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Accurate and detailed forecast of all Missouri Weather. Including easy to read graphics!
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15/04/2023

**UPDATE: The severe threat has ended. Cooler temperatures and light rain will follow tonight! May want to bundle up!**

Severe thunderstorms are on the books for this afternoon into this evening, now is the time to prepare!
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What you need to know:
Storms are likely for much of the state, with severe weather expected across Central, Southern, and Eastern MO. All hazards are possible, but winds in excess of 75 mph and hail upwards of baseball size are the primary concern. Make sure you have a way to get warnings!
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The Details:
Storms will rapidly develop across portions of Western Missouri in an arc of semi-discrete supercells. As they track east, more development is expected as the storms congeal into a squall line with embedded supercells. In the early stages across Western and Central MO the highest potential will be very large hail, I wouldn't be surprised to see several reports of baseball-sized hail or larger. As the storms move east, some question remains about how quickly they will become a line, if the process happens slower then the chance for tornadoes increases as the best environment is across Central and Eastern MO. If the process happens faster, we will see the tornado probability decline but the damaging wind risks will increase. What's concerning about this setup, is typically when severe storms turn linear (or QLCS) the hail threat rapidly declines. However, the environment is primed in a way that I expect it to contain damaging winds 60-80 mph while potentially dropping very large hail 2"+. This would be a rather dangerous combination as wind-driven hail poses a much higher threat to home damage and life. As the storms move east, there is good agreement it will be entirely a QLCS threat as it moved towards the STL region, which again is good for the tornado threat but it will still contain large hail and damaging winds. It should not be ignored, that with the best environment being contained in Eastern MO spin-up tornadoes are possible even with the storms becoming more linear.
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14/04/2023

Here is your 5-day forecast!

Temperatures are expected to be 10-15 degrees above average today but that looks to come to a brief end Tomorrow as a cold front swings through bringing the chance for severe weather and cooler temperatures. Luckily, temperatures warm up rather quickly behind the front back into the upper 70s by Tuesday!

Keep an eye on the forecast for Saturday. Conditions look ripe for some pretty potent storms. Very large hail over 2" and damaging winds in excess of 75 mph are increasingly likely with the strongest storms. Make sure you have a way to receive warnings!
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13/04/2023

Don't be caught off guard Saturday afternoon into the evening as a round of thunderstorms is likely with some of them being severe! Right now, the severe threat is a 2 out of 5, meaning the potential is there for a few severe thunderstorms.
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We are a few days out so the details are not locked in but conditions look favorable for severe thunderstorms to develop across Western Missouri and track east. As they do, they will be moving into a more favorable environment across southeast MO that may permit the development of significant severe storms containing large hail (>2") and damaging winds (>75mph). Thankfully, the tornado threat looks low but that may change so make sure you keep up with us as Saturday approaches!
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12/04/2023

I'm back!

I hope you have been soaking up these beautiful temperatures over the past several days because we see a storm system swing through Friday/Saturday bringing widespread chances for scattered thunderstorms and cooler temperatures!

Do you guys want more regular posts/forecasts such as this one or do you prefer I stick to impactful events as I have in the past? Let me know in the comments!
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09/12/2021

Sorry to disappoint but this page will remain inactive for the foreseeable future as I am off earning a Meteorology degree. If things slow down I may begin posting again so the page will remain. Thank you!

17/03/2021

ALERT: A tornado watch has been issued for southwest Missouri! A couple tornadoes are likely with hail up to tennis ball size and damaging winds up to 70 mph.
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Make sure you have a way to receive a warning if one is issued!
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17/03/2021

There is more! Don't let your guard down for severe weather because more is in store for this afternoon! Despite this morning's nasty storms, the atmosphere is quickly recovering across the state's southern portion, meaning more severe weather is likely!
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If you are located along or south of I-70, you need to have a plan ready for severe weather. Suppose you are located along the MO/AR border. In that case, you need to be extra cautious as conditions look ripe for stronger storms, with the most significant concern being tornadoes!
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For those north and along of I-70, you need to watch out for flash flooding! Yes, models continue to indicate heavy rain will move over the northern portion of the state, dumping up to 3" of rain on top of the rain already fallen!
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Make sure you have a way to receive a warning if one is issued and have a plan in place in case action is needed!
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16/03/2021

Good afternoon! After a short break, things look to once again get active and stay wet, what else do you expect for spring in Missouri?!
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𝗛𝗲𝘆 𝘆𝗼𝘂! 𝗪𝗲 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝘁𝗿𝘆𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗻𝗲𝘄 𝗴𝗿𝗮𝗽𝗵𝗶𝗰 𝘁𝗼 𝗱𝗶𝘀𝗽𝗹𝗮𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗿𝗶𝘀𝗸𝘀 𝗼𝘃𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗻𝗲𝘅𝘁 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗱𝗮𝘆𝘀, 𝗹𝗲𝘁 𝗺𝗲 𝗸𝗻𝗼𝘄 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝘄𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗸! 𝗗𝗼𝗻'𝘁 𝗯𝗲 𝗮𝗳𝗿𝗮𝗶𝗱 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝗲 𝗵𝗼𝗻𝗲𝘀𝘁, 𝘄𝗲 𝘄𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗸𝗻𝗼𝘄!
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Yet another storm system to watch.

You may or may not be enjoying the ongoing snow across the northern half of the state but there is yet another storm system to keep our eye on coming in around mid-week. Current models keep this storm as rain with some light snow on the back side of the storm system so major impacts are not expected. As I'm sure you know, you can never take models too seriously and this could likely change as we approach the Wednesday timeframe. Similarly to this weekends storm, this storm system will likely bring in another round of arctic air, this one, however, will stick around much longer. Excuse the poorly made graphics, this, of course, is a first attempt at using Premiere Pro to help portray the threat. This graphic took over an hour to create, which goes to show how new I am to the program. Don't forget to like and follow Missouri Weather for more weather updates! #mowx #snow #winter

Cold air is still in the forecast. The latest HRRR shows a region of Sub-Zero temperature in Northern Missouri into Southern Iowa tonight into tomorrow morning. It's showing much lower temperatures then many are forecasting because it's factoring the cold air released by the current snowpack in that region. Much of the area north and along I-70 still has a decent snowpack between 4-9" on the ground (Most from last weekend). Make sure you bring in those pets before heading off to bed! Don't forget to like and follow Missouri Weather for more weather updates! #mowx #snow #winter

Severe weather looks likely across the SE corner of the state. Storms will likely begin as individual storms (possible rotating supercells) hail and damaging winds looks to be the main concern with isolated tornadoes. As the storms progress into the bootheel region they will transform into a damaging wind threat with weak spin ups possible. 3-5 pm: A broken line of severe storms will move across south central Missouri. Main risk: Large hail, isolated damaging wind Tornado risk: Low 5-7 pm: A broken of strong to severe storms will begin to congel into a squall line Main risk: Hail transitioning to Damaging wind Tornado risk: Low transitioning to very low. 7-10pm: A squall line of strong storms will begin to move out of the state and gradually weaken. Main risk: Damaging wind Tornado risk: Very low Cities of concern: West Plains, Poplar Bluff, Farmington, Sikeston, Cape Girardeau, and Kennett

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Yet another storm system to watch.

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