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Not quite something to panic about yet, but the tropics are trying to wake up again heading into the first week of August. At least that's what the EURO has been locking onto the last few runs.
At this point, more than anything, it's just a reminder that we're heading into the busiest part of the season. So we'll likely be tracking more named storms soon.
Not hard to see where the rain machine will be turned on over the next two weeks! Lots of rain chances for the eastern half of the country while the west continues to bake.
Rain chances are really picking up over the next 6 - 10 days across the Southeast and with clouds and rain comes cooler temperatures! A win-win all around!
What a map to see for late July! A major pattern change will take place this week and bring a break from the extreme heat across much of the eastern half of the US.
Average highs run from the upper 80s to the mid 90s across these areas. So expect to see some highs several degrees cooler than average. Rain and storm chances also look to increase across the south during this time.
Keep our friends across the west in mind, though, there's always a flipside in weather. Where the east will cool down, the west will stay miserably hot.
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We have an update on Beryl for you tonight. The target for landfall is shifting closer to Houston.
https://stormguides.live/blog/update-on-beryl-target-texas
Hurricane Beryl is a very powerful Category 4 storm with winds around 155mph but there is good news to share.
Beryl’s structure has taken a hit from wind shear coming in the the west. This has led to a more lopsided look on satellite instead of having the nearly perfect circular structure it had yesterday.
Beryl is expected to continue weakening due to the shear increasing and some drier air being pulled into the storm.
Hurricane Beryl is now a Catgeory 5 with winds of 160mph!
This is the earliest Cat 5 on record in the Atlantic Basin and only the 2nd to occur in July. Beryl continues to make history.
Beryl remains a very powerful hurricane this evening.
Update on Major Hurricane Beryl: what’s next as the storm travels the Caribbean Sea
While certainly takes center stage, TD 3 has formed in the Bay of Campeche and is forecast to become Tropical Storm Chris just or before or as it’s making landfall in Mexico early Monday morning.
Beryl has made weather history in the Atlantic Ocean.
Hurricane Beryl makes history in the Atlantic Basin.
Beryl is a powerful category 3 hurricane this morning with winds of 115mph. Beryl has rapidly intensified over the last day and there’s no indication that strengthening will stop.
Interests in the Windward Islands and the Caribbean should take immediate action to prepare for a major hurricane.
Beryl is now a hurricane and expected to become a major hurricane by tomorrow night or early Monday morning.
Have questions about the future track of Beryl? https://stormguides.live/ask-a-met
The National Hurricane Center says they will begin advisories on within the hour. TD 2 is the blob on the left side of the picture and is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane as it approaches the Caribbean Sea.
Need to talk with a meteorologist about this system? Schedule a call with us today! https://stormguides.live/ask-a-met
It's officially summertime and it feels like it in the Northeast! Heat indices of 95 to 105 across New England.
Views from Lakeshore Dr. in Mandeville, LA. While is hundreds of miles away, it is causing onshore wind flow into Lake Ponchartrain. As a result, water levels have risen in the lake and it’s causing some flooding along the shores.
And just like that...NHC has named
The first named storm of the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season, Alberto, has formed in the southwest corner of the Gulf of Mexico.
Lots of rain is expected to fall across southern Texas today as continues to draw closer. Winds are also on the rise and a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued to cover that. Most will see winds around 30 - 40mph but some could see wind gusts up to 50+mph.
So far the system still lacks the structure to be classified as a tropical storm, but the NHC notes that it's likely it will achieve enough organization to be named later today.
Very soggy weather is expected into the weekend for much of southern Texas. This is all related to which could become if it can organize. So far, it's having some trouble getting its center of circulation together.
NHC has started advisories on in the Bay of Campeche. They expect this low to strengthen enough to become a tropical storm (Alberto) by tomorrow and then move into northern Mexico Thursday morning.
Tropical Update: Still tracking an area of low pressure in the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico this morning.
The system remains pretty disorganized, but does stand a chance to do some strengthening over the next 2 days or so before making a landfall in Mexico or extreme southern Texas.
If it can reach 40mph winds, it will be named Alberto, but even if it doesn't, it's not hard to see where the heavy rain from this system will be (western Gulf States).
Still keeping an eye on the Gulf of Mexico for some tropical development. While heavy rain and some windy conditions still look plenty likely for northern Mexico and Texas, I still don't think this area will form into anything too strong.
It will throw some rain towards much of the western half of the Gulf States.
Lots of talk about the tropics and the Gulf of Mexico lately.
Let's dive into the potential!
Taking a look at the likelihood of a developing system in the Gulf of Mexico next week.
Here's our 2024 Tropical Forecast. It looks like it's going to be a busy season for the Western Gulf of Mexico!
This is the official StormGuides.live 2024 Tropical Forecast.
NOAA has released their 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook and they agree with Colorado State University that 2024 will be an above average hurricane season.
Now is a great time to review hurricane preparedness plans and as always, we're here to help however we can.
The NWS has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for parts of New Jersey through 9:45 AM.
Joe Piscopo
It's only appropriate that I have my Pez Dispensers with me while I'm putting together the forecast for the Joe Piscopo Show because it was Joe Piscopo who taught Data to tell a joke!
Heads up any Baton Rouge followers: just take cover.
3 tornadic circulations and winds in excess of 80mph coming in fast. This line of storms has a history of producing tornadoes and wind damage.
Incredible views of the northern lights as seen from just north of Omaha, NE! Our Meteorologist Clay Ostarly took these!
Morning review of the model runs with my favorite mug!
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Beryl has become a hurricane again. Winds sustained near 75mph with additional strengthening expected as landfall approaches between Corpus Christi and Houston.
Views from Lakeshore Dr. in Mandeville, LA. While #Alberto is hundreds of miles away, it is causing onshore wind flow into Lake Ponchartrain. As a result, water levels have risen in the lake and it’s causing some flooding along the shores.
September is here! What does that mean for us fall lovers? Not much for now, but let’s take a look at the seasonal norms to get a better understanding of what we can expect this month. See the outlooks here: https://stormguides.live/blog/a-look-at-september-for-louisiana #lawx #september #Louisiana
Category 2 Hurricane #Idalia has developed an eye on satellite imagery and has max winds of 105mph now.
Please, oh please let it rain! 🌧️
Invest #93L will be named #TD10 with advisories starting at 4pm.
Tropical Storm Harold has made landfall on Padre Island, TX this morning. Wind gusts of 35 to 50mph will be possible but overall this is benecial rainfall.
We help guide you through the storms when it matters to you. We understand that every day someone is impacted by the weather. Now we want to guide through the storms when it matters most to you! Whether big or small, weather affects it all! We offer customized forecasts tailored to your specific needs! We look forward to guiding you through the storms!
~ 2:00PM Radar Check: So far it’s been rather tame out there (that part was expected)! There are some ongoing showers and a few rumbles mostly along I-30. The main event is still lined up for this evening and tonight.
Introducing Clay Ostarly to the team and taking a look at the weather across the country!
Heavy rain and storms stretch from Jackson, MS to Baton Rouge, LA and east to Gulfport, MS. Several wind gusts between 40 and 70mph were measured as a strong line of storms moved across Lake Pontchartrain and New Orleans this morning. Track warnings and radar here: https://stormguides.live/severeweather
Radar really lighting up tonight as moderate to heavy rain fills in. Much more rain to go tonight and Friday. Keep up with warnings and radar here: https://stormguides.live/severeweather
Heavy rain and storms are increasing across Louisiana and East Texas this afternoon. Heavy rain has been falling from Blanchard to Plain Dealing for a while now. Here’s what we’re expecting tonight and tomorrow: https://stormguides.live/blog/mild-with-rain-in-the-south-coastal-rainmountain-snow-for-much-of-the-west
We are covering tornadoes across the southern US tonight. We will guide you through the storms. All you have to do is ask questions below, and we'll answer them as quickly as we can.
There's a Tornado Watch tonight for the ArkLaTex and strong storms are coming in. If you have question, just ask them here and we'll get to them as quickly as possible.
We are guiding you through some storms this morning! If you have any questions, just ask, and we'll get to them live as soon as we can. Make sure you share this feed with friends and family who might be in the path of the storms.
We've got some Big Bad Storms rolling through Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas tonight. We're going to guide you through the storms. Feel free to ask questions, and we'll answer them just as quickly as we can. And, tell any of your friends or family that are in the path of these storms to join this live video.
A line of strong storms is moving into the I-49 corridor from Texarkana to Shreveport-Bossier. The line extends into E TX into Lufkin. 40 to occasionally 60+ mph winds are possible along this line. It’s moving east at roughly 30 mph. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect for this area till 7pm, but the worst of the severe threat is moving through now. Storm Guides now has a Live Chat feature on our website where you can reach a meteorologist directly, if you need info! Visit https://stormguides.live
We've seen some severe weather warnings in the Houston area tonight. Feel free to ask questions about the storms in the comments below, and we'll answer them as quickly as possible.
Heavy thunderstorms have caused widespread flash flooding in New Orleans this morning. Travel is not advised at this time. Flash flood warnings in effect.
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