23/10/2023
Gear up, North Central Texas. Expect a mild, cloudy day with on-and-off light to moderate rain... highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s.
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Gear up, North Central Texas. Expect a mild, cloudy day with on-and-off light to moderate rain... highs in the 80s, lows in the 60s.
Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Tarrant County until 9:15 PM (2115). A very rowdy storm from Parker County about to slide in, with the potential for 70+mph winds, hail to ping pong ball size, and of course plenty of heavy rain and lightning. Batten down the hatches - and County is next!
Heads up, / / / : Today will feature a partly- to mostly-cloudy morning with isolated showers generally along and E of US-75/I-45... with the afternoon seeing an increase in this isolated activity to "scattered showers & storms" regionwide. This evening into the night, a fierce squall line will initiate in the TX/OK Panhandles & move across the region from NW to SE.
Be & prepared, y'all. Potentials in storms are hail up to teacup size in the Panhandles/ area/Western /High Plains/ ... & up to golf ball size elsewhere. Winds may reach upwards of 70+mph, as well. All storms carry heavy rain & hazardous lightning.
/North Central Texas: Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 2300 tonight, generally along & E of US-281. Watch for scattered thunderstorms to rapidly increase over the next couple hours; there's already one around the Lake Worth area as this is being posted. Activity will mainly track NW to SE. Possibilities are hail to tennis balls, high winds up to 70+mph, torrential rains, & frequent lightning. Stay .
continues to slide onto the coast, bringing tropical storm force winds & lots of rain to the Upper South & Mid-Atlantic States. If you're in North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Washington DC, Eastern West Virginia, Delaware, Eastern Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Eastern New York (including New York City), Connecticut, Rhode Island, or Massachusetts... you're either already being impacted or will very soon. Stay and remember: if you see floodwaters, "Turn Around, Don't Drown!"
Next round of showers & storms draped across the Northern & Western (N & W of the core MEtroplex) tiers of north Central Texas... this is mostly non-severe with the exception of the far western tip of the complex with up to half-dollar hail & high wind gusts moving into Erath County.
Expect this activity to slide SE as the night progresses. Rain, sometimes heavy, and the occasional bolt of lightning. Some isolated small hail to nickel size is also a possibility.
Currently tracking a storm in central Denton County, sliding SE towards the middle of the Metroplex. It's a hail producer, up to quarter size... wind gusts to 60mph... & torrential rain with middling lightning. Prep for arrival over the next couple hours in far East Tarrant + most of Dallas Counties.
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Though it's still gonna generally be hot like the gates to the underworld have flung open, today's heat will be peppered with actual scattered cloud cover + showers/storms!
Be prepared for the possibility of sudden rainfall as you go about your business today, & beware of lightning strikes. The strongest cells may spin up some high winds, as well. Direction will generally be from south to north (yes, south to north).
Activity will stop after sunset.
Simply put, today is going to be a stormy one. Overnight, huge convective systems spawned statewide and in the surrounding ones, bringing widespread rain. This will continue through today, so I'd say expect rain on and off. It won't constantly rain, but expect it to rain most of the day. The same goes for tomorrow, Mother's Day.
The severe weather threat is low. The strongest storm cells will probably manage to spit out some quarter size hail and a little bit of feisty wind, but for the most part this is just rain and lightning. However, flooding is going to be a significant risk. Take flooding seriously, as it is actually the number one weather killer. Use your safety precautions, remember . Have your gear at the ready as you go about your business, and try to have your plans be indoors rather than out.
It's a beautifully warm & humid one out there today... & with the ingredients present, we have contact - isolated "pop-up" thunderstorms have fired up along the US-281 Corridor between Mineral Wells & Hico. They're non-severe (for now) but have dropped some pea-sized hail on Stephenville.
Their main direction will be NNE & will trend Eastward. More may well fire up in the area between the US-281 Corridor & that of I-35 as the afternoon progresses into the evening.
In a nutshell - this is not a plan-cancelling day, but be aware & geared up just in case you get one of these storms in your vicinity. We may well find ourselves with a couple here in the / area itself. I'll be monitoring the situation.
We're at a point where the showers and storms are more on the isolated side for the rest of this evening. They will also be isolated tomorrow. So be sure that as you're going about your business, you have your gear handy, but don't be canceling plans. A shower or storm that impacts will probably last 1 to 2 hours before moving on, with a break in between.
Did you cram as much of this week's business into yesterday? If not, you're going to be dodging and amongst the raindrops, because for the rest of this week, plus the start of the upcoming week - including Mother's Day - it's going to be all about clouds + on and off rain across / and North Central .
Currently, a massive area of rain, mostly light to moderate with some heavy pockets, occupies the region south of interstate 20 and will move and spread northward this morning.
Yes, northward. A tropical style disturbance slid up from the Gulf of Mexico, so that'll be the main direction today. Overall we're in a very tropical style pattern right now, which of course I thrive in, being a jungle boy. 🙂😆
The rain will persist in the region throughout most of the day, tapering down somewhat in mid to late afternoon, leading to a sunset and night of more isolated activity. Then there's tomorrow, where we'll have isolated showers and thunderstorms regionwide.
Now the question you may have is, what about severe weather? This is actually not a severe weather kind of situation we're in this week. While an isolated storm cell might get a little feisty and produce marginally severe hail of quarter size and some Gusty winds, this is mainly going to be a rain and lightning event. So make sure to take your lightning precautions, and be aware that with how much sheer water will be falling, flooding will be the primary concern. So use Good Sense around water and remember that mantra, turn around don't drown!
As usual, I will be providing updates through the channels.
We're looking at another likely round of storms moving in this late evening & overnight in / .
One cluster is over the far NW counties (Jack, Throckmorton, Young, et al) & the other is farther SW, over the Big Country's heart, right now entering .
It's mostly non-severe, though a few cells are producing marginally severe hail & a bit of severe wind.
The models are mostly saying these will fall apart before reaching the I-35 Corridor... but I ain't too sure about that. The environment here is juicy & primed. So I'll say that while there is a distinct possibility they will indeed peter out... don't assume they will. Still be ready for a possible-to-likely round of storms from West to East as evening turns into night & overnight, with areas along & N of a US-180-Weatherford-I-20 line seeing activity earlier than south of such.
Overall, expect things tonight to be mild & still very humid, as we continue in this "jungle" pattern (beautiful, ain't it?!).
Reports of high water on thoroughfares tonight in North Fort Worth & North Richland Hills - & vehicles stranded in said water. These storms are doing what's called "training" - i.e. cell after cell is traveling over the same given areas, causing the rain accumulations to compound & causing flooding conditions.
Stay on safe ground & - never, **ever** attempt to traverse flooded areas, whether on foot or on wheels. It only takes a small several inches to sweep a sturdy, healthy adult off their feet (even less for a kid) & only several more to carry vehicles way.
Remember - is THE most deadly phenomenon. Yup - more than tornadoes, more than straight-line wind, more than lightning... etc etc. No one's died from hail in the U.S. since 2000 (so far). But flooding... it'll get ya.
We are in a wet pattern & will be for weeks - so before too long, even modest pop-up storms may cause flooding due to the ground being saturated from previous precip.
Govern y'all'sselves accordingly.
Alright, y'all - & vicinity, **NOW** is the time to wrap things up & get inside... currently moving into Parker, Hood, & Somervell Counties - & eventually bound for Tarrant & Johnson - is a storm cluster that is producing winds of literal hurricane-force, 80+ mph! There may be some small hail but the main concern is wind with this one, along with the always-included lightning & torrential rains that could also cause minor flash flooding (remember "turn around don't drown").
that circled area just now crossing the Lipan Highway between Granbury & Lipan is the epicenter, and it's headed straight for the heart of Tarrant county if it holds together.
Despite all the lightning & thunder, this is still the LIGHT activity ahead of the main storm clusters/line, which is just now hitting the US-281 Corridor - that's Stephenville & Mineral Wells, y'all. Anvils can be quite feisty, like these are.
We've got a perfect example this evening that lightning & thunder don't necessarily correlate with severity at a given moment - though it's still prudent to be smart about lightning - which can strike as far as *100 miles* from the parent storm. This is why you should stay off golf courses, boats, & other high-risk open areas/activities if you can so much as *see* a thunderhead in the distance.
Some *light* rain is falling ahead of the storms moving in from the West. This is "anvil precip". The "main event" is still a couple hours & change away.
Bet y'all took notice of them clouds, eh? The blazing sun gave way to them quite fast. They are indeed anvil blowoff from storms far to the west, and they do indeed indicate that we will have a stormy late-evening/night!
An Enhanced Risk of covers / & surrounds, with a Slight & Marginal Risk covering this sector of the state as a whole. A is in effect for areas WEST of the I-35 corridor (but not including it).
Currently the storms are along the Us-283 Corridor, out in the . Many are severe-warned, and there's even one currently -warned. They will march East over the next hours. The timing looks like the I-35 Corridor - of course including the core - between 2200-0000 (10pm-midnight)... points just to the west in the hours before, and points to the east in the hours after, with the storms ejecting into & by daybreak.
The potentials are "all-modes", but mainly large hail to golf-balls, winds to 60mph+, heavy rain, & lightning... an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out but is quite unlikely. These storms are in clusters in a broken line from down past , and will likely stay that way.
I'll of course be monitoring the situation & providing updates as they move into the Metroplex itself.
Today's round of storms has formed in wise county, along with several clusters out in the big country just east of the US 83 corridor. These will March east, and some of them will be severe. The potentials are large hail to the size of half dollars, damaging winds, heavy rain, and lightning.
The northern counties of North Central Texas close to the Red River will be getting storminess over the next couple of hours from the Wise County cluster, while the rest of us have most of our potential during the evening from the storms out west that have a bit of marching to do.
Sure enough, what I mentioned earlier seems to be coming to pass. The storm cluster that formed in the southern half of the panhandle around noonday has slid southeasterly along the Red River, currently impacting the counties just southeast of Wichita falls, & will continue to slide east-Southeast across the Red River counties. Meanwhile, another strong cluster made their way across the concho valley and is now moving into the southwestern counties of North Central texas, such as your erath Again, movement mainly to the east.
A small tail of very light rain is making its way into the metroplex from Parker County and so you can expect a few sprinkles for very light showers in Fort worth, dallas, and vicinity over the next couple of hours.
The dryline out West is just now spawning storms. The fact this is happening so late means that any storms that are gonna reach Fort Worth/Dallas & the I-35 Corridor will not be arriving until after dark - perhaps almost midnight - if they arrive at all (they have to hold it together across a massive distance, far from their original lift source, & having lost daytime heating). But I figure at least a couple small clusters will - perhaps one gently diving from the Red River and another closer to Central Texas.
Meanwhile, an area of very light rain, as part of a cloud deck, is currently over the US-281 Corridor, bringing said very light rain to locales like Graford, Wichita Falls, & Strawn. This is trying to move East, but its ability to move much further than this is not something I'm confident in. Still, if you get some North Texas sprinkles this afternoon, know that's exactly what that is - sprinkles.
Generally, overall, we are under variably cloudy skies with temperatures in the 80s this afternoon, & plenty of glorious humidity.
We're on storm watch here in / today. The Storm Prediction Center has us under a Slight (Level 2/5) Risk generally along & W of the I-35 Corridor, with a Marginal (Level 1/5) Risk for the rest of the region.
This is for a high-wind/large hail + default storm rain/lightning concern from storms that will fire up along a dryline draped across the Panhandle/High Plains/Permian Basin, then move East... while the dryline barely moves from its starting point - this is not a "dryline passes us & clears us out with bone-dry air" scenario; we're staying firmly in the moist sector - for what seems right now to be a matter of over two weeks. More on this in a bit.
There's also a similar risk of severe weather for Oklahoma & Kansas + the vicinity of Nebraska, too.
These storms will likely get their start around noontime out West, then slide on East over the hours, reaching the Metroplex + I-35 Corridor by what looks like early evening (1800-2000 [6-8PM] CDT). Because the dryline won't move much, these storms will have long left their "charging station" & will be on a weakening trend, but still have the potential to be severe in this part of the state. This is indeed why the Eastern third of North Central/Central Texas is under a lower level of severe risk.
The models have a bit of a wide spread, but I'm gonna put the storm coverage at "isolated". This won't be a "storms region-wide" scenario, but instead a "couple to several storms" one.
Note that there is a chance the storms *completely* fall apart by the time they reach the Metroplex, and also that such might be caused by "fuel siphoning" by potential light storms in the morning/noontime. If - and this is an IF - we see rain here in the Metroplex & surrounds in the morning or around noon, this will reduce the storm potential for the coming late afternoon/evening. Be prepared for this possibility, as well.
Overall, this is NOT a "cancel everything" day, but instead simply a "be prepared/geared up" day that you definitely wanna stay . I will, of course, be monitoring the situation & posting updates via Facebook, Twitter, Discord, Telegram, & live blog.
Remember how I said that the dryline will stay meandering back and forth in West Texas for what appears to be over two weeks? Yeah, this is a perfect recipe for this "jungle boy"'s ideal kinda weather pattern. Look for every day - I'll say "through the 20th" for now - to have low, but still present, chances of mostly "pop-up" showers & thunderstorms (20%-30% coverage). The strongest storms will have low-level severe potential, mainly for hail & wind, through a very isolated tornado/whirlwind is definitely a present possibility, as well.
Highs will be in the 80s, warming to the 90s starting around Sunday... lows in the 50s for the next couple nights, becoming the 60s afterward. Expect it to be beautifully humid (moist).
Stay geared up, y'all - be ready for rain at any moment for the next couple weeks & change. Again, I'll be on the platforms listed above, providing updates. Discord is the best place (serious homies only, please). Stay tuned, & stay trill.
Eyes on this Benbrook storm cell, moving ENE @ 25mph into the heart of Tarrant County... it could become a hailer at any moment! Timepoints on image.
meanwhile, in Central TX, a storm line from Temple to Fredricksburg to Kerrville is moving SE with hail to half-dollars & damaging winds... about to impact the area.
Severe thunderstorm warning for this cell near Cleburne, moving Northeast towards the Mansfield/Midlothian vicinity, then aiming for SW County over next hour... timepoints on image.
Likely hail core storm developing over Carter-Riverside in , aiming for the NE suburbs & big airport. Wouldn't be surprised if there's a ground stop very soon.
Yet another likely hail core storm over southern Arlington, moving again NE towards GP/Irving/NW Dallas County.
Fort Worth, Dallas, and vicinity - it's about to kick off...
And it starts. Storms have started firing in the vicinity of goldthwaite, far to the southwest. This activity will quickly spread Northeast and East from there over the afternoon.
Prepare, North Texans - another day is in store for us.
For the morning to around the noon hour, it'll be quiet - the chill will become mild, there'll be a mix of sun and clouds, and a li'l bit of a southerly/southeasterly wind.
Then, come early afternoon, the expectation is that several discrete supercells will erupt in spectacular fashion - probably around the US-281 Corridor, but possibly right over the I-35 Corridor. These cells will quickly become "all-modes"ers, with giant hail, damaging winds, copious rain & lightning, & possibly tornadoes, as well.
They'll then start moving East, and "filling the gaps" to become a squall line a couple hours & change after forming, then continuing on their journey. When they do congeal into a line, expect the tornado threat to decrease, the hail threat to go down a couple notches, but the straight-line damaging wind threat to ramp up (along with minor flooding).
If you're in the vicinity of the Us-281 Corridor to the I-35 Corridor, be ready for quick-fire severe storms - be in or very close to suitable shelter, protect assets, look out for your pets, et cetera. After the storms clear things will be quiet here in this part of the region for the evening and night - it'll then be the Eastern section's (and East Texas's in general) turn.
As usual I'll have an eye on things.
here in / , we're expecting some "garden-variety" thunderstorms to impact us in a couple hours or so, but down south, things are really intense, as expected - here's an update:
- supercell in western McLennan County bringing giant hail to the area, and a likely tornado as well... both appear to be headed directly for Waco & the I-35 Corridor north from Waco
- ditto for the heart of Hill Coutny & Hillsboro
- another supercell with similar features just SE of Stephenville in Erath County is headed for Somervell & the Northern/Central parts of Bosque County
- giant hail is pummelling DeLeon, and moving right for Dublin & southern Erath County (yes, a second round for them)
So y'all, the front has stalled just south of the I-20 corridor. What this means is that anywhere North of the range of counties that are just south of the interstate are in the cold sector, including / ourselves.
Severe weather doesn't really do its thing in such an air mass, so the is only in effect for areas south of interstate 20. In this area, things are popping off with violent thunderstorms bringing all modes of severe weather. But as for I-20 and north, while they're likely will be more rounds of storms this evening, the storms will be non severe or barely severe, with the strongest ones bringing quarter size hail.
In a nutshell, that means that the worst stays away from the metroplex. The round of storms, non-severe, that we had midday was that front on the move.
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It's a beautifully warm & humid one out there today... & with the ingredients present, we have contact - isolated "pop-up" thunderstorms have fired up along the US-281 Corridor between Mineral Wells & Hico. They're non-severe (for now) but have dropped some pea-sized hail on Stephenville. Their main direction will be NNE & will trend Eastward. More may well fire up in the area between the US-281 Corridor & that of I-35 as the afternoon progresses into the evening. In a nutshell - this is not a plan-cancelling day, but be aware & geared up just in case you get one of these storms in your vicinity. We may well find ourselves with a couple here in the #FortWorth/#Dallas area itself. I'll be monitoring the situation. #dfw #dfwwx #txwx #ntxwx #weather #weatherupdate #stormwatch
Starting late afternoon CST, a line of storms will fire up from Western Nebraska down through Kansas, far western Oklahoma, & the Texas Panhandle, & will proceed Eastward across Kansas, Oklahoma, & the most of Texas (down to about the I-10 corridor) through the evening & into the night... Crossing the 'MIMAL' line into Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, & Louisiana after midnight where, while a weakened storm line will impact Missouri, Arkansas, & Louisiana overnight, a colder rain/storm complex (with some wintry mix on the northern periphery), "comma'ed" around the core of the low, will impact the core Midwest (Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota, Wisconsin & vicinity) simultaneously. This line of storms is gonna be racing east - & I do mean "**racing**": they will be going so fast that if they were an auto, they'd be quite close to getting a big old Texas speeding ticket. We're talking 65 miles per hour ,y'all. With storms that move this fast in a linear fashion, that means the main concern - by far - is high winds. There's basically no flooding threat, as it simply won't be raining long enough for that. Hail will occur in the line's strongest cells, but stones will struggle to reach even an inch. Lightning, of course, occurs in all thunderstorms. Some isolated "spin-up" tornadoes may form within the line - but please do keep in mind that there's no such thing as "just" with straight-line winds; winds do NOT need to be whirling to cause major damage. Use the SPC graphic as a guide - the strongest wind potential is in the red "bullseye", decreasing as one moves outward & down the scale. Secure anything that has even a chance of going airborne when the line passes. Use extreme caution when conveying; I highly recommend a "pause" during storm's passing if in an open-air or high-profile vehicle. Stay #WeatherAware & stay safe. #weather #severeweather #fortworth #dfwwx #txwx #ntxwx #ctxwx #etxwx #okwx #kswx #newx #mowx #arwx #lawx #ilwx #mnwx #iawx #wiwx #dfw #dallas #wx #u
So, one of the worst case scenarios is playing out - we are indeed in for a genuine ice storm. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for all of #NorthTexas - & it even extends down to South Central Texas & the upper Rio Grande Valley, girded by Winter Weather Advisories. This also covers NE Texas, NW Texas, the Big Country, and the Concho Valley. Nationwide, most of Oklahoma & Arkansas, the Southern 1/3 of Missouri, NW #Mississippi, Western #Tennessee, the heart of #Kentucky, Most of Illinois outside of the NW & Chicagoland, & Central #Indiana, #Ohio, & #WestVirginia are under Winter Weather Advisories or Ice Storm Warnings. This appears to mainly be an icing event, with a sleet part and a small snow component on the northern fringes. There are also patches of Winter Weather Advisories and Winter Storm Warnings for the middle Rocky Mountains... and, for simple brutally frigid conditions, Wind Chill Advisories and Warnings for most of the Midwest and Central Plains, & the InterMountain West... concluding with some more winter advisories for the Southern #California mountains, the highest mountains of Hawai'i, and the heart of #Alaska. A wave of snow will move across New England Monday into Tuesday, and the Great LAkes region will see rounds of lake-effect snow. The Deep South and Florida will get rained on quite a lot... by Friday, the West Coast will be getting valley rain and higher-elevation/mountain snow & ice. It's gonna be a rough next few days, y'all. Will things be severe for #DFW? No. But it'll definitely impact things. Let's go by day: Today - Monday: It's currently, as of writing this, freezing drizzling here in the old south side of #FortWorth. But through mid-afternoon, impacts will be minimal - so if you have any commerce you can get done now, get it done during the first half of today, y'all. Be careful in doing so, as even freezing drizzle can cause slick spots, especially on bridges and overpasses. Don't forget even about simply walking on surface
#NorthTexas: afternoon storms have started to fire, mainly across the NW (to start?). Expect activity through the rest of today to mainly move South to North. #txwx #dfwwx #ntxwx #wxtwitter #fortworth #dfw #weather #dallas
Heads up, U.S. South - The Storm Prediction Center has issued up to an Enhanced Risk of severe weather for Friday, March 11. The best chance is in the vicinity of where the Florida-Georgia border is, but cover all areas of hte U.S. along and SE of a New Orleans - Atlanta - Norfolk, VA line. All modes of severe weather are possible, especially in scattered storm cells. The main timeframe will be from afternoon through - especially - late evening and early night. Right now it's looking like scattered activity will be the afternoon rule, then a massive squall will develop in the Mid-South in the evening and sweep across the region from West to East, which would of course mean mainly a wind concern. Meanwhile, for Oklahoma and North Texas - Winter Weather Advisory in effect for most of the upcoming day. Expect periods of a winter mix with highs between the upper 20s F and the mid 30s F. Accumulation amounts of 1-3" in the heart of Oklahoma, to 1-2" in Western, Northern, and Northeastern sectors of North Texas into NE Texas... with lighter amounts for the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex and points S and E. In fact, expect a widespread swath of mixed wintry precip extending from the New Mexico/Arizona/Mexico tripoint through NM, the Western Ave Northern tiers of Texas, Oklahoma, the Ozarks, the Lower Midwest and northern South, the interior Mid-Atlantic, Great Lakes, and interior Northeast. South of this, in addition to the severe weather risk area, expect scattered to widespread rain. The Pacific Northwest will feature light snow in the highlands of Washington and Western Montana. #weather #weatheraware #severeweather #uswx #txwx #fortworth #dallas #dfwwx #dfw #ntxwx #etxwx #ctxwx #winter #winterstorm #winterweather
ready for a big winter storm, y'all? forecast snow accumulation over the next 4 days. draw a crescent from the Upper Mississippi River Valley, down into the Mid-South, and back up the Appalachians into the Lower Midwest and the Northeast/New England... y'all gonna be getting at least some measure of snow/ice this weekend. some totals where y'all see purples on the map will exceed a foot. #winterstorm #winterweather #weather #rbstormstalkers #rbs2 #wxtwitter #wxfacebook #wx #uswx #severeweather
We tell y'all, this "tropical-style" pattern we've (mostly) been having here in the Lower 48 is simply - chef's kiss - beautiful! It continues today. Showers & thunderstorms, largely of the "pop-up" variety, isolated to widespread - mainly rain producers with the occasional wind gust, hailstone, or funnel - especially concentrated near fronts. This storm potential will be everywhere save for the West Coast itself & ~300 miles inland + the upper Midwest. It mostly won't be a washout, but govern y'all'sselves accordingly - have the rain gear handy for your day, just in case you get a lil sky moisture. Flash Flood Watches exist, with gaps, from central New Jersey west along and around the Ohio River, through the Ozarks, Central Oklahoma, and into parts of Colorado and New Mexico. Severe potential, mainly for damaging wind, will be limited to the metro/coast from #NewYorkCity down to #Virginia Beach. Temperatures will be nice and mildly summery nationwide, save for the Pacific Northwest, where the heat wave persists across the interior of that region. Look for a PC2S2 storm-tracking "nerve center", launching soon, for tracking them storms wherever you are, in conjunction with these updates &, for those who've joined the Brotherhood, weather "turkey talk" in our Discord! :) #c2wx #uswx #weather #severeweather #wxfb #wxfacebook
there's several fronts currently draped across the country - one on Lake Superior... one from Lake Ontario, down through the Ohio River Valley, and over to Nebraska... and another from Appalachian New York down through the whole mountain range, across the deep south, and into north central and northwest Texas... if you're in the vicinity of, or south or east of, any of these fronts, keep an eye to the Sky - especially in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, the South, and Texas... storms have fired up and will continue through today. #wxfacebook #uswx #c2wx #weather #severeweather
Widespread storms over the #Texas #BigCountry, #ConchoValley, & western N Central TX will continue east, moving into the #Dallas/#FortWorth, #Waco, & other I-35 Corridor areas as the afternoon goes on, as more storms do their thing & continue to fire up over the #PermianBasin, #EdwardsPlateau, Concho, & other surrounding areas, as well as in New Mexico. Overall, TX & surrounding states will continue to see widespread storms through the upcoming early morning. Main storm direction will be W-E. A #FlashFloodWatch remains in effect from the High Plains through North Central Texas and up through #Oklahoma and the #Ozarks - many areas have seen flooding in the HP & #BigCountry, etc. #SevereWeather will mainly be limited to parts of TX - especially southern North Central, Central (mainly wind)... & West Central, Southwest + #NewMexico (all modes, including tornadoes). Severe thunderstorm watch in effect for Central TX, PermianBasin & vicinity, & SE/Cen NM. #c2wx #txwx #nmwx #okwx #arwx #lawx #weather #wxfacebook
Friday Outlook, y'all! There's a marginal risk for #SevereWeather in the High Plains just east of the Rockies from central #NorthDakota down to southeastern #NewMexico, with a small Slight risk area for far NE #Colorado and far NW #Nebraska. Storms in and around the Slight risk area may become severe with hail, high winds, and an isolated tornado. Elsewhere in the Marginal risk area, it's a just-to-severe-levels hail and wind risk. Across the Mountainous and Intermountain West, expect scattered non-severe storms, with snow in higher elevations. From #Yellowstone down South to the Mexican border, though, it'll be so dry that storm precipitation may not reach the ground (but lightning can) & there's an Elevated to Critical Fire Weather risk... an Elevated FW Risk exists for far SE CO & Eastern NM, the Central Valley of California, as well as the West Coast of Florida. The #WestCoast and most of the East will be dry today due to high pressure systems, though there may be an odd shower in #Maine and a pop-up storm or several in #Florida, as is tropical typical. Speaking of tropical, there's a major conveyor of tropical #GulfOfMexico moisture entering on the SE #Texas coast and pushing up all the way north to the Canadian border in the #GreatLakes area. This means scattered to widespread storms for #Louisiana and the eastern half of #TX, up through the #Ozarks and the Upper #Midwest, with a small area of Marginal severe weather risk for the Marquette area, down through Central Wisconsin and to just NE of #DesMoines. Here in #NorthTexas, as in the rest of the state, #LA, Eastern #OK, and vicinity, the storms will be of a tropical pedigree with heavy rain, modest lightning, & mild winds with the strongest perhaps having small hail. Temperatures will range from chilly to mild in the West, to warmer than normal in the Central and East. Expect higher humidities in areas not under the influence of a high, along with non-stormy parts of the West. #Hawaii, Pacific & Atlan
** SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POTENTIAL - Fri, Apr 23-Sat, Apr 24, 2021 - Southern Plains & Southeast ** Well, folks, we got quite a setup for #severeweather across the aforementioned regions over the first half of the weekend. A powerful low, with associated cold front, warm front, and dryline is gonna eject east from Colorado roughly along the 37th parallel. This means: - Friday morning: widespread subtropical humidity, mildness to warmth, and moisture for the Southern Plains, Deep South, & Western #OhioRiver Valley, with associated non-severe showers & thunderstorms. - Friday midday: #Texas #HillCountry starts hoppin' with clusters of severe storms. - Friday afternoon/evening: activity becomes widespread across TX, #Oklahoma, & west-side #MississippiRiver states. - Friday overnight: Western ORV storms (mostly non-severe); #DeepSouth storms, many severe. - Saturday: widespread storms, many severe, across Deep South, moving into Carolinas... non-severe, chilly rain/storms for ORV, #DMV, moving into Mid-Atlantic. - Saturday night: Severe threat moves into far Southeastern states, with non-severe activity spreading across #DMV, Mid-Atlantic, & into the Northeastern states. This will clear out as Sunday progresses. All modes possible: large hail (greater than 3" in strongest storms!), winds to 60+ mph, & isolated tornadoes - along with the givens of heavy rain (with potential flooding) & lightning. More analysis in the video briefing, y'all. Stay tuned to PC2 StormStalkers - here, through stormygrove.net, & especially in our Discord, along with #NOAAWeatherRadio, reliable local TV/radio & their social media, & local weather personalities (PC2 focuses on North Central Texas - #Dallas/#FortWorth & vicinity!). Mind your severe weather precautions, too! #txwx #okwx #kswx #arwx #lawx #mswx #alwx #gawx #tnwx #kywx #flwx #vawx #nywx #weather #tornado #PC2StormStalkers #c2wx #ntxwx #dfwwx
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