New England Storm Center

23/08/2025

A warm and quiet weekend is on tap for New England. A cold front will slide through later Sunday through Monday, bringing a round of showers and storms.

Read the details here: https://www.newenglandstormcenter.com/post/warm-weekend-for-new-england-before-cold-front-sweeps-through

23/08/2025

A new area of high pressure will slide into New England for this weekend. This one will be centered more to New England's south, which will promote a more southerly flow, bringing summer temperatures back to the region. High temperatures in the 80s will dominate from now through the weekend. Southerly flow ahead of a cold front that will cross New England early next week will also assist in bringing milder temperatures back. Saturday will likely see the warmest of the temperatures.

On Sunday, an area of low pressure will be moving to the northwest of New England. This will be dragging a cold front across the eastern United States over the next few days. Initially, it was looking like this front would cross New England on Sunday, but this front is slow-moving and it may even stall for a time just west of New England.

On Sunday, the front will likely remain to the west, with New England's northern tier most likely to see the development of showers and thunderstorms throughout the day. Across Vermont, there may be two rounds of precipitation, with the first coming in the morning and the second being convection driven in the afternoon. There will be ample shear for stronger storms, but very limited instability. The atmosphere won't be overly moisture-rich either.

This cold front will likely gradually cross New England through Monday and likely clear the region by Tuesday morning. This will spread the showers and storms across all of New England for Monday. As of now, this will promote a line of precipitation across New England through the day, with the best chance for scattered storms in the areas where the front crosses in the afternoon.

22/08/2025

A warming trend is now underway for New England as Erin's influence diminishes. This trend will end abruptly early next week as a cold front dives through the region, bringing the next precipitation chance.

Hurricane Erin is set to make its closest pass to New England today, bringing large waves and minor coastal flooding. Minor storm surge was observed during yesterday evening's high tide, and similar conditions will be possible during the Friday morning & evening tides. High surf will likely linger i...

21/08/2025

Hurricane Erin is set to make its closest pass to New England over the next 12 hours or so, bringing large waves and minor coastal flooding. Minor storm surge will be possible during this evening's high tide (which has already been observed) as well as the Friday morning & evening tides. A Wind Advisory is also in effect for Cape Cod and the Islands through Friday afternoon.

20/08/2025

Showers from today’s system will push out by Thursday morning, with the only lingering activity likely over southeast Massachusetts. Localized downpours are possible across southern New England throughout the evening and into the first part of the overnight. Return flow will try to re-establish itself over the region, leading to a gradual warming trend, back toward late-August standards. 70s will dominate for highs on Thursday before more widespread 80s come back by Friday and into the weekend.

Hurricane Erin will make its closest pass to New England late Thursday into Friday. The departing trough from midweek and high pressure to New England's north will be the main factors keeping Erin well out to sea. The storm will pass about 450-500 miles away from New England's coastline. It will come just close enough to create some windy conditions across southeast Massachusetts. This increased wind will come due to the tight pressure gradient between Erin's low pressure and the high pressure to New England's north. Large waves of 6-12 feet will also potentially cause some minor coastal flooding and beach erosion.

This week's high pressure will likely break down this weekend as a trough pushes north of New England. This system will eventually drag its cold front across the region, bringing a period of scattered thunderstorms. As of now, this is favored to occur on Sunday afternoon as high pressure still looks to hold for Saturday. With that said, the cold front has been trending later and now looks to cross New England next Monday rather than Sunday. This front will have the chance to bring a widespread rainfall and thunderstorms on Monday.

20/08/2025

A system will bring beneficial rain to some in New England today, along with a cool and raw day. After the system passes, things will warm back up to August standards.

Moving through today, return flow from the south ahead of a trough moving to our southwest will try to advect some moisture back into the region. This will help create more clouds across New England. This setup will also promote some scattered shower chances across the region. Since the low pressure...

20/08/2025

Moving into Wednesday, return flow from the south ahead of a trough moving to our southwest will try to advect some moisture back into the region. This will help create more clouds across New England. This setup will also promote some scattered shower chances across the region. Since the low pressure system will be moving to the south of New England, it will be southern New England who will see the most numerous and steadiest showers.

Showers will be most likely throughout the afternoon and evening, and scattered downpours will be possible, especially in the evening. Shower chances will quickly drop off moving into northern New England. Overall, a general half inch to inch of rain is likely across southern New England, with locally higher amounts in areas where downpours manage to develop. This will be a beneficial rainfall for New England. Currently, the only areas of New England within a true drought are Maine’s coastal plain and the Cape and Islands. Unfortunately, Maine will likely largely miss this rainfall, but Cape Cod could get a decent accumulation.

19/08/2025

On August 18th, 2024, 6-12 inches of rain fell across southwest Connecticut, resulting in severe damages.

Here's a look into the impact, recovery and meteorology behind this storm: https://www.newenglandstormcenter.com/post/looking-back-at-connecticut-s-devastating-flash-flood-one-year-later

19/08/2025

On August 18th, 2024, 6-12 inches of rain fell across southwest Connecticut, resulting in severe damages. Here's a look into the impact, recovery and meteorology behind this storm.

During the mid-morning hours of Sunday, August 18th, 2024, a flash flood warning was issued for the southwest corner of Connecticut. By the mid-afternoon hours, Fairfield county would be placed under a flash flood emergency after over a half foot of rain fell from a stationary thunderstorm. By that....

18/08/2025

With high pressure in firm control tonight, it will be a very good night for optimal radiational cooling. Dew points in the 40s and light winds will allow temperatures to bottom out tonight, with morning lows in the 40s to low 50s. The main question on how chilly it gets tonight will be clouds. An increase in clouds is expected tonight, and if these clouds form a bit too early, it could limit how much cooling can occur. If skies stay clear long enough, the higher terrain could even drop into the upper 30s.

Tuesday night into Wednesday, return flow from the south ahead of a trough moving to our southwest will try to advect some moisture back into the region. This will help create more clouds across New England. This setup will also promote some scattered shower chances across the region. With that said, the air mass will remain on the drier side, so shower activity will be very spotty at best for most of the region.

Many areas will likely end up staying completely dry. The highest shower chances will be across the northern third of New England as the trough's influence will be closest. High pressure will remain to New England's east, feeding the drier air into the system and doing its best to dry up the showers. Temperatures and humidity will be similar to Monday and Tuesday.

High pressure will remain to New England's north late this week, continuing the cool, dry and quiet weather theme for the week. Thursday will continue to see highs in the 70s dominate the region. A moderation back toward seasonable temperatures will once again promote highs in the 80s by Friday, though a backdoor cold front may need to be watched Friday morning, which could result in the day trending cooler throughout the week.

Hurricane Erin will make its closest pass to New England Thursday into Friday morning. The high pressure to our north and the trough passing through around mid-week will help steer the hurricane well offshore of New England (and the entire east coast in general). The storm will create high swells across New England late this week, particularly for south-facing shorelines.

18/08/2025

A mainly dry and quiet week is on tap. This will be complete with cool temperatures and very low humidity. Overall, it will feel more like mid-September than mid-August. A warm-up back to near seasonal averages is expected by late this week.

A mainly dry and quiet week is on tap. This will be complete with cool temperatures and very low humidity. Overall, it will feel more like mid-September than mid-August. A warm-up back to near seasonal averages is expected by late this week.MONDAY & TUESDAYIn the wake of yesterday evening's cold fro...

17/08/2025

This weather this week for New England will be more akin to mid-September rather than mid-August as high pressure keeps a dry and cool air mass in place with a northeast flow. This is set up by a cold front this evening. This will also help steer Hurricane Erin clear of the coast. The only real shot at widespread precipitation will come around mid-week and will be focused across the northern tier of the region.