19/05/2022
BRITISH INTELLIGENCE
putin started hunting generals for failures in Ukraine, - a summary from British intelligence
- Lieutenant General Sergei Kisel, who commanded the elite 1st Guards Tank Army, has been suspended for his failure to capture Kharkiv
— Vice Admiral Igor Osipov, who commanded Russia's Black Sea Fleet, has also likely been suspended following the sinking of the cruiser "Moskva" in April
- Russian Chief of the General Staff Valeriy Gerasimov likely remains in post, but it is unclear whether he retains the confidence of President Putin
What will happen next and why Ukraine will benefit from this?
Many officials involved in the invasion of Ukraine will likely be increasingly distracted by efforts to avoid personal culpability for russia's operational set-backs
- This will likely place further strain on Russia's centralised model of command and control, as officers increasingly seek to defer key decisions to their superiors. It will be difficult for Russia to regain the initiative under these conditions
