09/03/2024
"Yellow is the new Orange"
1. Area we've been watching down from 40% to 30%. Orange to yellow.
2. In spite of a trio of yellow blobs, this has been the quietest stretch of tropical weather from mid August to early September since 1968.
3. Regardless of whether or not we see any hurricanes threaten the Gulf coast again this season, it's clearly been a complete disaster for those forecasting a hyperactive or record breaking season. I, for one, am thankful they were wrong. But remember, it only takes 1 to make it a bad season if it strikes where you live.
4. While most of the stories focused on La Nina and record warm water temperatures, we've said since the beginning there are so many other factors that come in to play. It's just not so simple trying to boil it down to 1 or 2 specifics. Saharan Dust, Atlantic Nina, unusually active African rainy season and even the Tonga volcano could all be partially responsible. Truth is, we might not ever know. Just another reason, in my opinion, long range hurricane forecasts are often pretty useless.
5. Lots more season to go. We'll be here for you 24/7.