28/02/2022
"Final" Special Post 🇷🇺 vs 🇺🇦
With Armenia-Azerbaijan war in 2020 and Russia-Ukraine war in 2022, I think Russia wants a quick invasion of Ukraine by capturing Kiev, its capital city. Prolonging the war will be costly for them.
I think we can see signs of how modern warfare will evolve at least when two neighbors fight. Not a defense expert but just my 2 cents.
Step 1 - Destroy enemy's air defense system. Ensure that you can fire missiles wherever you desire without them getting intercepted.
Step 2 - Destroy enemy's air bases, ensure their air force becomes redundant no matter how large.
Step 3 - Establish complete air superiority over your enemy's airspace, This will neutralize any aerial threat.
Step 4 - Send in Infantry and Armored divisions into enemy's territory with full air support. Capture all important choke points
Step 5 - Prepare for urban warfare, as enemy troops may resort to hit and run tactics. This is probably the hardest and bloodiest step.
Step 6 - If Step 5 succeeds, install a friendly regime and declare ceasefire, prolongated warfare in 21st century is costly and increasingly not worth the effort.
As the world order shifts from a Unipolar world to Multipolar world with the Inevitable Economic Rise of China and Revival of Russia .
This will be the biggest test for Biden’s administration because a weak response from the US will determine the future US foreign policy supremacy. Their Superpower status might be questioned.
Notes:
Many might be wondering why are we posting this?
We are after all indirectly affected economically once gas prices goes up.
The Philippine Gov't must also study the outcome of this theater if China does the same with Taiwan.