Every landfalling hurricane has a key moment that could cost (or save) lives. This may be Debby's...
Prior reel of my Cali trip was cut off. Here’s the second half, which was mostly work followed by some amazing views on the way home.
ANOTHER ROUND of severe storms for East-Central and Southeast Missouri this evening (w/ audio).
Those of you with damage: Do what you can to secure objects by times listed in video.
Everyone: Stay vigilant.
Tornado in Huntsville
It was a wild night for me, and Wednesday was a crazy, difficult day to forecast. I'm so glad it wasn't as bad as feared in Southeast Missouri.
The lightning strike at the beginning of this video shows the left side of the tornado that crossed the mountains in Huntsville. It was the first "wedge" I've seen. Nothing like those rope things in Florida. See the snapshots in the comments.
Why Take Shelter When a Tornado Isn't Confirmed
***This is NOT a current forecast*** I watch a lot of severe weather coverage in my current job. This is one of the best explanations I've seen on why we should still find our safe place for just "radar-indicated" tornado warnings. Credit: KMOV Steve Templeton
A Little Ice, Then a Warm Up!
I'm posting because this will NOT be a major crippling ice storm. But you WILL want to stay home for the first half of Monday across most of Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, and Illinois.
Urgent Heads Up MidMo and STL
Urgent heads up up for #MidMo and #STL metro area: The arctic front will bring a few hours of moderate snow and reduced visibility today along the I-70 corridor.
EXTREMELY hazardous travel *starting* at the following times:
Columbia ~ 1 pm
Jeff City ~ 2 pm
St. Charles ~ 3 pm
St. Louis & Arnold ~ 4 pm
Quick winter storm update for my Missouri friends.
Extreme Winter Heads Up x3
THREE heads-ups in one! Many of you are focused on the winter storm coming tomorrow, but the bigger picture is much more important.
I hope you had a wonderful Christmas. For those who wanted some of the white stuff, be patient friends. A little teaser is coming this week from Missouri to Tennessee (slushy at best), followed by potentially several opportunities for a significant storm from the Ozarks to the Carolinas in a week or two.
#Idalia in just 12 hours:
🔻 30 mb pressure drop
🔺 30 mph wind increase
🎚️ Cat 1 to Cat 3
My Plea to Cedar Key
I hope everyone who knows someone who lives along Florida's Nature Coast understands the "worst case" here. It's possible this has never happened in any of our lifetimes.
Friends in Florida: I know it's hard to believe this could even happen. It wasn't even a year ago you were dealing with #Ian.
But all signs indicate a MAJOR hurricane #Idalia will be approaching the Gulf Coast by Wednesday. :(
I'm posting updates here: https://baronwx.com/Idalia
Florida Gulf Coast: This is a legit threat! It will likely become a tropical storm, possibly a formidable hurricane, with less than 3 days' notice. Landfall somewhere from Destin to Sarasota, likely midweek. Stay vigilant!
Flash Flooding in North-Central Missouri Wednesday Morning
This morning's flash flood risk in Missouri was well forecasted on the regional scale, but the heaviest rain from these events often falls in a narrow corridor. Notice the 20-mile-wide stripe of 8+" over the past 24 hrs upstream of #CoMo and #JeffCity, but amounts in those cities were less than an inch.
June was wild! Severe weather was rampant from the Southern Plains to the Southeast. Whereas in most years, it shifts farther north this time of year.
All the numbers and reports are at https://arcg.is/1GT94b0.
Worst air quality on record in #NYC. Looks like #Mars! Here's how it happened...
Tornado Risk Increasing Across Mid-South
You've seen the moderate risk. Now there's a Tornado Watch. And here's a more detailed look at the credible @BaronWeather model where long-track tornadoes may develop. If you live anywhere close to those dark red swaths, stay vigilant this evening! #ARwx #MSwx #TNwx #LAwx #ALwx
Wow! It's so cold in #Tennessee & #Alabama that river/lake effect snow showers have formed downwind of the #TennesseeRiver system and along east shores of the #KentuckyLakes. Also, notice the orographic lift clouds & snow showers over the #CumberlandPlateau. #TNwx #ALwx
Deadline to Destinations
This is your final DEADLINE to get to your destination safely before the storm.
Repeating: It won't be a large amount of snow. But it will rapidly accumulate with temperatures dropping 15-20º+ in an hour and winds gusting to 40 mph.
More details on which interstates will be affected at https://bit.ly/3Wx19Qd.