Brandon Marshall - ABC 6 Meteorologist, 1320 Salem Road SW, Rochester, MN (2025)

04/24/2025

[10:15 AM: MON. APR. 24] - **MONDAY SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL**

⚠️Severe weather is looking increasingly likely on Monday across all of Southeast Minnesota and North Iowa. Long-range weather models continue to show and have been fairly consistent over the last couple of days of various features coming together where severe weather is becoming a concern.

▶️Temperatures on Monday will surge into the middle-to-upper 70s with some places possibly flirting with 80° which is more typical of early June. Moisture will also increase with dew point temperatures likely in the 60s making it feel a bit humid. This will only help fuel the threat for severe t-storms.

▶️TIMING: Considering the system is still several days away, there is some uncertainty on the detailed specifics, but the Monday afternoon to evening timeframe is one to watch.

▶️WHERE: It's a broad area for now, but all of Southeast Minnesota and North Iowa are in an elevated risk for severe weather potential. Expect these areas to get trimmed down to more specific locations as it gets closer.

▶️THREATS: This particular setup would favor all modes and severe weather hazards including large hail, damaging wind gusts, lightning and tornadoes.

▶️Anyone who has plans on Monday afternoon or evening should continue to monitor the forecast in the coming days in case those plans need to be changed. Having a severe weather plan in place is ideal. There will be changes to this forecast with more specifics as it gets closer!

04/24/2025

[8:12 AM: THU. APR. 24] - **WEEKEND OUTLOOK**

It's hard to believe we'll be heading into the final weekend of April, and we'll be dodging some raindrops at times, but temperatures will gradually warm.

🌦FRIDAY: A few lingering, spotty showers are possible early in the morning with clouds clearing by late afternoon. It'll be another cooler than average day with high temperatures around the middle 50s. A north wind will be breezy at times with gusts up to 25 mph.

☀️SATURDAY: Definitely the pick of the weekend! Plentiful sunshine and a light easterly wind. Temperatures will climb back to near average for late April with afternoon highs in the lower 60s.

⛈SUNDAY: More clouds with a partly sunny sky as moisture arrives with the help of a southerly breeze with gusts up to 25-30 mph at times. A warm front will lift into the area and likely pop a few showers and isolated t-storms. High temperatures will look to be around the middle 60s.

04/24/2025

[7:40 AM: THU. APR. 24] - **COOL THURSDAY WITH RAIN LIKELY**

A storm system will pass through the region on Thursday bringing clouds, cool temperatures and rain.

▶️A few spotty showers are possible through the morning and the lunch hour with rain becoming more likely during the mid-to-late afternoon hours with widespread rain likely through the evening and overnight hours. A few t-storms are also possible.

▶️The threat of rain and clouds overhead will limit daytime heating with temperatures expecting to be well below average as highs only manage the middle 50s to lower 60s.

▶️Rain showers will gradually end by early Friday morning with clouds clearing by late afternoon, but it'll be another cool day with high temperatures in the middle 50s.

▶️Total rainfall amounts of around 0.50" to 1.25" is likely for most. Can't rule out some locally higher amounts if and where any t-storms develop.

04/23/2025

[10:55 AM: WED. APR. 23] - **STRONG T-STORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY**

It's still several days away, but there is the possibility of strong to severe t-storms on Monday of next week.

The Storm Prediction Center has outlined all of Southeast Minnesota and North Iowa within a risk of potential severe weather. It's a broad risk for now as there is still quite a bit of uncertainty, as expected, this far out. So, plan on this risk area to get narrowed down and fine-tuned in the days ahead.

While the finer and more specific details are still unknown at this time, the overall weather pattern is looking favorable for the potential of strong t-storms to develop mainly Monday afternoon and evening.

Stay tuned!

04/23/2025

[10:30 AM: WED. APR. 23] - **RAIN LIKELY THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY**

An active weather pattern is setting up with multiple chances for rain in the days ahead although there will be plenty of dry time in-between.

▶️A few spotty light showers are possible on Wednesday with rain chances increasing Wednesday night into Thursday morning as a frontal boundary lifts from North Iowa into Southeast Minnesota. A few t-storms will also be possible.

▶️Scattered showers will be around Thursday morning into the afternoon before the main energy from an approaching system arrives late Thursday afternoon into Thursday night bringing quite a bit of moisture with it.

▶️Rain will become more widespread Thursday night into early Friday morning. This is when the bulk of the rain will fall. Rain will end Friday morning with dry weather expected for much of Friday heading into the weekend before more rain chances arrive Sunday into early next week.

▶️Total rainfall amounts from Wednesday through Friday morning are expected to vary with much of the area likely seeing around 0.50" to 1.50". It's possible some places could see more especially in areas where t-storms develop or where heavier amounts of rain repeat over the same areas. If that were to occur, than localized flooding would be possible, but the ground should be able to absorb much of the expected rain.

04/23/2025

[8:50 AM: WED. APR. 23] - **WARM, SPOTTY SHOWER CHANCE**

Wednesday will be a warm day across the entire area with high temperatures expecting to push into the upper 60s to lower 70s.

There will be a mix of sun and clouds with the chance of a spotty shower, but most will likely stay dry.

Showers and some t-storms will be likely across North Iowa sometime around or after midnight along a frontal boundary that'll lift north into Southeast Minnesota on Thursday morning with the possibility of showers and t-storms shifting north along with it.

More widespread and heavier rain likely late in the day on Thursday through Thursday night into Friday morning.

04/22/2025

[10:35 AM: TUE. APR. 22] - **MULTIPLE RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEK**

An active pattern is setting up the rest of the week as multiple chances for showers and t-storms are expected as a frontal boundary will be draped across or near the area at times.

▶️Warm air and moisture will pool along and south of this boundary due to strong southerly transport. Converging low-level winds, bits of shortwave energy and pockets of instability will all be enough to fuel showers and t-storms at times through the end of the week.

▶️The overnight Monday into Tuesday morning showers and t-storms will push the boundary south into Central and Eastern Iowa where showers and t-storms will be the focus on Tuesday afternoon and night.

▶️The boundary will lift back further north on Wednesday with showers and t-storms possible for areas mainly near and south of the I-90 corridor. Showers and t-storms will shift further north Wednesday night through much of Thursday becoming more widespread as a mid-level low pressure trough approaches. The trough will swing a cold front through by Friday morning with any rain ending.

▶️The bulk of the rain will fall from Thursday night through Friday morning with much of Southeast Minnesota and North Iowa possibly seeing around 0.50" to 1.00" or more of rainfall.

04/22/2025

[6:42 AM: TUE. APR. 22] - **WARM TUESDAY WITH PM SUNSHINE**

Clouds will gradually clear after overnight showers and thunderstorms passed through the area. Expect sunshine by afternoon.

Temperatures will be much warmer than Monday with high temperatures pushing into the upper 60s to lower 70s which is well above-average for late April.

There will be a light breeze with a southeast-to-west wind gusting up to 15-20 mph at times.

04/21/2025

[11:40 AM: MON. APR. 21] - **RECORD EASTER RAINFALL**

Easter Sunday was certainly a soaker across the area with the Rochester International Airport (RST) setting a new record for Easter Sunday rainfall.

RST observed 1.36" of rain - which came up 0.04" short of equaling a daily record - but did set an Easter record, which of course the date changes year-to-year. The previous Easter record was 1.20" set on Easter Sunday in 2006.

04/21/2025

[10:05 AM: MON. APR. 21] - **MULTIPLE CHANCES FOR RAIN THIS WEEK**

A frontal boundary will be draped near/over the area from Wednesday to early Friday leading to multiple chances for rain and t-storms.

▶️A few passing showers and stray t-storms are likely overnight Monday into Tuesday morning along a west-to-east frontal boundary. That boundary will shift further south on Tuesday before shifting back north near the area the rest of the week.

▶️Southwesterly flow will allow warmer air and moisture to pool into the area not only leading to warm temperatures (mainly 60s with 70s possible Wednesday), but also chances for rain.

▶️The first chance will come late in the day on Wednesday and Wednesday night as some energy moves through. There is still some uncertainty on where the boundary will layout and the location of those higher rain chances, but early indication is near/south of I-90.

▶️The boundary will lift north as a warm front on Thursday with more widespread rain developing during the afternoon and into Thursday night before ending on Friday morning as a system sweeps a cold front through.

▶️Rain amounts and placement are still uncertain at this time, but much of Southeast Minnesota and North Iowa could be in line to see another 0.50" to 1.00" or more.

04/21/2025

[6:40 AM: MON. APR. 21] - **BREEZY, COOL MONDAY WITH RAIN CHANCES LATE**

▶️After a soggy Easter Sunday and early Monday, showers will end during the early morning hours with gradual clearing and sunshine expected by mid-to-late afternoon.

▶️It'll be a breezy day with northwest wind gusts up to 30 mph at times. Temperatures will be close to average with highs ranging from the upper 50s to lower 60s.

▶️A quick-moving system is expected to pass through overnight into Tuesday morning along a west-to-east frontal boundary draped across the area leading to some spotty showers and a possible stray t-storm.

04/18/2025

[9:23 AM: FRI. APR. 18] - **WEEKEND OUTLOOK // EASTER SUNDAY SHOWERS**

The weekend ahead will be pleasantly cool for the middle of April with rain showers likely moving in later in the day on Easter Sunday.

☀️SATURDAY: Mostly sunny and cool with a light northwest breeze. Temperatures will be a few degrees below average with afternoon highs around the low-to-middle 50s.

⭐️SATURDAY NIGHT: A few passing clouds, but mostly clear. A light-to-calm north wind. It'll be a cold night with temperatures dropping into the middle 30s.

🐰🌦EASTER SUNDAY: Clouds increase through the morning with the first half of the day staying dry so morning Easter Egg hunts or other outdoor activities will be good to go. A storm system will move north into the region from the Southern Plains with Gulf moisture also surging northward. Showers will likely develop in North Iowa by afternoon and into Southeast Minnesota by late afternoon or evening. There are still some timing differences to work out. A breezy east wind with gusts up to 25 mph at times. Temperatures will run cooler than average with highs around the middle 50s.

🌧SUNDAY NIGHT: Rain becomes more widespread and heavy at times. Some model data suggests temperatures may be cold enough where snowflakes may mix in, however there is still uncertainty if that will happen as several other models are just rain and keep any snow potential further north. Temperatures will be around the upper 30s.

Rain chances continue into Monday with cool temperatures continuing in the 50s, however warmer air will arrive the rest of the week with temperatures likely in the 60s!

04/18/2025

This house and car in Fremont, Nebraska were hit very hard by extremely large hail the size of softballs on Thursday.

Considerable damage occurred to the siding of a house and a car. Thankfully nobody was injured, but it must've been very loud coming down!

📸Ashly Lathrop

04/18/2025

[8:45 AM: FRI. APR. 18] - **RAINFALL REPORTS**

There wasn't a whole lot of severe weather locally outside of some stronger t-storms in North Iowa on Friday morning that produced large hail and strong wind gusts, but heavy rainfall was fairly common areawide.

Moisture levels with this storm were way above climatology for the middle of April and it poured especially where any t-storms developed.

Several places in Southeast Minnesota and North Iowa received a good soaking of 1.00" or more with some isolated amounts over 2.00" reported.

04/18/2025

[8:20 AM: FRI. APR. 18] - **GLOOMY, COOL FRIDAY**

It's not going to be a pretty day as quite a bit of clouds will be locked into place along with cooler than average temperatures for the middle of April.

Low-level clouds along with moisture in place and weak energy passing through could be enough to pop some spotty showers at times or pockets of light drizzle through the day into the evening. Nothing more than that is expected.

The wind will be a bit breezy out of the north with gusts of 20-25 mph at times keeping it cool with temperatures expecting to hover around or in the low 50s throughout the day.

04/18/2025

[4:45 AM: FRI. APR. 18] - **RADAR UPDATE**

Strong t-storms are pushing through North Iowa this morning including a couple of severe t-storms.

Wind gusts of 60-70 mph are possible along with quarter size hail and heavy downpours.

04/17/2025

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH has been issued until 10pm for the highlighted counties. Primary threats are large hail and damaging wind.

04/17/2025

[3:52 PM: THU. APR. 17]

‼️A **SEVERE T-STORM WATCH** has been issued for portions of Southeast Minnesota until 10:00 PM‼️

Large hail, strong wind gusts and frequent lightning are all possible within any severe t-storms that develop. Stay weather aware tonight!

Brandon Marshall - ABC 6 Meteorologist

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