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Southern Michigan Weather Severe/Winter Weather updates and forecasts for the Southern Michigan region.

11/06/2024

716 PM 6/11 - Partly to Mostly Cloudy skies generally expected for tonight. There is a small chance of a rain shower especially the further north you go.

Lows generally drop into the lower to middle 50s for our inland locations, with upper 50s to around 60 for some of our lakeshore spots.

933 AM 6/11 - Still watching the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms on Thursday as a cold front moves through ...
11/06/2024

933 AM 6/11 - Still watching the potential for strong to severe thunderstorms on Thursday as a cold front moves through the region. Much of the area has been placed under a Level 1/5 severe weather risk (dark green shading) except for parts of SE Lower (lighter green shading).

Isolated damaging gusts ≥60 MPH and hail ≥1" in diameter are the primary hazards if severe weather develops. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.

Monitor for forecast updates as things may change over the next couple of days.

11/06/2024

918 AM 6/11 - Sunny skies to start this Tuesday. We will see some increase in clouds especially as we head toward the late afternoon and evening hours as a weak shortwave and warm front approach the area tonight.

High temperatures will be slightly warmer today making it in the lower to some middle 70s across our inland locations. Middle/upper 60s near the typical cooler lakeshore locations.

819 PM 6/10 - Another calm and cooler night with low temperatures falling into the lower to middle 40s for most of our i...
11/06/2024

819 PM 6/10 - Another calm and cooler night with low temperatures falling into the lower to middle 40s for most of our inland locations. Exceptions being Metro Detroit and in the Thumb near the Lake Huron shoreline which will be in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Temperatures will be even colder up in Northern Lower and the Upper Peninsula where Frost Advisories are in effect for tonight.

904 AM 6/10 - The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted Southern Lower Michigan for the risk of elevated severe weathe...
10/06/2024

904 AM 6/10 - The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted Southern Lower Michigan for the risk of elevated severe weather potential as we head towards the Thursday timeframe.

Current model guidance indicates sufficient instability and wind shear for storms to become severe. Given this is still a few days out there are still details to be worked out, so monitor for forecast updates on this potential.

10/06/2024

854 AM 6/10 - Clouds will be on the decrease today, leaving behind Mostly to Partly Sunny skies. It will continue to be on the cooler side with high temperatures generally in the middle to upper 60s, with a couple spots getting to around 70 degrees.

The exception to the rule will be parts of the Thumb, which will remain in the upper 50s due to breezy northerly winds bringing onshore flow off of Lake Huron.

10/06/2024

913 PM 6/9 - A cooler night is expected with Partly to Mostly Cloudy skies. Breezy northwesterly winds will continue allowing temperatures tonight to drop into the middle to upper 40s for many of our inland locations.

It will be slightly warmer for locations near the lakeshores and the Detroit Metro hanging around the 50-degree mark.

317 PM 6/9 - Enjoy the slightly cooler temperatures while we have them the next couple of days. A pattern change will br...
09/06/2024

317 PM 6/9 - Enjoy the slightly cooler temperatures while we have them the next couple of days. A pattern change will bring above average temperatures to the region later this coming week and especially into next week.

This pattern change will also bring shower and storm chances to the region at times, although specifics on timing and extent of those chances still need to be worked out.

1109 AM 6/8 - Rain showers are already ongoing late this morning near and north of M-46, with more rain coming from the ...
08/06/2024

1109 AM 6/8 - Rain showers are already ongoing late this morning near and north of M-46, with more rain coming from the west.

Clouds will continue to increase with rain chances increasing areawide by late afternoon into the evening hours.

Highs today range from the upper 60s/lower 70s to the north where clouds and rain have already started to the middle/some upper 70s south where the clouds/rain take a bit longer to move in.

1023 AM 6/7 - Clouds across most of the area this morning with scattered rain showers tracking to the southeast across n...
07/06/2024

1023 AM 6/7 - Clouds across most of the area this morning with scattered rain showers tracking to the southeast across northern parts of our region.

Chances for isolated to scattered rain showers will continue into the afternoon, with the better rain chances the further east you are. Not everyone will see rain showers, and some areas especially in Southwest Lower may remain under Mostly to Partly Sunny skies.

Temperatures today will be cooler with highs generally in the upper 60s to some lower 70s down towards the stateline.

06/06/2024

1025 AM 6/6 - Overall quieter weather is on the board today as the last of the activity responsible for yesterday's severe weather pushes east.

More rain showers may develop this afternoon, especially across our northern areas in part due to the cooler air aloft and thus an increase in mid-level instability. A rumble of thunder or two can't be ruled out, but severe weather is NOT anticipated with any activity today.

Those that don't see rain will remain under Mostly to Partly Sunny skies. A cooler temperature trend starts today with temps in the lower to middle 70s for most of us, with some upper 70s around Metro Detroit.

1006 PM 6/5 - NWS Detroit/Pontiac has released the official survey details from the EF-1 tornado in Livonia this afterno...
06/06/2024

1006 PM 6/5 - NWS Detroit/Pontiac has released the official survey details from the EF-1 tornado in Livonia this afternoon.

858 PM 6/5 - The severe weather threat is coming to an end for the evening.One isolated non-severe storm ongoing down to...
06/06/2024

858 PM 6/5 - The severe weather threat is coming to an end for the evening.

One isolated non-severe storm ongoing down towards the stateline around the Hillsdale area. Also monitoring additional activity to our west which will bring additional rain and maybe a thunderstorm later tonight, especially closer to the lakeshore.

Severe weather is NOT anticipated with any activity later tonight.

730 PM 6/5 - Unfortunate news from the Livonia area where injuries and a fatality have been confirmed from the tornadic ...
05/06/2024

730 PM 6/5 - Unfortunate news from the Livonia area where injuries and a fatality have been confirmed from the tornadic storm that impacted the area earlier this afternoon.

Tens of thousands of people are without power Wednesday evening after strong storms rolled through Metro Detroit, causing damage across the area.

659 PM 6/5 - Livonia was not the only tornado in the state today. Another brief tornado touched down in Crawford Co. nor...
05/06/2024

659 PM 6/5 - Livonia was not the only tornado in the state today. Another brief tornado touched down in Crawford Co. north of Roscommon in Northern Lower MI. Rated EF-0 with estimated winds of 80 MPH.

517 PM 6/5 - All severe warnings have been cleared from the area as the line of strong to severe thunderstorms pushes of...
05/06/2024

517 PM 6/5 - All severe warnings have been cleared from the area as the line of strong to severe thunderstorms pushes off to the east into Ontario.

The threat is not completely done yet though, with additional showers and storms back off to the west near the Lansing area. Nothing is currently severe with that activity but something that is being monitored.

501 PM 6/5 - Official determination will need to be made by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, but Livonia EM reporting possible torna...
05/06/2024

501 PM 6/5 - Official determination will need to be made by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, but Livonia EM reporting possible tornado damage from storms earlier this afternoon.

**WARNING CANCELED - SEE NEWER POSTS**DTX issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH (RADAR INDICATED), hail: 0.88...
05/06/2024

**WARNING CANCELED - SEE NEWER POSTS**
DTX issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 60 MPH (RADAR INDICATED), hail: 0.88 IN (RADAR INDICATED)] for Macomb, St. Clair [MI] till 5:30 PM EDT

411 PM 6/5 - New Severe Thunderstorm Warning for portions of Sanilac and Northern St. Clair counties until 515 PM. Poten...
05/06/2024

411 PM 6/5 - New Severe Thunderstorm Warning for portions of Sanilac and Northern St. Clair counties until 515 PM. Potential for wind gusts of up to 60 MPH and hail up to penny size as this portion of the line of storms moves off to the northeast.

Take cover now in a sturdy building if in the warned area.

345 PM 6/5 - The localized damaging wind and hail threat continues across the region.Our first round of strong to severe...
05/06/2024

345 PM 6/5 - The localized damaging wind and hail threat continues across the region.

Our first round of strong to severe storms continues to push off to the east and northeast across the SE Lower/Thumb region with wind gusts of 50-60 MPH and small hail possible.

Monitoring additional storm development back across SW Lower and up toward the US-10 corridor. The first round of convection likely has taken some energy away from this second round but locally gusty winds and small hail remain a possibility.

Monitoring everything closely and will continue to have updates as warranted.

**WARNING CANCELED  - SEE NEWER POSTS**259 PM 6/5 - A Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued for parts of Oakland C...
05/06/2024

**WARNING CANCELED - SEE NEWER POSTS**
259 PM 6/5 - A Severe Thunderstorm Warning has been issued for parts of Oakland County until 4 PM for the potential of 60 MPH wind gusts in addition to penny size hail.

Take cover in a sturdy building until these storms pass if in the warned area.

05/06/2024

Check out this shelf cloud rolling into Britton right now! 2:54pm

213 PM 6/5 - Strong storms continue to make their way to the east and northeast across the region this afternoon. While ...
05/06/2024

213 PM 6/5 - Strong storms continue to make their way to the east and northeast across the region this afternoon. While still currently under severe limits, gusty winds of up to 40-50 MPH and small hail will be possible with the strongest storms.

This is in addition to frequent lightning and torrential rainfall resulting in areas of localized flooding.

05/06/2024
127 PM 6/5 - Shower and thunderstorm activity continues across the area. While storms are currently remaining under seve...
05/06/2024

127 PM 6/5 - Shower and thunderstorm activity continues across the area. While storms are currently remaining under severe limits, gusty winds up to 40-50 MPH and small hail are possible with the strongest activity in addition to torrential rainfall and frequent lightning.

1239 PM 6/5 - Gusty winds up to 40 MPH and pea size hail possible with storms extending along a line from Kalamazoo to M...
05/06/2024

1239 PM 6/5 - Gusty winds up to 40 MPH and pea size hail possible with storms extending along a line from Kalamazoo to Mt. Pleasant along with additional cells near the US-127 corridor between Lansing and Jackson.

Storm activity is moving off to the northeast.

1213 PM 6/5 - Shower and thunderstorm coverage beginning to increase across the area. Everything remains below severe li...
05/06/2024

1213 PM 6/5 - Shower and thunderstorm coverage beginning to increase across the area. Everything remains below severe limits as of right now but the low-end risk of isolated damaging gusts to 50-60 MPH and hail up to quarter size remains a possibility.

Remain weather aware and if you hear thunder roar, go indoors.

1010 AM 6/5 - A few showers on the radar this morning with some heavier showers already forming north of the Grand Rapid...
05/06/2024

1010 AM 6/5 - A few showers on the radar this morning with some heavier showers already forming north of the Grand Rapids area.

Still anticipating storms to develop later this morning into the afternoon, some of which may be locally strong to severe with isolated damaging gusts and quarter-size hail potential. Don't see much in the way of a tornado threat with today's setup.

We will need to watch for localized areas of flooding, especially in areas where training of storms may occur resulting in localized 1-2"+ rain totals.

218 PM 6/4 - Level 1/5 risk for severe weather remains in place across SE Lower into the Thumb region (dark green shadin...
04/06/2024

218 PM 6/4 - Level 1/5 risk for severe weather remains in place across SE Lower into the Thumb region (dark green shading) for Wednesday. Primary threat timing currently looks to be between 11 AM and 8 PM.

Isolated wind gusts up to 50-60+ MPH and isolated hail up to quarter size remain the primary threats with any storms that do turn severe.

Flooding doesn't appear to be a huge concern with this setup, but locally heavy rainfall within thunderstorms may result in areas of localized minor flooding.

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