Smyth Weather

17/11/2024

🟡 WEATHER ALERT - Special Weather Statement in effect until 9:00 AM.

Dense Valley Fog To Erode Between 9-10 Am

Go to SmythWeather.net for more information.

Note: This message issued 7:42 AM Sun, Nov 17 by NWS , retransmitted by Smyth Weather.

Weather information and bulletins for the Whitetop Community

17/11/2024

AREA AIR QUALITY DATA

Personal weather station.

17/11/2024

WEATHER STORY

17/11/2024

Weather History For November 17

1869 - Southwest winds of hurricane force swept the Berkshire and Green Mountains of New England causing extensive forest and structural damage. (David Ludlum)

1927 - A tornado cut a seventeen mile path across Alexandria and southeastern Washington, DC, injuring 31 persons. The tornado struck the Naval Air Station where a wind gust of 93 mph was recorded. A waterspout was seen over the Potomac River ninety minutes later. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1953 - The temperature at Minneapolis, MN, reached 71 degrees, their warmest reading of record for so late in the autumn. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - A storm in the Rockies produced 21 inches of snow at the Monarch ski resort in Colorado, with 14 inches reported at Steamboat Springs CO. Early morning thunderstorms in the southeastern U.S. drenched Mary Esther FL with 4.43 inches of rain. Gale force winds over the Great Lakes Region gusted to 49 mph at Johnstown PA. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Another in a series of storms brought heavy snow to the mountains of the western U.S. Totals ranged up to 17 inches at Bob Scott Summit in Nevada. Winds around Reno NV gusted to 80 mph. The Alta and Sundance ski resorts in Utah received 14 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Freezing temperatures overspread the southeastern U.S. in the wake of the severe weather outbreak of the previous two days. Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Gilbert AR with a reading of 8 degrees. A fast moving storm blanketed the Great Lakes Region and Upper Ohio Valley with snow during the night. Totals ranged up to 12 inches at Pellston MI and Little Valley NY. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

17/11/2024

WX SYNOPSIS

High pressure builds into through Sunday, bringing dry weather
and warming temperatures. A low pressure system and cold front
will approach the area on Tuesday and Wednesday, bringing the
next chance of precipitation. A much stronger cold front
expected to cross the region Wednesday night and Thursday will
usher in strong, gusty wind, along with much colder air.

Key message:

- Quiet weather

Ridge will build into the area tonight and with high pressure
overhead should see lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s in the
mountain valleys, with mid 30s elsewhere. Cloud cover over our
western slopes will dissipate through this evening, with mostly
clear skies overnight. May have some fog along the rivers in the
morning.

Sunday will not be as sunny but still sunshine will be seen more
than not. This is due to a ridge aloft overhead with a
southwest to west flow developing with the upper low over Mexico
which will likely send some high clouds our way tomorrow

17/11/2024

AREA FORECAST

Overnight

Mostly clear, with a low around 32. West wind around 3 mph.
Sunday

Sunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 53 in the afternoon. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind 5 to 8 mph.
Monday

Partly sunny, with a high near 62. West wind 3 to 7 mph.
Monday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. South wind around 2 mph.

15/11/2024

Weather Story

Look for a cold, damp November day! In fact today will be the coldest day for most of the region since mid-February and the wettest day since the end of September when all the rain occurred in association with the remnants of Hurricane Helen. The rain todaywill be supported by a vigorous upper-level disturbance moving across the area from the west and cold high pressure already in place over the region will be reinforced by the cold rain locking temperatures into the 30s and 40s all day. You will need your parka, rain coat, gloves, and galoshes!

15/11/2024

Wx Synopsis

SYNOPSIS...
Rain is going to be steadily subsiding this evening as low
pressure forms off the North Carolina coast while system moving
into the mountains weakens. Upslope showers will persist into
Friday for portions of the mountains. High pressure builds in
for the weekend and early next week bringing another period of
dry weather and warming temperatures.

Key Messages:

1) Rain continues over the area this evening, drying out later
tonight into Friday for areas east of the Blue Ridge.

2) Some gusts over 20 mph in the mountains Friday could topple
a few weaker or dead trees.

Cold temperatures and rain continue across the area this
evening. Amounts so far today are between three quarters of an
inch to almost an inch and a half in southeast West Virginia and
in the VA and NC Piedmont. Rain will move east and out the area
late tonight into early tomorrow morning, though could linger
in the mountains. Temperatures are not expected to drop much
colder overnight than they are currently, and will remain moslty
in the mid to upper 30s, to mid 40s, as plenty of cloud cover
will prevent radiational cooling. No major changes made to the
forecast for the evening update, just minor adjustments to
precipitation probabilities to reflect current radar trends.

15/11/2024

Weather History For November 15

1900 - A record lake-effect snowstorm at Watertown, NY, produced 45 inches in 24 hours. The storm total was 49 inches. (14th-15th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel)

1967 - A surprise snow and ice coating paralyzed Boston during the evening rush hour. (David Ludlum)
1987 - Thunderstorms spawned twenty-two tornadoes in eastern Texas, Louisiana and Oklahoma. A tornado moving out of northeastern Texas killed one person and injured ninety-six others around Shreveport LA causing more than five million dollars damage. Tornadoes in Texas claimed ten lives, and injured 191 persons. A tornado caused more than nineteen million dollars damage around Palestine TX. Severe thunderstorms spawned eighteen tornadoes in Mississippi and seven in Georgia the next day, and thunderstorms in southeastern Texas produced wind gusts to 102 mph at Galveston, and wind gusts to 110 mph at Bay City, killing one person. There were a total of forty-nine tornadoes in the south central U.S. in two days. The tornadoes claimed eleven lives, injured 303 persons, and caused more than seventy million dollars damage. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Oklahoma and northeastern Texas to northern Indiana and southern Wisconsin from mid morning through the pre-dawn hours of the following day. Thunderstorms spawned forty-four tornadoes, including thirteen in Missouri, and there were more than two hundred reports of large hail or damaging winds. A tornado in central Arkansas hit Scott and Lonoke killing five people, injuring sixty others, and causing fifteen million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A tornado hit Southside, AR, killing one person, injuring ten others, and causing more than two million dollars damage, and a tornado near Clarksville AR injured nine persons and caused more than two million dollars damage. A tornado moving through the southwest part of Topeka KS injured twenty-two persons and caused nearly four million dollars damage. A tornado near Jane MO killed one person and injured twelve others, and a tornado moving across the southwest part of O'Fallon MO injured ten persons. Severe thunderstorms also produced hail three and a half inches in diameter east of Denison TX, and wind gusts to 85 mph at Kirksville MO. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms developing along a powerful cold front began to produce severe weather in the Middle Mississippi Valley before sunrise, and by early the next morning thunderstorms had spawned seventeen tornadoes east of the Mississippi River, with a total of 350 reports of severe weather. There were one hundred reports of damaging winds in Georgia, and five tornadoes, and there were another four tornadoes in Alabama. Hardest hit was Huntsville AL where a violent tornado killed 21 persons, injured 463 others, and caused one hundred million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Thunderstorms in Kentucky produced hail three inches in diameter in Grayson County, and wind gusts to 110 mph at Flaherty. Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the eastern U.S. through the morning and afternoon hours. Severe thunderstorms spawned 23 tornadoes, and there were 164 reports of damaging winds. There were fourteen tornadoes in New Jersey, central and eastern New York, and eastern Pennsylvania, and 122 reports of damaging winds. A tornado at Coldenham NY killed nine school children and injured eighteen others, and thunderstorm winds gusted to 100 mph at Malvern PA. Thunderstorms spawned a total of thirty-nine tornadoes east of Great Plains in two days, and there 499 reports of large hail and damaging winds. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

2005 - Severe thunderstorms produced over 30 tornadoes in 6 states, resulting in one fatality and at least 35 injuries (Associated Press). Some of the worst damage occurred in Henry county, Tennessee, where numerous homes and businesses were damaged or destroyed.
2006 - Strong winds cause severe damage at a skating rink in Montgomery, Alabama where more than 30 preschoolers were playing. Two children suffered injuries but there were no fatalities.

15/11/2024

AREA FORECAST

Overnight

A chance of rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 38. Northwest wind 8 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Friday

A slight chance of rain showers before 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 51. Northwest wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Friday Night

Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Northwest wind around 12 mph. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

14/11/2024

Area Radar

14/11/2024

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL MAP

14/11/2024

WIND ADVISORY

14/11/2024

Weather Story

A low-pressure system will continue to develop across the Central Plains today. This system will bring rainfall to the region starting late tonight and continuing through all of Thursday. Rainfall amounts are expected to range from 1" to 1.25" across most of the region. Cooler temperatures are also expected, especially on Thursday, when highs will only reach the 40s. A brief period of sleet or freezing rain is possible at the onset of precipitation early Thursday morning, though no accumulations are expected.

14/11/2024

LOCAL AND REGIONAL RADAR

Top view from Morristown TN
Lower view from Blacksburg Va

14/11/2024

Weather History For November 14

1964 - With the help of a fresh three inch cover of snow, the temperature at Ely, NV, dipped to 15 degrees below zero to establish an all-time record low for the month of November. That record of -15 degrees was later equalled on the 19th of November in 1985. (The Weather Channel)

1974 - A storm produced 15 inches of snow at the Buffalo, NY, airport, and 30 inches on the south shore of Lake Erie. (David Ludlum)

1986 - An early season cold wave set more than 200 records from the northwestern U.S. to the east coast over a seven day period. For some places it proved to be the coldest weather of the winter season. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1987 - The first major snowstorm of the season hit the Southern and Central Rockies, producing 12 inches at the Brian Head ski resort in Utah overnight. Strong and gusty winds associated with the storm reached 52 mph at Ruidoso NM. In the eastern U.S., the temperature at Washington D.C. soared to 68 degrees, just three days after being buried under more than a foot of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - A massive storm produced snow and gusty winds in the western U.S., with heavy snow in some of the higher elevations. Winds gusted to 66 mph at Show Low AZ, and Donner Summit, located in the Sierra Nevada Range of California, was buried under 23 inches of snow. Heavy rain soaked parts of California, with 3.19 inches reported at Blue Canyon. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Unseasonably warm weather prevailed east of the Rockies. Temperatures reached 70 degrees as far north as New England, and readings in the 80s were reported across the southeast quarter of the nation. Nineteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. For the second time in the month Dallas/Fort Worth TX equalled their record for November with an afternoon high of 89 degrees. The high of 91 degrees at Waco TX was their warmest of record for so late in the season. Heavy snow blanketed parts of Wyoming overnight, with a foot of snow reported at Cody, and ten inches at Yellowstone Park. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

14/11/2024

WX SYNOPSIS

High pressure over the region will be displaced eastward overnight
with the approach of a robust low pressure system and its associated
fronts. This system will be the cause of a generous rain event
across the region starting late tonight, and lasting into Thursday
night. After some lingering showers in the West Virginia mountains
on Friday, conditions will trend dry and milder for the
weekend.

Key Messages:

1. Dry conditions will continue through the evening.
2. Rain arrives after midnight in the west, and progresses eastward
overnight into Thursday.
3. Pockets of light freezing rain/sleet will be possible across the
mountains late tonight into early Thursday.
4. 1.0 to 1.5 inches of rain are expected from the system.

14/11/2024

AREA FORECAST

Overnight

A slight chance of sleet and a slight chance of rain before 2am, then rain likely and a slight chance of sleet. Cloudy, with a low around 32. Southeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday

Rain. Cloudy, with a high near 45. Southeast wind 5 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.