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Crisis Response Journal, along with its associated channels, is the global information resource that covers all aspects of human-induced disasters or natural hazards, spanning response, disaster risk reduction, resilience, business continuity and security

31/01/2025

Exploring the legacy of fire suppression, urban sprawl in fire zones, and climate change, Justin Angle explains how the US’ history has created an environment ripe for increasingly severe wildfires, suggesting shifting focus from merely extinguishing every fire to managing natural burns, improving building resilience, and enacting policies that prevent development in high-risk areas

Read here: http://bit.ly/42xFKwJ

Image: Flicker | Pacific Southwest Forest Service, USDA | Taskforce 1600 SHF Capt 343 Victor Guillen

30/01/2025

The aviation sector today faces unprecedented challenges due to geopolitical conflicts, requiring balancing operational efficiency with robust security measures. The downing of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17 in 2014 highlighted the dangers of flying in conflict zones and prompted significant changes in aviation risk management. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) reaffirms that civil aviation must remain neutral in political conflicts, supported by international law protecting aviation infrastructure.

Traditional security measures focused on compliance with regulations are no longer sufficient to address evolving threats. Andy Blackwell and John Wood explore how organisations are adopting Security Management Systems (SeMS) to provide a comprehensive, proactive approach to security, integrating continuous monitoring, risk-based decision-making, and a culture of continuous improvement.

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Image: Dream Lee | Pexels

30/01/2025

Over the past decade, there has been debate about whether business continuity will give way to resilience management. While the disciplines of risk, crisis, and business continuity management are closely linked, some organisations have rebranded business continuity as resilience without true integration. Resilience management now includes various disciplines, such as risk, emergency, and crisis management, and often has a strong technical connection to IT and security.

Business continuity began in the 1980s as a tactical response to IT outages, later expanding after events like the IRA bombings and 9/11, explains Lyndon Bird. However, since 2020, resilience management has shifted focus, adapting to events like Covid-19, which changed priorities. Going forward, resilience, continuity, and sustainability must be integrated to achieve long-term organisational success. With the growth of AI, managing resilience will be more effective, but it's crucial to balance innovation with awareness of its limitations.

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29/01/2025

Technology has amplified the tactics used in cognitive warfare, aimed at influencing attitudes and behaviours through emotional manipulation, misinformation, and disinformation. Cognitive warfare includes affective attacks, which exploit emotional responses to create fear, anxiety, and aggression, manipulating individuals into polarising to extreme positions, notes Diana Concannon. These aim to disrupt public trust and social realities.

Combating cognitive warfare involves fact-checking, media literacy, transparency in social media algorithms, and regulatory measures to address disinformation. On a personal level, one-on-one discussions that focus on common ground can help mitigate entrenched false beliefs.

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29/01/2025

Cognitive warfare is a form of conflict that manipulates the thoughts, beliefs, and behaviours of individuals and societies through psychological tactics rather than physical combat, writes Alex Bomberg. Influence operations use strategic narratives, disinformation, and persuasive techniques to sway public opinion and create divisions. Election interference through tactics like fake news and social media manipulation are major concerns. Operational psychology applies behavioural science to influence emotions, exploit cognitive biases, and condition behaviours.

The digital landscape amplifies cognitive warfare, with social media platforms enabling widespread influence and reinforcing echo chambers, leading to erosion of trust in institutions, increased social polarisation, and threats to democracy. Societies must develop strategies to counteract these tactics and protect democratic values.

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28/01/2025

The Abu Kabir Institute, Israel's victim identification centre, adapted to the disaster on October 7, 2023, creating separate wings for military and civilian corpses with complex identification and psychological support, writes Jay Levinson.

He notes: During the October 7, 2023, events, the scale of the disaster exceeded expectations, with trucks arriving with multiple bodies, both military and civilian. The facility had to adapt quickly, creating separate wings for military and civilian corpses with additional staff, including volunteers. Identification procedures differed for military and civilian victims, relying on fingerprints, DNA, and personal items.

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28/01/2025

On October 1, 2024, a missile attack on Israel by Iranian forces caused significant air traffic disruptions, with over 80 flights diverted from Israeli, Jordanian, Iranian, and Iraqi airspace. The incident highlighted the risks of flying over or near conflict zones, prompting the aviation industry to reassess safety measures, explains Stanislav Bukhman. The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) has developed guidelines to help airlines assess and mitigate risks in conflict zones. These guidelines suggest strategies like risk avoidance, risk reduction, and risk transference.

Despite efforts to improve safety, the industry faces challenges in managing risks, including subjective risk assessments and inconsistent application of safety measures, revealing the need for better threat intelligence and data-driven approaches to improve risk management and decision-making.

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27/01/2025

Abaigeal Lorge explores the complex issue of retaliation in cyber espionage, emphasising the importance of a measured, proportionate response. Retaliation in this context is not about revenge but about counterbalancing the espionage activity to prevent future offences and reinforcing cybersecurity. There is a role of deterrence by denial, which focuses on making future cyber espionage attempts more costly and difficult and the necessity for clear retaliation to maintain international norms. While sanctions can punish offenders, retaliation must be balanced to avoid escalation and maintain stability.

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27/01/2025

Between 2000 and 2017, the Caribbean faced significant losses from natural hazards, totalling US$27 billion. The 2004 Hurricane Ivan was a pivotal moment, exposing the region's vulnerability and prompting a review of disaster management strategies, leading to the Kingston Declaration of 2005 and the development of a more co-ordinated, regional disaster risk management (DRM) framework led by the Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency (CDEMA).

Ten years after Hurricane Ivan, the ‘Ivan +10’ review highlighted challenges such as the need for better co-ordination and disaster relief operations. It revealed that the region was unprepared for extreme events, which became more frequent, according to Jeremy Collymore.

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Image: Lehner | DLR

24/01/2025

Elton Cunha reflects on two decades of crisis management in Brazil, a country grappling with a long and complex list of challenges. These issues are deeply intertwined with climate change, deforestation, resource exploitation, and the consequences of unplanned urban growth. Over the years, these challenges have compounded concerns for the safety and wellbeing of Brazil’s population, with the effects of these crises disproportionately impacting the most vulnerable communities.

Despite significant contributions from Dr Antônio Luiz Coimbra de Castro in shaping Brazil's disaster management framework, risk management remains under-prioritised, often limited to disaster response. Systemic issues, such as governmental incompetence and environmental harm caused by private enterprises, exacerbate the situation.

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Image: Rafa Neddermeyer | Agência Brasil (Taken on June 18, 2024, firefighters, police and volunteers continue to rescue animals and bring supplies to people affected by the flood in Porto Alegre, Brazil).

23/01/2025

On March 22,2024, a terrorist attack on Crocus City Hall in Moscow killed over 140 people and injured 500. The attackers, armed with fi****ms and knives, opened fire and set the building on fire, examines Lina Kolesnikova.

She writes: “ISIS-Khorasan (an offshoot of ISIS) claimed responsibility, marking their first successful operation in Russia. The attack was part of a larger, coordinated effort involving multiple teams for reconnaissance, ex*****on, and information dissemination. The assault lasted 15-20 minutes, with the attackers fleeing the scene. It resulted in significant security and emergency response challenges. In the aftermath, Russia toughened its migration policies, and investigations into the perpetrators and security measures at Crocus City Hall were launched. The attack highlighted the evolving nature of modern terrorism, including the use of real-time communication for co-ordination and the live filming of the videos that had been released. Such developments necessitate a review of current protocols, as the 'visible' and 'reactable' parts of the operation represent only a small and very brief segment of the entire operation, requiring a comprehensive overhaul of existing principles, plans, protocols, and procedures.”

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23/01/2025

The end of the world may come in several ways – climate change making the planet uninhabitable for life; uncontrollable diseases immune to human scientific manipulation; or simply through the Armageddon of mutually assured destruction to justify the trillions spent on devices to kill people. From which of the three options offered will the next storm come? Read more as Matt Minshall explores the question at hand.

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22/01/2025

In the UK, public inquiries often highlight organisations’ failure to ‘learn lessons’ from past mistakes, despite senior leaders' sincere promises to improve. However, embedding these lessons is challenging, as leadership turnover and shifting priorities can cause processes to fade, according to Phil Trendall.

He writes: “The latest attempt to encourage real learning can be found in the recent publication by the government of a new booklet: Lessons Management: Best Practice Guidelines 2024.” By setting out the current view of those at the centre of UK civil contingencies, the guidelines present a starting place for individuals and organisations who wish to bring a methodology to the process of truly learning lessons. To be effective, lesson management must go beyond checklists and be culturally embedded in organisations, with a focus on openness, candour, and a commitment to continuous improvement.

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22/01/2025

Christine Jessup reflects on the gaps between theory and practice in the field of crisis management. As she reviews two decades of Crisis Response Journal editions, she highlights the critical need for bridging this divide, particularly in light of the evolving challenges faced by emergency management professionals. She emphasises how the Journal has not only examined emerging concerns but also provided a platform for insightful analysis and discussion, helping to shape the understanding of how such factors intersect with crisis management. Her reflections draw attention to the importance of research, flexible leadership, and robust information exchange, which have become essential in addressing the complexities of modern crises.

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15/01/2025

Boeing’s reputation has been severely damaged by a series of crises, starting with the 737 Max crashes in 2018 and 2019. These incidents, compounded by management failures, a poor safety culture, and delayed responses, led to widespread distrust. Boeing's attempts to manage the crises, including CEO changes and operational adjustments, have been criticised as insufficient and, at times, arrogant. The company faces a ‘sticky crisis,’ marked by long-term repercussions and slow recovery, writes Tony Jaques. Despite efforts to overhaul its culture, it remains to be seen if Boeing can restore its reputation and regain public trust.

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Image: Jeffry S.S | Pexels

14/01/2025

Cognitive warfare, a strategy to influence and disrupt thought processes and perceptions, has evolved from historical tactics used by figures like Sun Tzu and Alexander the Great to a modern global phenomenon. Nations like Russia and China use advanced technologies and psychological manipulation to influence decision-making, shape public opinion, and weaken adversaries. Russia’s misinformation tactics, such as its ‘firehose of falsehood,’ create confusion, while China uses both military and global media strategies to control narratives, explains Andreas Wadström.

Unlike traditional warfare, cognitive warfare operates below the threshold of armed conflict, targeting emotions, perceptions, and decision-making. NATO is working on strategies to counter these threats, focusing on cognitive superiority and resilience. Democracies must bolster media literacy, critical thinking, and transparency to protect against manipulation and defend core values like truth and freedom.

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13/01/2025

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, from June 1 to November 30, was predicted to be above normal, with an 85 per cent chance of an active season. By late October, nine named hurricanes had formed, surpassing the usual number. The season's intensity was driven by exceptionally warm ocean waters, with temperatures 1°C above the 1991–2000 average. Climate change and shifting weather patterns, such as the West African monsoon and Sahara dust, contributed to rapid storm intensification. Hurricane Helene led to 228 fatalities and US$88 billion in damage, while Milton caused 35 deaths and up to US$180 billion in damage, writes William Peterson. As for the rest of the 2024 hurricane season, high sea surface water temperatures remain conducive and supportive for additional hurricane development, along with both higher available atmospheric moisture levels and mid- to high-level wind patterns.

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Image: US Air National Guard | Staff Sgt Jacob Hancock

10/01/2025

The post-9/11 era saw the United States adopt counter-terrorism laws, such as the Patriot Act and AUMF, which expanded surveillance powers globally. While these laws addressed foreign threats, they overlooked domestic extremism, including rising white supremacist groups. Many nations, like the UK and France, implemented similar measures, raising concerns about civil liberties and ethnic profiling. In the US, the focus on foreign terrorism left gaps in addressing domestic radicalisation, as seen in cases like Dylann Roof's massacre. The challenge for policymakers and law enforcement alike is to develop non-discriminatory strategies that address the full spectrum of security threats without falling into the extremes of either racial profiling or excessive caution, ensuring an approach that is both effective and fair, argues Lucy Cuthbertson.

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In this episode of CRJ Listen, we feature our first 10-point commentary from Matt Minshall, CRJ’s advisory panel member, military veteran, and specialist in defence, security and resilience project management. Listen as he deconstructs the democratic system in the UK. Democracies thrive through adaptation to evolving requirements but die within if positive change is not part of the process. The electorate needs to play the decisive part. Among other key points, Minshall calls for the inclusion of political education in the curriculum to ensure future generations cast more informed and effective votes. He highlights the principal problem to address: who leads, by what means, under whose authority, and how effectively. Tune in to listen to Minshall present his ten key points to consider in reforming the UK’s democratic system. Full episode is available at: https://rb.gy/ffqebj #CRJ #CrjListen #UKDemocracy #PoliticalSystem #Reforms #Change #DemocraticSystem #UKPolitics

The authors of 'Clever Security, Clever Business’ Andy Blackwell and John Wood join Luavut Zahid in the latest episode of CRJ Listen. The book is a comprehensive guide for the business community and security personnel. It provides readers with an efficient way of operating security through state-of-the-art Security Management Systems (SEMs). The guests, both experts in this field, also serve as directors at 3DAssurance, an organisation that provides services to businesses for the development of effective security management systems. Tune in to listen to the engaging discussion about the ways in which security empowers business strategies and how organisations can effectively work towards incorporating SEMs. Listen to the entire episode at: https://rb.gy/ln2fn0 #CRJ #crjlisten #businessandsecurity #cleversecurity #businessstrategy #moderndaysecurity

Fostering personal resilience is crucial amid mass migration's expanding influence, benefiting not only those directly displaced but also their families and communities. Recognising migration's widespread effect and proactively building coping capacity allow individuals to stay resilient in the face of adversity. Leaders within organisations can create safe spaces for dialogue to strengthen mental resilience. Building personal adaptability helps navigate disruptions from migration indirectly, and promoting social connections in the local community is key. James Lodge explores opportunities for building personal resilience amidst the expanding influence of mass migration, suggesting a balanced approach to staying informed without succumbing to empathy fatigue. Read CRJ 18:4 here: https://bit.ly/3GJjFPD New readers can subscribe here: https://bitly.ws/Y8q2 #CRJ #massmigration #mentalfatigue #adaptability #empathy #communitybuilding #socialconnections #fatigue #migrantchallenges Image credit: Freepik

While effort is important, having the experience to know where to apply that effort is what delivers results. This theory, when applied by intelligence analysts in the service of thinking about thinking, or, more specifically, two-systems thinking, can aid in solving even the most intractable problems. In other words, Archbishop Desmond Tutu said, 'There is only one way to eat an elephant – one bite at a time.' Intelligence analysts approach most challenges with the same mindset. Even a complex problem can be made more digestible by tackling it bite by bite. The application of Systems 1 and 2 thinking in intelligence analysis, emphasising the importance of mitigating bias through structured analytical techniques, is explored in-depth by Fiona Galbraith, who leads the development and delivery of intelligence degree programmes at Buckinghamshire New University, UK, alongside two management approaches to breaking down a seemingly intractable problem: empowerment of subordinate leaders and ruthless prioritisation. The article also shares some techniques that make the above-discussed theory a successful approach. Breaking down seemingly intractable problems, considering a couple of structured analytical techniques and taking a systems approach to decision-making are some ways to make problem-solving more manageable. Read CRJ 18:4 here: https://bit.ly/3GJjFPD. New readers can subscribe here: https://bitly.ws/Y8q2. #CRJ #problemsolving #thinkingsystems #intelligence #decisions #solutions #elephant #complexproblemsolving

Secure your perspective on global crises and responses. Subscribe through our website before the New Year for an exclusive 𝟭𝟬% discount. The Crisis Response Journal writers are experts from research, practice, policy, and experience, sharing diverse insights on crisis management and resilience. Use the code: 𝗖𝗥𝗝𝗡𝗬𝟭𝟬 when signing up! Offer valid till January 3 for website sign ups only. #CRJ #NewYear #discount #magazine

This installment of CRJ Listen showcases an engaging dialogue between Mathew Porcelli, CRJ's Advisory Panel Member, and Scott Ashworth, Manager of Security and Resilience at Google. Tune in as Scott Ashworth delves into the nuances of personal security, unravelling the intricacies that permeate the dynamic realms of sports and entertainment industries. Gain insights into the critical aspects of safeguarding oneself amidst the ever-evolving landscape of risks, as he shares valuable perspectives on the significance of vigilance and resilience in these multifaceted domains. https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/crisisresponsejournal/embed/episodes/Navigating-the-nexus-of-security-and-risks-in-sports-and-entertainment-e2cr5g3 #CRJ #CRJNews #PersonalSecurity #Risks

Listen to this important discussion between Matthew Porcelli, one of CRJ's advisors, and ISRM’s NY Chapter chair, and Elizabeth Goetter, Director, PsyD Program, and Associate Professor, Department of Psychology at La Salle University, as the two tackle the critical topics of mental health, crisis management, and the essential tools for professionals on the frontlines of crises. More here: https://bit.ly/44UTDmH #magazine #crj #crisis #crisisresponse #currentaffairs #crisisresponsejournal #podcasts #crisismanagent #mentalhealth

Overuse and irregular use of antibiotics are potentially worsening antimicrobial resistance. Read more: bit.ly/3Elwxuz

New Podcast Up!🎙️🔊 Tune into CRJ's Editor Emeritus Emily Hough's discussion with ISRM members Ken Smith, Darlene Fawcett & Matthew Porcelli. Full conversation here: https://bit.ly/3Gv2CAp

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