Maddieology

04/08/2024

centered out off of TB, should make landfall in the wee hours Monday morning somewhere near Lighthouse Point!

04/08/2024

Thanks Southwest Airlines but I’m already ahead of the game

04/08/2024

I hope you all have a sweet tooth!!

Little Debby’s looking like a Swiss Roll out in the Gulf as she approaches the coast of Florida, taking aim at making landfall somewhere near Lighthouse Point, FL. She seems to have desperate intentions of interrupting our regularly programmed scheduling, with her Monday morning impact and rainfall inundation of the flat, swampy state of Florida.

The 904 has already received almost 11” of rain in the last month but with this storm, another 3-5” is possible just between now and Wednesday evening, and if Little Debby is able to squeeze into Cat 1 status right before landfall today, we’ll likely end up somewhere on the heavier end of the scale - so get your floaties ready!!

The dangerous wind field isn’t large, but breezes could approach 25-35 mph with gusts up to 40 mph between Monday morning and Wednesday evening.

The other Swiss Roll factor in this Little Debby situation is the tornado risk, due to the orientation of the rotation and the location of the situation, Jaxxy is at risk for some spin time and a trip to Oz

I’ll be keeping a close eye on this system, since I’m supposed to get back to town on Tuesday but looking at the direction of my flight path from my layover to Jacksonville, Debby might be screwing me up

03/08/2024

don’t worry guys, even on my layover in Nash (on my way to a luxurious mini vaca to Cleveland Ohio!!), I’m keeping an eye on that will likely become …more to come!!!

23/06/2024

To my New England friends, specifically those are currently under tornado watches - had my eyes on some action in the northern half of VT a little bit ago. Those cells seem to have loosened indications of rotation but keep your eyes to the sky!! The atmosphere is very unstable for New England!

Threats will continue east even after this discussion expires-

11/04/2024

Sent in by Curt Meinal from World Golf Village - a wedge tornado touched down around 11:50 this morning.

11/04/2024

Tornado watches across the state of Florida this morning! Perfect time for a reminder:

Watch = the ingredients for a specific threat are together

Warning = the specific threat is occurring

10/04/2024

With the spicy cajun weather we’re having down here today and tomorrow, I figured it’d be a good time to circulate some important NWS/SPC graphics made available at all times but especially during severe weather events/outbreaks 🌩️

The first graphic will maintain importance for not just today and tomorrow and not just for the south, but for all of the U.S. during severe weather season.

The second is a day 2 outlook (day 1 = today, day 2 = tomorrow), specific for Thursday, April 11. Day 1/today’s outlook is largely more severe and dramatic, but not for my current areas of interest. Tomorrow is where my “concerns” (read: adrenaline enhancements) lie, since the storms will be targeting generally the greater central to northeast Florida and southeast Georgia area. Today the drama is occurring further west over southern AL, MS, and eastern LA 🌪️

The day 2 outlook is also mainly severe thunderstorms, which are classified as having one or more of the following conditions: 1) hail with diameter of at least an inch; 2) a confirmed tornado; 3) low to mid level wind speeds of at least 50 knots (58 mph) - and therefore imply the risk of all 3 occurring.

Specific categorical risks (probabilities of specific risks, such as hail, tornados, or damaging wind) are all available on the SPC website.

The NWS/SPC are just part of my long list of resources when forecasting for weather. I don’t ever rely solely on one source, so I strongly recommend that you don’t either when making safety decisions.

But anyways….yay thunder and lightning!! 😍

06/04/2024

boogity boogity boogity 🤪 currently 59 degrees, clear skies, dry conditions all day, high of 75 on the asphalt. trucks runnin, blinker fluids full, Hee Haw Racin’ is ready to run

03/04/2024

The southern leg of the same system to bring 12”+ of snow to much of Maine this evening/tomorrow is down here adding a little ✨spice✨ to my Wednesday afternoon ⛈️

02/04/2024

Want to see Maddieology posts ASAP (as soon as posted)? Make sure you’ve liked and followed, then tap on “Following”, tap on “Favorites”, and then invite a friend to like and follow as well 😉

02/04/2024

#1: I do not, nor have I have I ever, obtained the ability to physically control the weather. #2: I do not accept hate mail - only cash or credit. #3: We all make choices in life, and I chose to escape this 💩, so respectfully, you all are asking for it by maintaining your residencies in Maine. So actually, it’s all your own faults 😉 #4: SOMEONE took their plow off their truck!!! Find them. Dox them. Make them pay for what they’ve caused. (For legal purposes, I am joking and do not condone violence).

From Wednesday through early Saturday, high snowfall impact areas include the powerhouse of the state, starting way out west in Magalloway to Eustis, up to Mt. Katahdin, then south to Damariscotta - in which snowfall amounts could pile from 15-20” - and easternmost points from Acadia National Park and Baileyville out to the contradictory “West Quoddy Head Lighthouse” where 12-15” is possible. From this boundary north until about the Allagash to Caribou, 6-12” is likely. North of there, 3-6” is likely. There is some uncertainty with the southern reaches of Maine such as North Berwick and Kennebunk due to the freeze line, but the consensus in generally that these areas could see sleet with snow accumulations varying between 2-6”.

This wet snow will most steadily fall on Wednesday night into Thursday throughout the day and could fall heavily at times overnight. Intermittent snow and rain showers will persist from Thursday evening through Saturday.

Winds will be strongest along the coast with easterly gusts up to 60 mph. Interior Maine will see 35-45 mph with gusts up to 50. These winds Wednesday night into Thursday, mixed with the heavy wet snow at the same time, increase the potential for power outages.

In short: Messy, a pain in everyone’s 🍑, stays around longer than wanted. What, or who, does this storm remind you of?

02/04/2024

sending my condolences to the state of Maine’s spring season

forecast coming soon 🥲

25/03/2024

Come on down to Daytona to watch Hee Haw Racin’!

Finally got notification that we are entered into the Champcar Daytona 14 Hour on April 6. Come check it out and say hi if you see us!

22/03/2024

Like, follow, and share Maddieology!!

22/03/2024

First and foremost, my most deepest, sincerest, most genuine apologies for my absence as of late. I have been sick 4 times this year and it’s not even the end of March yet. I hate pollen, and pollen hates me. I also had strep 3 times since October, so there was that too, lol.

Secondly, I would like to wish the entire state of Maine, GOOD effing LUCK with this snowstorm tomorrow. Sending you warm thoughts from FL!! What a storm to re-assert my (ir)relevance with!!

Basically, almost everything that could go wrong, is going wrong - from the perspective of the poor souls yearning for spring who reside still in the firm grasp of Mr. Freeze Meister (someone should get a protection order for the groundhog….). Almost all signs point to a high yield of snow in most parts of Maine.

Womp womp 🫥

If you look at my super professional, highly sophisticated map that I created, you’ll see that I color-coded snowfall amounts for your convenience.

Please, no flash photography of my artwork.

Snow will start around 3 am coming up from the south, and likely won’t end until a full 24 hours later for most. This sucker has zero mercy, as all of Maine will see snow, though the coastline will likely get some rain in the latter half of tomorrow before returning to snow. Some parts, generally where I shaded 🍊, could see some freezing rain or ice late in the evening tomorrow, too.

Snow rates will be heaviest overnight tomorrow into Sunday, so make sure you’re shoveling decks, driveways, AND VEHICLES (!!!!!!!) as you can throughout the day tomorrow.

Winds for the most part will stay low, but overnight they could pick up and reach 30-35 mph inland, gusting higher in the mountains and along the open coastline. You can just expect cold temps.

I know it’s looking pretty doom and gloom for Maine, but if it makes anyone feel any better, about the same amount in pollen will continue to descend upon the south. But the weather is a little nicer here….

03/03/2024

Nothing like some good ol’ Sunday morning thunderstorms 😍

15/02/2024

Alberta Clipper!!!!

She’s kind of weak and will be short lived in New England, and will amount to nothing more than an inconvenience for most Mainers in the morning tomorrow.

An Alberta Clipper is similar to a Nor’easter - she’s still a low pressure snowstorm but she originates in Alberta and then crosses the U.S. border illegally to wreak havoc, “clipping” the northeast.

This little darling will bring just a few inches of snow to Maine. Coming from the far west of our northern neighbor, the air mass is cold, so the cold temps in place now will continue through the weekend. Winds will pick up with this quick storm, roughly 10-20 mph in most places with higher winds on the coast and in the mountains but will simmer down with the passing of the system.

26/01/2024

Guys I’m not THAT insensitive to the misery Maine is experiencing, I’ve kept my Christmas tree up just so I can be reminded that it’s still winter in other places

25/01/2024

Now that I’m back home from the beach since it was 82 degrees at my apartment and ~75ish at Jax Beach, I SUPPOSE I can provide SOME information on the incoming weather for my home skillets back home :)

Western Maine = a little bit of this + a little more of that, where this = freezing rain/sleet and that = snow. If you can’t follow my theoretical math equation ( ), that means a little bit of freezing rain + a little more of snow = what western Maine can expect :) (someone tell Doc aka Kevin Farrell I can in fact do math, iykyk)

Points south towards Sanford and on, complete the reciprocal of Western Maine - that is, a little bit of this + a little more of that, where this = snow and that = freezing rain/rain.

Points north of Farmington to points east towards Bangor (pronounced Bang-GOR) can expect just snow, up to about a horizontal line across the state from Presque Isle - y’all wont get JACK.

Amounts may vary, see back label for details.

Snow accumulations will be light - up to 4” in western Maine and the mountains, with higher elevations possibly seeing up to 6” in some spots. Eastern Maine can expect generally 1-3” inches, and southern Maine might get a dusting to 2” in between the rain, but it ain’t gonna do a whole lotta nothin.

Rain starting South of Sanford, ME early morning Friday with the potential for a brief period of snow; short period of freezing rain starting during morning rush hour/school-bus hour in Western Maine, changing over to snow by 9 am; snow moving north and east at this point, reaching Bangor by mid-morning. Precipitation will continue through Saturday afternoon and into the evening in some places. There will be periods of breaks in precipitation, but don’t start hooting and hollerin about “those damn weather people” until you get at least FULL THREE hours of 0 precip.

Winds will be generally minimal, even in the upper air levels, which is why this system is so much more slower than what we’ve been seeing lately.

Temps for the most part in MOST places wont reach below 25 (idc about the cold pockets, they’re mostly out in the friggin Allagash and whatnot), nor will they reach higher than 38 - the higher temps located in interior York County early Friday morning, but dipping down to around freezing at the same time the system starts picking up.

To wrap this up- I do not care if you have only a single frickin flake on your car. Brush that garbage off.

23/01/2024

So the good news is it's gonna snow!

But the bad news is, it’s gonna rain (with some sleet possible in between)! and I have tonsillitis!

Sorry for the jumpscare earlier!! (not rlly)!

Light snow starting early morning, producing only up to maybe an inch or so. continuing throughout the day. Rain moving in later in the evening, with sleet possible starting after dinner time. These conditions may make for slick driving conditions after dark. Rain will end early Thursday morning.

Super lame set-up incoming!!

23/01/2024

y’all want the good news or the bad news? ☁️

13/01/2024

I almost forgot about y’all….

Just kidding 😉

‘Bout 2 am, snow will staht in western Maine, ‘for she changes over to rain ‘round noon time, but not till she dumps 6-10 inches again north of the Rt 2 corridor with up to a foot in the mountains. South of the corridor will see likely 3-6”, then in York county,

10/01/2024

Who’s up for round 2??

Similar set up incoming!!

Reminder that it never hurts to laugh about the pain 🥲

Both maps below show a steep ridging over New England and a deep trough behind it. The ridging is where we will see the action.

Both maps are very symmetrically similar, giving us a hint at what to expect come Saturday…

09/01/2024

Little Caesar’s hot n ready!!

Risks for Jax: heavy rain, damaging winds, thunder and lightning, and at this time we do be under a ‘nader watch until 6 p.m.

Small cells embedded within this line of storms will be what we want to watch for. Those things run away from the larger system and they’re like the drunk friend peeling off from a group of friends - you always gotta keep your eye on the runner, you never know what could happen. 🏃‍♀️

As with storms like this, there’s also a risk of hail.

Storms will generally be in and outta here before 8 pm faster than the Jags were in and out of the playoff season. Fast movers like this though can bring a lot of power in a short amount of time. There can be a lot of unpredictability, also kind of like the Jags.

Get ready Jacksonville, she comin

09/01/2024

Dinner is ready and Mother Nature is cooking!!

Except you know when the waiter at Olive Garden shreds the parmesan cheese and tells you to say when to stop? Mother Nature is the waiter here, but she’s the one telling you when she’ll stop with shredded parm, and she’s not gonna give you a choice of whether you want more oil for the pasta or not. The shredded parm - I mean, snow - will start off light and will pick up overnight. For western/central Maine, accumulations will fall around 3-6” south of the Rt. 2 corridor, 6-10” north of the corridor, and over a foot possible at the higher eLeVaTiOns. If you think you’re good on the shredded parm, just wait till she gets started on the oil - I mean, rain (though you noodles will be just as slick as pasta with oil if you go and drive in the rain after all the snow). Momma N will start off with a nice, generous pour in the early morning, easing off gently as the day starts. Most of the rain will end by afternoon, but moisture profiles in the region show that there could still be lingering showers into the evening.

Winds will be a big issue overnight into Wednesday - gusts will be upwards of 45-50 mph, with sustained around 30-40 mph. Gusts more near 55-60 mph, sustained at 40-50 mph along the I-95 corridor, and stronger to the east. Blowing snow and rain will add to the misery. I guess this dish from Mother Nature will just blow you all away.

Temperatures will be well below freezing tomorrow but warmer air will move in overnight into Wednesday (hence the rain instead of shredded parm) (I mean snow)

Anywho, hope you all like Italian 🙂

Ps, friendly reminder: clean ya car off!!!!

08/01/2024

Big night for ! 2 different forecasts for 2 areas of high interest coming out tonight, and my mom (Sue DeGroot) got the honors of being gifted the first ever Maddieology merchandise for Christmas and it finally arrived!!

07/01/2024

Sunday morning current radar. Naming this line of showers "Interstate 4". www.spaghettimodels.com

07/01/2024

Multiple different risks occurring at multiple different times at multiple different areas of interest 😵‍💫

#1, Watching today’s snow storm for verification of snowfall totals
#2, Watching the outlook for severe weather in the southeast US for Day 3 (Tuesday)
#3, Definitely watching the development and progression of the system going into New England for Wednesday

Hold on tight, lol

07/01/2024