A cold front is pushing through the area today. To the north, we saw some morning showers. To the south, the showers are beginning to move in. Most of this will remain across VA and points south, but southern areas of WV may see some showers for the rest of this afternoon.
First time doing a live weather shot. I was a bit nervous, but the scene where everyone was having fun calm my nerves a bit. lol.
Well... there's our parking lot, flooded with the running water coming down the mountain.
First round of strong to severe storms bypass the two Virginias but hitting hard back in my home state. Saw some 2-3 inch hail size in western NC along with 70-75 MPH gusts.
We've been quiet so far today and that was expected. We'll keep an eye on the storms to our west. They're coming from an area where there are currently Tornado Watches in effect.
Radar check this evening. So far so good in terms of not seeing much severe weather warnings but flooding will be the issue this evening.
Hey everyone. Just want to let you know that I've accepted the weekend meteorologist position at WVVA. You may see more posts focus on southern WV & western VA but not to worry, I won't forget about my NC followers. I will still post updates for you all here and there. Thank you so much for your support.
Severe Weather Potential This Afternoon & Evening
Weakening storms this morning sets up a boundary for later this afternoon & evening for scattered strong to severe thunderstorms to develop. We're seeing a lot of sunshine right now which will heat up the atmosphere, creating instability & thunderstorm fuel. Cool dry air in the upper levels will allow for damaging winds and large hail to develop in some of these scattered storms. Some hail could be as large as golf ball size.
Timing: 3-8PM
Threats: Damaging wind gusts 60 MPH, Large Hail: Quarter size to golf ball size
One of the short range model, the HRRR, continues to paint a wintry precipitation event for Sunday morning. The past several runs of this model have kept this idea of the atmosphere being colder, hence more wintry precipitation.
Other models are not as cold, resulting in more of a cold rain.
Hard to believe that there's still disagreements here considering we are about less than 18 hours from this storm system moving in. Will need to monitor the latest trends today on whether not the HRRR model gives in to a cold rain set up or the other short range models gives in to a colder atmosphere, resulting in more wintry precipitation.
There might be some flurries or snow showers overnight from Greensboro to Raleigh and maybe back towards Fayetteville during the morning hours Saturday. In summary, anywhere in Central NC has a shot on seeing some snow showers.
This is from upper-level energy phasing to a developing surface low off the Carolina coast. This is just bad timing for snow lovers as the storm system will be moving away from land.
Temperatures may be in the teens and 20s Friday afternoon but the wind chills will be in the single digits for most of the day, falling to below 0 wind chills after sunset.
Map is of wind chill temperatures/what it feels like to your expose skin.
Long range models haven't shown much for the Tuesday's system as it continues to keep the precipitation well to our south. Entering the short to mid range models and well, it's basically, how far north is the northern precipitation shield. Is it towards the VA state line or to the SC state line?
Regardless, even if it makes it that far north, it has to overcome dry air and as of now, I'm not seeing anything significant but if everything does come together, don't be surprised if we manage to see some sleet or even snow falling Tuesday night.
Hurricane Ian, a strong category 4 with winds 155 MPH, borderline with category 5 winds by 2 MPH. Still offshore of Florida so it'll have time to strengthen a bit more in the next several hours before landfall. 12 to 16 FT surge likely from Eaglewood to Cape Coral, FL.
Hurricane Ian is about to re-enter the southeastern Gulf after going over western Cuba this morning. There's a nice eye wall even after passing through land. Expect further strengthening as it continues its northward track at 12 MPH. Ian is expected to slow down as it nears the western coast of FL. Winds: 125MPH, Pressure: 950 MB
