09/01/2025
The British pound faced significant challenges on Friday, struggling to recover against the U.S. dollar and on track for its worst weekly performance since November. After a decline of 1.16% on Thursday, the pound inched up by 0.1%, reaching $1.2395, but remained close to the lows it had hit in April. By the end of the week, the currency was expected to close 1.4% lower, adding to its ongoing struggles. On Thursday, the pound, along with the euro, had experienced steep losses against the dollar, particularly after the return of investors from the New Year holidays. This slump in the pound was in line with a broader trend observed in global currencies, as the dollar rallied.
A significant factor behind this strength of the dollar was the expectation that U.S. interest rates would remain higher for longer. These expectations were fueled by markets bracing for the policies of the incoming Donald Trump administration, which traders anticipated could boost economic growth. Over the past three months, this belief had contributed to the dollar’s rally, surpassing the performance of other major global currencies.
Simultaneously, the outlook for the British economy appeared increasingly grim. This, in combination with a more dovish stance from the Bank of England (BoE), added further pressure on the pound. Despite having been the best-performing G10 currency against the U.S. dollar in the previous year, the pound now faced growing challenges. Data released by the Bank of England on Friday revealed that British lenders had approved fewer mortgages than expected in November, signaling a slowdown in the housing market. Mortgage approvals had fallen to 65,720 in November from 68,129 in October, marking the lowest level since August. Additionally, consumer lending had increased at its weakest pace since mid-2022, reinforcing the indication of a cooling economy.