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Australian data and statistics on economics, demographics and other social subjects displayed in innovative graphical formats

22/03/2025

Australia. Near highest net annual migration in history. 600k inbound. 240k outbound. 380,000 net arrivals. NSW alone 120,000 more. Just shy of the record set a few months earlier. What is in the pipeline this year?
Are you affected?
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

21/03/2025

Australia. Per year: 300k births, roughly, 200k deaths, nearly. Therefore a net gain of 100,000.
But this number may be deceiving. Neither the birth nor death rate are in a static environment. Australia is importing a huge number of people via immigration. Half a million per year. Life expectancy is stretching. And finally, Australian women are reducing their propensity to give birth to less than 2 per couple. So this picture is only a fraction of the story.
Are you affected?
+++++++++

15/03/2025

Australian education has developed along a mixed economy model. The state provides primary school education, but many parents opt for a private version, despite needing to pay extra for this alternative service. In NSW, the state controls around 2/3 of primary schools directly. On entering high school and puberty, many more parents take their children out of the public system. So by year 7, the state system in NSW is down to 55% of students. After year 10 there is an exodus from school across both state and private, as many children (age around 16) seek employment or freedom.
The private sector is booming, while the state sector is losing its share of students. Since 2006 enrollments in public schools increased only 5%, despite a booming population. Meanwhile the private sector increased by 28%. And this is in spite of fees that can range from $5,000 to $40,000.
All of this has accelerated since Covid.
Are you affected? Why would you shift to private education, if you can even afford it?
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16/02/2025

Arrivals into Australia achieved record numbers in late 2019, with the first month of 2020 reaching an all time record 2.26 million arrivals into the country. By April the monthly numbers had cratered to a value before the age of flight.
In recent months arrivals into Australia have finally again been approaching the former record. In January of 2024 arrivals were still about 6% below the old record. Yet December 2024 was only 1.5% behind its namesake of 2019. We are back to an annual arrival number above 20 million people (and their luggage). Truly an epic series of movements, but notably, with more arriving than departing, there have been extraordinary economic changes.
Are you affected?

Comments/questions welcome.

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#3104

28/01/2025

The Australian population has grown by an extraordinary 1.1 million adults over the last two years. This growth contributed to the non-employed population, including overseas students who are not working in formal employment. The formal labour force has also expanded, thanks almost entirely to imported workforce entrants who often provide cheap labour in industries that pay low wages, especially hospitality.
The fulltime workforce has increased by around 400,000 people, as has the parttime workforce with a 420,000 increase. Unemployment has increased only marginally, based entirely on the Australian native workforce who are eligible to claim benefits.
The increase in population has had a profound impact on rental demand, as well as inflationary costs for supermarket items. More people chasing not enough goods. Although this is a negative experience for many Australians, for governments in each state this is a win-win-win situation. More production. More taxpayers. More revenue from retail sales and inflated stamp duties. What’s not to love?!
Are you affected?

26/10/2024

Labour force stats for Australia give a powerful insight into economic pressures and likely policy moves. The economy has been cooking hot, with unemployment near a record low (4.1%) and participation near record high (above 66%). That second detail is because increasing numbers of women are entering the paid workforce, as well as grandparents. All looking for some extra dollars to make ends meet, pay mortgages, taxes, and the rising cost of living. How did such a comfortable growing economy become so anxious, with the wheels nearly falling off in several industries?
One thing this will certainly confirm is that interest rates will stay high.
Are you affected?

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17/10/2024

Aaaarghhhh… death data for Australia confirms what we expect, old people die more often that young people. Around 40% of all deaths are for people over 85. And 60% are for people over 65.
The death rate has however fluctuated in the COVID age. The high levels of isolation and mask wearing initially contributed to keeping more older people alive for longer. As the population got immunized, we let our guard down. Even hospitals don’t have mask wearing now, despite high risks of airborne transmission. So, there has been a spike of deaths in 2022 and then a return to trend.
Are you affected?

Comments/questions welcome.

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10/08/2024

Australia’s population can be shown on a line graph displaying all the ages and divided by s*x (oops is that gender?). If Australia was an island with no immigration then the chart would simply drop from the high point at the left downwards to the right. It would have the most zero year olds (about 300,000), with slightly more boys and would finish at around 100 years old, with substantially more women than men (more than twice as many but only a few thousand). The population humps in the middle are mainly driven by inbound migration of people who are of working age (and breeding age). The rate at which people arrive and stay has an impact on economic growth, population movement, culture, rental and real estate prices, and wellbeing.

Are you affected?

Comments/questions welcome.

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08/08/2024

Counting net movements, Victoria was the Australia state with highest annual population growth for around a decade, peaking at just over 100,000 people increase per year in 2017. NSW was not far behind at just below 90,000 growth. This pattern collapsed with the onset of COVID measures in 2020. Australian government was hoping to revive the growth in the last two years, and make up for lost time, with catastrophic consequences for rental prices and the poor. Infrastructure is also under pressure with ever increasing population, more cars on roads, more trucks, more plastic waste, more anxiety, but oooohhh the economic growth numbers… what’s not to love?! Are you affected?

06/06/2024

Australian GDP has hit its lowest annual number in around 30 years. Not since the ‘recession we had to have’ when Paul Keating was Treasurer, has a GDP print been this low. But what does it mean this time around. In 1991 unemployment jumped to around 10%, notably after multiple rate rises. The RBA today is again trying to slow the economy, and that means hardship (distributed unfairly) to a share of the population.
A new epoch is just around the corner, but tough times will continue.

Are you affected?

Comments/questions welcome.

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23/03/2024

Think of the Australian economy as composed of a civilian population (adults) who are either employed (full-time or part-time) or registered as unemployed or not in the labour force. In the last 4 years the population has boomed (+1.4 million), especially in the last year, from rebounding immigration, and they have been finding jobs in a booming economy, despite the unprecedented pace of interest rate rises in the last year. Employment increased on the back of migrants, by 1 million. Unemployment decreased both in total and as a rate (down to 3.7%). Govt not happy, despite record tax revenues and declining payouts to dole recipients. Because we are running too tight and lots of people are struggling despite the extraordinary wealth that has been generated in this period. Aaahh. Capitalism. Contradictions abounding.
What do you think? Crisis? What crisis?

#6202

15/02/2024

Australia’s unemployment rate (4.1% in January) is starting to accelerate upward but from a historic low base. The participation rate of the population (the ratio of people in the workforce, to those not in the workforce) is also easing (now 66%). But again, off a very high level, when even Grandpa went back to work.
Where to next? The higher RBA cash rate and mortgage rates are continuing to bite the population’s spending power. More layoffs may be in the pipeline. Certain sectors of the economy are feeling it more than others, but at the same time, there’s still plenty of cash around.
What do you think? Are you affected?
Comments welcome.

20/01/2024

3T and over

18/01/2024

Australian unemployment is up, but not by much. People are leaving the workforce too, and so total employment drops a fraction. NSW has had the biggest increase in unemployment rate but remains lowest, at 3.4 percent. Queensland has the highest rate at 4.3 percent. What next? The impact of multiple rate rises is still percolating through the economy. What do you think? Are you affected? #6202.0

11/01/2024

Over a period of more than 20 years this author has created hundreds of passwords for a variety of sites. Luckily, the dates were usually recorded. Seems that there is an ongoing proliferation. No wonder people write down passwords and reminders on bits of paper.

14/12/2023

Alma martyr

10/12/2023

The birth rate within Australia today is not enough to keep the population stable. The birth rate is negative or below replacement. Despite that, Australia’s population is growing by an extraordinary amount, due to net inbound migration.
The ABS predicts an average population growth over the next 10 years of at least 300,000 per year. After that, their prediction is for a much lower annual number. That estimate is dubious, and the rate could well remain as high as today. In this case, Australia’s population would double in 50 years. The current rate of population growth has manifested in housing shortages and a powerful trend to high rise living. Medium and high density is the future, not the quarter acre block of legend. More children will grow up as they do in Hong Kong, in tiny apartments, many storeys above the ground, far from backyards and playgrounds. The sedentary lifestyle of future citizens, nearly 50 million in 2071, will have an impact on physical as well as mental health. But at least we will have growth, the sin qua non of the modern economy.

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