24/10/2025
By this weekend, the trough we've been under will begin to shift eastward while high pressure builds in from the west. Overall, broad troughing is expected to persist over the region while surface high pressure keeps the region dry (something that was in question earlier in the week). This will allow for continued partial sunniness, but also continually dropping temperatures, with widespread highs in the mid 40s north to mid 50s south by Sunday.
Our stretch of rather mild mid-fall temperatures has ended for most (eastern Maine will remain generally milder for a couple more days). Each day will likely be a notch cooler than the last through early next week. This will come as an area of Canadian high pressure continues to build into New England, resulting in a brisk northwest flow. It certainly won't be notably cold given we're quickly approaching November; generally seasonable temperatures are expected over the next week or so.
Looking toward the middle and end of next week, a large-scale blocking pattern reminiscent of a Rex Block may set up (this block involves an area of high pressure directly north of an area of low pressure). A large, strong and expansive ridge to the north of New England is likely to form. This will force New England into continued troughing while the ridging remains across Canada.
This large-scale setup will promote a slow-moving area of low pressure to impact New England around the middle to end of next week. A piece of northern-stream energy will likely drop southward into the Midwest due to the aforementioned ridging. This northern-stream system is looking increasingly likely to spawn a secondary low off the east coast by next Wednesday or Thursday, which would likely move offshore of New England right around Halloween, bringing a period of rain and possibly wind.