental AG the German automotive parts supplier, reported results on Wednesday that exceeded market expectations, while also signaling that the latter half of the year would likely see even stronger performance. The company's leadership attributed this positive outlook to the ongoing cost-cutting and restructuring measures that have begun to yield financial benefits.

Despite this optimism, Continental adjusted its sales forecast downward for the year, setting a new range of €40 billion to €42 billion ($45.87 billion), with expectations to reach the lower end of that range. The company, however, projected that stronger profit margins in the upcoming quarters would offset this reduction, supported by planned cost reductions amounting to approximately €100 million.

Continental's executives tempered their forecast with caution, warning investors about potential challenges ahead due to slower demand, particularly in key markets such as Europe and China. Olaf Schick, the company's Chief Financial Officer, described the European market as "a bit dramatic," reflecting the significant hurdles facing the region. Additionally, Schick acknowledged that growth in China was progressing more slowly than anticipated, which could further impact the company's sales outlook.

In response to the challenges in the Chinese market, Continental has been strategizing to increase the proportion of its sales directed toward local Chinese customers. This move aligns with a broader industry trend, where companies are increasingly focusing on localizing their business operations within China to safeguard against potential trade barriers and geopolitical risks.

Improving Margins and Strategic Adjustments

Continental reported improved profit margins across all of its divisions. Adjusted earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) rose by 40.6% from the previous year, reaching €704 million ($768.35 million). This significant improvement in profitability was seen as a positive indicator of the effectiveness of the company's restructuring and cost-management efforts.

Shares of ABN Amro experienced a 5% increase on Wednesday after the Dutch bank raised its forecast for full-year net int...
09/08/2024

Shares of ABN Amro experienced a 5% increase on Wednesday after the Dutch bank raised its forecast for full-year net interest income to 6.4 billion euros ($6.98 billion), citing stronger-than-expected performance in the second quarter. This adjustment in forecast followed an impressive second-quarter showing that surpassed market expectations, positioning the bank favorably among some of the euro zone's largest financial institutions benefiting from a prolonged period of higher interest rates.

The bank's second-quarter net interest income significantly exceeded estimates, reflecting the advantages of a "higher-for-longer" interest rate environment. CEO Robert Swaak attributed the robust results to the solid performance of the Dutch economy, specifically highlighting a housing market rebound and an influx of new mortgage clients. This positive economic backdrop played a crucial role in ABN Amro's financial achievements during the quarter.

Previously, ABN Amro had projected net interest income of 6.3 billion euros, which aligned with the levels seen in 2023. However, the latest figures prompted an upward revision of this forecast, signaling improved financial prospects for the bank. This adjustment mirrored similar moves by rival Dutch bank ING (INGA.AS), which had also raised its 2024 income outlook to over 22 billion euros after reporting second-quarter net interest income that exceeded predictions.

In the second quarter, ABN Amro's net interest income—a vital metric representing the earnings from loans minus the costs of deposits—fell by 1% year-on-year to 1.61 billion euros. Despite this slight decline, the figure surpassed analysts' forecast of 1.58 billion euros, as determined by a company-compiled poll. Additionally, net profit for the quarter stood at 642 million euros, again beating estimates, although it was down by 26% compared to the same period last year.

Investor concerns about a potential recession in the United States, triggered by unexpectedly weak employment data relea...
08/08/2024

Investor concerns about a potential recession in the United States, triggered by unexpectedly weak employment data released on Friday, led to a significant drop in shares of European lenders during early trading on Monday. This downturn reflected broader market anxieties, resulting in a sharp decline in the region-wide banking index.

The European banking index, known by its ticker .SX7P, experienced a steep fall of approximately 4.4%, marking its lowest point since March. This index, which tracks the performance of major banks across Europe, was hit hard as investors reacted to the unsettling news from the U.S. labor market.

Italy's banking giants, UniCredit and Intesa Sanpaolo, along with Germany's Deutsche Bank, saw their shares plummet by about 6%. This drop underscored the pervasive fear among investors that the European banking sector might face substantial challenges if the U.S. economy were to enter a recession. Barclays, one of the UK's leading banks, also suffered a significant decline, with its shares falling by 5.4%. Similarly, Spain's Banco Sabadell witnessed a decrease of 4.9% in its stock value.

The fears were exacerbated by the latest U.S. employment report, which revealed fewer job additions than anticipated. This data raised concerns about the health of the U.S. economy, as robust employment figures are typically seen as an indicator of economic strength. The unexpected weakness in the labor market suggested that economic growth might be slowing, prompting fears of a potential recession.

Market analysts indicated that the sell-off in European bank stocks was driven by a broader risk-off sentiment among investors. As the U.S. economy plays a pivotal role in the global financial system, any signs of economic weakness in the U.S. tend to ripple across international markets. The concerns about a U.S. recession led to heightened volatility and increased selling pressure in the European banking sector.

The dollar remained stable on Monday as traders prepared for a series of significant market events, including midweek po...
07/08/2024

The dollar remained stable on Monday as traders prepared for a series of significant market events, including midweek policy decisions by the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England, as well as a potentially crucial U.S. employment report for the Federal Reserve on Friday.

The yen experienced little change following its strongest weekly rally since late April. This rally was driven by shifting interest rate expectations and a stock market sell-off. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against the euro, yen, and four other major currencies, saw an increase of 0.18%, reaching 104.56. Meanwhile, the euro slipped by 0.33% to $1.0821. The dollar/yen pair last saw an increase of 0.13%, settling at 153.995, after reversing an earlier decline of up to 0.49% to 153.04.

The market's focus over the past week had been on the surge in the yen, buoyed by rising speculation about a possible interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan. This speculation was further supported by the possibility of BOJ intervention following several rounds of official yen buying in recent weeks. It was noted by Win Thin, Brown Brothers Harriman's global head of market strategy, that the yen would likely struggle to gain further momentum, as the BOJ was expected to hike the rates at its meeting on Wednesday.

The U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) was widely expected to leave rates unchanged for the week, with a quarter-point cut anticipated at the subsequent meeting in September. Although the FOMC would not meet in August, it was suggested that Fed Chair Jerome Powell could use the Jackson Hole gathering of central bankers in late August to prepare the market for a rate cut. By then, more data on inflation and Friday's July employment report would be available, allowing policymakers to assess conditions for a September cut.

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