14/07/2024
-CHANCE ENGLEBERT SUMMARY-
IN CONCLUSION:
Based on the evidence and analysis, it seems likely that Chance Engelbart's disappearance was a tragic accident rather than foul play or a conspiracy. Here’s why this theory makes the most sense:
1. Planned Route: Chance using Google Maps to navigate to Big Bat's Convenience Store indicates premeditation. This aligns with the idea that he was meeting someone at this location. Chance knew where he was walking..There was a plan set in motion to this location. But for what? Possibly for drugs. His walk here shows purpose and intent, supporting the theory that his movements were deliberate.
2. Drug Arrangement: If Chance was arranging to meet someone for drugs, it fits a plausible narrative, especially if he was under stress or seeking an escape. This could explain why he was not acting in his usual manner and why he was out walking at that time.
3. Fentanyl Overdose: The possibility of him taking drugs laced with fentanyl explains a sudden collapse or disorientation. Fentanyl overdoses are tragically common and often lead to accidental deaths. This adds a significant layer of risk to his actions that night.
4. Phone Pings: The phone pings near the river support the theory that Chance was in that area, possibly trying to make his way back to Baylee's grandparents’ house. His presence near the river suggests he might have fallen in, either due to disorientation from the drugs or an accidental slip.
5. No Arrests: The absence of arrests or solid leads in a murder investigation after five years strongly indicates that foul play is less likely. If there were any substantial evidence of murder, it would likely have led to arrests or at least strong suspects by now.
6. River Search: Given the theory of a potential overdose and accidental fall into the river, searching the river is a logical next step. It could potentially yield evidence or remains, providing closure to this tragic event.
7. Tragic Accident: Considering all the points above and the lack of evidence for more nefarious scenarios, a tragic accident seems the most reasonable conclusion. It fits the known facts and provides a coherent explanation for Chance’s disappearance.
EXPLANATION OF BAYLEES INCONSISTENCIES-
Baylee's story and behavior also make more sense under this theory:
1. Protecting the Drug Dealer: If Baylee knew about Chance’s meeting with a drug dealer, she might have been trying to protect both the dealer and herself from legal trouble. This could explain why her story doesn’t align with the emerging facts.
2. Pre-Knowledge of His Intentions: Baylee’s certainty that Chance wasn’t coming back could stem from her awareness of his plans and the risks involved. If she knew he was meeting someone for drugs, she might have anticipated the potential danger.
3. Instructing Him to Walk: By telling Chance to walk instead of driving him, Baylee might have been distancing herself from his actions. Driving him would have made her more directly involved and potentially implicated.
4. Lack of Concern and Search Efforts: Baylee’s seemingly indifferent attitude and lack of proactive searching might be because she already had an idea of what happened. If she suspected he overdosed or had an accident, she might have felt there was no point in looking, or she might have feared finding incriminating evidence.
5. Weird Sense of Knowing: Baylee’s behavior and statements could be interpreted as signs of guilt or knowledge she was withholding. This fits with the idea that she had more information about the circumstances of his disappearance than she revealed.
WHY WE RULED OUT MURDER-
Based on the available evidence and the extensive police investigation, several facts point towards ruling out murder in the case of Chance Englebert’s disappearance. Here’s a breakdown of why murder is an unlikely scenario:
1. No Arrests or Solid Leads: After five years, the investigation has not led to any arrests or identification of strong suspects for murder. If there were any credible evidence pointing to foul play, it would likely have resulted in more concrete leads or arrests by now.
2. Lack of Evidence for Foul Play: The police have not found any physical evidence indicating that Chance was the victim of a violent crime. No signs of struggle, blood, or other forensic evidence have been discovered that would typically be associated with a homicide.
3. Thorough Investigation: Law enforcement has conducted extensive searches, interviews, and reviewed surveillance footage. Despite these efforts, they have not uncovered any evidence supporting the theory of murder. This thoroughness suggests that if there were foul play, it would likely have been detected.
4. No Motive Identified: Investigators have not identified a clear motive for anyone to harm Chance. While personal disputes or random acts of violence are possible, the lack of any motive makes the murder theory less plausible.
5. Witness Statements: There have been no credible witness statements or testimonies indicating that Chance was involved in an altercation or was seen with someone who might have harmed him. The absence of such accounts further weakens the murder hypothesis.
6. Phone Pings and Movements: The phone pings show Chance’s movements consistent with someone walking rather than being forcefully taken or driven. His path towards the river aligns with the theory of an accidental drowning rather than an abduction or assault.
KEY POINTS AGAINST THE MURDER THEORY-
1. No Physical Evidence of Violence: The absence of any forensic evidence suggesting a struggle or attack.
2. Extensive yet Inconclusive Investigation: Despite thorough police work, no leads or suspects have emerged.
3. Lack of Motive: No clear reason why someone would want to harm Chance.
4. Consistent Movements: His phone pings suggest voluntary movements rather than coercion.
5. No Witness Accounts: No credible witnesses have come forward with information pointing to foul play.
CHANCES MOVEMENTS AND GPS ROUTES-
Additionally, Chance's movements and GPS route indicate he was not making his way to Torrington, Wyoming:
Southward Route: After visiting Big Bat's Convenience Store, Chance was making his way back south, which aligns with the direction towards Baylee's grandparents’ house, not towards Torrington, Wyoming. This suggests he was not attempting to flee or head to a different town.
Intent to Return: His southward movement indicates he was intending to return to a familiar location (Baylee's grandparents' house) rather than venturing further away. This supports the idea that he was not trying to escape or disappear but rather return.
CONCLUSION-
Given these points, the theory of a tragic accident involving drugs and an overdose appears more consistent with the available evidence. The absence of any clear indicators of foul play, combined with the comprehensive police investigation that has yielded no results supporting the murder theory, makes it highly unlikely. Thus, the simplest and most plausible explanation remains that Chance’s disappearance was a tragic accident, not a murder.
Please note that this is just an opinion and allegedly based on artificial intelligence data of possibilities.
Occam's razor, suggesting that the simplest explanation---Chance’s accidental overdose and subsequent fall into the river—is likely the correct one.
Send a message to learn more
