I am the Meteorologist at WISC-TV in Madison, Wisconsin. I was formerly the Meteorologist at KOTA/KEVN in Rapid City.
I am a fan of all things weather as well as sports and the outdoors!
Cloud cover will steadily increase today ahead of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon with highs near 80. Storms will mostly be non-severe, but they could produce some brief heavy rain. The overnight hours tonight will be mostly dry. Like Sunday, afternoon showers and non severe thunderstorms may be possible Monday and Tuesday. The threat continues into Wednesday however, southern Wisconsin looks to dry out for Thursday through Saturday.
The Severe Weather Outlook for this evening has increased for our area. There is now a moderate risk (level 4/5) for severe weather this evening for areas south of Dane county, with an enhanced risk (level 3/5) for Dane county and areas east & west, and a slight risk (level 2/5) for areas north of Dane County. The biggest risk this evening will be strong winds (possibly up to 80 mph), but embedded tornadoes and hail is also possible.
Today will be warmer more humid. Heat index values may approach the upper-90s by late-afternoon. An isolated strong storm is possible at any point today, but a better chance for storms will come later tonight when a cluster of storms with damaging winds is possible into early Sunday morning. There is a chance that parts of our area miss out on the storms tonight (the most likely locations that will see storms will be areas north of Dane County). However, more storms are in the forecast for Sunday and Monday.
ALERT DAYS are in the forecast through Monday for hot temperatures and possible severe weather. With the storms tonight and tomorrow, there are two possible outcomes. The first outcome would bring storms mostly to the north of Dane County overnight tonight, with areas near the Illinois border missing out on the rain altogether. This will allow more storms to form Sunday evening for most of our area. The second outcome has our entire area experiencing storms tonight (with strong winds likely in this scenario), but that may prevent many storms from forming Sunday evening.
We'll see plenty of sunshine during the afternoon today with warm temperatures peaking in the lower 80s. Tonight will be clear and cooler with lows in the 50s.
The tornado in Argyle was officially rated a high end EF-2, with estimated wind speeds up to 135 mph! This makes 7 confirmed tornadoes from Saturday's event.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for most of our area until 1am. Storms tonight could produce very strong winds in excess of 70 mph, along with minor hail and possibly an isolated tornado.
a still from a video shot by Max out of marshall saturday. it looks like a large tornado is on the ground. nws is working on surveying damage in this area. nothing confirmed yet. max says he was facing/looking south. News 3 Now / Channel 3000
BREAKING - National Weather Service Milwaukee has confirmed an EF-2 tornado touched down in Footville Saturday night with peak winds of 115 miles per hour.
compared to last year, US National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan Wisconsin has issued over 7 times more tornado warnings in 2024 during the same timeframe (the start of the year through today's date).
remember, whenever there's severe weather tune into News 3 Now / Channel 3000 for the latest coverage
Overall, today is going to be very nice. However, we are expecting some breezy conditions with wind gusts up to 30 mph at times.
Light to moderate showers are expected this morning, with a few areas south and east possibly seeing the rain last into the afternoon. Dry conditions are expected for everyone by the evening, with clear skies overnight. Temperatures will also be cool today with highs in the 60s.
Scattered showers are expected throughout the morning and into the early afternoon today. A thunderstorm is possible, but we're mostly expecting light showers with this rainfall. Most of the showers will clear out during the afternoon, and then we should be dry by Saturday evening.
Most of Wisconsin is now no longer under any drought!
While warmer temperatures are in the forecast for next week, it looks like cooler temperatures may return as we get closer to the middle of June.
With the amount of rainfall that we've seen over the past week, we are beginning to see some Flood Warnings and Flood Watches go into effect.
The current flood bulletins include:
- A Flood Watch for areas near the Wisconsin River near Portage
- A Flood Warning for areas near the Rock River near Lebanon
- A Flood Warning for areas near the Yellow River near Necedah
With three EF0 tornadoes touching down on Sunday, Wisconsin is quickly catching up to its yearly average of 23 tornadoes. The National Weather Service Milwaukee is making all reports are accounted for, currently estimating the number of touchdowns, so far, is between 18-22.
Always make sure that you have a safety plan in place should a tornado warning be issued for where you live. During severe weather, stay with News 3 Now for the latest severe weather coverage.
An ALERT DAY is in the forecast today for the likelihood of heavy rain. Any outdoor plans will likely be severely impacted by the rainfall. The heaviest rain will occur just to the north and west of Dane county. During the afternoon, some of the storms could be on the stronger side, especially for Madison and points southward. Highs today will also only be in the 60s. Rain will clear out for the overnight hours.
There is another ALERT DAY for Sunday, with the main threats being heavy rain and wind with a complex of storms expected, mainly in the morning hours. The rain will likely impact any outdoor plans people may have for the holiday weekend. Temperatures will also be on the cooler side Sunday with highs in the 60s. Memorial day will continue to be cooler with a smaller chance of rain, mainly in the afternoon and evening.
Welcome Meteorologist Blaise Keller to the First Warn Weather team
We saw plenty of rainfall yesterday! With both systems we saw this weekend, areas that were under a drought will likely see improvements.
ALERT DAY UPDATE: Tomorrow's (Tuesday's) storms will likely produce strong winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. The strongest storms will occur during the late afternoon through the entire evening. It is advised that everyone stay tuned live to the forecast throughout the evening for changing conditions. These storms could be very significant.
Another ALERT DAY is in the forecast for Tuesday, and these storms could be stronger than the ones on Monday. Tuesday's thunderstorms could produce strong winds, large hail, and possibly a few tornadoes. Most of the storms will impact our area during the late afternoon and evening. It is advised that everyone stay up to date with the forecast Tuesday evening for changing conditions.
Showers and storms will develop later tonight and into Monday morning. Scattered storms will then continue through the morning and afternoon. An ALERT DAY is in the forecast for the possibility that some of the storms could produce gusty winds, hail, and possibly an isolated tornado. Storms will clear out by the evening, but more storms are expected Tuesday.
Parts of our area reached the lower 90s today! The high of 87° in Madison wasn't the record for today (Saturday), but it would have been yesterday (Friday).
More showers and storms are expected to start next work week. Some of these storms could be on the strong to severe side. ALERT DAY conditions are in the forecast for Tuesday, but some severe weather is possible Monday as well. All hazards are possible with these storms. Temperatures will drop a bit following the storms, but highs will still be comfortably in the lower 70s/upper 60s.
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ALERT DAYS are in the forecast through Monday for hot temperatures and possible severe weather. With the storms tonight and tomorrow, there are two possible outcomes. The first outcome would bring storms mostly to the north of Dane County overnight tonight, with areas near the Illinois border missing out on the rain altogether. This will allow more storms to form Sunday evening for most of our area. The second outcome has our entire area experiencing storms tonight (with strong winds likely in this scenario), but that may prevent many storms from forming Sunday evening.
If you look closely at the visible cloud track, you can see a brief period where it darkens due to the eclipse!
Conditions today will not be very pleasant with rain and wind expected. The showers will mostly impact our area during the morning and early afternoon, with a lot of it moving out by the evening. Wind gusts throughout the day could reach 40-45 mph. Nicer weather will return Monday.
We'll see comfortable conditions today with highs in the 50s and plenty of sunshine. However, rain is expected Sunday, and we also will see windy conditions for Sunday. The best chance for rain will be in the morning, but showers could continue into the evening.
Snowfall rates are already taking over surface pavement temperatures. The First Warn Weather Team has increased expected snowfall totals. What are the conditions like in your neighborhood? Submit your weather photos to: https://www.channel3000.com/weather/#/rounds/1/gallery
We have ALERT DAY conditions expected Tuesday and Wednesday for possible snowfall accumulation. We'll mostly see rain today and tonight, but early tomorrow that rain will transition into snow, with the snowfall continuing Tuesday night and Wednesday. Total accumulation will be around 1 to 4 inches, with higher amounts possible further north and east of Madison.
Light rain is possible today, but for the most part we are going to remain dry with cloudy skies and highs near 50°. More consistent rain is expected Monday, possibly continuing into early Tuesday. The system may actually end as a mixed precipitation Tuesday morning before clearing out later in the day.
We have two rounds of precipitation over the next several days. The first round will come tonight, although most of the rainfall will occur between sunset and sunrise. The next round will be from Sunday to early Tuesday.
Temperatures will be much colder today with highs only in the 30s. They will rebound for the end of the week with highs back in the 50s by Friday, but Friday will also bring our next chance of rain, mostly during the overnight hours.
We have another ALERT DAY in the forecast for Monday. We aren't going to see as much snow with this system, but we are expecting rain and windy conditions. An isolated thunderstorm is possible Monday afternoon as well.
Another ALERT DAY is in the forecast for Sunday and Monday. This system will likely produce more precipitation overall than Friday's system, although it will produce mostly rainfall. It will start as snow Sunday before transitioning into rain later in the day Sunday and Sunday night. Monday will be rainy and windy for most of the day.
An ALERT DAY is still in the forecast Friday for snowfall. A slight shift in the track southward has changed the snowfall totals slightly. Areas south are now expected to get at least an inch, with Dane counties and areas north expected to see around 2-5", possibly up to 6 inches for a few locations.
After a cloudy day Thursday, snowfall will move in overnight into Friday morning. Consistent snowfall is expected from about midnight Thursday until noon Friday (likely causing an impact on the Friday morning commute). Total accumulation will be around 2 to 5 inches for Madison, but areas north could see a bit more, and locations south (especially near the Illinois border) will see less.
A second ALERT DAY is in the forecast for Sunday and Monday of next week. This system will produce both snow and rain, along with windy conditions. Snow showers are expected for the beginning of the system on Sunday, but that snow will transition into rain Sunday night, with rain expected Monday.
ALERT DAY conditions are expected Thursday night and Friday for the likelihood of accumulating snowfall. Snow will move into our area after sunset Thursday and continue through the late morning Friday. Madison will see around 1 to 4 inches of snow, with higher amounts expected north and lower amounts south.
We have a second ALERT DAY for Sunday and Monday of next week due to a heavy mixture of rain and snow. It is still a bit unclear as to how much rain vs. snow we will see, but a lot of precipitation is expected for those two days nonetheless.
We have an ALERT DAY in the forecast for Thursday night and early Friday due to the likelihood of accumulation. The snow will move in late Thursday and continue throughout the night into Friday morning. This will likely impact the Friday morning commute.
Temperatures today are expected to be colder with highs only in the 30s. We have a small chance of flurries, but we are going to be mostly dry until Thursday. Temperatures will be cooler overall going forward with highs mostly in the upper 30s and lower 40s this week.
Temperatures today won't be too much cooler compared to yesterday, but they will feel a lot colder with much more cloud cover and windy conditions expected. Actual temperatures will fall quite a bit for Sunday with highs only in the 30s.
Conditions today will be pleasant with highs in the 50s along with plenty of sunshine. Saturday will be a bit cloudier and also breezy, but temperatures will remain in the 50s. St. Patrick's Day Sunday looks colder with highs only in the 30s.
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