2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

29/06/2024

Tropical Storm Beryl is here!

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1100 PM AST Fri Jun 28 2024
..DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM BERYL.....EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...9.3N 43.6W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM ESE OF BARBADOS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress
of this system. Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches will likely be
required for portions of the area early Saturday.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was
located near latitude 9.3 North, longitude 43.6 West. Beryl is
moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A relatively
quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the
next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to
move across the Windward Islands late Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts. Steady strengthening is forecast, and Beryl is
expected to become a hurricane in a couple of days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Beryl can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands.
This rainfall may produce localized flooding in vulnerable areas.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero

SURF: Swells generated by the system are expected to reach the
Windward and southern Leeward Islands by late Sunday. These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Kelly

31/05/2024

24/05/2024

Heads up!

The NOAA Forecast for the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season is out and it's not looking pretty!

07/05/2024

Widespread Flooding reported in some parts of the North Eastern Caribbean due to unsettled weather.

This video was sent to us from Tortola, British Virgin Islands

24/04/2024

Here we go...First spot being monitored for development in the Atlantic by the NHC.

Ps. It's April 24th - Hurricane Season Starts June 1st !

11/04/2024

Colorado State University’s hurricane forecasting team is calling for a near-record active season with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes, and five major hurricanes.

03/04/2024

Are you ready for the 2024 season?

JUST IN: AccuWeather's 2024 Atlantic hurricane season forecast is here. https://bit.ly/3TSBjrl

07/09/2023

* Category 5 projected.

/

02/06/2023

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 2 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

01/06/2023

Are you?

22/05/2023

With less than 10 days to go before the official start of the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season,climatologically the 'wet season', the Eastern Caribbean Islands got some moderate to heavy showers over the last 24 hours.

This video was submitted from the island of Barbados and was taken earlier today as they experienced Torrential downpours.

09/10/2022

Hurricane Julia hits Nicaragua

28/09/2022

Alert! Alert! - Hurricane landfall imminent.Take all necessary precautions to protect life and property, act immediately!

South West Florida - brace for impact of possible Category 4 Hurricane Ian in the next 12 to 24 hours!

21/09/2022

Dangerously Beautiful Major Hurricane Fiona slowly pulling away from the Turks and Caicos after giving them a beating.

18/09/2022

Puerto Rico now being hammered by ferocious winds and Torrential downpours as severe flooding unfolds.
Radar at 2:35 clearly shows the eye of Hurricane Fiona moving slowly onshore.

18/09/2022

Hurricane Fiona making Landfall now in Western Puerto Rico. There are reports of over 500,000 customers without power at this time.

18/09/2022

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fiona Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072022
800 AM AST Sun Sep 18 2022
..FIONA NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH.....TORRENTIAL RAINS AND MUDSLIDES EXPECTED ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 66.1W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSE OF PONCE PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra
* The coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Caucedo to Cabo
Frances Viejo

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Frances Viejo
westward to Puerto Plata

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Frances Viejo
westward to Puerto Plata

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* South coast of the Dominican Republic west of Cabo Caucedo to
Barahona
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* Southeastern Bahamas, including the Acklins, Crooked Island, Long
Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana, and the Ragged Islands

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24
hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,
conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fiona was
located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 66.1 West. Fiona is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A
northwestward motion is expected to begin later today and continue
through Monday, followed by a turn toward the north-northwest on
Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Fiona will approach
Puerto Rico this morning, and move near or over Puerto Rico this
afternoon or evening. Fiona will then move near the northern coast
of the Dominican Republic tonight and Monday, and near or to the
east of the Turks and Caicos Islands on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and
Fiona is expected to become a hurricane before reaching the southern
or southwestern coast of Puerto Rico later today. Additional
strengthening is expected on Monday and Tuesday while Fiona moves
near the Dominican Republic and over the southwestern Atlantic.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center. A weather station at Yabucoa-El Negro in Puerto
Rico recently reported a sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a
gust to 54 mph (87 km/h).

The minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane Hunter
aircraft observations is 991 mb (29.26 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Fiona can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected on Puerto Rico today, and
are expected in portions of the eastern Dominican Republic tonight
and Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible in the U.S. Virgin
Islands this morning. Hurricane conditions are possible within the
hurricane watch area in the Dominican Republic tonight and Monday.

Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the U.S. and British
Virgin Islands and are spreading westward across Puerto Rico. These
conditions are expected to reach portions of the Dominican Republic
later today. Tropical storm conditions are possible across the
watch area in the Dominican Republic tonight, and in the Turks and
Caicos Islands and southeastern Bahamas by early Tuesday.

RAINFALL: Fiona is forecast to produce the following rainfall:

Leeward Islands: Additional 2 inches or less.

British and U.S. Virgin Islands: 4 to 6 inches, maximum of 10 inches
on St. Croix.

Puerto Rico: 12 to 16 inches with local maximum of 25 inches,
particularly across eastern and southern Puerto Rico.

Northern and Eastern Dominican Republic: 4 to 8 inches with local
maximum 12 inches, particularly near the far east coast.

Rest of Dominican Republic and Haiti: 1 to 3 inches.

Turks and Caicos: 3 to 6 inches.

These rains will produce life-threatening flash flooding and urban
flooding across Puerto Rico and the eastern Dominican Republic,
along with mudslides and landslides in areas of higher terrain.

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas
in areas of onshore winds if the peak surge occurs at the time of
high tide...

Southern coast of Puerto Rico...1 to 3 ft
Vieques and Culebra...1 to 3 ft
U.S. Virgin Islands...1 to 2 ft

Localized coastal flooding is also possible elsewhere in Puerto
Rico. For information specific to your area, please see products
issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above
normal tide levels along the immediate coast in areas of onshore
winds in the Dominican Republic.

SURF: Swells generated by Fiona are affecting the Leeward Islands,
the northern Windward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the
northern coast of the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, and the southeastern Bahamas. These conditions could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

17/09/2022

000
WTNT32 KNHC 171753
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fiona Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072022
200 PM AST Sat Sep 17 2022
..FIONA'S HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS AND ARE SPREADING ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 64.1W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF ST. CROIX
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* South coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to
Cabo Caucedo
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to
Puerto Plata

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe, St. Barthelemy, and St. Martin
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* South coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to
Cabo Caucedo
* North coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano westward to
Puerto Plata

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* South coast of the Dominican Republic west of Cabo Caucedo to
Barahona

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,
conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests in the Turks and Caicos Islands and southeastern
Bahamas should monitor the progress of Fiona.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the
United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fiona was
located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near
latitude 16.6 North, longitude 64.1 West. Fiona is moving toward
the west near 8 mph (13 km/h). A west-northwestward motion at a
similar forward speed is expected to begin later today, followed by
a turn toward the northwest by Sunday evening. On the forecast
track, the center of Fiona is expected to move near or south of the
Virgin Islands this evening, approach Puerto Rico tonight, and move
near or over Puerto Rico Sunday night. Fiona should then move near
the Dominican Republic on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Fiona
is expected to become a hurricane by Sunday or Sunday night while
moving near Puerto Rico.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center.

Data from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the minimum
central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Fiona can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected on Puerto Rico Sunday and
Sunday night and are possible in the U.S. Virgin Islands tonight.
Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area in
the Dominican Republic Sunday night and Monday.

Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of the
Leeward Islands within the warning area through this afternoon.
Tropical storm conditions will reach the U.S. and British Virgin
Islands this afternoon, spread westward across Puerto Rico tonight,
and reach portions of the Dominican Republic Sunday night.
Tropical storm conditions are possible across the watch
area in the Dominican Republic Sunday night.

RAINFALL: Fiona is forecast to produce the following rainfall:

Leeward Islands and Northern Windward Islands: Additional 2 to 4
inches.

British and U.S. Virgin Islands: 4 to 6 inches with local maximum of
10 inches possible.

Puerto Rico: 12 to 16 inches with local maximum of 20 inches
possible, particularly across eastern and southern Puerto Rico.

Dominican Republic: 4 to 8 inches with local maximum of 12 inches
possible, particularly on the far eastern coast.

Haiti: 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum totals of 4 inches.

Turks and Caicos: 4 to 6 inches.

These rains are likely to produce flash and urban flooding, along
with mudslides in areas of higher terrain, particularly southern and
eastern Puerto Rico and the eastern Dominican Republic.

Very heavy rains and flooding have occurred over portions of the
Leeward Islands since Friday. A station at St. Claude Matouba Irfa,
in the mountains in southwestern Guadeloupe, recently measured a
24-hour rainfall total of 19.46 inches (494.3 mm).

STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas
in areas of onshore winds if the peak surge occurs at the time of
high tide...

Southern coast of Puerto Rico...1 to 3 ft
Vieques and Culebra...1 to 3 ft
U.S. Virgin Islands...1 to 2 ft

Localized coastal flooding is also possible elsewhere in Puerto
Rico. For information specific to your area, please see products
issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.

Storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 1 to 3 feet above
normal tide levels along the immediate coast in areas of onshore
winds in the Dominican Republic.

SURF: Swells generated by Fiona are affecting the Leeward Islands,
the northern Windward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the
northern coast of the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, and the southeastern Bahamas. These conditions could cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

17/09/2022

Tropical Storm Fiona in Guadeloupe Last night into this morning.

17/09/2022

Storm Tracking : Fiona has made landfall in Guadeloupe!

27/06/2022

Things are heating up!

22/09/2021

29/08/2021

Hurricane Ida has made landfall.

29/08/2021

Sunday 4am CDT NHC update on Ida. Winds now 140mph CAT 4. Expected to intensify further. Catastrophic storm to say the least. www.spaghettimodels.com

28/08/2021

Hurricane Ida this afternoon, expected to become the strongest Hurricane of the season by tomorrow as it makes land fall on the Louisiana Coast.

28/08/2021

14/08/2021

Saturday AM NHC track for TS Grace. Formed overnight. TS Warnings for parts of the Caribbean. Lots of land interaction and some shear expected from the NHC keeping intensity at 50mph. Florida in the cone midweek. Could still be watching past day 5 if enters the Gulf.

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