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Labor's election campaign has been disciplined and guided by a simple strategy. Whereas what Peter Dutton's strategy has...
02/05/2025

Labor's election campaign has been disciplined and guided by a simple strategy. Whereas what Peter Dutton's strategy has been is anyone's guess, writes Bernard Keane.

Lagging behind in the polls at the start of the year, Anthony Albanese came charging out of the blocks. Peter Dutton was asleep, and has spent the entire campaign falling over his own feet to catch up.

On the penultimate episode of the Crikey Electioncast, we offer a reality check on an eyebrow-raising YouGov poll predic...
02/05/2025

On the penultimate episode of the Crikey Electioncast, we offer a reality check on an eyebrow-raising YouGov poll predicting a whopping Labor majority — but it does get something right about Pauline Hanson.

Plus, is Labor headed for a significant majority?

We get local predictions for the most marginal seats, including Deakin (Vic), Moore (WA), Sturt (SA) and Lyons (Tas).
02/05/2025

We get local predictions for the most marginal seats, including Deakin (Vic), Moore (WA), Sturt (SA) and Lyons (Tas).

On the ground with Crikey readers across the country, with a few surprise calls to boot.

Lying in political advertising is rife and unregulated, so Crikey for PM thought we'd get in on the action.
01/05/2025

Lying in political advertising is rife and unregulated, so Crikey for PM thought we'd get in on the action.

We can say what we want in our political advertisements because — and this will shock you — political parties haven't given anyone the power to stop us.

Peter Dutton’s vitriol towards the media bubbles away, fat-shaming the journalists of his own travelling press pack and ...
01/05/2025

Peter Dutton’s vitriol towards the media bubbles away, fat-shaming the journalists of his own travelling press pack and joking about hitting an ABC reporter with a football.

Plus: it's funny how the Clive Palmer crew seem to hate getting a taste of their own medicine...

Good morning, early birds! With the Coalition's long-awaited costings causing a stir and final polls showing no sign of ...
01/05/2025

Good morning, early birds! With the Coalition's long-awaited costings causing a stir and final polls showing no sign of change, things are looking grim for the opposition leader. But as Josh Frydenberg says, the Liberals 'still believe in miracles'.

With the Coalition's long-awaited costings causing a stir and final polls showing no sign of change, things are looking grim for the opposition leader. But as Josh Frydenberg says, the Liberals 'still believe in miracles'.

The growing influence of young and diverse voters in a seat like Menzies could well be emblematic of the country at larg...
01/05/2025

The growing influence of young and diverse voters in a seat like Menzies could well be emblematic of the country at large. What does that mean for a party like the Liberals, with its base of home-owning boomers?

Gen Z is jaded, distracted and decoupled from old politics. It’s also not to be underestimated as a defining force in a seat like Menzies.

From Wentworth: “As our air-conditioner tradesman said, this area is basically recession-proof. People keep putting in a...
01/05/2025

From Wentworth: “As our air-conditioner tradesman said, this area is basically recession-proof. People keep putting in air conditioners, whatever the interest rates.”

On the ground with Crikey readers across the country, with a few surprise calls to boot.

All sitting independents would keep their seats and Bradfield would turn teal, according to the final YouGov poll of the...
01/05/2025

All sitting independents would keep their seats and Bradfield would turn teal, according to the final YouGov poll of the campaign. But how accurate is the modelling?

If a new poll is to be believed, the next Parliament would have more Labor and independent MPs, and fewer Coalition and Greens members.

Peter Dutton might get over the line on One Nation preferences, pundits say — but is that just a variant on the same pro...
01/05/2025

Peter Dutton might get over the line on One Nation preferences, pundits say — but is that just a variant on the same problem Labor faces?

The growing support for One Nation likely means a less cohesive and secure Australia. But the media is focused on the lower house, where the flow of preferences is suddenly crucial.

Political ads banned from TV can still reach you on streaming platforms like 9Now and Kayo — and you’ll never know how y...
01/05/2025

Political ads banned from TV can still reach you on streaming platforms like 9Now and Kayo — and you’ll never know how you were targeted.

Streaming providers know where you shop, where you travel, and if you are a parent. And they'll let political parties target you using this data — but won't tell you how.

Sturt voters had a lot to say about the fascinating three-way battle between the Liberals, Labor and community independe...
01/05/2025

Sturt voters had a lot to say about the fascinating three-way battle between the Liberals, Labor and community independent Verity Cooper. They're predicting Labor takes the win.

On the ground with Crikey readers across the country, with a few surprise calls to boot.

Opinion | Wannon has been a conservative stronghold for generations. But that could change in 2025, with independent Ale...
01/05/2025

Opinion | Wannon has been a conservative stronghold for generations. But that could change in 2025, with independent Alex Dyson giving Liberal frontbencher Dan Tehan a serious run for his money.

The race for Wannon is a contrast of old and new. Far-right preferences may decide the fate of Liberal frontbencher Dan Tehan.

Katter, Baillieu, Hamer, Clunies-Ross. These are just some of the famous political families that have cropped up this el...
01/05/2025

Katter, Baillieu, Hamer, Clunies-Ross. These are just some of the famous political families that have cropped up this election and feature in today’s Tips and Murmurs.

Plus: it's funny how the Clive Palmer crew seem to hate getting a taste of their own medicine...

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