23/10/2023
Iran may be the next target in Israel-Hamas war, but China is ready to help----
The ongoing war between Israel and Hamas has escalated into a regional crisis, with rockets flying across borders and airstrikes causing massive casualties. While the international community is calling for a ceasefire, some analysts believe that Iran may be the next target of Israel's aggression, as it is a major supporter of Hamas. However, Iran may not be alone in facing the Israeli threat, as China has deployed six warships in the Middle East, including a guided-missile destroyer, to protect its interests and allies.
Iran has a long history of hostility with Israel, dating back to the 1979 Islamic Revolution that overthrew the pro-Western Shah and established an Islamic Republic. Since then, Iran has been accused of developing nuclear weapons, while Israel has been conducting covert operations and assassinations to sabotage Iran's ambitions. Iran has also been supporting various armed factions in the region, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Yemen, and Hamas in Gaza, to counter Israel's influence and advance its own agenda.
The recent outbreak of violence between Israel and Hamas has exposed Iran's role in arming and training the Palestinian resistance force who have fired thousands of rockets at Israeli cities and towns. Israel has responded with devastating air strikes on Gaza, targeting Hamas' leaders, tunnels, and rocket launchers. However, some experts believe that Israel's real objective is not to destroy Hamas, but to weaken Iran's presence and deterrence in the region.
According to Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, Iran's foreign minister, Israel's "heinous crimes" against Gaza are part of a "pre-planned scenario" to create a "security vacuum" in the region and pave the way for a "big war". He also warned that Iran and Hamas will respond to Israel's aggression with "firmness and strength".
China has been expanding its economic and diplomatic ties with the Middle East in recent years, as part of its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) that aims to connect Asia, Europe, and Africa through trade and infrastructure projects. China is also a major importer of oil and gas from the region, and a key partner of Iran in circumventing the US sanctions that have crippled its economy.
China has also been increasing its military presence and cooperation in the region, as it seeks to protect its interests and assert its role as a global power. In March this year, China signed a 25-year strategic partnership agreement with Iran, which covers various fields such as energy, trade, security, and culture. The deal also includes joint military exercises and intelligence sharing.
As the Israel-Hamas war intensifies, China has deployed six warships in the Middle East, including a guided-missile destroyer named Xining, which is capable of launching anti-ship and anti-aircraft missiles. The deployment reflects China's growing complexity of the geopolitical landscape in the region¹, as well as its intention to safeguard its allies and assets from potential threats.
China has also been vocal in criticizing Israel's actions and calling for a peaceful resolution of the conflict. China's foreign minister Wang Yi said that "Israel's actions have gone beyond the scope of self-defense"¹ and urged the UN Security Council to take action to stop the violence. China has also offered to mediate between Israel and Palestine, as it claims to be a friend of both sides.
However, some observers doubt China's sincerity and effectiveness in resolving the conflict, as it faces several challenges and limitations. For one thing, China's relationship with Israel is not as hostile as it seems, as they have maintained trade and technology exchanges for decades. For another thing, China's influence in the region is not as strong as it hopes, as it has to compete with other powers such as the US, Russia, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia. Moreover, China's close relations with Iran, an open rival to Israel and known to be an ally of Hamas, is another cause of concern. Israel has called on Beijing to stop Iran from further escalation of the ongoing situation.
The Israel-Hamas war is not only a humanitarian tragedy but also a geopolitical challenge for the Middle East and beyond. Iran may be the next target of Israel's wrath, but it may not be helpless if China comes to its aid. However, China's role in the conflict is not clear-cut or easy, as it has to balance its interests and relationships with various actors in the region. Whether China can play a key role in ending the war or not remains to be seen.