30/04/2024
Enjoyed giving a lecture to doctoral students of Dr. Robert Pauly at the University Southern Mississippi recently. We discussed liberal state-building with a focus on international intervention in Afghanistan during 2001-2021 for lessons to be learned for application today and in the future.
Despite the ad hoc (often year-long) policies, strategies, and approaches pursued by various international actors, we acknowledged the transformational achievements the Afghan people made with international support. However, highlighted that Afghanistan's state-building enterprise remained a work in progress to the end, needing many course-corrections and the adoption of a coherent and well-resourced strategy for a successful exit against what tragically transpired on August 15, 2021.
Argued that such a strategy for success in Afghanistan should have had the following interlocking objectives, whose implementation would enjoy strong political will and support in different capitals:
1. Use any means to stop Pakistan from sponsoring the Taliban to destabilize Afghanistan and derail its state-building process. This was Afghanistan's "mother of problems." But despite occasional efforts, it hardly happened over the course of 20 years
2. Launch and maintain a robust peace process from 2004 on, securing tangible regional cooperation against the reconstitution of the Taliban and their redeployment to destabilize Afghanistan. This didn't materialize even during "surge years," signaling weak or no international commitment to an effective peace process
3. Truly "Afghanize" the security sector: the trillions were spent on international military operations, leaving Afghan forces under-trained, under-equipped, and forever dependent on unreliable mechanisms of support
4. Maintain zero tolerance for corruption across the official elite and leadership of the government, while heavily investing in institutional capacity building and filling institutions of governance and rule of law with merit-based appointees against ethno-nationalist nepotism that became the norm
5. Invest in Afghanistan's infrastructure (air and ground connectivity, agriculture, agri-business, irrigation, water management, etc) and the extractive industries, enabling Afghanistan to achieve economic self-reliance, increasingly financing its own sustainable development. Save for a few projects, the rest proved to be pet projects with no sustainability at all
A lack of political will for success through implementation of a coherent and well-resourced strategy with the above components led to an abrupt withdrawal of international forces from Afghanistan and the country's full-fledged return to the Taliban's misrule with far-reaching implications for regional stability and international security, which my recent article discusses:
𝗛𝗼𝘄 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗧𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗯𝗮𝗻 𝗛𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝗜𝗻𝘀𝗽𝗶𝗿𝗲𝗱 𝗚𝗹𝗼𝗯𝗮𝗹 𝗧𝗲𝗿𝗿𝗼𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗺 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗗𝗼 𝗔𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗶𝘁
https://lnkd.in/g9J-CFxT