Fulltilt weather

09/12/2023

Severe warning including parts of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, and Tennessee

09/12/2023

Tornado on the ground headed for the northern part of Nashville, Tennessee.

09/12/2023

New tornado watch including parts of Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama.

09/12/2023

Two tornado warning north of Nashville Tennessee

09/12/2023

Large particularly dangerous tornado on the ground South of Russellville Kentucky.
The debris on radar is showing a 1.6 mile wide wedge tornado.

09/12/2023

Numerous tornadoes warnings including Arkansas, Tennessee, and Kentucky. A violent tornado was currently on the ground headed for Bowling Green kentucky.

09/12/2023

Tornado watch including parts of Arkansas, Mississippi, Tennessee, and Kentucky.

09/12/2023

Severe warning including Smithville Oklahoma hazzards radar indicated 1.50 inch hail 70% chance, 60mph winds are possible also.
This cell has a very small amount of rotation.

09/12/2023

A few possible severe cells firing in Oklahoma.
Hazzards are 60mph winds, 1,to 1.50 inch hail, tornados possible.

08/12/2023

Severe weather possible tonight Friday the 8th including parts of West Arkansas.
Primary hazards are high winds 60mph, and above, isolated 1inch hail, and a tornado or two is possible.

08/12/2023

The NAM on the right, and NAM NEST on the left showing a massive surge of instability. SBCAPE between 2400, and 3100 J/kg.
Should make for a explosive severe weather event for south, and East Arkansas saturday night .

08/12/2023

This area primary over Arkansas Saturday night looks like a dangerous area.
Hazzards are 60, to 85 mphwinds, 1inch hail possible, and a few spin up tornadoes are likely.

The 2000, to 3000 j/kg CAPE is likely to lead to a strong liner line.

08/12/2023

The primary tornado chance area has gotten a lot smaller for Saturday the 10th.
This area on midrange models has a better Instability of 1400, to 1600 j/kg CAPE. The storms should struggle less going up in this area. Couple this with a 55, to 65 mph southwestern jet tornadoes are likely in the this area Saturday afternoon,in to the night.

06/12/2023

Severe weather remains likely Friday 8th, and Saturday day morning the 9th.

The tornado chances have dropped alot.
Primary hazards are 60, to 70mph winds, and 1inch hail, tornado possible.

06/12/2023

I was attacked by the Washington post for the 1/10/20 tornado, and high winds of 95 mph.
I have been attacked again, by my ex driver.
The link to the Washington post is below, and the wiki of the outcome of the set-ups, also.
You make the decision, you can unfollow at any time.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/03/05/clickbait-weather-forecasts-social-media/

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_outbreak_of_January_10%E2%80%9311,_2020 #:~:text=Hundreds%20of%20damaging%20wind%20reports,deaths%2C%20all%20in%20mobile%20homes.

The tornado outbreak of January 10–11, 2020 was a two-day severe weather event stretching from the South-Central Plains eastward into the Southeast United States. An eastward-moving shortwave trough tracked across the continental United States through that two-day period, combining with abundant m...

05/12/2023

The 9th, and 10th some snow could be possible in New Mexico, and the panhandle of Texas.

05/12/2023

Friday night in to Saturday morning the 9th, and 10th. Severe weather is possible for the outlined area.

The primary area will be northeast Texas at Eastern Oklahoma. Severe weather is expected in this area.

Hazzards are 60, to 70mph winds, 1inch hail, some isolated 2 inch hail could be possible.
Tornado are likely. Unless the environment cuts off these cells or does not come into a clearing, this will more than likely be a very active day. The best chance looks to be Henderson Texas, to Atlanta Texas now.

03/12/2023

Some severe weather could be possible the 9th, to 11th. From just east of Interstate 35 in Texas, to North Carolina.
This has been trending with the GFS, CMC, and GFS.

02/12/2023

02/12/2023

This storm now north of Morgan City Louisiana. Has a warning for 60 mile per hour winds radar indicated 72 mph, and 1.50 inch hail. This cell has also continued to show rotation.

02/12/2023

The KLIX in Slidell, Louisiana, is currently off its pedestal and non-operational. In the event of an impact, most of New Orleans could be covered by the Mobile, Alabama radar. Consequently, there are likely to be noticeable gaps on the radar between Lake Charles, Louisiana, and Mobile, Alabama.

02/12/2023

This cell over Morgan City Louisiana is showing some rotation now.

02/12/2023

A tornado watch has been issued for parts of Southern Louisiana.

02/12/2023

This cell south of Lufkin Texas could be capable of 0.75 inch hail, and 40mph winds

01/12/2023

After enduring years of navigating severe weather and facing derogatory comments when such weather setups materialize, there was a protracted period that left me feeling disheartened and plunged into a deep depression.

Presently, as I allocate more time to reading my Bible, my perspective has undergone a transformation. Looking ahead to the next severe weather event, I am committed to forecasting and positioning myself in a vehicle beneath it, irrespective of its occurrence, with the aim of assisting people. Those who mock me are likely to persist in their current activities as keyboard warriors.

01/12/2023

Severe warning north east of Cameron Louisiana.
Hazzards are 60mph winds, and 1inch hail, tornado possible

30/11/2023

This may go down as one of the worst forecasts days of the year.
It's likely there will not be any severe.

30/11/2023

This area still has a severe weather threat possible, and a tornado is possible

30/11/2023

We had some changes this looks to be the best area for severe weather now

30/11/2023

We are in Tomball Texas now.
The atmosphere is clearing some, and we go in to the primary part of day time heating.
This is rising instability. A clear atmosphere is the most dangerous.

30/11/2023

Some isolated severe weather is possible of east Texas over the next couple of hours.
Hazzards are 60mph winds, and 1inch hail

30/11/2023

This well be fun the Houston radar is down.
The Houston International Airport towrad is currently up.

29/11/2023

The models are Up ticking an aggressive line moving between Houston, and College Station tomorrow afternoon. With numerous tornadoes and possibility of a long track tornadoes. To put it to a probability about a 65% chance of tornadoes along the area in red. Tornadoes are the primary threat through the day, but other threats could be 60, to 70 mile per hour. Winds, 1 to 3 inch hail some extremely isolated areas could see larger.
Flooding will remain a threat with the line many of these tornadoes could be wrapped in rain. The larger ones probably will not be.

29/11/2023

I will be making the trip back to Palestine Texas tonight. Me, and Ray will be heading to central Texas tomorrow. Everyone needs to stay weather aware tomorrow, in South, east Texas.

29/11/2023

Tornadoes, and severe is likely over this area the Friday the 1st. Including parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida.

The best chance looks to be New Orleans Louisiana in to South Mississippi.

29/11/2023

This area has a severe weather threat for thursday. Time frame between 9 in the morning, to 11 at night.

Hazzards are 60, to 70mph winds, 1, to 3 inch hail anything larger than an inch will be extremely isolated.
Tornadoes are expected.
I would expect a tornado watch no later than 12 lunch, to 2.

The best tornado chances are Katy Texas, to around College Station Texas. This doesn't mean there will not be one, or two out of this area.

This run is for Brenham Texas looks like a good pace the chase.
1900, to 2000 j/kg CAPE should lead to some of the highest instability seen over the state of Texas in a very long time.
With ground lavel relative humidity of 99%, dewpoints 69, to 74 degrees, and strong up drafts of 1100 DCAPE. The possibility of larger hail it high 1, to 3 inch hail.
In rare cases, this kind of environment have been capable of up to 6 inch hail. Like April 12th 2022 Salado Texas tornado. This cell produced the second largest hail in texas history 6.2 inch.

A strong southwesterly 55kt, or 63.293 mph, to 57000 feet. In the world of meteorology, seeing southwestern shearing this high is a dead giveaway of tornado probability.
Tornadoes are likely in this environment.

I will probably start chasing around Brenham Texas.

28/11/2023

This is fixed layer STP 10m SR winds (kst)
Basically significant tornado parameters.
For Thursday, the 30th.
If you live in this area be ready for severe weather or tornados.

27/11/2023

Thursday severe weather chances are high over this area of tornadoes.
All models are in line with a tornado event.
Tornado chances are 70% chance.
This is off the NAM 84 model.

I am thinking Brenham area has a good chance. Me, and Ray will be down there.

26/11/2023

The next snow chances are the 3rd, and 4th.