04/11/2024
I am so late with this post, (stupid work deadlines), and there is so much coming out this month.
(BTW - I apparently need to explain this. The categories listed after the movie's title are not my predictions. They are simply the categories I think the film is most competitive in.)
JUROR #2 (11/1) - Best Picture, Director, Screenplay
In most other years, this film would be in contention for the the Top 10. I'm not sure why WB is burying it, but their plan seems to be successful. Clint Eastwoods's potential final film looks to be DOA.
BLITZ (11/1 Theaters - 11/22 Apple TV+) Best Picture, Director, Actor, Supp. Actress, Screenplay, Editing, Production Design, Cinematography, Costume Design, Score, Original Song
Long thought to be a big player at this year's Oscars, "Blitz" has since lost some of that steam. It still has massive potential, but it's not the sure thing it once was. I still expect to see a few tech noms, and maybe one for Saoirse Ronan.
EMILIA PEREZ (11/1 Theaters - 11/13 Netflix) - Best Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actress, Screenplay, Editing, Sound, Score, Original Song
Unlike "Blitz", "Emilia Perez" is picking up steam, and is now vying for front-runner position. I expect this to be one of the most-nominated films this year.
MUSIC BY JOHN WILLIAMS (11/1) - Documentary Feature
The music branch has been trying to get Williams another Oscar lately. Can they get a nomination for this documentary? I'm not even sure of its eligibility, but if it is eligible, it might be able to at least get to the shortlist.
A REAL PAIN (11/1) - Best Picture, Actor, Supp. Actor, Screenplay
This Sundance darling has kept up its momentum all year, especially for Kieran Culkin's performance. That performance is now the front-runner of the Supporting Actor race. It also won the screenplay award at Sundance, so look for a nomination there as well. Will that be enough to get it into Best Picture? It's starting to look that way.
SOUNDTRACK TO A COUP D'ETAT (11/22) - Documentary Feature
Music history and U.S. mid-century global politics intertwine in this documentary. This looks fantastic, and I'm sure it will see the shortlist.
THE PIANO LESSON (11/8 Theaters - 11/22 Netflix) - Best Picture, Actor, Supp. Actor, Supp. Actress, Screenplay
Produced by, directed by, and starring Denzel Washington and sons and adapted from August Wilson's Pulitzer Prize winning play, this has sure thing written all over it. So why, then, is it not? As much as I'd love to see Samuel L. Jackson get a nomination, and it could still happen, I think the film's best chances are for screenplay and for Danielle Deadwyler.
GLADIATOR II (11/22) - Best Picture, Director, Actor, Supp. Actor, Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costumes, Makeup & Hairstyling, Sound, Score, Visual Effects
For this to get any above-the-line recognition, it's going to have to blow people out of the Colosseum when it opens. I've heard mixed things so far, so we'll just have to wait and see. I have no doubt that there will be a bunch of technical noms.
WICKED (11/22) - Best Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actress, Supporting Actor, Screenplay, Editing, Cinematography, Production Design, Costume Design, Sound, Score, Visual Effects, Original Song
Speaking of blowing people away, early buzz for "Wicked" is excellent. What was looking like it would be this year's "The Color Purple" is turning into a real awards contender, even working its way in to a lot of pundits' Best picture lists. Like "Gladiator", there will be many technical noms, and I think even some wins. If the early hype is true, look for "Wicked" to pick up some of the big categories as well.
FLOW (11/22) - Animated Feature, International Feature
Latvia's official submission for International Feature might not break through in that category, but it is a front-runner to get a nomination in the Animated Feature. The animation looks beautiful, the story is told without dialogue, and is about a group of animals trying to survive a flooding world. I cannot wait for this one.
PORCELAIN WAR (11/22) - Documentary Feature
Set amongst the backdrop of the invasion of Ukraine, this documentary about human resilience and the power of art in the face of enormous adversity won the Grand Jury Prize for Best Documentary at Sundance. Look for it to make the Oscar shortlist as well.
MOANA 2 (11/27) - Animated Feature
I don't think that Moana 2 will break into the list of nominees for Best Animated Feature, but there is a chance that it could be a spoiler. I thing four slots are pretty much set in stone, but that fifth slot has a little wiggle room for it to sneak in. If it misses, Disney will just have to be happy with the bucketloads of money it is sure to continuously make for the foreseeable future.
Q***R (11/27) - Actor
This is another film whose buzz has died down since its premiere at the Venice Film Festival. What hasn't died down is buzz for Daniel Craig, although he's not the front-runner he once was.
MARIA (11/27) - Actress, Production Design, Cinematography, Costumes
Can Pablo Larrain pull off a hat trick, and get his third Oscar nom for best actress in one of his biopics? I think he might. Especially when that leading lady is Angelina Jolie, playing opera legend Maria Callas, no less. I don't expect much more, but his films are beautiful, so there could be some technical love too.
THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG (11/27) - Screenplay, International Feature
What a journey this film has had. It was shot in secret, and when it premiered, Iran refused to submit it to the Academy for international feature and hunted down the director, now living in exile, for crimes against the state. It was thought it was headed to Best Picture instead, then co-producer Germany submitted it, and it jumped to the top of the International Feature category. Its Oscar chances have faded somewhat since its premiere, in the major categories anyway, but it still leads the pack for International Feature.
SEPTEMBER 5 (11/27) - Best Picture, Supp. Actor, Screenplay, Editing
This film wasn't even on my radar until recently, but it has become one to watch out for. It could pick up a few of those important nominations that could see it break into the Best Picture race. I may be late to this party, but I've got my eye on it now.
Looks like I'm going to be busy this month. Are you looking forward to any of these? Did I miss anything? Let's talk in the comments.