06/01/2024
𝐁𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐥𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐬𝐡'𝐬 𝐄𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐚𝐠𝐚: 𝐀 𝐇𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐫𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐒𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐟𝐞 & 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐲
1/ On Sunday, Bangladesh, with its 170 million people, heads to the polls for the 12th general election. However, the nation's history of contested elections, violence, and allegations of rigging looms large.
2/ Since its independence in 1971, only four out of Bangladesh's 11 elections have been considered "free and fair." This time, controversy surrounds Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's refusal to establish a neutral caretaker government, leading to the opposition Bangladesh National Party's (BNP) decision to boycott the elections.
3/ Caretaker governments in the past have facilitated credible results, often favoring the opposition. However, with the BNP boycotting, concerns about potential tampering arise. International voices, including Charles Whiteley of the European Union, express worry over the election's transparency.
4/ The military deployment on election day underscores fears of violence. To understand this backdrop, let's delve into Bangladesh's tumultuous electoral history, marked by controversial elections and political crises.
5/ 𝟏𝟗𝟕𝟑 – 𝐀𝐰𝐚𝐦𝐢 𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐠𝐮𝐞'𝐬 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐖𝐢𝐧: After the separation from Pakistan, the Awami League's victory in 1973, led by Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, saw allegations of kidnapping opposition leaders and ballot stuffing, marking the start of autocratic rule.
6/ 𝟏𝟗𝟕𝟗-𝟏𝟗𝟖𝟎𝐬 – 𝐌𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐫𝐲 𝐑𝐮𝐥𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐒𝐡𝐚𝐦 𝐄𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬: The era of military rule, initiated by Ziaur Rahman, featured controversial elections, including the widely discredited 1986 polls marked by low attendance and accusations of number manipulation.
7/ 𝟏𝟗𝟗𝟏 – 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐦, 𝐂𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐚𝐤𝐞𝐫 𝐆𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭: Neutral elections under an interim government led by Chief Justice Shahabuddin Ahmed saw the BNP's narrow victory.
8/ 𝟏𝟗𝟗𝟔 – 𝐁𝐍𝐏'𝐬 𝐒𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐭-𝐋𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐀𝐝𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧: A controversial election led to the BNP's unchallenged win, but the administration lasted only 12 days, leading to new elections under a caretaker government in which Sheikh Hasina secured her first term.
9/ 𝟐𝟎𝟎𝟏 𝐄𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 – 𝐏𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫 𝐒𝐡𝐢𝐟𝐭𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐁𝐍𝐏: Under a caretaker government, the BNP won in 2001, with international observers deeming the elections "free and fair."
10/ 𝟐𝟎𝟎𝟔-𝟐𝟎𝟎𝟖 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐂𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐢𝐬: Failure to agree on a caretaker government candidate led to riots and a political crisis. The military intervened, elections were delayed, and the Awami League withdrew in protest.
11/ 𝟐𝟎𝟎𝟖 𝐄𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 – 𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐓𝐮𝐫𝐧𝐨𝐮𝐭: The Awami League's Grand Alliance won in a landslide in the elections held in December 2008, ending the military-run caretaker government.
12/ 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟒 𝐄𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐂𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐤𝐝𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐨𝐧 𝐎𝐩𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧: The Awami League's victory in 2014, following the abolition of the caretaker provision, was marred by a crackdown on the opposition and reports of violence.
13/ 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟖 – 𝐀𝐰𝐚𝐦𝐢 𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐠𝐮𝐞'𝐬 𝐒𝐮𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐣𝐨𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐀𝐦𝐢𝐝 𝐑𝐢𝐠𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐀𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐠𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬: The introduction of electronic voting in 2018 didn't prevent allegations of rigging. The Awami League won in another landslide, prompting criticism and calls for a redo.
14/ 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟒 – 𝐁𝐍𝐏 𝐁𝐨𝐲𝐜𝐨𝐭𝐭𝐬 𝐀𝐠𝐚𝐢𝐧: With the BNP's demand for a caretaker government unmet, the party is boycotting the 2024 elections. The ruling Awami League is expected to secure another victory, extending Hasina's historic tenure.
15/ As Bangladesh stands at the crossroads of another crucial election, the international community closely watches, hoping for transparency, fairness, and a peaceful democratic transition.