05/06/2020
Parliamentary Statement – Economic and COVID-19 Update
Treasurer Ian Ling-Stuckey tabled a Ministerial Statement to Parliament on Friday 5 June to provide an update on the economy and implementation of the COVID-19 Economic Stimulus package. This was his third economic update statement this year. There will be another statement next week on the 2019 Final Budget Outcome (FBO). This reflects the Marape-Steven government’s emphasis on honesty and transparency.
“The context is a tough one. COVID-19 is a dangerous, hidden enemy. Under the strong leadership of the Marape-Steven government, PNG has avoided the worst impacts faced by countries such as Brazil, the UK, the US and Italy as well as smaller states such as Palau which was so dependent on international tourism. Nearly 400,000 dead across the globe. The heroes in this fight have been national unity and front line workers, who have been preparing our country for the dangers posed by COVID-19. We can be very proud of this national effort and the people involved deserve our praise and thanks” said Ling-Stuckey.
“On the economic front, PNG is not immune from the adverse impacts from COVID-19. Latest estimates indicate that the GDP growth rate is expected to fall by 3.7 percentage points, down from the 2 per cent growth forecast at the time of 2020 Budget down to minus 1.7 per cent currently. This is actually a smaller reduction than almost all other countries in the Pacific region - demonstrating the global scale of the adverse economic falls caused by COVID-19. Most economists consider this is the worst global economic downturn for nearly one hundred years.
“This fall in growth will lead to an estimated fall in revenues of K2,222 million, up from the K2,000 million estimate provided two months ago. This loss of revenues means our budget deficit will increase by the same amount – so from K4,631 million to K6,853 million. Just as PNG was beginning to repair the budget after years of wasted spending on foolish APEC and grandiose Port Moresby focused projects by the former Prime Minister, COVID-19 comes and hits us hard. The Treasurer indicated that major budget cuts are being planned – but these will likely only be sufficient to fund the extra expenditure required for COVID-19.
The K5.7 billion Economic Stimulus Package is being implemented. More than K2 billion has been raised in COVID-19 Bonds. Former Prime Minister O’Neill has criticised the high cost of some of these borrowings. But he is a hypocrite as much of this borrowing for ten year bonds was simply a loan to repay the loans he incurred as Treasurer 10 years ago. At least K1.5 billion in additional concessional financing is well advanced with a big announcement expected by Monday or Tuesday morning of K1.26 billion in financing with a zero per cent interest rate. The early access to superannuation legislation is due for Parliamentary consideration shortly – although I had hoped it could have progressed more quickly. Support has been provided to our banking sector to provide debt repayment deferrals and lower interest rates. However, I am still waiting for reports on how that has actually been put into practice by our commercial banks which the government does not directly control. We have worked hard to contain price increases and the fall in petrol prices is welcome. The deferral of tax payments until later this year should also have provided good support for the cash flow situation of our local businesses, and this should have helped them support jobs. Overall, pretty good progress.
Only K0.6 billion of the K5.7 billion Economic Stimulus Package was for direct budget expenditure. Frankly, this has gone more slowly than I had planned for and wished for. The first reason was revenue shortfalls. The second is our rigid budgeting systems not designed for an emergency response.
The good news is that our work on the COVID-19 Bonds and the credibility of our reform program gaining international support means that the cash is starting to flow. Warrants have been released for the entire K600 million in financing. Cash for this funding has been sourced from the net proceeds of the COVID-19 Bonds and international assistance. Some key agencies have been directly funded already include:
K45 million already allocated to the Department of Health with another K30 million set aside waiting for a detailed budget.
K30 million to the police of the K60 million for the security services to strengthen law and order and to defend our borders.
K35 million of K73 million to the Defence Force to construct 10 border posts, including facilities for Immigration, NAQIA and Customs activities as appropriate, to future-proof the border.
K15 million to the Department of Foreign Affairs, Immigration and Trade for capacity building and strengthening of PNG’s foreign missions to respond to the needs of PNG citizens living overseas, as well as the repatriation of those who need to return home.
In addition, disbursement of the following amounts has begun and should be fully disbursed over the coming week:
K111 million to support agricultural development and food security such as the purchase of seedlings and gardening tools - K1,000,000 has been allocated to each district and Province. Full warrants have been released and funding set aside from the second COVID-19 Bond.
K44.5 million to support rural MSMEs and households, enabling districts to undertake responsive MSME activities such as market improvements and small business training – K500,000 has been allocated to each district. Full warrants have been released and funding set aside from the first COVID-19 Treasury Bond raising with disbursement already taking place;
K33.3 million for Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) programs to upgrade clean water and soap/sanitiser facilities at markets, schools, universities, technical colleges, churches, aid posts and other potential hotspots - K300,000 is initially being distributed then a further K200,000 with full warrants being released and funding set aside from the first COVID-19 Bond for each Province and District.
“This innovative and carefully targeted funding puts people first and reflects the Marape Government’s Take Back PNG agenda,” Mr Ling-Stuckey said. “It is a fair and balanced package that entrenches our vision for a stronger, more independent and more sustainable Papua New Guinea. We have decentralised the decision-making on these funds – we believe local level administrations can make better decisions on providing the best agriculture, MSME and public hygiene for their people.”
Mr Ling-Stuckey said the Marape Government would have been able to spend much more on family and business support if not for the mountain of debt run up by former Prime Minister Peter O’Neill. This debt includes having to repay his K2.5 billion in arrears to PNG businesses, which he refused to pay them whilst in office for 7 years, on top of his expensive commercial loans from merchant banker cronies.
“Mr O’Neill’s destruction of the economy and government finances has severely hampered the war on COVID-19, the deadliest enemy the nation has ever faced.” Mr Ling-Stuckey said.
“His reckless waste and mismanagement means that Papua New Guinea is weaker financially than ever before, at the very time it must deal with the world’s most severe economic crisis since the Great Depression nearly 100 years ago.
“Nevertheless, and despite the depredations of Mr O’Neill, the Marape Government’s Economic Stimulus Package is now being fully implemented and the benefits will flow across the nation.”
Hon. Ian Ling-Stuckey, CMG. MP
Minister for Treasury
5 June 2020