It's a beautifully warm & humid one out there today... & with the ingredients present, we have contact - isolated "pop-up" thunderstorms have fired up along the US-281 Corridor between Mineral Wells & Hico. They're non-severe (for now) but have dropped some pea-sized hail on Stephenville.
Their main direction will be NNE & will trend Eastward. More may well fire up in the area between the US-281 Corridor & that of I-35 as the afternoon progresses into the evening.
In a nutshell - this is not a plan-cancelling day, but be aware & geared up just in case you get one of these storms in your vicinity. We may well find ourselves with a couple here in the #FortWorth/#Dallas area itself. I'll be monitoring the situation.
#dfw #dfwwx #txwx #ntxwx #weather #weatherupdate #stormwatch
Starting late afternoon CST, a line of storms will fire up from Western Nebraska down through Kansas, far western Oklahoma, & the Texas Panhandle, & will proceed Eastward across Kansas, Oklahoma, & the most of Texas (down to about the I-10 corridor) through the evening & into the night... Crossing the 'MIMAL' line into Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, & Louisiana after midnight where, while a weakened storm line will impact Missouri, Arkansas, & Louisiana overnight, a colder rain/storm complex (with some wintry mix on the northern periphery), "comma'ed" around the core of the low, will impact the core Midwest (Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin & vicinity) simultaneously.
This line of storms is gonna be racing east - & I do mean "**racing**": they will be going so fast that if they were an auto, they'd be quite close to getting a big old Texas speeding ticket. We're talking 65 miles per hour ,y'all. With storms that move this fast in a linear fashion, that means the main concern - by far - is high winds. There's basically no flooding threat, as it simply won't be raining long enough for that. Hail will occur in the line's strongest cells, but stones will struggle to reach even an inch. Lightning, of course, occurs in all thunderstorms. Some isolated "spin-up" tornadoes may form within the line - but please do keep in mind that there's no such thing as "just" with straight-line winds; winds do NOT need to be whirling to cause major damage.
Use the SPC graphic as a guide - the strongest wind potential is in the red "bullseye", decreasing as one moves outward & down the scale. Secure anything that has even a chance of going airborne when the line passes. Use extreme caution when conveying; I highly recommend a "pause" during storm's passing if in an open-air or high-profile vehicle. Stay #WeatherAware & stay safe.
#weather #severeweather #fortworth #dfwwx #txwx #ntxwx #ctxwx #etxwx #okwx #kswx #newx #mowx #arwx #lawx #ilwx #mnwx #iawx #wiwx #dfw #dallas #wx #u
So, one of the worst case scenarios is playing out - we are indeed in for a genuine ice storm. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for all of #NorthTexas - & it even extends down to South Central Texas & the upper Rio Grande Valley, girded by Winter Weather Advisories. This also covers NE Texas, NW Texas, the Big Country, and the Concho Valley. Nationwide, most of Oklahoma & Arkansas, the Southern 1/3 of Missouri, NW #Mississippi, Western #Tennessee, the heart of #Kentucky, Most of Illinois outside of the NW & Chicagoland, & Central #Indiana, #Ohio, & #WestVirginia are under Winter Weather Advisories or Ice Storm Warnings. This appears to mainly be an icing event, with a sleet part and a small snow component on the northern fringes.
There are also patches of Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Warnings for the middle Rocky Mountains... and, for simple brutally frigid conditions, Wind Chill Advisories and Warnings for most of the Midwest and Central Plains, & the InterMountain West... concluding with some more winter advisories for the Southern #California mountains, the highest mountains of Hawai'i, and the heart of #Alaska.
A wave of snow will move across New England Monday into Tuesday, and the Great LAkes region will see rounds of lake-effect snow. The Deep South and Florida will get rained on quite a lot... by Friday, the West Coast will be getting valley rain and higher-elevation/mountain snow & ice.
It's gonna be a rough next few days, y'all.
Will things be severe for #DFW? No. But it'll definitely impact things. Let's go by day:
Today - Monday: It's currently, as of writing this, freezing drizzling here in the old south side of #FortWorth. But through mid-afternoon, impacts will be minimal - so if you have any commerce you can get done now, get it done during the first half of today, y'all. Be careful in doing so, as even freezing drizzle can cause slick spots, especially on bridges and overpasses. Don't forget even about simply walking on surface
#NorthTexas: afternoon storms have started to fire, mainly across the NW (to start?). Expect activity through the rest of today to mainly move South to North. #txwx #dfwwx #ntxwx #wxtwitter #fortworth #dfw #weather #dallas
Heads up, U.S. South - The Storm Prediction Center has issued up to an Enhanced Risk of severe weather for Friday, March 11. The best chance is in the vicinity of where the Florida-Georgia border is, but cover all areas of hte U.S. along and SE of a New Orleans - Atlanta - Norfolk, VA line. All modes of severe weather are possible, especially in scattered storm cells. The main timeframe will be from afternoon through - especially - late evening and early night. Right now it's looking like scattered activity will be the afternoon rule, then a massive squall will develop in the Mid-South in the evening and sweep across the region from West to East, which would of course mean mainly a wind concern.
Meanwhile, for Oklahoma and North Texas - Winter Weather Advisory in effect for most of the upcoming day. Expect periods of a winter mix with highs between the upper 20s F and the mid 30s F. Accumulation amounts of 1-3" in the heart of Oklahoma, to 1-2" in Western, Northern, and Northeastern sectors of North Texas into NE Texas... with lighter amounts for the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex and points S and E.
In fact, expect a widespread swath of mixed wintry precip extending from the New Mexico/Arizona/Mexico tripoint through NM, the Western Ave Northern tiers of Texas, Oklahoma, the Ozarks, the Lower Midwest and northern South, the interior Mid-Atlantic, Great Lakes, and interior Northeast. South of this, in addition to the severe weather risk area, expect scattered to widespread rain. The Pacific Northwest will feature light snow in the highlands of Washington and Western Montana.
#weather #weatheraware #severeweather #uswx #txwx #fortworth #dallas #dfwwx #dfw #ntxwx #etxwx #ctxwx #winter #winterstorm #winterweather
ready for a big winter storm, y'all?
forecast snow accumulation over the next 4 days. draw a crescent from the Upper Mississippi River Valley, down into the Mid-South, and back up the Appalachians into the Lower Midwest and the Northeast/New England... y'all gonna be getting at least some measure of snow/ice this weekend. some totals where y'all see purples on the map will exceed a foot.
#winterstorm #winterweather #weather #rbstormstalkers #rbs2 #wxtwitter #wxfacebook #wx #uswx #severeweather
We tell y'all, this "tropical-style" pattern we've (mostly) been having here in the Lower 48 is simply - chef's kiss - beautiful! It continues today.
Showers & thunderstorms, largely of the "pop-up" variety, isolated to widespread - mainly rain producers with the occasional wind gust, hailstone, or funnel - especially concentrated near fronts. This storm potential will be everywhere save for the West Coast itself & ~300 miles inland + the upper Midwest. It mostly won't be a washout, but govern y'all'sselves accordingly - have the rain gear handy for your day, just in case you get a lil sky moisture. Flash Flood Watches exist, with gaps, from central New Jersey west along and around the Ohio River, through the Ozarks, Central Oklahoma, and into parts of Colorado and New Mexico.
Severe potential, mainly for damaging wind, will be limited to the metro/coast from #NewYorkCity down to #Virginia Beach. Temperatures will be nice and mildly summery nationwide, save for the Pacific Northwest, where the heat wave persists across the interior of that region.
Look for a PC2S2 storm-tracking "nerve center", launching soon, for tracking them storms wherever you are, in conjunction with these updates &, for those who've joined the Brotherhood, weather "turkey talk" in our Discord! :)
#c2wx #uswx #weather #severeweather #wxfb #wxfacebook
there's several fronts currently draped across the country - one on Lake Superior... one from Lake Ontario, down through the Ohio River Valley, and over to Nebraska... and another from Appalachian New York down through the whole mountain range, across the deep south, and into north central and northwest Texas... if you're in the vicinity of, or south or east of, any of these fronts, keep an eye to the Sky - especially in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, the South, and Texas... storms have fired up and will continue through today. #wxfacebook #uswx #c2wx #weather #severeweather
Widespread storms over the #Texas #BigCountry, #ConchoValley, & western N Central TX will continue east, moving into the #Dallas/#FortWorth, #Waco, & other I-35 Corridor areas as the afternoon goes on, as more storms do their thing & continue to fire up over the #PermianBasin, #EdwardsPlateau, Concho, & other surrounding areas, as well as in New Mexico. Overall, TX & surrounding states will continue to see widespread storms through the upcoming early morning.
Main storm direction will be W-E. A #FlashFloodWatch remains in effect from the High Plains through North Central Texas and up through #Oklahoma and the #Ozarks - many areas have seen flooding in the HP & #BigCountry, etc.
#SevereWeather will mainly be limited to parts of TX - especially southern North Central, Central (mainly wind)... & West Central, Southwest + #NewMexico (all modes, including tornadoes). Severe thunderstorm watch in effect for Central TX, PermianBasin & vicinity, & SE/Cen NM.
#c2wx #txwx #nmwx #okwx #arwx #lawx #weather #wxfacebook
Friday Outlook, y'all!
There's a marginal risk for #SevereWeather in the High Plains just east of the Rockies from central #NorthDakota down to southeastern #NewMexico, with a small Slight risk area for far NE #Colorado and far NW #Nebraska. Storms in and around the Slight risk area may become severe with hail, high winds, and an isolated tornado. Elsewhere in the Marginal risk area, it's a just-to-severe-levels hail and wind risk.
Across the Mountainous and Intermountain West, expect scattered non-severe storms, with snow in higher elevations. From #Yellowstone down South to the Mexican border, though, it'll be so dry that storm precipitation may not reach the ground (but lightning can) & there's an Elevated to Critical Fire Weather risk... an Elevated FW Risk exists for far SE CO & Eastern NM, the Central Valley of California, as well as the West Coast of Florida.
The #WestCoast and most of the East will be dry today due to high pressure systems, though there may be an odd shower in #Maine and a pop-up storm or several in #Florida, as is tropical typical.
Speaking of tropical, there's a major conveyor of tropical #GulfOfMexico moisture entering on the SE #Texas coast and pushing up all the way north to the Canadian border in the #GreatLakes area. This means scattered to widespread storms for #Louisiana and the eastern half of #TX, up through the #Ozarks and the Upper #Midwest, with a small area of Marginal severe weather risk for the Marquette area, down through Central Wisconsin and to just NE of #DesMoines.
Here in #NorthTexas, as in the rest of the state, #LA, Eastern #OK, and vicinity, the storms will be of a tropical pedigree with heavy rain, modest lightning, & mild winds with the strongest perhaps having small hail.
Temperatures will range from chilly to mild in the West, to warmer than normal in the Central and East. Expect higher humidities in areas not under the influence of a high, along with non-stormy parts of the West.
#Hawaii, Pacific & Atlan
** SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POTENTIAL - Fri, Apr 23-Sat, Apr 24, 2021 - Southern Plains & Southeast **
Well, folks, we got quite a setup for #severeweather across the aforementioned regions over the first half of the weekend. A powerful low, with associated cold front, warm front, and dryline is gonna eject east from Colorado roughly along the 37th parallel. This means:
- Friday morning: widespread subtropical humidity, mildness to warmth, and moisture for the Southern Plains, Deep South, & Western #OhioRiver Valley, with associated non-severe showers & thunderstorms.
- Friday midday: #Texas #HillCountry starts hoppin' with clusters of severe storms.
- Friday afternoon/evening: activity becomes widespread across TX, #Oklahoma, & west-side #MississippiRiver states.
- Friday overnight: Western ORV storms (mostly non-severe); #DeepSouth storms, many severe.
- Saturday: widespread storms, many severe, across Deep South, moving into Carolinas... non-severe, chilly rain/storms for ORV, #DMV, moving into Mid-Atlantic.
- Saturday night: Severe threat moves into far Southeastern states, with non-severe activity spreading across #DMV, Mid-Atlantic, & into the Northeastern states. This will clear out as Sunday progresses.
All modes possible: large hail (greater than 3" in strongest storms!), winds to 60+ mph, & isolated tornadoes - along with the givens of heavy rain (with potential flooding) & lightning.
More analysis in the video briefing, y'all.
Stay tuned to PC2 StormStalkers - here, through stormygrove.net, & especially in our Discord, along with #NOAAWeatherRadio, reliable local TV/radio & their social media, & local weather personalities (PC2 focuses on North Central Texas - #Dallas/#FortWorth & vicinity!). Mind your severe weather precautions, too!
#txwx #okwx #kswx #arwx #lawx #mswx #alwx #gawx #tnwx #kywx #flwx #vawx #nywx #weather #tornado #PC2StormStalkers #c2wx #ntxwx #dfwwx
