09/11/2022
No real change in the update
IDN36629
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Moderate to Major Flood Warning for the Murray and Edward Rivers
at Albury, Corowa, Yarrawonga, Tocumwal, Echuca, Moama,Torrumbarry, Barham, Swan Hill, Wakool Junction, Boundary Bend, Euston, Mildura,Wentworth, Deniliquin, Stevens Weir and Moulamein
Issued at 4:30 pm EDT on Wednesday 9 November 2022
Flood Warning Number: 98
MAJOR FLOODING HIGHER THAN THE 1975 FLOOD POSSIBLE AT WAKOOL JUNCTION, BOUNDARY BEND, EUSTON, MILDURA, AND WENTWORTH
SWAN HILL PEAKED ON TUESDAY WITH MODERATE FLOODING
Rainfall over the past several weeks has caused renewed and prolonged flooding along the Murray and Edwards Rivers and their tributaries.
Releases from the Hume Dam combined with Kiewa River flows have caused moderate flooding along the Murray River at Albury, Corowa, Yarrawonga and Tocumwal.
Along the Murray River at Echuca and Moama, river levels are slowly receding, with major flooding likely to continue until around Friday. At Torrumbarry, river levels are expected to remain steady due to continuing breakout flows, with major flooding forecast into mid November.
At Barham, a major flood peak was observed around 26 October following a series of renewed rises. River levels are falling slowly, with major flooding likely to continue through to the end of the week. At Swan Hill the river level peaked on Tuesday with moderate flooding. Moderate flooding is occurring at Wentworth.
Along the Edward River, moderate flooding continues at Deniliquin, Stevens Weir and Moulamein. At Moulamein the river is peaking near 5.90 meters from the combined flows along the Edward River and Billabong Creek. Renewed rises are likely along the Edward River through mid to late November as upstream Murray River flows arrive.
Significant breakout flows from Torrumbarry have spilled into the Wakool River. These flows, combined with floodwaters from the Murray and Edward Rivers, have caused major flooding at Wakool Junction and may cause major flooding downstream at Boundary Bend, Euston, Mildura and Wentworth, with levels higher than the 1975 flood event. Moderate flooding is currently occurring at Boundary Bend and Wentworth. Minor flooding is currently occurring at Euston and Mildura.
Forecasts will be progressively refined once upstream flood peaks along the Murray River and its tributaries are observed.
Flood operations are being conducted by the Murray-Darling Basin Authority (MDBA) at Hume Dam to manage inflows from the upper Murray, Mitta Mitta River and other tributaries. MDBA are working closely with the Bureau and WaterNSW to plan release strategies.
Murray River downstream of Hume Dam to Tocumwal:
Moderate flooding is occurring at Albury, Corowa, Yarrawonga and Tocumwal.
The Murray River at Albury peaked at 5.39 metres around 03:00 pm Wednesday 02 November and is currently at 5.25 metres and slowly falling, with moderate flooding. Subject to increased spills from the Hume Dam, renewed river level rises are possible at Albury from Wednesday evening onwards.
The Murray River at Corowa peaked at 7.55 metres around 04:00 pm Saturday 05 November and is currently at 7.43 metres and and slowly falling, with moderate flooding.
The Murray River at Yarrawonga Downstream peaked at 7.13 metres around 11:45 am Saturday 05 November and is currently at 6.88 metres and falling, with moderate flooding. The river level at Yarrawonga Downstream may remain around 7.00 metres for the next few days.
The Murray River at Tocumwal peaked at 6.95 metres around 02:45 pm Monday 07 November and is currently at 6.85 metres and falling, with moderate flooding. The river level at Tocumwal is likely to remain around 6.90 metres through to Wednesday, with moderate flooding.
Murray River downstream of Tocumwal to Barham:
Major flooding is occurring at Echuca, Moama, Torrumbarry and Barham.
The Murray River at Echuca peaked at 94.98 metres AHD on Wednesday 26 October and is currently at 94.47 metres AHD and falling slowly, with major flooding. The river level at Echuca is likely to remain above the major flood level (94.40 metres) through to Friday.
The Murray River at Torrumbarry Weir is likely to remain around 7.85 metres through to mid November, with major flooding.
The Murray River at Barham peaked at 6.21 metres on Wednesday 26 October and is currently at 6.13 metres and falling, with major flooding. The river level at Barham is likely to remain above the major flood level (6.10 metres) through to the end of the week.
Murray River downstream of Barham to Wentworth:
Major flooding is occurring at Wakool Junction. Moderate flooding is occurring at Swan Hill, Boundary Bend and Wentworth. Minor flooding is occurring at Euston and Mildura. Major flooding is possible at Boundary Bend, Euston, Mildura and Wentworth.
The Murray River at Swan Hill peaked at 4.60 metres around midday Tuesday and is currently at 4.59 metres and falling slowly with near moderate flooding. The Murray River at Swan Hill may remain around the moderate flood level (4.60 m) through to the weekend.
The Murray River at Wakool Junction may reach near 12.00 metres around 15-17 November, with major flooding. Further rises are possible.
The Murray River at Boundary Bend may exceed the major flood level (9.00 metres) around Saturday 12 November. The river level may reach near 9.10 metres around 15-17 November, with major flooding. Further rises are possible.
The Murray River at Euston may exceed the moderate flood level (9.80 metres, 51.60 metres AHD) around 13-16 November. The river level may exceed the major flood level (10.30 metres, 52.10 metres AHD) around 16-18 November and reach around 10.40 metres (52.24 metres AHD) around 19-22 November, with major flooding. Further rises are possible.
The Murray River at Mildura Weir is likely to exceed the moderate flood level (37.50 metres AHD) around 21-25 November. The river level may exceed the major flood level (38.50 metres AHD) and may reach 38.60 metres AHD around the end of November, with major flooding. Further rises are possible.
The Murray River at Wentworth may exceed the major flood level (33.88 metres AHD) and reach 34.30 metres AHD around the first week of December, with major flooding.
Edward River:
Moderate flooding is occurring at Deniliquin, Stevens Weir and Moulamein.
Renewed rises are occurring along the Edward River at Deniliquin, where the river level may reach near 9.00 metres around 14-16 November, with moderate flooding.
The Edward River at Stevens Weir Downstream is likely to reach around 6.50 metres around 16-18 November, with moderate flooding.
The Edward River at Moulamein is peaking near 5.90 metres, with moderate flooding. Renewed rises are possible from mid to late November onwards.
Flood Safety Advice:
In life threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately. If you require rescue, assistance to evacuate or other emergency help, ring NSW and VIC SES on 132 500.
* Avoid drowning. Stay out of rising water, seek refuge in the highest available place.
* Prevent damage to your vehicle. Move it under cover, away from areas likely to flood.
* Avoid being swept away. Stay out of fast-flowing creeks and storm drains.
* Never drive, ride or walk through flood water. Flood water can be DECEPTIVE and dangerous.
For more emergency information, advice, and access to the latest river heights and rainfall observations and forecasts:
* NSW SES: www.ses.nsw.gov.au
* VIC SES: www.emergency.vic.gov.au
* RMS Live Traffic: www.livetraffic.com
* VicRoads: www.vicroads.vic.gov.au
* Latest River Heights and Rainfall Observations: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/flood/southwest.shtml
* Latest NSW Warnings: www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/
* Rainfall Forecasts: www.bom.gov.au/australia/meteye/
* BOM NSW Twitter: www.twitter.com/BOM_NSW
Next Issue:
The next warning will be issued by 04:30 pm EDT on Thursday 10 November 2022.