22/10/2019
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Leopard?
Turkish Leos spotted along the Syrian border...
The Syrian conflict is taking a weird turn, if ever it was possible for this war to get weirder...
There have been many allegations of Turkey disregarding the laws of war in Syria. Ankara has been accused of using White Phosphorus on civilian Kurdish population centres in Northern Syria. We can't publish the videos and pictures on our feed as it would breach Facebook T&C's but a quick search online provides several returns on the topic. There's also a video of Turkish proxies beheading prisoners floating about...
Yesterday, Pompeo came up with the ludicrous statement that president Trump was ready to take military action against Turkey if necessary. Nobody is really sure of what this means, considering both countries are part of NATO!
An Iraqi defence spokesperson has said that US troops evacuating Syria and going to Iraq have not received the authorisation from Baghdad to remain on Iraqi soil... Awkward... Although there isn't much Baghdad could do about it.
Additionally, it seems Washington is about to make a U-turn regarding evacuating Syria... It seems the US DoD may have found a way to convince Trump to keep some troops in Syria: The oil. The plan would involve several hundred US soldiers to "guard" the Syrian oil wells in the Deir Ezzor province. This seems to be aimed at preventing Damascus retrieving its oil wells, which are much needed to relieve pressure on the Syrian economy and the Syrian people. President Trump seems to like the idea, even suggesting that a US oil company could take over those wells and exploit them on behalf of Washington. Part of the revenues would be given to the Kurds!
Nobody knows how this would work: The Syrian Kurdistan is landlocked. The oil would have to transit through Turkey, Syria or Iraq to reach a terminal... Neither Ankara nor Damascus would outright agree and even Baghdad might balk at the idea...
Furthermore, there are now Syrian troops, Russian military personnel and escaped Isis militants roaming through Eastern Syria... A few hundred US servicemen would be awfully exposed there, especially considering their own air support would have to come all the way from Jordan or Iraq! There isn't much in way of US military infrastructure left in Syria as up until a few hours ago, the US Army and USAF were busy bombing their own bases, radar stations and ammo dumps...
It has been confirmed that US troops at the base of Al Tanf in Southern Syria would not withdraw.
Trump has also said today that Washington has never promised to defend the Kurds "until the end of times".
Finally, Russian troops and helos have arrived at the ruined Syrian airbase of Tabqa, near Raqqah. Moscow has also gifted the SAA with an additional 41 Main Battle Tanks has seen in Tartus. And Russian MP patrol North of Manbij between SAA and YPG Kurds on one side and Turkish proxies on the other...
The cease-fire brokered a few days ago is fragile and there are breaches of both sides.
Erdogan and Putin are meeting up, today, to discuss matters.