Weather 'N Laws

22/01/2024

Enjoy this bit of warming. Long range forecasts are showing another Arctic air mass dominating the U.S., beginning around the 2nd week of February. This could bring more cold, snowy weather to the Midsouth. Again, these are long range computer models, so we'll have to see the closer we get.

21/01/2024

The warm up this coming week will also bring rain, and lots of it. Some areas will see over 4 inches in the next week

20/01/2024

6 to 10 day forecast still shows a warming trend with above normal precipitation for the eastern half of the U.S.

Expect temperatures to reach into the 60's next week in West Tn

Get out your T-shirts and Shorts

17/01/2024

NOAA's 6 to 10 day outlook shows a warming pattern with active storms moving along the southern United States, with an 80%-90% chance of above normal precipitation for our area

15/01/2024

The next system we will have to contend with will be on Thursday

The models show the low diving through Arkansas and across Central Mississippi. These are normally the tracks that we see our largest snow totals in West Tennessee. Other factors will determine the exact amount, including availability of moisture and strength of the low. Right now, an additional 3 to 5 inches would not be out of the question. It will remain cold up until next week, with slight warming possible on Wednesday with forecast highs just over freezing

14/01/2024

Why do I see snowfall on the radar, but none is falling?

This phenomenon is referred to as Virga

The atmosphere is so cold and dry at different levels, that precipitation that falls out of the clouds(as shown on radar) evaporates before it can hit the ground

Once more moisture enters the atmosphere, then the precipitation will reach the ground.

14/01/2024

The low is diving deeper than original models suggested. Latest runs have the heaviest snow in Southern Arkansas, Northern Mississippi and Eastern Tennessee. Portions of West Tennessee, South of I-40 can see upwards of 6 inches. North of I-40 may see 1 to 3.

13/01/2024

National Weather Service has portions of the Midsouth under a Winter Storm Warning. Confidence is high that a major Winter Storm will impact our area.

Not only will it snow, frigid temperatures will accompany the precipitation. Lows in the single digits and negative wind chills

Exact track of the low pressure will determine how much snow we will see

Models are consistently predicting in the range of 3 to 8 inches with likely higher totals that see heavier snowfall.

BT

13/01/2024

Time to prepare for snow!

Paul J.

12/01/2024

The line that caused the QLCS spin up just west of Atoka has weakened. Any Severe threat in West Tn should be very minimal. Mostly heavy rain and windy conditions

BT

12/01/2024

7:00AM CST

This is what we have to deal with today. Tornado warning north of Memphis for a possible spin up tornado in the main line of storms.

This portion of the line is riding the warm front east-northeast.

-Paul J.

12/01/2024

A radar indicated rotation just west of Atoka, TN along the dry line. This line could possibly spin up some quick QLCS tornados as it heads through West Tn.

BT

12/01/2024

6:15AM CST

A line of thunderstorms should move into our area between 7-9am with heavy rain and Gusty winds(35-55mph).

The severe threat is low this morning but not zero.

The dry line is currently situated around Memphis stretching past Savannah and is unlikely to move farther north than Jackson. This will limit most of the severe chances to South of Jackson.

-Paul J.

24/12/2023

Paul Johnson and myself will be using this page for our posts about severe weather when the need arises. Not professionally trained, we are amateur weather enthusiasts. If you have followed my home page, you know I try to give the most accurate, up to date, weather information. We use all the same forecast models and data used by the professionals, with up to date radar information.

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01/04/2023