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First Alert Hurricane Tracker Official page for First Alert Hurricane Tracker. Providing Hurricane updates, news, and analysis firsralerthurricane.com

The First Alert Hurricane Tracker provides the most accurate and timely information regarding hurricanes, severe weather, and winter weather for residents of the Gulf Coast.

21/08/2024
Hurricane Camille path and timeline, Mississippi Gulf Coast, 17 August 1969.
21/08/2024

Hurricane Camille path and timeline, Mississippi Gulf Coast, 17 August 1969.

21/08/2024
21/08/2024

During the predawn hours of August 18th, 1983, Hurricane Alicia struck the Upper Texas Coast near Galveston as a category 3 hurricane.

21/08/2024

FLORIDA SUPER BLUE MOON! 🌕🌴

Picture perfect shot from San Carlos Island of the bright Full Moon reflecting along the water!

Credit: S’iva Goodman

Tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic is becoming more likely toward the end of August and early September.
20/08/2024

Tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic is becoming more likely toward the end of August and early September.

20/08/2024

A sign Fall is just around the corner! Parts of Michigan got below freezing this morning waking up to 30°...in August. Southwest Florida was a muggy 80°. 🥶🥵

18/08/2024
18/08/2024
16/08/2024
16/08/2024

2004: Hurricane Charley tore a fast but destructive path through SW and Central Florida on this date. A very small hurricane, it produced gusts of 173 MPH in Charlotte County, Punta Gorda 160 MPH, Orlando 106 MPH, and Sanford 80 MPH.

In many ways this was a benchmark hurricane for Central FL. Many move to the Orlando area thinking they are 'insulated' from hurricanes, which many times is true. Charley, like Donna pre-Disney World times produced hurricane conditions and major damage all over the I-4 corridor. What is crazy is the peak rain from Charley did not even get to 10" because of how fast and small it was.

Made landfall as a Category 4 at 3:45PM 8/13/2004. It would be the 1st of a trio of Central FL hurricanes that season. In many ways, the east-central coast has not been hit in such a way since Jeanne and Francis in 2004.

16/08/2024
15/08/2024

8/15/24 @ 4:35 PM - Hurricane Ernesto will pass far from our coast, but we will still feel impacts through dangerous rip currents, hazardous surf conditions, and coastal flooding tomorrow through the weekend.

15/08/2024
15/08/2024
TROPICS UPDATE: HURRICANE ERNESTO TO MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO BERMUDA ON SATURDAYHurricane Ernesto is slowly develo...
15/08/2024

TROPICS UPDATE: HURRICANE ERNESTO TO MAKE ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO BERMUDA ON SATURDAY

Hurricane Ernesto is slowly developing an inner core, which should allow it to continue intensifying as it moves to the north, away from the Caribbean. The storm is on track to impact Bermuda late tomorrow through Saturday. A Hurricane Warning is in effect.

The National Hurricane Center is forecasting Ernesto to reach Category 3 strength tomorrow. The atmospheric pattern might become a bit more hostile later in the day and over the weekend, so the current expectation is that the storm will weaken slightly by the time it is in the vicinity of Bermuda. The current forecast is for a Category 2 at that time, so residents on Bermuda should prepare for a Category 3.

More important than the possible slight weakening is that Ernesto is forecast to grow in diameter and slow down as it approaches Bermuda. The dip in the jet stream currently pulling it north will lose its grip on the storm tomorrow. Another strong jet stream dip moving across the northern US will scoop the storm to the north later in the weekend.

Unfortunately, the timing of this handoff and the decrease in Ernesto's forward motion look like they will happen while the system is near Bermuda. This, combined with the larger size, will extend the duration of the impacts.

As Ernesto is propelled into the North Atlantic by the second jet stream dip early next week, it could come close to eastern Atlantic Canada. Otherwise, the storm won't directly impact any other land areas. It will, however, generate strong swells that will reach the Southeast coast tomorrow and most of the US East Coast over the weekend. Dangerous surf and strong coastal currents are likely.

Ernesto's tail with winds gusting to near hurricane strength and torrential rain swept across Puerto Rico yesterday. Several rivers across the island were pushed into major flood stage, and power outages are widespread. Now, drier air is moving in behind the storm.

Otherwise, the weather pattern over the tropical Atlantic continues to be hostile to storm development, so nothing is expected for at least the next week.

15/08/2024
❗EXTREME HEAT STRESS🥵—The state is expected to experience extreme heat starting today through Saturday (8/15-8/17). No m...
15/08/2024

❗EXTREME HEAT STRESS🥵—The state is expected to experience extreme heat starting today through Saturday (8/15-8/17). No matter which color your county is highlighted, it's vital that every Mississippian use extreme caution over the next few days. Heat stroke is possible if spending prolonged time outdoors.

💧Stay Hydrated
🏡Stay Cool
💛Stay Safe

BULLETINHurricane Ernesto Intermediate Advisory Number 14ANWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024200 AM AS...
15/08/2024

BULLETIN
Hurricane Ernesto Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024
200 AM AST Thu Aug 15 2024
..SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ERNESTO IS GRADUALLY
STRENGTHENING...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.3N 69.1W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
ABOUT 675 MI...1085 KM SSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,
conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was
located near latitude 23.3 North, longitude 69.1 West. Ernesto is
moving toward the north-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn
toward the north is expected later today, followed by a slower
northward to northeastward motion on Friday and Saturday. On the
forecast track, the center of Ernesto is expected to pass near
Bermuda on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple
of days, and Ernesto could become a major hurricane by Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km). NOAA buoy 41046, located about 40 miles north of
Ernesto, recently reported a wind gust to 57 mph (91 km/h) and a
minimum central pressure of 997.9 mb (29.47 inches).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Ernesto can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible on Bermuda Saturday, with
tropical storm conditions possible by Friday afternoon.

RAINFALL: Ernesto is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches on Bermuda with isolated maximum amounts of 9 inches.
This rainfall may result in considerable life-threatening flash
flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Ernesto are affecting portions of the
northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the
Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the
southeastern Bahamas. These swells will spread toward Bermuda and
the rest of the Bahamas later today. Swells are expected to reach
the east coast of the United States tonight and continue into
the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$

14/08/2024
14/08/2024
14/08/2024

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Harrison and Jackson County until 6:30pm CDT. Stay Weather Aware!

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First bands of rain with #Ernesto are now moving across Puerto Rico. The south facing sides could be dealing with significant flooding. Stay with @WESH for updates. #MsWX

BULLETIN Tropical Depression Four Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042024 500 AM EDT Sat Aug 03 2024 ...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST... ...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT AND STRENGTHEN OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.0N 80.7W ABOUT 80 MI...135 KM SSE OF VARADERO CUBA ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM SSE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: A Hurricane Watch has been issued from Aucilla River to Yankeetown, Florida. A Storm Surge Watch has been issued from the mouth of the Suwannee River to Aucilla River, Florida. The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended northward along the west coast of the Florida peninsula from Boca Grande to south of Yankeetown, including Tampa Bay. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued west of Aucilla River to the Ochlockonee River. The Tropical Storm Watch for the Florida Keys north of the Channel 5 Bridge has been discontinued. The Tropical Storm Watch for the southern coast of the Florida peninsula east of East Cape Sable to the Card Sound Bridge has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Aucilla River to Yankeetown A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Dry Tortugas * West coast of the Florida peninsula from south of Yankeetown to East Cape Sable A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The Florida Keys south of the Channel 5 Bridge * West of the Aucilla River to the Ochlockonee River A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Bonita Beach northward to the Aucilla River, including Tampa Bay and Charlotte Harbor A Tropical Storm Warning

Last couple GFS runs are on the eastern side of track possibilities for Invest #97L. In this scenario (first animation), the very northern tip of the wave slides north of Cuba and becomes the anchor for tropical storm formation. This leads to a track farther east, very close to the Florida Peninsula. More importantly, this track also gets north quicker, allowing the storm to be guided across Florida by the trough to the north prior to getting stranded in weak steering currents. The end result is a storm parked off the Carolinas. This is dramatically different than the GFS solution just 3 runs ago (second animation), which got stuck in the Gulf of Mexico due to a slightly more southerly initial track over Cuba. This illustrates the importance of where 97L consolidates in the short term. Small differences in the short-term track make a dramatic difference later on in these runs. Model forecasts will likely converge as 97L becomes better organized. #MSwx

Southeast Current Radar 7PM CDT #MSwx #flwx

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First Alert Hurricane Tracker

First Alert Hurricane Tracker provides Weather Forecasts, Updates, and Alerts for the Gulf States including Severe Weather, Winter Weather, and our specialty, Tropical Weather. We run our site on Professionalism and Dedication and are well known for our custom weather graphics and descriptive up-to-the-minute forecasts. Providing accurate, no hype weather information to the public as per of being an Ambassador to the National Weather Service’s Weather-Ready Nation. Mission:

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