04/10/2025
The peak of this sustained October warmth will likely come Sunday through Tuesday for New England. A subtle shift in flow will likely occur on Sunday, which will keep eastern areas of the region a notch cooler as winds come off the ocean. The northern tier of the region will likely be the warmest (relative to averages), with temperatures sinking slightly moving closer and closer to the coast. Widespread 80s will still be likely across much of the region, but daily records will likely only be in jeopardy across the north on Sunday.
All of New England, right to the coast, will see peak warmth Monday and Tuesday. As the high pressure begins to shift to the east, the pressure gradient will increase, allowing a stronger southwesterly flow. This flow will prevent sea breezes from developing and 80+° temperatures will likely push to the coast. Each day will be similar to each other with highs likely only a degree or two different. Clouds will likely begin to increase slightly from the full sunshine expected over the weekend.
Daily record highs will be possible across the region during this stretch. Daily records are highly variable across the region during this stretch, ranging from the upper 70s to low 90s depending on the location in New England. October 7th (Tuesday), for example, has a record high of 91° in Hartford and 90° in Boston and Manchester. Caribou and Houlton, Maine's daily record on that same day is just 76°. On Monday, Caribou and Houlton's records in the low 70s are expected to be topped by several degrees.
The ridge of high pressure will shift farther east Tuesday, with a cold front crashing through the region Tuesday night into Wednesday. This will bring temperatures crashing back down to our October reality. It should also bring a decent slug of widespread rainfall. It looks like the rainfall will move west to east Wednesday morning for most, but several days out, timing can always change. A widespread half inch to inch of rain is currently favored, but this could certainly trend in a drier direction. Either way, it will be a welcome rain, but may do little in terms of drought-denting.