28/11/2021
OMICRON VARIENT: WHY IT’S A LITTLE SOON TO GO INTO FULL PANIC MODE
Travis Christensen for USA PUSHBACK
Just when you though that covid was going away, we now have the brand-spanking-new omicron variant originating from South Africa. There are concerns, probably legitimate, that omicron is highly mutable and may slip past vaccine protection. However, “concerns” are no reason to go into full panic lockdown, again. Looking at news headlines from the last few days we see that New York has declared a state of emergency, the stock market has plummeted, the crypto market has crashed, and President Biden has imposed travel bans from several countries.
I believe that current, instant level of panic is both silly and contrived. Here is why:
1) While travel bans from certain countries MAY be warranted the fact is that anyone from anywhere in the World who wants to enter America illegally can do so through the Southern border. Somehow, for some reason, the government then takes people who are detained at the border and flys them to different locations across America without informing local or state governments that they are doing so. While such a situation might sound like a paranoid fantasy this really is happening. Here in Jacksonville Florida it as been reported on local news that multiple plane loads of illegal immigrants have arrived, they disembarked, and no one knows where they went. Neither local government, the Governor, or our Congressional members were informed or have any information about what is going on. So the situation is that while the Biden administration can talk about the covid pandemic and now are imposing travel restrictions, they seem to be letting a whole lot of people cross the Southern borden and then flying some of them all over the United States. I think it is conflicting policing to have travel bans and vaccine mandates for citizens while having an open door policy for illegal immigrants. A pandemic policy for some but not for others makes no more sense than a vaccine mandate for people who are working but no mandate for the unemployed collecting government benefits.
2) Financial reporting lives off of fear and greed so they constantly publish stories to excite investors into buying or selling. The latest reported “plummet” in the stock market was only a few percentage points overall with the cruise industry getting hit harder. This is not unexpected and is no cause to panic, the stock market went through the entire delta variant surge and never blinked. As for the crypto market it was about a 10%-15% drop across the board from which it has mostly recovered. The crypto market is incredibly volatile in comparison to the stock market so a big drop is not unusual and the big investors took the drop as a “buy the dip” moment. When other people sell crypto whales buy and get richer.
3) Every time I hear anything about New York and covid I am thankful that I live in Florida. While many point at Florida as an example of what NOT to do in a pandemic what I have seen is that most individual Americans are tired of the government pushing them around on mask and vaccine issues and that individual compliance with mandates is very low. I was recently in North Carolina and at the time there was a state-imposed mandate for mask wearing in businesses, but when you walk inside the employees themselves were not wearing masks. The reason why Florida gets so much national attention is that Democrats are afraid of Governor Desantis because he has done more than any governor in America to push back against mandates from the Biden administration.
With these three things in consideration is appears the initial panic response is nothing more that 1) Biden administration trying to look like it is doing something productive, 2) reporters trying to make news, and 3) New York just being New York where the emergency order will keep the liberal-base happy but most people will ignore mandates when they can get away with it.
WHAT IS THE REAL PUBLIC HEALTH THREAT?
I am not going to downplay the public health threat because omicron could very easily spread and cause another covid spike. However, the current situation does not warrant panic. Here is why:
1) South Africa is currently at one of the lowest daily deaths from covid levels of the entire pandemic. While South Africa recently had a very bad daily death spike they were at the bottom of the curve when the omicron variant was first discovered. Whether that recent daily death spike was from the omicron variant, the delta variant, or some other coronavirus variant or combination of variants is impossible to say, but if the last death spike was from omicron then South Africa has already recovered from it.
2) The theory that omicron variant could slip past vaccine protection is probably not a cause for panic because we have seen that immunized people can still catch covid. My understanding of the scientific consensus is that covid vaccine does not prevent covid, it merely reduces symptoms to greatly reduce the individual’s chances of serious illness, death, and passing on covid to other people. Furthermore, the scientific consensus seems to be that covid resistance seems to wane 6 months after the initial vaccination but getting a booster shot brings resistance back.
South Africa has a very low level of vaccination in comparison to many Western nations. A google search will show that America currently has 59% fully vaccinated and 11% having received booster shots. Some say that Americans don’t take covid seriously, yet here with almost 60% fully vaccinated. The United Kingdom on average has had more stringent restrictions and lockdowns than America and is currently at 69% fully vaccinated and 25% boosted. Australia is a special case in that it seems that the majority of Australians love for their government to put them on house arrest. While Australia has a low booster rate of 1.6 they do have a 72% rate for full immunization. Ongoing reports from Australia reflect what I consider to be an insane level of restrictions to personal liberty for a nation with a 72% immunization rate. I don’t understand how anyone could be deathly afraid of a disease that they are immunized against so can only assume the majority of Australians love to live under the heel of their government.
In contrast, South Africa only has a 24% fully vaccinated rate and a booster rate so low it is not even listed. If vaccines are at all effective in reducing death rates it is obvious that Western Nations are going to receive far, far less impact from any covid spike in relations to nations with low immunization rates. I don’t know if that is “fair” or “equitable,” but that is the current reality.
Please don’t consent to “Australia” our “America.” Especially do not do so in response to panic over a disease that a majority of Americans have been immunized against. The fact is that government has an authoritarian impulse and wants everyone to comply with whatever is passed down. While liberals like to talk about “saving democracy,” the fact is that the actual demands of government are usually devised by a small number of insiders and special interests so what liberals consider to be “democracy” is in large part just an exercise of the rich and powerful manipulating the World so that they can become more rich and more powerful. True democracy is when people place a check on government power by voicing and acting upon strident opposition to being bossed around.
Simply, if everyone quietly complies with government demands they come up with more mandates that intrude further and further upon how you can live your life. If everyone resists then the government backs off. That is what we are seeing from the Biden administration: big talk about how “Our patience is wearing thin,” so here are some mandates and you just best do what you are told, but not much follow up. Meanwhile, Governor Desantis of Florida and individuals across the United States are successfully saying no to government overreach.
Do what you think is right to protect your health, but don’t do so because of phony panic over omicron.
Travis Christensen