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Firelands Storm Team Severe weather updates for the Firelands area, now including Richland and Ashland counties!

06/11/2025

Good morning everybody, and happy Thursday! One day closer to the weekend, how exciting!

Pretty calm conditions out there now, under those clear skies we mentioned last night. The forecast panned out as High pressure has moved in. Bad news is, it won’t be sticking around very long. But for now, clear, cool, and calm is the story out there.

Those cool and calm conditions will continue through this morning. Not much going on out there today, which is a good thing. At least one day this week won’t cause a figurative headache, as days like today make it pretty easy to forecast. High pressure will do its job keeping us pretty clear and calm through the morning hours.

As we head into the afternoon, we will start to see the clouds begin to pop up and work in. This will be in advance of our next weather maker for tomorrow. High pressure will be moving on, this afternoon, but the calm conditions will continue. The clouds moving in won’t be too big of a deal, and won’t affect anything but covering up the sun.

The evening and over night periods will feature that cloud cover out in front of tomorrow’s weather maker. More on this later, but cloud cover will be on the increase and the rain chances will increase as well late tonight and early tomorrow morning. Some of these showers could produce wind gusts late tonight and tomorrow, outside of that though, nothing of major concern with the rain showers.

Temps today will be seasonable. Low to mid 50s for highs today. Lows tonight, with that increasing cloud cover coming in, will hang tight in the low 40s for most of us.

That’s all we have for you today. Have a great day out there! Stay safe out there and enjoy that sunshine. Likely won’t see much of it as we head into tomorrow through the weekend…

05/11/2025

Good evening everybody!

Quick hitter again tonight. Teething (almost) 2 year old, IYKYK…

Anyways, a couple of Northern Lights possibilities to pass along to you. One for tonight, a G2 storm warning has been placed on this part of the world. We should get some clearing skies later tonight, but views on a G2 storm are best along the lake shore and with night time, long exposure cameras. But it’s worth a shot if you can get up to the lake shore tonight! It’ll be windy up there, and cooling off a lot due to the cold front but skies should clear up.

One for tomorrow, we have a G3 storm watch issued for us tomorrow. This will be easier for us to see, should this come our way on time. We will update as we see the updates from our NOAA SWPC team. But tomorrow will likely be better due to the strength, question will be cloud cover… as we will have an advancing weather maker for Friday. Stay tuned for updates on this!

Lastly, still watching this weekend early next week. Models are still fluctuating on exact track and timing but what we can guarantee is that we will see our first round of snow flakes, and we will very likely have our first hard freeze of the year, monday night into Tuesday morning. The growing season officially ends on November 1st so we will not see any headlines from the NWS office, until next spring. So keep that in mind. Again, as of now, disregard any snow accumulation forecast maps, they are likely wrong.

Have a great night out there! Stay safe!

05/11/2025

Good morning everybody, happy Wednesday! Midweek is finally here! Yay!

We’re starting off today, currently with a decently clear sky out there over head. Again, like yesterday morning, we have a great view of that moon! It looks so bright because it is basically full, and we are heading into a super moon! It will peak tonight, which we may be able to see.

As we head through this morning, we will begin to see clouds increase, as well as the winds. There’s a Low pressure that’s developing over the central Lakes, and thst will push over the area this morning. As it does so, clouds will be on the increase, as the pressure gradient gets tighter over the area. This should be felt this morning, and then through the rest of the day.

As we get into the afternoon, a cold front will develop and extend south from that Low pressure. Before it does so, we will see our wind flow from the west, southwest today, so we will see a brief warm up in temperatures. Just what we need, the whiplash of what this season can and does bring over the area. But as that cold front comes through, we also can’t rule out a chance for a few rain showers through the area. Most of these chances should be well to our east again, but we won’t rule out that potential as the cold front develops and moves through the area. Rain will be pretty light should we see any, nothing of major consequence.

As we get into the evening and then into the over night tonight, winds should try to wind down a bit. Low pressure and the cold front will come through and behind it, should clear most of our skies over head. So again, we will have a great view of that super moon tonight! Conditions should quiet down over night tonight, overall a very nice, but chilly, night.

Temps today, as we said above, will get a bit warmer today than average. We should get into the low 60s across the area before that cold front comes through and really knocks our temps down. Lows tonight, with the cold front moving through, and clearing skies, should get down to the low to mid 30s.

Just a reminder, that Lorain county, still has a WIND ADVISORY in effect from **1pm EST this afternoon, until 10pm EST this evening**. It will be gusty everywhere but here is where we can expect the strongest winds in the area.

That’s all we have for you today. Have a great day out there! 2 hands on the wheel today as we see those gusts start to form. Stay safe out there!

04/11/2025

Full of all sorts of good news aren’t we?

Good afternoon.

The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a *WIND ADVISORY* for the following county in our area… Lorain county, from *1pm EST until 10pm EST* Wednesday.

Winds sustained 15-25mph and gusts to 50mph are likely.

Winds will be gusty as we go through the day tomorrow anyways, as we see another Low pressure swing near by the area. Strongest gusts are anticipated along the lake shore, and headed east of Cleveland. Keep that in mind if you’re traveling east tomorrow.

04/11/2025

Good morning, again, everybody!

Yesterday we mentioned watching this weekend for the potential for our first snowfall. We are still monitoring this closely, and confidence is increasing that we will indeed, see our first flakes across this part of the Great Lakes region.

What we need to discuss, briefly, is the impacts of this system. Yes, we will get cold enough to support snow. Yes, we will have a strong cold front and relatively strong Low pressure system, in the Lakes region, it looks likely to be in Canada, just over Lake Erie, or just east of Lake Huron. The chances are high, that this will start off as a very cold rain, that will eventually transition to snow.

Those folks out there trying to paint a large swath of accumulating snow, likely don’t understand the area. At this point, logic says, our temps wont crash to, or below freezing, quick enough to have accumulating snow. The ground is simply too warm. Could we pick up an inch? Maybe. Timing will be huge with this, and that’s still being ironed out. Just this morning I saw a map, from a meteorologist in buffalo, saying that our entire forecast area would see 3-5” of snow. I don’t see how that’s the case but some models do hint at about 1” of snow of the area. I really think, at this point there’s no reason to think we will see more than a dusting, but this could change.

Again, we are monitoring the models and looking for consistency, and there’s still some uncertainties and inconsistency’s out there with them. But confidence is increasing that snow does fly late this weekend and early next week. If timing does change and we see a multi day event, then yeah, we could see some snowfall accumulations. As mentioned yesterday, this will be a lake effect event, but the wind flow will be strong enough to carry snow showers from Lake Michigan into the area, and it will also carry a general system snow as well. Lots of things to piece together that we are diligently watching and will update later.

We will update but for now, don’t get too high strung on those accumulation forecasts. Stay tuned, we will bring you, as always, an honest thought process and an honest answer when we can.

Have a great day out there! It’s a nice day!

04/11/2025

Good morning everybody, happy Tuesday!

Good news in the weather department today! We’re off to a calm, clear sky start to today. We have a great view of the almost full moon, in the western sky, and it’s extremely bright. I just let the dogs out and could see them without turning on any lights. Crazy! Considering 2 of them are all black pups. These quiet conditions will continue today, and overall be a seasonable day.

As we head through the morning, more of the same can be expected. Clear skies and calm winds. This is due in large part to a High pressure moving west, to east to our south. We’re just close enough to it, so that it has control over our weather. This will provide the clear skies and hopefully calmer winsss today than yesterday.

This afternoon and evening will feature more of the same. As the High pressure moves in and moves to our east, there’s a good chance we see some high level, thin clouds but outside of that, more sunshine should be out there today, due to the stabilized air that the High pressure will provide us.

As we get into the over night, a few more passing clouds will build in. This will be ahead of another quick change in the upper levels, for tomorrow. Otherwise tonight, more of the same that we are seeing now, in these early morning hours, but some extra high level clouds over night.

Temps today will be pretty seasonable, as we head for the mid to upper 50s again. More of the same as yesterday, just with the calmer winds it will feel more like a real mid to upper 50s temperature. Lows tonight will be more of the same, mid 30s maybe upper 30s. Again, more of the same as we are seeing now.

That’s all we have for you today. Have a great day and stay safe out there!

03/11/2025

Good morning everybody!

Just a quick post here, hopefully will have more details after the little guy goes to bed, but we will see. It’s a daddy son night at home, so we’ll see how it goes.

Anyways, looking ahead, this weekend and early next week looks to feature a rather potent cold front, and Low pressure system, dipping in from Canada. This will likely cross the warm Lakes and really give us the potential for the first lake effect snow of the season. Why does this matter to us? Well, again further details later, but it does look like this system will be strong enough, and the winds off the lake will be just right for us to catch some snow showers, or even a wintry mix, from Lake Michigan, and maybe some off Lake Erie. We will have to let things iron out over the coming days, to nail anything down. Regardless of snow, or a wintry mix, it’s looking more and more, with confidence, that we will see our first snow of the season.

I’m not sure if I posted it here, or not, but between Chris and I, I have said several times the pattern seems to support our first snow in November. On average, we typically get our first snow in early December, so we will be ahead of schedule there. If this pans out, my thought process based on patterns in long term models will be correct. I’m kinda excited to see how this pans out.

Again, further details tonight hopefully, but my main focus will be on the kiddo. If not tonight, sometime later this week for sure! But do know we are monitoring the situation. This will be for Sunday, through Tuesday next week.

Stay tuned! Otherwise the forecast for today, is on track and no changes are necessary. Stay safe out there!

03/11/2025

Good morning everybody, happy Monday! Back to the daily grind, hopefully we start this week off on a good note.

We start this Monday with mostly clear skies out there. A chilly start as well, as most of us should be in the mid to upper 30s right now. But overall, a quiet start to today.

Not much in the weather department today. This morning, clouds will be on the increase as we move through the morning. Winds will also be on the increase as well, as we await a weak trough, Low pressure system and weak cold front to come through. This looks to make its way through the area sometime this morning, more than likely, about late morning. This won’t bring anything other than cloud cover and a wind direction change.

As we head into this afternoon, clouds will be with us over the area. Again, a pick up in winds and wind gusts today, nothing crazy as far as wind speeds go, but we could definitely gust up to 30-40mph with sustained winds about 10-15mph as it passss through. It will come through dry, but we can’t rule out an isolated rain shower chance. Those chances should remain south of the area though, where the conditions and moisture are slightly better.

More of the same as we get into the evening. Again, overall not much will change today. We should get plenty of breaks in the cloud cover though, as we get closer to sunset, which should give us another pretty clear night tonight.

As we get into our overnight period tonight, again, we should be clearing out as the cold front continues do pull out of the area. As long as the Low pressure system doesn’t take its time to move along, the anticipated cloud cover should really clear out of here. Pretty quiet over night period as well. Pretty common theme today.

Temps today should still get into the low to mid 50s. Lows tonight will depend on that cloud cover, but should still get into the low to mid 30s again.

That’s all we have for you today. Have a great day out there and stay safe!

02/11/2025

Good morning everybody, happy Sunday!

We don’t do this part all that often, however, it’s a big day! We want to take a moment to give a very special shout out to my little brother! Today is his 21st birthday!! Happy birthday, bro!

Anyways, off to the weather today. Good news on tap, outside of the potential for a small amount of fog out there early this morning, and we toss this in there because I was out last night about 7:30-8pm and we did have some patchy fog on the way home, it wasn’t dense by any means, but definitely could tell it was there, but we have another pretty quiet day in store today. Really, if you enjoyed yesterday, today will be the same in regards to the weather.

As we get through to sunrise, satellite does indicate a decent amount of clouds across the area. This will be the continuing trend as we get through the morning. Although, I was incorrect yesterday morning, but we will take that in the positive direction, as we got more sun than I thought we would. But the satellite images do indicate a rather thick cloud deck moving in from the south. Maybe some these will burn off as we get the sun up and working in, but overall a cloudy morning can be expected.

As we get into the afternoon, we should see those sunny breaks work in. There’s a High pressure to our north that moved in yesterday. It’s awfully weak, but it worked to keep us dry when we saw those clouds yesterday. There’s a Low pressure to our south that will interact with, and make a quick move through the area, hence the clouds this morning, but once this moves through, we should get into a few more sunny breaks in the afternoon, than yesterday. Otherwise a quiet afternoon is in store again today.

As we work our way into the evening, more of the same on tap for us. Partly cloudy conditions, and dry weather. Again, we should see a few more breaks in the cloud cover today, than yesterday, but at it’ll be dry. We could use the rain still, but we will take the calm, cool, seasonable conditions.

Over night tonight, we really see our skies clear out. Not much going on as we push through past sunset and get into tomorrow. Pretty quiet overall around here for today, at least. We should see mostly clear skies over night tonight which may cause temps to drop a little cooler than last night.

Speaking of temps, highs today should be extremely similar to yesterday. Highs should reach the low to mid 50s. Lows tonight, as mentioned above, could get a bit cooler due to clear skies anticipated, but they should drop into the los do mid 30 tonight.

That’s all we have for you today. We certainly hope you remembered to move your back clocks, or you’re going to be an hour early to things today.

Have a great day out there today! Stay safe and stay warm!

01/11/2025

Good morning everybody, happy November!

Today, we welcome in November, with a very fall like day today. Satellite imagery, shows a trough that’s extending across the region this morning, as well as a good cloud deck early this morning. This will likely be the story of the day we get through the day today. The trough is extending from that slow moving, upper level Low that’s to our east, this is that same low, that brought us that rain on Wednesday, as it is just extremely slow to move on out off the East Coast. It has been lingering, but we should get it to move sometime this weekend.

A weak Low pressure and this weak trough will move through the area today. Radar does show some extremely light rain showers, to our areas west. Those will move through as well, but most of them are probably not reaching the ground, and if they are, we may just get some sprinkles through the morning. Otherwise, this morning will feature cloudy skies and a cool start.

As we head into the afternoon, more of the same today. Those clouds will just be hanging around today. We may get a few peaks of sunshine here and there, especially this afternoon, but that Low pressure and associated trough will make it to Lake Erie, and then stall out, hence the cloudy day today. We may still continue to see the chance for few sprinkles or light rain, but that should primarily be focused in the snow belt, east of Cleveland.

As we head make our way into the evening, more of the same… clouds, clouds, and more clouds. Really hoping that we see our High pressure for late this weekend start to work in earlier than expected, but here again, we are entering the notoriously cloudy time around these parts. But, cloudy tonight, maybe some breaks in the clouds as we get into the evening.

Overnight tonight will feature more of the same. But again, a High pressure should be building in, so breaks in the overcast late tonight and into the overnight, hopefully will come into the area. Tomorrow will likely be our better bet for some breaks in the overcast. Overall, clouds, with those breaks hopefully moving in, in the over night period.

Temps today (look, I didn’t forget!) will be pretty seasonable. Most of us, even with that cloud cover, should be pretty close to yesterday. Highs should reach the mid 50s, though it will likely seem cooler with the clouds hanging around. Lows tonight, more of the same as last night, with temps reaching the upper 30s for most.

One last minor note, though the Low pressure and trough are relatively week, we could see some wind gusts today as these pass through. It shouldn’t be anything crazy, but they may kick up as they pass through, due to the pressure gradient.

That’s all we have for you today, hopefully these clouds will break more than anticipated today… if not, remember to put a smile on your face and be somebody’s sunshine today. We all could use it.

Have a great day out there! Be safe today!

31/10/2025

Good morning again, everybody!

Just further proof that we are all human… I forgot the temps for today.

Highs today should get into the mid 50s across our area. Lows tonight should dip into the upper 30s to low 40s, maybe even cooler well away from the lake.

Everything else, to this point, seems to be panning out and the forecast remains on track.

Again, my apologies. Have a great day out there, and stay safe!

31/10/2025

Good morning everybody, happy Friday, and happy Halloween!

Good news for today, is that, the Low pressure and the rain are pulling out of the area. Improving conditions today, will result in clearing skies, especially in these early morning hours. Satellite images, as I just checked, certainly support this idea. There are a few thicker clouds out there, especially over the western portions of our area, and those will move through, following the Low pressure. Most of the area should see some steady clearing through sunrise.

As we get the morning going, and get through sunrise, we will still see the potential for some gusty winds, and this will likely bring in some scattered clouds off the lake. The Low pressure will still be with us, and since it strengthened so much, the wind will still be a potential as we go through the day. The pressure gradient will still cause those winds to be gusty at times, nothing that the area can’t handle though. Otherwise, again, improving conditions, as we go through the morning.

As we head into the afternoon, more of the same out there. Scattered clouds and gusty winds, will be possible today. At least, we will be drying out and today will start a slow improvement over the area, heading into the weekend. Not much going on today, in the weather department. However, the rain has exited the area, but we could still see a pop up shower due to Lake Effect over the area, but this should stay mostly east of Cleveland.

As we get into the evening, more of the same can be expected. Again, relatively quiet conditions and drying conditions will be the going rate today. Again, gusty winds are certainly expected, but nothing we can’t handle. Overall, playoff football, will be dry, might be a little chilly, and depending on where teams are playing, those random showers may pop up. Otherwise, a good night out there.

Overnight tonight should at least get rid of those rain chances as the winds shift to mostly a westerly direction. Again, those gusty winds could continue into the over night but that Low pressure should pull away as the evening goes on, and they should eventually subside. But clearing skies again, due to the stabilizing air, but overall, some passing clouds possible. Pretty quiet as we go through the over night.

That’s all we have for you today. Enjoy the day out there today! A pretty typical, standard fall day out there. We really needed the rain that we got yesterday so we will take it!

Have a great day out there! We wish you a very fun, and safe Halloween night! Stay safe out there!

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