GEAB - Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin

06/01/2026

🌍 Thinking the world forward, beyond the noise, that's what we do.

No algorithms, no advertising, no lobbying interests and rushed content production. The Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin (GEAB by Anticipolis) has chosen a different path and has stayed true to it for 20 years.

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Le GEAB est votre compagnon dans la grande transition systémique en cours Géopolitique, finance, monnaies, nouvelles technos, gouvernance, énergie… Le GEAB éclaire la route qui relie vos décisions d’aujourd’hui à vos objectifs de demain. Un exercice d’anticipation appliquée* réalisé...

06/01/2026

Overview 2025 – Europe in stasis
Check out the latest Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin !

"By failing to broker a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia at the beginning of the year, and lacking the means to enable Ukraine to prevail militarily, Europe has added yet another year to its own decline, as well as to the suffering of the war’s victims. The opportunity we saw in March to make an irresistible proposal to Russia (and the United States) around the Arctic, as a pathway out of the crisis, was not seized (it was not even mentioned).

Instead, nothing happened. The war dragged on. The United States disengaged… Europe gained nothing, did nothing, said nothing, and found itself increasingly “alone, facing its own demons”. It keeps imposing sanctions, legislating, maintaining the status quo, probably frightened by the prospect of the immense reform that awaits it after the war and which it does not have the political capacity to carry out. And with each passing week, Europe loses important ground in a world so rapidly changing… without it. Yet..." (read more)


https://geab.eu/en/2025-europe-in-stasis/

03/12/2025

What is the GEAB ?
The GEAB is a confidential letter, a useful whisper, just loud enough to point toward what truly matters amid the surrounding noise, without falling into sensationalism.

Want to (re)join us or follow our work?
Find us here: https://geab.eu/

21/10/2025

Merci beaucoup, !

Manuel d'anticipation politique par -Helene Caillol, en vente sur anticipolis.eu (lien dans le 1er commentaire).

À plusieurs reprises au cours des 25 dernières années, la mouvance européenne centrée autour du personnage de Franck Biancheri a de facto fourni le terreau à l’anticipation correcte d’événements historiques majeurs : chute du Rideau de Fer, crise de la Commission, effondrement du dollar et crise systémique globale constituent les prédictions les plus frappantes de l’histoire (toujours en cours) de cette mouvance dont les caractéristiques très atypiques (contexte européen, structure en réseau, objectifs politiques, indépendance d’esprit…) laissent supposer qu’elles sont sans doute pour quelque chose dans ce « talent ».
En effet, si une anticipation correcte est le fruit du hasard, et qu’à deux, c’est de la chance, à trois en revanche, on peut commencer à espérer repérer des règles, des méthodes rationnelles.
Les travaux issus de cette mouvance, parmi lesquels les plus éloquents sont ceux fournis par le Laboratoire européen d’Anticipation Politique (LEAP), au travers de sa publication mensuelle le GEAB (GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin), ont peu à peu forcé le respect jusque dans les milieux universitaires, donnant naissance à une demande de formalisation méthodologique qui fait l’objet du présent manuel :
Qu’est-ce que l’anticipation politique (et que n’est-elle pas ?) ?
A quoi sert-elle? Quels sont ses outils, principes et règles de formulation ? Quelles en sont les limites ?

Voici les questions auxquelles tente de répondre ce petit manuel.
https://www.lepetitmarseillanais.fr/articles/36772/litteraires-manuel-d-anticipation-politique-marie-helene-caillol

HÉRAULT - Manuel d'anticipation politique - Marie-Hélène Caillol

15/10/2025

Sous les sarcasmes d’une planète média se délectant toujours des misères françaises, se cache en réalité un combat titanesque pour sauver l’euro et avec lui un certain modèle de construction européenne. D’un point de vue d’anticipation systémique, le combat est perdu d’avance : l’Europe que veut sauver E. Macron est dépassée. Mais après tout…

Dans les années 80, la France de Mitterrand a poussé pour la création de la monnaie commune en échange de la réunification allemande voulue par Kohl. Elle l’a certes obtenue mais pas complètement : tant que les dettes ne sont pas mutualisées, l’euro reste une monnaie incomplète, sans capacité d’émission monétaire vers l’extérieur, sans statut de vraie monnaie internationale. Après tout, nos amis Américains ne veulent pas d’un vrai challenger à leur dollar, alors gardons notre euro pour nos petites affaires entre Européens, l’heure de la grandeur de notre continent est derrière nous de toutes façons…

Sauf que, au passage... lire la suite


https://geab.eu/le-dernier-combat-de-la-france-pour-leuro/

08/10/2025

Labour, money, energy… is technological progress the key to escaping the constraints of this economic triangle?

Following OpenAI’s ChatGPT breakthrough, which promised virtually limitless production independent of human labor, Tether and Circle’s stablecoins have been offering something strikingly similar: the promise of an infinite money supply.

Since this summer, they have literally formalised this idea, transforming it into a concrete financial mechanism now underpinned by the capacity to constantly create debt without any preset ceiling.All that remains is to find this infinite source of energy, which we seem to be getting closer to thanks to advances made by nuclear fusion projects and orbital solar farms. Will the economy then break free from the planetary boundaries? ... read more in the GEAB No 197

https://geab.eu/en/editorial-towards-a-society-with-no-limits/

08/10/2025

We talk about AI as if it defines intelligence.
But what if the rarest currency today were the quiet brilliance that listens, feels, and connects?


read more in the GEAB No 196

RECOMMENDATIONS Invest in Bitcoin Like Donald, invest some of your money in BTC. You’ve been doing it for a long time if you listen to our recommendations. If we are right, with the arrival of a bond and currency implosion, Bitcoin will play its full role as a hedge against inflation. Pay particul...

16/09/2025

BREAKING NEWS - Our September edition is out!
What's coming next in geopolitics, economy and society? Get the inside scoop now!
https://geab.eu/

05/09/2025

https://geab.eu/tempete-sur-les-bourses-2025-2030-les-marches-ne-font-plus-la-loi/

05/09/2025

Pour ce week-end, notre sélection d’articles vous accompagne dans votre réflexion stratégique :
https://geab.eu/outlook-2025-ce-que-disent-les-geants-financiers-face-a-lincertitude-mondiale/

05/09/2025

https://geab.eu/en/recommendations-your-reference-points-for-investing-and-making-decisions-in-chaos/

Your reference points for investing and making decisions in chaos
RECOMMENDATIONS

Invest in Bitcoin

Like Donald, invest some of your money in BTC. You’ve been doing it for a long time if you listen to our recommendations. If we are right, with the arrival of a bond and currency implosion, Bitcoin will play its full role as a hedge against inflation. Pay particular attention to the platform you choose ... read more

RECOMMENDATIONS Invest in Bitcoin Like Donald, invest some of your money in BTC. You’ve been doing it for a long time if you listen to our recommendations. If we are right, with the arrival of a bond and currency implosion, Bitcoin will play its full role as a hedge against inflation. Pay particul...

05/09/2025

https://geab.eu/en/towards-a-new-feudalism-technology-the-five-castes-of-post-industrial-society-according-to-the-geab/

After almost 20 years of anticipating the collapse of the Western-centric system, the GEAB now feels it has a duty to continue to identify the crises in the making, but also to describe the emerging model. If anticipation is the history of the short- to medium-term future, this article is a sociology exercise of the medium- to long-term future.

For some time now, and particularly since the arrival of generative AI in the form of ChatGPT / DeepSeek, our team has been seeing the emergence of a global society in which we can distinguish a very specific caste system that we have decided to put forward for your consideration... read more

After almost 20 years of anticipating the collapse of the Western-centric system, the GEAB now feels it has a duty to continue to identify the crises in the making, but also to describe the emerging model. If anticipation is the history of the short- to medium-term future, this article is a sociolog...